March 18th, 2008
01:04 PM ET
3 years ago

Poll: Clinton has double digit lead in Pennsylvania

 Clinton holds the lead in Pennsylvania, a new poll suggests.
Clinton holds the lead in Pennsylvania, a new poll suggests.

WASHINGTON (CNN) - A Quinnipiac poll out Tuesday suggests Hillary Clinton holds a clear advantage over Barack Obama in Pennsylvania, the next crucial battleground in the prolonged fight for the Democratic nomination.

Clinton holds a 12-point lead over Obama in the state, 53 percent to 41 percent, according to the poll. The New York senator's lead is double what a similar poll showed in late February, though it is still less than the 18-point gap between the two candidates in a month ago.

Clinton's widest gains in the state are among white voters, who now back her over Obama by a margin of 28 points. That compares to a 19-point gap in the late February poll.

Obama has made gains among Pennsylvania African-Americans, but hasn't drawn the same level of support from them as he has in previous contests. According to the poll, Obama wins 76 percent of the black vote, up from 69 percent in late February. In most recent primary states, Obama's African-American support has hovered around 90 percent. The narrower margin may be due to Clinton's endorsement from Philadelphia's popular black mayor Michael Nutter.

When it comes to the prospect of a joint ticket between the two candidates, 32 percent of Pennsylvania Democrats say they prefer Clinton on the top of the ticket while 18 percent prefer Obama. But 43 percent say they don't want the two to run together.

The new poll is similar to other recent surveys. In a CNN analysis of three recent polls, including Quinnipiac's, Clinton holds an average lead of 13 points over Obama.

Both campaigns have attempted to set the expectations ahead of Pennsylvania's vote. Obama's campaign has repeatedly noted the state is only 1 of 10 remaining contests, while Clinton's campaign has said a win there will prove the New York senator can win crucial swing states in a general election.

– CNN Ticker Producer Alexander Mooney

soundoff (367 Responses)
  1. LC

    Five weeks is a long time and I would not hold my breath on a Clinton landslide...more like a squeaker.

    March 18, 2008 12:15 pm at 12:15 pm |
  2. Alllen

    Can't keep a Clinton down!
    Go Hillary God Hillary.

    Keep digging Obama!

    March 18, 2008 12:15 pm at 12:15 pm |
  3. Jay from San Diego

    To Christain

    Yes he will take the oath with a bible!!!

    He is not muslim, that is a false claim, that he has stated. He actually used the Bible to be sworn in as a senator. The photo that is cirulating is when he was leaving the stage. That is why his back is to it.

    March 18, 2008 12:15 pm at 12:15 pm |
  4. Vic

    Based on Obama's campaign of the last two weeks, and his speech this morning concerning his continuing relationship with his divisive pastor, Hillary's lead will continue to grow, not only in PA but in primaries to come.

    March 18, 2008 12:15 pm at 12:15 pm |
  5. Mike in Houston

    Unless Hillary's margin of victory over Obama is greater than 32% it won't matter; as the delegate lead that Obama already has will be sufficient to win the nomination.

    That said, Hillary should thank Rev. Wright's racism and bigotry for galvanizing her campaign.

    However, her growing support says something about her supporters as well.

    March 18, 2008 12:15 pm at 12:15 pm |
  6. charlie in Philly

    She won't get my vote. We need a leader and not a follower.

    March 18, 2008 12:15 pm at 12:15 pm |
  7. Raum

    This isn't just about Obama, Hillary, or McCain.

    This was a very relevant speech and speaks of America at its very core. It doesn't matter who you support to appreciate this speech.

    This isn't just about Wright or Ferraro, its about race in America.

    God Bless America! We truly have the opprotunity to make it better.

    March 18, 2008 12:16 pm at 12:16 pm |
  8. Susan, PA

    Double-digit lead, yes......but it's shrinking with each new poll!

    Where are those tax returns, Hillary? Any other records you care to share? Oh, that's right, you're busy. What a crock.

