March 18th, 2008
01:04 PM ET
3 years ago

Poll: Clinton has double digit lead in Pennsylvania

 Clinton holds the lead in Pennsylvania, a new poll suggests.
Clinton holds the lead in Pennsylvania, a new poll suggests.

WASHINGTON (CNN) - A Quinnipiac poll out Tuesday suggests Hillary Clinton holds a clear advantage over Barack Obama in Pennsylvania, the next crucial battleground in the prolonged fight for the Democratic nomination.

Clinton holds a 12-point lead over Obama in the state, 53 percent to 41 percent, according to the poll. The New York senator's lead is double what a similar poll showed in late February, though it is still less than the 18-point gap between the two candidates in a month ago.

Clinton's widest gains in the state are among white voters, who now back her over Obama by a margin of 28 points. That compares to a 19-point gap in the late February poll.

Obama has made gains among Pennsylvania African-Americans, but hasn't drawn the same level of support from them as he has in previous contests. According to the poll, Obama wins 76 percent of the black vote, up from 69 percent in late February. In most recent primary states, Obama's African-American support has hovered around 90 percent. The narrower margin may be due to Clinton's endorsement from Philadelphia's popular black mayor Michael Nutter.

When it comes to the prospect of a joint ticket between the two candidates, 32 percent of Pennsylvania Democrats say they prefer Clinton on the top of the ticket while 18 percent prefer Obama. But 43 percent say they don't want the two to run together.

The new poll is similar to other recent surveys. In a CNN analysis of three recent polls, including Quinnipiac's, Clinton holds an average lead of 13 points over Obama.

Both campaigns have attempted to set the expectations ahead of Pennsylvania's vote. Obama's campaign has repeatedly noted the state is only 1 of 10 remaining contests, while Clinton's campaign has said a win there will prove the New York senator can win crucial swing states in a general election.

– CNN Ticker Producer Alexander Mooney

soundoff (367 Responses)
  1. Adam

    Pennsylvania is ALL HILLARY!!

    March 18, 2008 10:55 am at 10:55 am |
  2. pittsburgh bob

    come on pa! can we please not screw this up like they did in Ohio!!

    obama in PA 08'

    March 18, 2008 10:58 am at 10:58 am |
  3. Anya

    there is another poll on PA just published by PPD . Clinton leads by 26%

    March 18, 2008 11:00 am at 11:00 am |
  4. Former Obama supporter

    Way to go Hillary!!!!!!!

    March 18, 2008 11:00 am at 11:00 am |
  5. Brian from Fort Mill, S.C.

    If Obama can just close the gap, then he can get away with losing Pennsylvania. My guess is that he will do just that. He needs to get within 10 points of Hillary.

    Hillary won Ohio, Texas and Rhode Island, and only gained about 7 delegates. And then she lost more than that in superdelegates. In the meantime, Obama only won Vermont, and gained the same 7 delegates.

    Sucks, doesn't it, Hillary?

    March 18, 2008 11:01 am at 11:01 am |
  6. B

    Excellent. I bet she'll widen the lead even more after Obama's speech on "Race in Politics" digs his own grave a little deeper.

    Hillary '08

    March 18, 2008 11:01 am at 11:01 am |
  7. Millicent

    Please explain to me why CNN just cut Senator Obama off when he was speaking about his parents. This is the problem with CNN and the media. That was very disrespectful. You only present information that you want viewers and listeners to hear. Who are you to decide what we should and should not hear???!!!

    March 18, 2008 11:02 am at 11:02 am |
  8. jfs Memhis, Tn

    Not after today...........and certainly not if Sen. Clinton's taxes and White House papers are released. She needs to get busy now that she's in the lead. She should have plenty of time to pull together the info that all the other candidates have made available. Probably wouldn't hurt to see who the big contributors were on the Clinton Library while we are at it. You'd think that they would see that the DNC doesn't want the Clinton's.....to high maintenance. GET BUSY HILLARY..now that you and your supporters have almost ruined one of the biggest political figures since JFK.....how selfish girl.

