March 4th, 2008
07:13 PM ET
10 years ago

Schneider: Why Obama won Vermont

(CNN) – Barack Obama is headed for an easy victory in Vermont, fueled by overwhelming victories among voting blocs that have solidly aligned with Hillary Clinton in other states.

Though women voters and seniors are the backbone of Clinton's support, in Vermont more than two-thirds of women, and roughly 60 percent of voters age 65 and higher, went for Obama.

One of the key reasons this groups went for Obama? The Iraq war. While the issue has fallen in importance among voters in several other states, Vermont voters ranked it nearly as important as the economy, and those who said it was the number one issue went for Obama over Clinton by nearly 3 to 1.

Obama often touts the fact he was initially opposed to the Iraq war while Clinton voted to authorize it. He has consistently beaten Clinton among voters concerned about Iraq - and in Vermont, this gap clearly proved decisive.

Related Video: Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser analyzes Tuesday's primaries

- CNN Senior Political Analyst Bill Schneider

Filed under: Bill Schneider • Candidate Barack Obama • Vermont
soundoff (232 Responses)
  1. Tylenol666

    The "BULLYINTON" Tribe has controled the Whitehouse for FAAAR 2 Long! GIVE US OUR WHITEHOUSE BACK WITH BARACK!

    March 4, 2008 07:40 pm at 7:40 pm |
  2. minority

    I wonder why they bought obama's contention that Hilary's voting for war based on the information at that time was lack of judgement while in fact it was Love of country..when strangers trample your soil it is patriotic to fight. The Clinton administration used all diplomacies they could and we were attack right after his term.The current administration used force, one of America's prerogative. The benefit maynot be apparent now but time will tell. The only wrong war we had was Vietnam. On the other hand, Vermont might have voted for OBAMA to put him against Maccain and turn the table?....

    March 4, 2008 07:40 pm at 7:40 pm |
  3. Maha

    Obama! Obama! 😀

    March 4, 2008 07:40 pm at 7:40 pm |
  4. Marc

    Every time I hear "Yes, We Can" I feel the kool-aid is about to be distributed. It's so sad that Americans prefer the mob mentality than true democracy. I mourn for our nation.

    March 4, 2008 07:40 pm at 7:40 pm |
  5. vermonter

    Yes WE CAN!

    March 4, 2008 07:40 pm at 7:40 pm |
  6. sherry perry

    If Obama doesnt get this ticket.For the first time in my life i will not vote for president.This race will tear apart the party.If Clinton is a very smart lady,but she needs to get out of this.Im tired of it!

    March 4, 2008 07:40 pm at 7:40 pm |
  7. ann

    Vermont, don't you know he doesn't say what he means? Ask Canada!
    Come on Texas. Don't make Vermont's mistake.

    March 4, 2008 07:40 pm at 7:40 pm |
  8. Marcus Carnero

    Hillary Supporters: Give it up!

    She cannot beat McCain!
    We can!

    Use some common sense here
    for the good of the entire nation!

    U N I T E

    Obama '08!!!!!

    March 4, 2008 07:41 pm at 7:41 pm |
  9. psburton

    Hillary will prevail in both OHIO and TEXAS

    March 4, 2008 07:42 pm at 7:42 pm |
  10. Illinois

    This was a no-brainer. Most people figured out that Obama would win Vermont, seeing as how he can say he was against the war even though he was not in a positioin to vote for or against it. Remember, he said he was against the war when he was running for office and was at an anti-war rally. Plus the majority of people in Vermont have a lot of money and are extremely liberal....Obama's bread and butter. Doesn't take a rocket scientist to see through this one. But he won't take Ohio or Texas or Rhode Island.....

    His ability to take big states does matter. Has anyone noticed a pattern here?? Obama continually takes the traditional red states, along with a very few (and small) blue ones. What does this mean?? It means that the Independents and the Republicans are the ones who are actually voting for him, some are doing so to try to get Hillary out of the running. True democrats have almost always voted, and continue to vote for, Clinton....and if you don't believe me, check out the statistics. Independents and Republicans will not be voting for Obama during the general election. Wake up and smell the coffee. I swear some of you people are just stupid........

    March 4, 2008 07:42 pm at 7:42 pm |
  11. TJH

    I'm still on the fence. I cannot stand when Hillary starts her screechy yelling... But I would like to hear some 'plans' out of Obama's mouth.

    I keep hear the verbal junk like 'OBAMA 2008 to change the way this country does business.' ... Okay, now tell me HOW is this going to happen Obama.

    March 4, 2008 07:42 pm at 7:42 pm |
  12. Shelly, OR

    You go Obama! You are much more inspiring than your opponent! Thanks for starting a movement, great job! Let's finish this!

    March 4, 2008 07:42 pm at 7:42 pm |
  13. Disappointed in Hillary

    The negative lie-based attacks that the Clintons have thrown at Obama are despicable. I hope they don't damage Obama's chances when he takes on McCain in November!