    March 18, 2008 12:16 pm at 12:16 pm |
  9. Ben

    Hate to break it to you folks, but she's gonna have to win by WAY more than that to significantly cut into Obama's delegate lead. Obama has won states by far larger margins than that. He'll probably win by enough in NC to cancel out her gains after PA.

    March 18, 2008 12:17 pm at 12:17 pm |
  10. NanaB

    Can someone explain to me WHY they are excited about Hillary(Other than simply not liking Obama)?
    I've been trying to get behind her, but I just can't get it.....anyone?

    March 18, 2008 12:17 pm at 12:17 pm |
  11. korn

    CNN NEED TO LOOK AT PPP

    IT"S CLINTON 56

    OBAMA 30

    UNDECIDE 14

    PPP IS ONE OF THE MOST ACCURATE POLL AS THEY DID IN TX AND OH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    March 18, 2008 12:17 pm at 12:17 pm |
  12. William

    Is obama dumb? He knew this stuff about his preacher was out there and he is still a member of this church. Talk about naive. How the hell did he expect to win a general election.

    March 18, 2008 12:18 pm at 12:18 pm |
  13. JP

    Go Hillary!!!

    Vote for Hillary and we LOVE America!!

    God Bless America!!

    March 18, 2008 12:18 pm at 12:18 pm |
  14. Slick

    Is a pstor any worse than a husband? Her husband lied in court and had cheated the American public by doing so. Yet he gets condemned for what a church leader says???

    Clintons are sleeze-both of them, Have YOU forgotten?

    March 18, 2008 12:18 pm at 12:18 pm |
  15. Toeknee

    Hillary number 1 now that Obama has shot himself in the foot. I hope you do not ask him to be your Vice President now.

    Goooo Hillary 2008 !!!

    March 18, 2008 12:18 pm at 12:18 pm |
  16. Edward castro

    I like Hillary than Obama period.

    March 18, 2008 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm |
  17. Xavier, Washington, DC

    Ummm. While it is true that Senator Clinton is up by 12 points, I think the bigger story is that her lead has dropped by 6 points and Obama really hasn't started campaigning in the state yet. He has over a month to close the gap. After today's speech, I suspect her lead will shrink even more.

    March 18, 2008 12:20 pm at 12:20 pm |
  18. jmw

    She won't be leading for long after that speech Barack just gave. I can't express enough my admiration for the man. He just gave the best speech I have ever heard and there are tears in my eyes.

    March 18, 2008 12:20 pm at 12:20 pm |
  19. Mike in Houston

    Let's face it. Hillary Clinton is the best thing to happen to the Republican party since Howard Dean's scream.

    March 18, 2008 12:20 pm at 12:20 pm |
  20. Mac

    After hereing what Obama's pastor said, he lost my vote. I new this was to good to be true. If a pastor would say such things, what does the average black person think. White America wake up.

    March 18, 2008 12:20 pm at 12:20 pm |
  21. Celia Ann

    There are 5 weeks to go before Pennsylvania. The gap is closing as we speak!!!

    March 18, 2008 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  22. GO HILL!!!!!

    YAY!!!!!!!!!
    YOU GO GIRL!!!!!!!!!
    This country needs a WOMAN'S TOUCH RIGHT NOW!!!!!!!!!

    March 18, 2008 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  23. linda

    What church does Mc Cain and Clinton belong? Do they attend a particular church on a regular basis and do they have a favorite religious leader? Just curious!!

    March 18, 2008 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  24. barbara ginsburg

    Go Hillary....we love you in PA!!!!!!

    March 18, 2008 12:22 pm at 12:22 pm |
  25. Victoria

    After listening to Obama's speech, I'm still routing for Hillary. She still is the more EXPERIENCED candidate. Obama had no choice but to
    speak on the racial issue regarding Reverend Wright's outlandish comments! In my opinion, Hillary is still the better candidate for being
    "Commander in Chief"!

    March 18, 2008 12:22 pm at 12:22 pm |
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15