March 18th, 2008
01:04 PM ET
3 years ago

Poll: Clinton has double digit lead in Pennsylvania

 Clinton holds the lead in Pennsylvania, a new poll suggests.
Clinton holds the lead in Pennsylvania, a new poll suggests.

WASHINGTON (CNN) - A Quinnipiac poll out Tuesday suggests Hillary Clinton holds a clear advantage over Barack Obama in Pennsylvania, the next crucial battleground in the prolonged fight for the Democratic nomination.

Clinton holds a 12-point lead over Obama in the state, 53 percent to 41 percent, according to the poll. The New York senator's lead is double what a similar poll showed in late February, though it is still less than the 18-point gap between the two candidates in a month ago.

Clinton's widest gains in the state are among white voters, who now back her over Obama by a margin of 28 points. That compares to a 19-point gap in the late February poll.

Obama has made gains among Pennsylvania African-Americans, but hasn't drawn the same level of support from them as he has in previous contests. According to the poll, Obama wins 76 percent of the black vote, up from 69 percent in late February. In most recent primary states, Obama's African-American support has hovered around 90 percent. The narrower margin may be due to Clinton's endorsement from Philadelphia's popular black mayor Michael Nutter.

When it comes to the prospect of a joint ticket between the two candidates, 32 percent of Pennsylvania Democrats say they prefer Clinton on the top of the ticket while 18 percent prefer Obama. But 43 percent say they don't want the two to run together.

The new poll is similar to other recent surveys. In a CNN analysis of three recent polls, including Quinnipiac's, Clinton holds an average lead of 13 points over Obama.

Both campaigns have attempted to set the expectations ahead of Pennsylvania's vote. Obama's campaign has repeatedly noted the state is only 1 of 10 remaining contests, while Clinton's campaign has said a win there will prove the New York senator can win crucial swing states in a general election.

– CNN Ticker Producer Alexander Mooney

soundoff (367 Responses)
  1. Edgardo

    PA is a win for HILLARY! I'm glad! Let's move on to Indiana, N. Carolina and Puerto Rico. I can't wait to finish this and proclaim HILLARY as the candidate for the Democratic Party. She deserve to win, she is ready on Day One.

    March 18, 2008 12:41 pm at 12:41 pm |
  2. leslie

    Senator Obama's speech today was history making. He was powerful and forth coming. PA is just one state in the race. She should win this state with every offical backing her and I wish her luck. However, Obama will be our next President.

    March 18, 2008 12:42 pm at 12:42 pm |
  3. Emporia, Kansas

    After hearing Obama say that he has never heard Wright say racist things...(what a liar)... I'm voting for Hillary!

    March 18, 2008 12:42 pm at 12:42 pm |
  4. Kent in West Dallas, Texas

    Listen people. Obama didn't lie. He stated before that he hadn't heard those particular comments that are being played. He said today that he has heard other comments.

    Boy I tell you, people only hear what they wanna hear!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    March 18, 2008 12:43 pm at 12:43 pm |
  5. Jerry

    Pennsylvania, and the rest of the nation, here is the bottom line. If Hillary wins, me and most of my friends vote for McCain. If Obama wins, then we vote for Obama. Wake up, Democrats, or you lose again.

    March 18, 2008 12:43 pm at 12:43 pm |
  6. Huh?

    I hope Hillary pulls out a big victory in PA.

    I don't like Obama. I am not exactly sure why. He says a lot of words... but "they are just words." When he loses the democratic nomination perhaps we will see him on an infomercial trying to sell a nice piece of swamp land to us poor unsuspecting folks.

    March 18, 2008 12:43 pm at 12:43 pm |
  7. aliou salam

    lead to where? Even if she wins the rest of the delegates, she is gone. She should move out of the race right now.

    March 18, 2008 12:43 pm at 12:43 pm |
  8. Deceitful

    Hillary will never receive my vote. Go Obama!

    March 18, 2008 12:43 pm at 12:43 pm |
  9. Lisa

    THANK THE LORD.....

    GO HILLARY..... GO.........

    At least the people in Ohio and Pa. use the brains God Gave Them.

    GO HILLARY GO........

    Lisa

    March 18, 2008 12:44 pm at 12:44 pm |
  10. G

    PS....If you are intending to vote for OBAMA in the Primary......Remember to register yourself as a democrat before March 24th! Make Your Voice heard!
    OBAMA 08

    March 18, 2008 12:44 pm at 12:44 pm |
  11. citizen

    Obama is a damaged goods!

    March 18, 2008 12:44 pm at 12:44 pm |
  12. STEPatriotHeroEN

    There has been a Clinton or Bush in the White House since 1981, time to put some new blood in there.

    March 18, 2008 12:44 pm at 12:44 pm |
  13. Alice in Fort Myers

    Maybe Obama should run for President of Kenya – his loyalties seem to lie more with Africa than this country, which gave him and his wife a lot of advantages that they don't seem to appreciate much.....

    March 18, 2008 12:45 pm at 12:45 pm |
  14. Jim B

    President Obama. We salute you.

    March 18, 2008 12:46 pm at 12:46 pm |
  15. E

    In this particulary difficult time for America's politics and economy, Hillary is the answer

    Hillary 08

    March 18, 2008 12:46 pm at 12:46 pm |
  16. M

    Is there a way they can both lose!?!?!? They will eat each other's lunch and have nothing left for November!!! This country can't afford to be weak, scared, timid, and full of empty promises right now!!!

    MAC in 08'!!!!!!!

    March 18, 2008 12:46 pm at 12:46 pm |
  17. NoWayBama

    The blank sides of Obama are starting to get filled in and I am so proud to be a TRUE AMERICAN who loves my country and supports a TRUE AMERICAN AND BELEIVES IN MY GOD !!

    GO HILLARY !!!!

    March 18, 2008 12:46 pm at 12:46 pm |
  18. Mk

    At what point in this election has their been any doubt that Clinton would win Pennsylvania? Once again, the media reports the irrelevant and ignores the important.

    March 18, 2008 12:47 pm at 12:47 pm |
  19. LA, CA

    Go Hillary! Take us back to prosperity and hope.

    March 18, 2008 12:47 pm at 12:47 pm |
  20. truth 08 time

    smart pennsylvanians know a strong leader when they see one, obama! he is the under dog in pennsylvania now, but that will change, its still a month and a half away! obama 08!

    March 18, 2008 12:47 pm at 12:47 pm |
  21. Foxhole Athsiest

    Obama's speech today should help.
    Obama 08

    March 18, 2008 12:47 pm at 12:47 pm |
  22. Rosie

    She even can win PA, but still it does not mean that she can win the presidency in Novemeber. Many people are ready to vote for Nader if she is tha nominee.

    March 18, 2008 12:48 pm at 12:48 pm |
  23. Frank in Missouri

    So ? Obama is campaigning and has a chance to close that gap.

    At the end Clinton will celebrate a marginal victory as the 'big upset' as she did in Texas and Ohio. Nothing new when she wins a state – and that has not happened very often, has it ?

    March 18, 2008 12:48 pm at 12:48 pm |
  24. AMP

    Rockymo.............have you ever seen maggie Williams. You guys are clueless! The low blows are coming from the Obama camp and the RNC operatives within!

    March 18, 2008 12:48 pm at 12:48 pm |
  25. dAnnE

    Obama did not admit to lying...He said that he has heard things that could be considered controversial and he strongly disagreed with them. You criticize Jeremiah Wright for being angry and Anti-American, but I have heard a lot more HATRED written in these comments.

    March 18, 2008 12:48 pm at 12:48 pm |
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