March 11th, 2008
08:00 PM ET
5 years ago

Caucus win gives Obama more Texas delegates than Clinton

 Obama won more delegates in Texas than Clinton.
Obama won more delegates in Texas than Clinton.

(CNN) - Illinois Sen. Barack Obama has won the Texas Democratic caucuses and will get more delegates out of the state than his rival, Sen. Hillary Clinton, who won the state's primary, according to CNN estimates.

Under the Texas Democratic Party's complex delegate selection plan, Texas voters participated in both a primary and caucuses on March 4. Two-thirds of the state's 193 delegates were at stake at the primary, while the remaining third were decided by the caucuses.

An additional 35 superdelegates were not tied to either contest. Clinton, of New York, defeated Obama in the primary by a 51-47 percent margin. But results of the caucuses were up in the air on election night and for several days afterward, due to state party rules that did not require local caucus officials to report their results to a centralized location.

Partial caucus results, representing 41 percent of all caucus precincts, showed Obama last week with 56 percent of the county-level delegates chosen at the caucuses to 44 percent for Clinton. The state party says it will not be able to provide a further breakdown of the caucus results from March 4.

After a comprehensive review of these results, CNN estimates that Obama won more support from Texas caucus-goers than Clinton. Based on the state party's tally, Obama's caucus victory translates into 38 national convention delegates, compared to 29 for Clinton.

And though Clinton won more delegates than Obama in the primary, 65 to 61, Obama's wider delegate margin in the caucuses gives him the overall statewide delegate lead, 99 to 94 - or once superdelegate endorsements are factored in, 109 to 106.

CNN's estimate is based on a statistical review, which combined the county-level results provided by the state party with data from the U.S. Census, exit polls and telephone surveys.

That analysis showed that the counties that reported data to the state party last week appear to be a representative cross-section of the Texas population. The analysis also indicates that areas that were won by Obama reported results at essentially the same rate as areas that were won by Clinton.

Every procedure used to statistically model the outcome of the caucuses indicated that Obama had more support than Clinton.

The next step in the delegate-selection process will occur on March 29, when the county-level delegates chosen at the March 4 caucuses will meet in county conventions held across the state. CNN will closely monitor those events and will adjust its delegate estimate for Obama and Clinton, if necessary, based on those results at that time.


Filed under: Texas
soundoff (145 Responses)
  1. Philip

    What wil be the next Clinton spin?
    - First more popular votes didn't matter;
    - More delegates, didn't matter;
    - Winning more states didn't matter;
    - Will it be now, that big states don't matter?

    March 11, 2008 08:57 pm at 8:57 pm |
  2. Yes, DIM

    Dear "Does It Matter",

    Your words were beautifully said.

    Obama 08

    March 11, 2008 08:57 pm at 8:57 pm |
  3. Chaz

    So Obama actually won in Texas

    Yes we can

    March 11, 2008 09:00 pm at 9:00 pm |
  4. maxine

    If Obama has more delegates in Texas, why isn't he considered the winner of texas? It was stated on NPR recently that whoever had won the most delegates would be in fact the winner of the state.

    What's with the stripes?

    Maxine Gold

    March 11, 2008 09:02 pm at 9:02 pm |
  5. Len

    So Obama won Texas too.
    lmao at Hillarious Clinton

    March 11, 2008 09:07 pm at 9:07 pm |
  6. Eloise

    Yes We Can!!!!

    WOW !!!!

    Our Lord Jesus Christ is blessing Barack Obama.

    Obama '08

    March 11, 2008 09:07 pm at 9:07 pm |
  7. Annamica, OH

    uchujin:

    Don't judge a book by it's cover. I am an activist, I am an on the ground volunteer for the Clinton campaign, so don't you dare judge me.

    CNN post this please, thanks.

    March 11, 2008 09:09 pm at 9:09 pm |
  8. ben Davie, Fl

    cnn you are almost as ridiculous as howard dean and the absurd texas caucus system. i cannot wait to support mccain if obama becomes the nominee.

    March 11, 2008 09:11 pm at 9:11 pm |
  9. Greg

    All that Media talk about how Team Hillary made such an admirable comeback is now proven grossly inaccurate.

    This proves that she LOST Texas (which she needed to win with a large margin).

    Considering that Hillary had double digit leads 2 weeks prior to voting in both Ohio and Texas, there is absolutely NO WAY she can say that she won that day. She lost Texas and she hung on for a 10% win in Ohio. That is a split decision by ANYONE'S rules.

    March 11, 2008 09:13 pm at 9:13 pm |
  10. Michael Guinn Ventura, CA

    As we've been saying since that night! OBAMA ON TEXAS. – As Hillary used to say- it's about "delegates"!

    March 11, 2008 09:16 pm at 9:16 pm |
  11. unfair

    This is simply not fair – how can obama feel good when he LOST THE POPULAR VOTE.

    the general election is not a caucus so how is Obama going to do well. this is a real concern

    March 11, 2008 09:16 pm at 9:16 pm |
  12. curtis in WI

    I was wondering if they were ever going to finish counting thos thing.

    March 11, 2008 09:17 pm at 9:17 pm |
  13. Cheryl

    YES WE CAN!!!!!!!!!!
    OBAMA '08

    March 11, 2008 09:19 pm at 9:19 pm |
  14. Obama 08

    Since Obama won tonight, this board she get ready for an onslaught of Obama haters.

    I'm tuning out, putting my feet up, and having a late night toddy.

    Go Obama 08

    March 11, 2008 09:20 pm at 9:20 pm |
  15. ds

    Hillary, keep your word and step down before you destroy your beloved party. Unlike Geraldine Ferraro, most of us do not believe that dirty politics-as-usual is helpful at this point–even if "that's the way our country is."

    March 11, 2008 09:24 pm at 9:24 pm |
  16. Rick, Flowery Branch GA

    OK, it's time for the Clinton clan to honor their words and pack up their bags and go home.
    Hello Hillary and Bill, the phone is ringing for you to get out of the race. Texas is lost or are you going to try and redefine losing?

    March 11, 2008 09:25 pm at 9:25 pm |
  17. R Cook

    CHANGE YOUR SCOREBOARD

    March 11, 2008 09:27 pm at 9:27 pm |
  18. Scott

    Why haven't we heard more of this? Why is CNN (not 10 minutes ago) still referring to "Hillary winning Texas" when they have this story on their own website?? Even so, I follow both candidates speaking fairly closely and neither of them reference this either. Now THAT is just weird.

    March 11, 2008 09:31 pm at 9:31 pm |
  19. Holly Maria

    As it should be, for the good of all mankind. Ha.

    March 11, 2008 09:31 pm at 9:31 pm |
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