March 4th, 2008
07:13 PM ET
10 years ago

Schneider: Why Obama won Vermont

(CNN) – Barack Obama is headed for an easy victory in Vermont, fueled by overwhelming victories among voting blocs that have solidly aligned with Hillary Clinton in other states.

Though women voters and seniors are the backbone of Clinton's support, in Vermont more than two-thirds of women, and roughly 60 percent of voters age 65 and higher, went for Obama.

One of the key reasons this groups went for Obama? The Iraq war. While the issue has fallen in importance among voters in several other states, Vermont voters ranked it nearly as important as the economy, and those who said it was the number one issue went for Obama over Clinton by nearly 3 to 1.

Obama often touts the fact he was initially opposed to the Iraq war while Clinton voted to authorize it. He has consistently beaten Clinton among voters concerned about Iraq - and in Vermont, this gap clearly proved decisive.

Related Video: Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser analyzes Tuesday's primaries

- CNN Senior Political Analyst Bill Schneider

Filed under: Bill Schneider • Candidate Barack Obama • Vermont
soundoff (232 Responses)
  1. sm

    Thanks Vermont. Beautiful state who voted right.

    March 4, 2008 07:46 pm at 7:46 pm |
  2. supriya

    Hillary '08!

    Come on, people!!!

    March 4, 2008 07:46 pm at 7:46 pm |
  3. Jan

    congrats to the big spender wealthy vermont people–apparently you dont care about health care or worry about money–just hope and lovely words and a cute family in the white house.

    March 4, 2008 07:46 pm at 7:46 pm |
  4. K

    obama can not win.

    March 4, 2008 07:48 pm at 7:48 pm |
  5. brian G


    who ever gets the nomination we will support.

    we need unity.

    both would make great pesidents

    March 4, 2008 07:48 pm at 7:48 pm |
  6. Peter

    Obama won because he needs to win. We do not need old style politics in Washington DC. Yes, hope....ironic..........Hilary is "hoping" to win Texas and Ohio......she critized Obama when he uses the word "hope"......I need to add, and I hope all those UNION members out there do their homework...When Hilary was a member of the Walmart board, they did not allow Unions. Hilary was a member of the board!!!! Hilary is not a UNION supporter! Regardless of what she says now.

    March 4, 2008 07:49 pm at 7:49 pm |
  7. Latina for Obama

    Yes We Can, he will lead this country to a better future, He has integrity and honesty and we will all pull together, this is not just Senator Obama this is us the people.............. but yes he does inspire us.

    Thank you Vermont. !!!! you are very wise and the world knows it..........

    Yes We Can, Obama 08

    March 4, 2008 07:49 pm at 7:49 pm |
  8. Lynette Stapleton

    At the time Obama opposed the war in Iraq he wasn't a Senator. If he was I am sure he would have voted for the war. The papers presented to the senate to establish the governments case for war have in time proved to be a complete fabrication.
    Obama lacks experience. He would be better of applying for the vice presidency to gain that his experience.

    March 4, 2008 07:49 pm at 7:49 pm |
  9. K

    Come on Hillary!!!! You can do it!!!

    Obama needs to be swaddled and can't answer any tough questions with out uh..uh...uh. stammering.

    Obama has no clue about his "plan's" as he said before he will have people to do that.

    He went back on public financing, claims he voted against Iraq..but wasn't a senator at the time and had no decision responsibility, lied about the billable hours to Rezko..etc...

    So he is just like Hillary..minus she at least can explain her plans and initiatives. And her skeletons are old news and has been slammed from the git go...

    Come on media treat Obama like every other candidate..or is it the media afraid of race backlash???

    Sounds shifty to me..any way you put it...

    Go Hillary!!!

    March 4, 2008 07:50 pm at 7:50 pm |
  10. Not again!

    You guys really drank the Kool Aid!

