March 4th, 2008
07:13 PM ET
10 years ago

Schneider: Why Obama won Vermont

(CNN) – Barack Obama is headed for an easy victory in Vermont, fueled by overwhelming victories among voting blocs that have solidly aligned with Hillary Clinton in other states.

Though women voters and seniors are the backbone of Clinton's support, in Vermont more than two-thirds of women, and roughly 60 percent of voters age 65 and higher, went for Obama.

One of the key reasons this groups went for Obama? The Iraq war. While the issue has fallen in importance among voters in several other states, Vermont voters ranked it nearly as important as the economy, and those who said it was the number one issue went for Obama over Clinton by nearly 3 to 1.

Obama often touts the fact he was initially opposed to the Iraq war while Clinton voted to authorize it. He has consistently beaten Clinton among voters concerned about Iraq - and in Vermont, this gap clearly proved decisive.

Related Video: Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser analyzes Tuesday's primaries

- CNN Senior Political Analyst Bill Schneider

Filed under: Bill Schneider • Candidate Barack Obama • Vermont
soundoff (232 Responses)
  1. kimanjuru


    March 4, 2008 07:54 pm at 7:54 pm |
  2. Latina for Obama

    Why do Hillary's voters and followers, always like her tend to dissmiss the people's voices, and votes?
    I read here from many of her followers, not only dismissing that this state does not count, or has no voice, but also insulting Senator Obama. Your true colors come out just like Hillary's when she is loosing.
    I bet tomorrow after her big loss, she will be filing in court to get the votes in FL and Michigan I could bet anything to this,

    March 4, 2008 07:54 pm at 7:54 pm |
  3. OBAMA '08

    Way to go Obama! They got it right, just like Obama on the Iraq War!

    Obama 08'

    March 4, 2008 07:55 pm at 7:55 pm |
  4. Valerie Snipes

    It is going to be okay everybody. Calm down

    March 4, 2008 07:56 pm at 7:56 pm |
  5. Helena

    Thank you Vermont! Exit polls breakdown show that Hillary Clinton's negative ads against Barack Obama were unacceptable.

    March 4, 2008 07:56 pm at 7:56 pm |
  6. Don

    It shows that it is time for Hillary to step out of the race. the people in vermont knows wat is best for them. If i were Hillary i would consider to drop out. Hillary nothing will goes after u if you resign

    March 4, 2008 07:57 pm at 7:57 pm |
  7. ...

    The president does not have the authority to declare war- that is congress' job. Although Clinton voted for the Iraq war on false precident, she still voted for it. She showed poor judgement and we must hold our politicians accountable for what they vote for, otherwise, what else do we have? As much as I respect Hillary, we need a change. And more importantly, we need to kick the republicans out of the country. We need a resounding victory, not a close call. I blieve that Obama is the only one who can draw the independants. Go Obama- we need a breath of fresh air.

    March 4, 2008 07:58 pm at 7:58 pm |
  8. James

    These remaining 2 big primaries today will come down to who gets the most votes from whatever specific group. You guys make up the groups involved. Most of these groups will split there votes between the two democratic candidates. But one group will overwhelmingly vote for one specific candidate. Which means Obama wins Texas! and maybe Ohio.

    March 4, 2008 07:58 pm at 7:58 pm |
  9. jes

    Unfortunately for both USA & Canada it looks like Obama will be the next president. Thank the good Lord he will have Oprah on speed dial so that when that when one of those "calls in the middle of the night' arrive Obama will have someone (a woman) with experience to turn to for advice.

    March 4, 2008 07:58 pm at 7:58 pm |
  10. Roger from Arkansas

    Not just "memo" but "secret memo"

    If you did some research you would see that Obama hasn't always been opposed to the war.

    March 4, 2008 07:58 pm at 7:58 pm |
  11. k. lee

    Although i'm an Obama supporter, It ain't over till its over! Regardless of who the winner is tonight, WE AS DEMS NEED TO UNITE BEFORE THE GENERAL ELECTION!!! WE CANNOT AFFORD ANOTHER 4 YEARS OF THE GOP.


    March 4, 2008 07:59 pm at 7:59 pm |
  12. Alex A

    I was listening to right wing radio on my way home here in texas and it was disturbing and might i add disgraceful hearing so many republicans calling in to say they voted for Hillary to stop obama. This is truly outrageous....really is this democracy?

    March 4, 2008 07:59 pm at 7:59 pm |
  13. Bryan, Dallas, TX

    I am a very loyal democrate that will support McCain if "Barry" I mean Obama wins. He will be very popular with the Canadians!
    Please grow up Hillary has the know how and she is the only way the party can beat McCain.

    March 4, 2008 07:59 pm at 7:59 pm |
  14. Das

    how can every news station project the winner when the polls barely close? why dont you wait for the numbers its not like you have any thing else to do.

    March 4, 2008 07:59 pm at 7:59 pm |
  15. k. lee

    Although i'm an Obama supporter, It ain't over till its over! Regardless of who the winner is tonight, WE AS DEMS NEED TO UNITE BEFORE THE GENERAL ELECTION!!! WE CANNOT AFFORD ANOTHER 4 YEARS OF THE GOP.


    March 4, 2008 08:00 pm at 8:00 pm |
  16. Faithful

    To K.Daye:
    Your statement:
    March 4th, 2008 7:27 pm ET



    That's the same mentality Hillary had when she lost to Barack in the last 11 primary races.