    March 18, 2008 11:02 am at 11:02 am |
  9. JP SW

    Now he admits he knew all along about Wright's views. Obama you are a menace to this country and a liar.

    Keep talking, Obama. Oh, yes, you do have our attention!

    March 18, 2008 11:02 am at 11:02 am |
  10. Kim, PA

    obama is a liar. he just noted he DID hear the pastor say foul things over the years. In the CNN interviews he said he never did.

    LIAR!@@@@@@@@@THE PULPIT!!!!!!!

    March 18, 2008 11:03 am at 11:03 am |
  11. Donna

    I'm not sure how stupid the candiates think the American public is, but I am very well aware that Obama is black and Clinton is female. Now, can we discuss their standing on the issues such as economics of this country, energy, the Irac war, healthcare and border security?
    As for these two on the same ticket.........do we really want the campaign bickering to last for the next 4 years when they should be taking care of the buisness of running this country?????

    March 18, 2008 11:04 am at 11:04 am |
  12. tim

    this is a biggest race at all time, why 90% of african support Obama, if he is that good then we all have to vote for him now.

    now white people can speak up and vote...

    Tim

    March 18, 2008 11:05 am at 11:05 am |
  13. Jack

    Polls taken 5 weeks before are POINTLESS to discuss now.

    Whites in PA will vote for Hillary and blacks in PA will overwhelmingly vote for Obama.... no shock there.

    What we should be talking about is Obama's liability as a general election candidate in the three big swing states of Ohio, FL, and Pennsylvania

    March 18, 2008 11:05 am at 11:05 am |
  14. JP SW

    Gee, we should be voting to put the REVEREND Wright in the White House. You can not represent of bring together all the people of this country.

    How did we come to this. SHAME

    March 18, 2008 11:06 am at 11:06 am |
  15. George

    Go Hillary, you are the right and ready candidate for out party and this great nation. We are ready for you to put experience and proven interllect to work for all Americans. Hillary 08.

    March 18, 2008 11:06 am at 11:06 am |
  16. Adam FL

    Lets go Hillary!! Win big out there in PA

    March 18, 2008 11:07 am at 11:07 am |
  17. La Petite Sorciere

    her fear and smear tactics, and the racist tactis work every time, this is how Bush has this country where we are now. Hope PA wakes up, she is but the worst this country could hope for. Shame on you Hillary

    Elect Billary elect Bush

    NO more Clintons..

    March 18, 2008 11:07 am at 11:07 am |
  18. maya

    And because of Obama's lack of judgment, this lead will only widen and make Hillary the better choice for 2008! Please everyone- we need to get behind Hillary the more viable candidate asap so the Dems can move forward against McCain.

    March 18, 2008 11:08 am at 11:08 am |
  19. Wayne, Greenville TX

    There's still a lot of time before the PA primary – time for either candidate to screw up.

    I'm betting that the next screw-up will come from the Clinton campaign......

    March 18, 2008 11:08 am at 11:08 am |
  20. Jim Kansas

    Clinton in 08

    March 18, 2008 11:08 am at 11:08 am |
  21. Shane, NY

    PA doesn't matter in the big sheme of things. NC is going for Obama.

    March 18, 2008 11:08 am at 11:08 am |
  22. interesting

    Keep it climbing.

    Hillary 2008

    March 18, 2008 11:08 am at 11:08 am |
  23. Tod

    "OUR GIRL" !

    HILL YEAH!

    March 18, 2008 11:08 am at 11:08 am |
  24. emmie

    I am not against a woman for President, I just don't think that Hillary Clinton is the right woman for the job. Thank you

    March 18, 2008 11:09 am at 11:09 am |
  25. yemiray

    I think the Clinton's strategy is now working effectively.
    That is to introduce the race issue and separate whites from blacks just to win an election..
    When will this country divisons ever embrace each other and overcome individual political ambitions??..so sad..

    March 18, 2008 11:10 am at 11:10 am |
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15