    If Obama gets the Democratic nomination and is elected, it will be like having another Bush in the White House, all talk. Except, perhaps, that he can speak well. But, frankly, I'm getting tired of the same old speeches and his delight in hearing himself speak.

    If I had to vote between Obama and McCain, I, and I know many, many other Democrats will probably jump ship. At least what you see is what you get with McCain.

    I think that Obama should have actually tried to attempt to do the job he was elected to in 2004 – be a Senator from Illinios. He didn't even do that but instead started running for President of the United States. Go ahead and ask how his constituents feel about that. It ain't pretty!

    I think that having a savvy woman run our country would be a great thing. There's too much raging testosterone in the world right now.

    March 4, 2008 07:50 pm at 7:50 pm |
  11. Barb

    Congratulations to the women of Vermont. As a young girl I grew up in your state and learned early about the wisdom of many of the old timers (over 50).

    Smears maybe coming for Barack now but how well we remember the court cases, the trials, the attacks, the truth about Hillary's former boss, about Watergate, about Susan McDougal, about the famous dress.

    Again thanks Vermont you "done well".

    March 4, 2008 07:50 pm at 7:50 pm |
  12. Melanie

    Honestly, to Hillary Supporters, think about this : how much are countries like Iran, or Palestine, going to take Hillary Clinton seriously? She's a woman, for goodness sakes! This world is NOT ready for a Woman president to rule one of the most powerful countries in the world. Plus, according to polls, Mrs Clinton would lose by almost 10 points against McCain. Do you seriously want another Bush-like administration? I'm sorry to say this but this country is going down the drains!

    March 4, 2008 07:50 pm at 7:50 pm |
  13. Cesar

    It's all good hillary will take ohio and texas. States that are really are worth something.

    March 4, 2008 07:51 pm at 7:51 pm |
  14. P

    Vermont is the state that elected Howeirdo Dean, of course they went for the empty suit!

    March 4, 2008 07:51 pm at 7:51 pm |


    March 4, 2008 07:51 pm at 7:51 pm |
  16. Jack from WV

    I am curious if those women above the age of 65 have done their homework on the candidates available. If you are looking for someone with substance, a proven voting record, than I hate to admit it but Hillary is a better choice than Obama. His voting record is nothing to brag about. Voting present and not a yes or no on bills in front of the Senate is a bit discouraging to say the least. If he has a reason why the “present” than he should come out and tell the public why he didn’t vote one way or the other.
    The Obama train is still going strong however there’s more to come and don’t count Hillary out just yet although there isn’t anything I would like to see more. Quit frankly the candidates available for election this year, are nothing I would am excited about. All three have been in the Senate and have run nothing at all no local government or State government so the idea they have the experience to run this country from day one is far fetched. McCain is the only one who has been in government for twenty years and has more experience than Hillary or Obama but still runs nothing and is a bit old and he isn’t getting any younger by the day. Wake up America we once again do not have a great leader among those running for President so it’s vote for the lesser of two evils.

    March 4, 2008 07:51 pm at 7:51 pm |
  17. Fanchiface

    Congrats Mr. Obama. I am not an American however I am following the Election and black people all over the world are proud of your achievements so far. And even if you donot end up being the Nominee we all know that Hillary would not have gotten through without a fight. So go ahead and continue to make your people proud. We love you OBAMA

    March 4, 2008 07:51 pm at 7:51 pm |
  18. Bryan

    You've got to love these "intelligent" comments from some of the Hillary supporters.

    – "Vermont doesn't matter."
    – "Go make some more syrup."
    – "The intelligent voters of Ohio, Texas, and Rhode Island, will be the roadblock."

    I'm sure the people of Vermont really appreciate those "special" remarks.

    By the way, of the four states holding primaries today, Vermont has the highest percentage of college educated citizens.

    Vermont – 32.4%
    Rhode Island – 29.6%
    Texas – 24.7%
    Ohio – 23%

    Sorry to confuse the issue with facts but felt it was necessary considering the comments.

