(CNN) - Hillary Clinton holds a 9 point lead over Barack Obama in the crucial state of Pennsylvania, a margin that is slightly narrower than that found in a similar poll released earlier this month.
In the just released Quinnipiac University Poll, Clinton draws 50 percent of support from likely Democratic voters in the state while Obama gets 41 percent. In a similar poll taken two weeks ago, Clinton was at 53 percent and Obama was at 41 percent.
The poll was conducted March 24-31 and carries a margin of error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points. It comes days after popular Pennsylvania Sen. Bob Casey endorsed Obama - though most of the poll was conducted before that announcement.The poll also shows a large split among white and black voters in the state - Clinton is winning the votes of nearly 6 in 10 white Democrats while Obama is drawing three quarters of the black vote.
The two also remain strong with constituencies that have favored them in past states: Clinton is doing well with women and older voters while Obama is strong with young voters. The two are approximately even among males.
A convincing win in Pennsylvania is seen as crucial for Clinton as she seeks to end the primary season with enough momentum to swing the majority of undecided superdelegates her way.
With an electorate that seems to favor Clinton, the Obama campaign has consistently lowered its expectations there, though it is heavily outspending her on television advertising.
– CNN Ticker Producer Alexander Mooney
I thinks the poll is telling to the lies Billary has been informing the American people for so long about her so called experiance and running from gun fire. I was for Billary until I got news that she turned out to be a lierrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr..............! Just like her husband, " I never had sexually relations with that woman" What about the two ladies that came out and said he was chatting with them too?
Sorry, I mean "misstatments".
Reply to Jordan, San Marcos, TX:
Depending on how much she wins PA by, it might only be like kicking a field goal.
This poll shows the world that Pennsylvania is not really what we all thought she was: a bunch of white Rev. Wrights... Maybe PA is ready to move forward with 21st Century. I know the young and the educated are. Only Obama can make real change. Hillary is liar. How can you trust a liar?
Reaity check... Feb 15th the numbers were as follows...
Clinton 977 pledged delegates 243 superdelgates giving her a 1220 delegate total.
Obama 1096 pledged delegates and 157 superdelegates for a 1253 delgate total and a lead of 33 delegates.
As of March 31st the numbers were as follows:
Clinton 1243 pledged delegates still at 243 superdelgates giving her a 1486 delegate total.
Obama 1414 pledged delegates and 212 superdelegates for a 1626 delgate total and a lead of 140 delegates.
Facts are facts... Hillary is falling further and further behind and the odds of her catching up so long that it's Mission Impossible. She'd have to win all the remaining primaries by a min of 10 points which isn't going to happen and then get 75% of the remaining uncommitted superdelegates which isn't going to happen.
All Obama needs is to finish at where the current polls have him and pick up another 77 superdelegates from the remaining 332 uncommitted superdelegates.
Hillary's only hope is for a Gov Spitzer like scandle to befall Obama... Short of that.. She's toast! Stick a fork in it Hillary.. You're Done!!!
Some of you people need to take a statistics course.
Yes, constantly spun in favor of Obama! However, while the media continues to proclaim Hillary cannot win over and over they fail to mention that Obama cannot win either! It is IMPOSSIBLE for either to have enough delegates to secure the nomination. It is a fact, the nomination will be decided by the superdelegates!! Anyone see Lou Dobbs last night?? The first person on CNN to raise the issue of the nauseating bias of the American media toward the Obama campaign! One person on this network has my respect, regardless of who he supports, because he acknowledges the truth that is prevalent.
Obama / Wright 08 !
Calm down people. This is only about Democrats and not about winning the General Election. So don't get your hopes up because Obama is supposedly catching up.in the PA polls. Hillary can still win the Nomination.
However, it doesn't matter the Democrats will lose in November.
3 reasons (1) No plans, costly plans and too radical for the American Voter.
Neither Obama nor Clinton are acceptable to the Middle America that actually pays taxes and supports our Country and it's brave soldiers.
hillary supporters keep bashing obama- her numbers are gonna continue to plummet as the folks in pa, realize they have been lied to, when she releases her tax returns, its over for her!
Please all step away from your computers and get a life. This back and forth is starting to soud like a Junior High school election.
Barack Obama will be the next Presdent
That doesn't surprise me, people are going to see Hillary for what she really is.
This is just amazing how much attention can get a man with a loud voice. Nothing else but a loud voice.
As of today, Senator Clinton holds a ten point lead.
The one that has her by 12 is considered the best.
CNN Paid for by Barak Obama.
The Obamabarians have broken through the gates and are raiding Clinton Country.
Neither the racist nor the communist will win. Plus, they are nothing but a pair of liers with false promises.
It is expected that the polls will narrow as it gets closer to election day.
The media makes it sound like Clinton has lost before the people vote. Remember that these polls are conducted with a small percent of the registered voters. The media makes it seem that when Obama wins a state that he can take that state in the genreal election. The majority of times, Obama has won by a slight margin. There were still hundreds of thousands of people in these states who voted for Clinton. Let the voters decide. The Media should give Both sides an Equal chance. The Press is suppose to Report the news not try to influence the outcome by their opinions.
Obama has the power to unite the party, all he has to do is drop out and support Hillary. Be uniter Obama, do the right thing.
Uh-oh.... the Clintonites and the Republicans are starting to feel the heat.
Here comes that Obama steam train, its on a roll,.... here it comes!!!!
Yes we can. Yes we can.Yes we can.
A vote for Obama is the same as a vote for McCain.
Great job! Pennsylvania. Keep up the good work! The world is waiting to see how progressive you are; that you can hear the voices of your children cry for change. Don't take their hope away from them. Vote for Obama. He's the only one who can make real change. Hillary is a liar. How can you trust a liar?
stick a fork in it HIllary, it's over...take your narrow win in Pennsylvania and bask in your short lived glory and then pick up the phone and congratulate Obama on his victory over you!!!! Bye Hun, muah!
Why is everyone acting suprised at the Clinton's behavior?
Remember former Clinton bankroller David Geffen's quotes from over a year ago...
He called Bill a "reckless guy".
He called Hillary an "incredibly polarizing figure.".
He concluded, "Everybody in politics lies, but they [the Clintons] do it with such ease, it's troubling,"
Geffen was among the first in establishing the primary dynamic of this campaign, Clinton staffers and supporters abandoning the Billary Bandwagon in disgust. So it will continue for another three months.