    "Just forget all the people that voted for me...You don't matter. Onto the big states, Texas and Ohio."

    That's no way to show respect and appreciation to your supporters.

    OBAMA 08

    March 4, 2008 08:00 pm at 8:00 pm |
  17. Watching

    The world is watching, America. Is this how democracy works?

    Destroy not by the gun, but by the media and words – then elect a president.

    We are watching and making judment about America's democracry

    March 4, 2008 08:00 pm at 8:00 pm |

    Congrats to Obamaaaaaaaaaaaa
    Goooooooooo Hillary I meant gooo home 🙂

    March 4, 2008 08:01 pm at 8:01 pm |
  19. Mark H

    Come on guys! Your analysts are a joke. Making all these big statements about Hillary based on exit polls from one state when you have a candidate who has just run off 12 straight victories. All of a sudden she has this big momentum, she's the economy candidate . . . blah, blah, blah. She was ahead in that state just two plus weeks ago by over 20% points and he has essentially pulled even, yet you spin it look like she has pulled off some huge victory??? Ohio is made up overwhelmingly of her political base and she may barely pull out a close victory, yet you make all these bold statements. I swear the wind shifts less than your analysts! Where do you get these people, randomly off the street? Unfortunately your competitors are just as bad or worse so I guess I'm stuck with you. All I ask is to stop spinning for Clinton!

    OMG!!! Now your calling Vermont "so liberal" trying to down play Obama's victory there! You pick out one wacky town with 3 thousand voters and paint the whole state . . . come on! I hate to use these words but be fair and balanced! I am a moderate republican so I will vote for McCain but it makes me laugh when I see all of you guys fall all over yourselves to say Hillary is back and has all this momentum when she'll be just as far back tomorrow in delegates as she was yesterday . . . end of story. It is entertaining though!!

    March 4, 2008 08:01 pm at 8:01 pm |
  20. Pia

    I wonder what spin Hillary will use this time for losing Vermont. She should say that Vermont doesn't count because the people there are too intelligent to vote for her. Lol!

    March 4, 2008 08:01 pm at 8:01 pm |
  21. Melanie

    To those who think Hillary Clinton has so much more experience than Obama, tell me how much more does she have? Honestly, she tried to reform Health Care and it failed. The insurance companies paid her to shut up, why when she is President it will be any different?
    Tell me where is the experience? I'd rather have someone with less experience in the White House, then some fool corrupted by Washington lobbyists.

    March 4, 2008 08:02 pm at 8:02 pm |
  22. cathy

    Hi Guys Great coverage. Just 2 points.
    1. Ben and Jerry's is in Waterbury not Stowe.
    2. George W Bush DID visit Vermont as a candidate in the Republican primary–I met him at the Windjammer in Burlington VT while at an educational conference. I remember he asked what he could do in Wash if elected to help schools. I said stop unfunded mandates-we know how well be listened to that.

    March 4, 2008 08:02 pm at 8:02 pm |
  23. Vadi PVSS

    Obama 08'
    Good For America – Good For The World !
    Remember: Never Negotiate With Fear and Never Fear to Negotiate
    He will be the one who will make people all around the world love America once again!

    Look at how he takes the 'drama' queen Hillary's punches without anger but with a slight 'hurt' in his reply. He does not want to make it easy for Maccain – but unfortunately Hillary's blinded by her greed for power! Talk is cheap people say ... but isn't what Hillary and Maccain also plain 'talking'? Remember they voted for the war!

    America needs a President who will have better judgement skills ... not 'longevity' which Macain and Hillary translate as Experience. People of Vermount realise this – hence the victory ... just hope the people in the the other states too vote correctly – For America and For The World
    Once again – Obama 08!

    March 4, 2008 08:02 pm at 8:02 pm |
  24. Third Party

    It's amazing how the respective supporters for Obama and Clinton are or have become so partisan that many have rejected objectivity outright. This will hurt the Democrats big time, whoever becomes its P Nominee.

    Objectivity is itself subjective – that's why questions such as why a candidate wins a certain state, or whether the media is biased towards a candidate, etc will only be perceived as correct in the eyes of the beholder (or supporter) esply if he/she dare not even consider a contrarian view (as is evident in all the postings here). Look beyond the American media and look at what the int'l press/networks are picking up or covering, and you'd perhaps learn that the media is not so biased afterall. The media picks up on the worthwhile issues and the personalities, and sometimes they sensationalise (well some media senationalise more than report), examines some topics closely, etc – so are they biased? Of course – and not. It's SUBJECTIVE.

    For HC, experience does count, but would it also mean she would have a higher tendency to override advice from her staffers, etc? For BO – without vision men perish – but is his inspiring personality sufficient?

    Democrats better recognise the Presidency is one who waves the flag but yet LISTENS to his/her staffers, the people and their pains/wishes, so it doesn't necessarily mean a fresh Senator or an old legacy cannot do well. You'll get clobbered by the Republicans if you don't wake up. BTW, since WHEN has a President EVER kept ALL his campaign promises? Get real.

    March 4, 2008 08:03 pm at 8:03 pm |
  25. josiah

    obama will keep winning and will be dem nominees.i will vote obama
    and obama for all.

    March 4, 2008 08:03 pm at 8:03 pm |
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