    March 4, 2008 07:43 pm at 7:43 pm |
  14. joy

    He won because of money. I was so sick of his ad every 10 minutes in major stations, thanks to remote control I quickly got away from him.
    Please, I see no substance! The Republicans will have a field day challenging this blank slate! How many times can he say "I voted against the war from the start"? He was not a US Senator about to vote. He did not see what the others saw from Administration officials. What matters now is what to do going forward.

    March 4, 2008 07:43 pm at 7:43 pm |
  15. Anonymous

    Vermont went to Obama because Vermont is about as Socialist as you can get without moving to Russia.

    March 4, 2008 07:44 pm at 7:44 pm |
  16. matt

    12:0 it means equal to 0-2 after tonight. Look at the map and you see it. Democracy can loose Vermont and many other state where Obama win but must win in CA, FL, MI, TX, NM, OH where Clinton is leading. If you are a trully Democracy, you know what I mean. otherwise, you should learn more before head to the vote.

    March 4, 2008 07:44 pm at 7:44 pm |
  17. sammy

    What is wrong with you people. They practicaly have identical voting records, and stand on the same platform on most issues. At the end of the day, all that matters is that a democrat beats george bushes right hand man!!!!! We all have a stake in how how our country is run. And one thing we can all agree on is that a republican will drive us back to teh ground. Can you imagine that, this country going trough the great deppression all over again !!!!!...........

    March 4, 2008 07:44 pm at 7:44 pm |
  18. Robert

    Again, he won only because of his speech. He's got them brainwashed. Apparently people in Vermont don't realize Obama wasn't in the Senate when the vote took place on the resolution to authorize Bush to use force in Iraq. Nor do they realize that Bush would've gone in without approval – it's a President's Constitutional powers. Nor do they realize that part of the resolution was to support and equip our soldiers going into battle. Nor do they realize that Obama voted the same way Clinton voted on matters to fund the troops when he was actually in the Senate.

    And speaking of popular votes, it doesn't matter how many states you win, the delegates are proportional. Moreover, if you look at the TRUE popular votes – states with primaries – you'll see Obama is way behind, in popular votes and in pledged delegates.

    For those that are trying to push Clinton out of the race, remember Obama was about 100 pledged delegates under Clinton after the first Super Tuesday – why not call for his pulling out of the race then!

    It will be a tragedy if Clinton drops out and Obama wins. Obama's all speeches but does not practice what he preaches. First his campaign meets with a foreign government to tell them to ignore what Obama's say about re-negotiating NAFTA, then they denied the meeting ever took place, then he admits the meeting took place but that words were misintrepreted, then they said his economic advisor was acting as a professor and not on behave of his campaign. If so, then his economic advison knows what Obama's saying cannot be done, and two how good is he if foreign nations mis-intrepret what he says.

    March 4, 2008 07:44 pm at 7:44 pm |
  19. Canadian Neighbour

    Congratulations Mr. Obama ! 'Yes you can'.....the rest of the world is 100% behind you..........God is with you always !

    March 4, 2008 07:45 pm at 7:45 pm |
  20. PLM

    Big states, or little states, we're all a part of the United States and all of our voices deserves to be heard. 'SHAME ON YOU people who try to diminsh any of our fellow American voters and their wise choice of Obama. YES WE CAN, and Obama has proved it 12 times in a row!!

    March 4, 2008 07:45 pm at 7:45 pm |
  21. Inyeai

    I am in Cincinnati and the local news is reported that there is a shortage of Democratic ballots and voters are waiting on extra ballots to arrive later in the evening.

    March 4, 2008 07:46 pm at 7:46 pm |
  22. CRIS

    all this nonsense about Obama not being a strong enough democrat to win big states is stupid. So what if he didn't win California in the primaries? If he gets the nomination, I doubt that California will all of a sudden turn republican in the general election. That's ridiculous.
    Obama '08!

    March 4, 2008 07:46 pm at 7:46 pm |
  23. Frances

    After reading all of these comments all I can say is WOW!!!!!! Since when did the people in Vermont stop mattering????? Believe it or not, We all are all in this together!!!!!!!!

    March 4, 2008 07:46 pm at 7:46 pm |
  24. Devoid

    Goodheart: Clinton may "win" the big states, but she ends up sharing a great deal of the delegates with Obama because she does not win by large margins. When Obama wins the smaller delegate states he does so by large margins, therefore he's getting more delegates than she is even though she's pulling in the larger states (although she has only won a handful of those). The Obama campaign has it nailed on the head. Sweep the small states, and fight to get as much of the large states as you can. It's a winning that shows excpetional leadership, I might add...

    March 4, 2008 07:46 pm at 7:46 pm |
  25. T-man

    Hillary's arguments about her electability are getting more and more ridiculous. the new one's about her capacity to win big states.

    anyone remember that if Gore had won the SMALL state of New Hampshire, he would have been president?

    plus, obama runs far better among independent voters who will make all the difference in tight states.

    March 4, 2008 07:46 pm at 7:46 pm |
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