March 18th, 2008
01:04 PM ET
3 years ago

Poll: Clinton has double digit lead in Pennsylvania

 Clinton holds the lead in Pennsylvania, a new poll suggests.
Clinton holds the lead in Pennsylvania, a new poll suggests.

WASHINGTON (CNN) - A Quinnipiac poll out Tuesday suggests Hillary Clinton holds a clear advantage over Barack Obama in Pennsylvania, the next crucial battleground in the prolonged fight for the Democratic nomination.

Clinton holds a 12-point lead over Obama in the state, 53 percent to 41 percent, according to the poll. The New York senator's lead is double what a similar poll showed in late February, though it is still less than the 18-point gap between the two candidates in a month ago.

Clinton's widest gains in the state are among white voters, who now back her over Obama by a margin of 28 points. That compares to a 19-point gap in the late February poll.

Obama has made gains among Pennsylvania African-Americans, but hasn't drawn the same level of support from them as he has in previous contests. According to the poll, Obama wins 76 percent of the black vote, up from 69 percent in late February. In most recent primary states, Obama's African-American support has hovered around 90 percent. The narrower margin may be due to Clinton's endorsement from Philadelphia's popular black mayor Michael Nutter.

When it comes to the prospect of a joint ticket between the two candidates, 32 percent of Pennsylvania Democrats say they prefer Clinton on the top of the ticket while 18 percent prefer Obama. But 43 percent say they don't want the two to run together.

The new poll is similar to other recent surveys. In a CNN analysis of three recent polls, including Quinnipiac's, Clinton holds an average lead of 13 points over Obama.

Both campaigns have attempted to set the expectations ahead of Pennsylvania's vote. Obama's campaign has repeatedly noted the state is only 1 of 10 remaining contests, while Clinton's campaign has said a win there will prove the New York senator can win crucial swing states in a general election.

– CNN Ticker Producer Alexander Mooney

soundoff (367 Responses)
  1. Delagate Corruption

    We all know Hillary had delagate votes stolen from here in Texas by Obama supporters...Penn State Be carefull and keep your eyes open for corruption in your voting process. Our present polititions do not have enough backbone to investigate and go after these offenders...many came from different states and entered caucusas under false pretense..

    March 18, 2008 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  2. Wendell

    Of course she holds the lead. It is my opinion that the Clinton campaign started this hole race card issue. I'm positive they won't take the blame. I will vote for the one in whom I believe will be honestg and truthful and bring this country together. Big business has run this country for to long. It's time the people took back controll of its own destiny one by one.

    March 18, 2008 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  3. Will from Gaithersburg, MD

    The information that Hillary is leading in the PA polls is not new. In fact, her campaign knew of her lead well before heading to the Wyoming and Mississippi primaries. So Hillary's "strategy" was to dismiss the WY and MS primaries where she had little chance of winning to focus on PA (where she was the clear front-runner).

    As in TX, Obama is going to chip away at her lead, and as time goes on, they might square with an even amount of delegates.

    March 18, 2008 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  4. SR

    Save your lying speech Obama. I don't forgive your own words: "hoodwinked" quoting Malcolm X, "scorched earth" and "slash and burn" referencing Gen. Sherman. You showed you were a racist BEFORE we learned you spent 20 years listening to Rev. Wright. Clinton in Pennsylvania first, then Clinton in N.C. !! !!!

    March 18, 2008 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  5. Sabrina, Las Vegas, NV

    CNN....

    After reading the post of some of your bloggers, I've come to the conclusion that they're just plain hateful. And, spewing their venom without regards to others, is simply ignorant. I also believe, that these same individuals, would not vote for a black man anyway. So, why even comment, it's simple, they want to make sure that the hostile environment of divide conquer continues.

    March 18, 2008 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  6. Jim B

    Obama's speeh was truly awesome. Listen to it before you judge.

    March 18, 2008 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  7. Gavin

    I AM NOT SUPRISED....CLINTON IS DOING A GREAT JOB

    barack obama on the other hand STILL AFTER TODAYS SPEECH will not reject his former preacher....

    HOW COULD OBAMA BE PART OF A CHURCH 20 YEARS AND "NOT KNOW THESE KIND OF COMMENTS WERE BEING MADE"

    obama has the poorest judgement I've ever seen in a candidate in a race like this.

    VOTING HILLARY CLINTON MAY 6th in INDIANA !!!!

    March 18, 2008 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  8. Ticket of HOPE:Obama Al-Gore

    No Wonder Iowa and Pennsilvanya are some of the poorest US states. They always make the wrong decisions.

    March 18, 2008 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  9. Bill

    The Dems are screwed Obama really has the nomination locked up.

    To bad this Pastor Wright revolation did not come earlier now you are stuck with unelectable nominie.

    March 18, 2008 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  10. Francie

    We do not want a racist in the White House. If this knowledge was not uncovered, Obama and Rev. Wright would be laughing all the way to the White House.

    Hillary Clinton/John Edwards 08

    or

    Hillary Clinton/Colin Powell 08

    March 18, 2008 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  11. Mike

    It is going to get bigger as Obama supporters wake up out of their hyped up hypnotic state and begin seeing this man for what he really is.

    March 18, 2008 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  12. Kevin

    RE: "The Public Policy poll that came out 3/17/08 has Senator Clinton over Senator Obama by 26% in Pennsylvania.

    If a blow-out like that happens, the dems will have to reconsider any Obama nomination."

    What I think you mean Joe G, is that the Superdelegates will have to reconsider. Obama will still have the lead in pledged delegates, even if she were to win by that margin in PA.

    So, do you think the Superdelegates should overturn the aggregate results of ALL states voting?

    March 18, 2008 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  13. Anonymous

    CURRENT POLLING SHOWS CLINTON AHEAD OF McCAIN....OBAMA TRAILING...WE CANNOT HAVE A NOMINEE LEADING THE PARTY WHO CAN ONLY WIN THE BLACK VOTE...ELITE WHITES...AND COLLEGES...A RECIPE FOR DEFEAT...100% OF NOTHING IS STILL NOTHING...OBAMA CANNOT BECOME THE NADER OF 2008...NOT RACISM...JUST REALITY...

    March 18, 2008 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  14. Kyle

    HIllary lead will widen even more. What alternative do we have as democrats. It is no longer the issue of Obama not having the experience but now he is also not the candidate to win the general election. He has showned to have horrific judgements when it comes to surrounding himself with people. The idea now of Obama in the whitehouse surrounding himself with advisors that will help him lead this nation frightens me to no ends. Who are the advisors? and will they be the same players as Rezko and Wright? HIllary is not only the true experienced candidate, I believe our party is very fortunate to have her as a candidate. Hillary for President!

    March 18, 2008 01:03 pm at 1:03 pm |
  15. aurelia-Canada

    Watch this lead shrink to a (-) after today... With that Amazing speech Barack gave today, every1 will know the true him and what a great leader he will be.
    He will be the Best president ever in US history.. and I can't wait to move to the States when he takes the oval office.

    Love u Obama and thanx for the speech.
    Yes!!!! we are all one.

    March 18, 2008 01:04 pm at 1:04 pm |
  16. Felton.."from around the way"

    ...DO THE MATH...IN ORDER FOR CLINTON TO TIE OBAMA, SHE WOULD HAVE TO GET 74% OF THE VOTE....NOT HAPPENING...SORRY CLINTONITES

    March 18, 2008 01:04 pm at 1:04 pm |
  17. James, Pennsylvania

    Hillary will win with more than 65% of the vote in PA now that everyone is getting a really good look at Obama's lies.

    March 18, 2008 01:04 pm at 1:04 pm |
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