    March 4, 2008 07:52 pm at 7:52 pm |
  19. Drive The Nation

    Obama 2008!

    JJ: Who cares about Vermont? In all fairness, Vermont is a State that Hillary SHOULD have won. Her influence in the Northeast SHOULD have resonated- but sadly, it didn't really leave New York and New Jersey. If you don't care about Vermont, you don't care about the other 25 States Barack won. It's funny how the Hillary bandwagon keeps justifying her, loss after loss.

    steve: Lou Dobbs is one of those journalist/pundits that will criticize ANYONE in politics. His message is based around how Washington has detached itself from the American people, which is true in a lot of ways. Although, I feel that he's overly critical of ANYONE in Washington, even if their policies and agenda is for the American people. I think he's anti-Obama because of Obama's stance on immigration. Lou Dobbs like to praise Sheriffs in the few counties and States that enforce deportation of illegal immigrants, but bashes any Candidate who puts forth a Comprehensive approach to the problem. I don't think Lou Dobbs would be happy until all the illegal immigrants were thrown out of the country, and "Communist China" was bombed...

    March 4, 2008 07:52 pm at 7:52 pm |
  20. Dave in Florida

    Thank you Vermont!!!

    We want real change, Obama will bring that. The same old politics with the same old status quo in Washington. The baggae that Bilary will bring back to the white house would be the same scandals that beset us in the 90's.

    Obama in 08!!!!

    YES WE CAN!!!

    March 4, 2008 07:53 pm at 7:53 pm |
  21. emmanuella

    Obama won because people are tired of the kind of politics that tear themselves apart.i understand hillary but she gat to come out with the right tatics...if u are not a good speaker how would you convince people to vote for you.yes he gives speeches we agree but it one that motivates Americans to open a new chapter in the way politics is done in washington.He is indeed an agent of change and we look forward to he clinching the democratic nomination nd if hillary does not win Texas and Ohio she made mouth about she should plz hang up her bowl as she would not be the next democratic norminee.

    March 4, 2008 07:53 pm at 7:53 pm |
  22. Dianne Sanders

    I hope that all of the US will wake up and smell the coffee. It is time for a woman to step into the role of leader and if you blow it. you will not have this chance for a long time to come. CNN i would like to say that amy your Republican analis was more than just rude but jusk rank, when ask by Larry King if any part of her would be happy if Hillary won.
    What a sad sight to see a so call professional react with such behavior. I am so worried about the country that I left. Things are going to get very bad and as much as we love our young people, they
    do not know what hardship and struggle is. The me generation, it is always the folder ones that the young ones run to when things get bad.. Remember Obomba its very lonely at 3:00 and the phone rings.
    God Bless America, we are going to need it, I do not think he's up to the job.

    March 4, 2008 07:53 pm at 7:53 pm |
  23. Geri

    Why doesn't Obama admit that he COULDN'T vote on the Iraq war
    because he wasn't in the Senate. All his buddies voted for it but Clinton is the one that he blames. He's sick and so are most of his supporters. If some of this dirt had come out before today rather than being swept under the carpet he wouldn't even be in the running.

    March 4, 2008 07:54 pm at 7:54 pm |
  24. Josh

    Obama, please bow out of this race gracefully while you still can! Go back to Illinois, Hawaii, Indonesia, Kenya or wherever you are from! This year is Hillary's time to shine, not yours, so butt out and let Hillary do her thing!!!

    March 4, 2008 07:54 pm at 7:54 pm |
  25. Joe

    OBAMA is a DIVIDER and not a UNITER!!

    This man has divided the Democratic party!

    Joe Lieberman (former Democrat – now Independent), supposedly the type that support Obama is supporting McCain.

    His own party views him as the most liberal senator in the U.S. – how does that fit with him being a uniter again????

    Exactly which conservative ideals, views, policies, bills does he support???? (media afraid to ask)

    March 4, 2008 07:54 pm at 7:54 pm |
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