(CNN) - Oregon Rep. David Wu said Thursday he will cast his superdelegate vote for Barack Obama.
"I think we are blessed to have two strong candidates for president," Wu said in a statement released by Obama's campaign. "I am endorsing Barack Obama for president today because I believe that he is best suited to turn the page on this sorry episode in American history. He and I both had the judgment to oppose the Iraq War from the very beginning.
Wu, a five term congressman, is one of the party's nearly 800 superdelegates who will ultimately decide who gets the Democratic presidential nomination. He is the second Oregon superdelegate to endorse Obama ahead of the state's May 20 primary - Rep. Earl Blumenauer endorsed the Illinois senator earlier in the year.
Clinton also has two Oregon superdelegates in her camp - Gov. Ted Kulongoski and Rep. Darlene Hooley.
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I have gathered some numbers based on the democratic primary to show what will happen in November if Obama is the nominee.
The democratic primary is different as it shares delegates based on percentage but in the general election it is winner takes all in each state. Each state won is that many delegates to winning the overall count. So if we treat the democratic primary just like the general election this is what we are looking at against McCain.
I have taken each state that has won by Obama or Clinton and given all the delegates of that state to the majority winner. I even gave Obama all the upcoming states and made him the winner giving him the delegates from them. I did not include Florida or Michigan to avoid any argument. This includes Guam and others that are counted in the democratic primary. This is only actually won states and future states given to Obama:
Obama won 37 "states"
Hillary won 17 "states"
However in a general election setting:
Obama delegate count: 1486
Hillary delegate count: 1750
If you count Florida and Michigan which Hillary won and polls show that even if Obama campaigned in those states Hillary would have won them at that time:
Obama delegate count: 1486
Hillary delegate count: 2118
If we gave Florida to Obama and Michigan to Hillary as polls suggest a primary today would give them:
Obama delegate count: 1692
Hillary delegate count: 1907
The bottom line is that Hillary has won in a general election model based on primaries of the democratic party and even giving Obama all the next primary states coming up. The reason Hillary won is she won all the big states practically? These states are historically won by the Republican party as to why Bush beat Kerry in 2004. Therefore if Obama cannot win the big states that Republicans tend to win he has no chance against McCain in the general election. Hillary has the only chance of being a democratic president in 2008.
So do you want a Republican in office or do you want a Democrat? The choice is clear who is more electable in November.
Rick in Oregon
If you drive around any population base in Oregon (I live in Portland) you will literally see 100 Obama yard signs and bumper stickers to 1 for Clinton. Call it a "yard poll" but the sentiment here is strongly for Obama.
Oh Wolf, please have John do the magic board today.....so the clinton campaign can see that right now if you include the votes from these states, he still leads with over 100,000 in the popular vote (florida obama count and the uncommitted michigan count) and with NC coming and he'll probably will half of the remaining states, she will still be behind…..her camaign staff needs to tell her this, so she can come up with another strategy to "steal" the nomination…..
Thank you Wu!
Obama for President!
For all i care, Hillary is on an ego trip. Obama already has an unsurmountable lead in pledged delegates. Even if she wins the remaining 9 contests, she'll still be behind in the delegate count. People all forget that even the Super delegates can change their minds, and i see no way Clinton can win this fairly.
Its better the Superdelegates come together now and salvage any hopes left for the Democratic party.
Who cares.!
Go Hillary 2008!
Thank you David!!!
Oregon is for Obama!
They (SD) are finally making choices. Maybe they will all come out of where they are hidding and decide, NOW, who they are endorsing. We really need to end this thing before it is at a point where either one stand a chance against McCain in Nov.
"captaindollar April 24th, 2008 2:13 pm ET
IT'S A WASTED ENDORSEMENT —-HILLARY IS GOING TO WIN —OBAMA IS ON THE DOWNWARD SPIRAL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!"
Shouting like this won't make her win...sounds like denial to me...
OBAMA 08/12
It seems the superD's are saying "HRC enough is enough".
let wait and see how she will lose handily in oregon all i pray is for people to open their eyes and see the true colour of hrc she and her family cant stop the change that americans want, someone that says loybist represent the real american, then i wonder how some fools are still voting for her when if she get elected lobyist cant allow the univ health care, gas price, etc.. to happen, and some fools are still voting for her. since the history of all the president that lobyist represent have any thing change. open ur eyes hillary fools.
Big thanks Rep wu
One more idiot!
To NY (comment at 1:29) and all others who respond to these stories that are so nicely coming int at a rate of 1 or 2 per day, there is a difference between ENDORSMENTS and SUPER DELEGATE COMMITMENTS.
Yes, endorsements don't count for much. Super D's on the other hand count for more than anything else right now.
I love watching Hillary Haters whine like its gonna make a bit of difference..her win in PA means nothing. And to all the Hillary supporters still talking that "we'll vote McCain" trash. Do you think for one minute that Obama supporters will support Hillary??...
So.............what is this guy "clinging" to Mr. Richardson? Possibly an unrealistic belief that the guy he's supporting can actually get to the White House? Maybe race? I guess when you're on Obama's side, everybody has to cling to something............
Good news, Happy news, Joyous news. A bold step in right direction. Hillary is not Clinton. She has come this far only because of Bill Clinton. I bet Monica is getting jeolous. Hillary Rodhom would not have gotten even one State. Obama is the man of this century as Bill Clinton was the man of 20th century. There comes a great man from every nation every race every religion at least once. This time it is no one but Obama.
v.ananthan April 24th, 2008 2:12 pm ET
Obama avoids debates
NO...OBAMA AVOIDS DRAMA AND NEGATIVITY...THAT'S SOMETHING YOU HILLARY PEOPLE ARE TOO IGNORANT TO RECOGNIZE.
Rep. Wu – welcome aboard. Good to see another strong democrat stand up and say he's tired of Hillary's negative, divisive politics.
Just one of many Oregonians who "get it" and will let the rest of the nation know that Oregon is "Obama Country" on May 20.
Obama '08!
Gov. Ted and Rep. Darlene can switch to Obama later on. Guess everyone makes a mistake sooner or later.
A coalition of Asian, Hispanic, Black, White....this is the American I am proud of and this is represenative of the world we live in and the direction we should be heading towards!
drip, drip, trickle, trickle....there goes another! Welcome to a UNITED campaign agenda.
Whoo Wu! Thanks
Obama supporters are always the first to jump on the blogging bandwagon, in droves. Why is that? Could it be that you have something to prove? You can talk all you want and say anything you want but the truth of the matter is, those of us who support Hillary Clinton don't really care what you think of her.
We will see what happens in August, won't we?
Even if he takes the nomination unfairly (because he is standing in the way of the florida and michigan voters being heard) Obama will not be our next president.
Hillary Clinton is by far the strongest candidate in this race.
But if not HIllary, then Mccain. You can count on that.
Another politician who will look a fool real shortly.
Hillary or McCain '08! NEVER OBAMA!!!
Wasted vote.Hillary Clinto is much better.