May 1st, 2008
02:27 PM ET
7 years ago

Blitzer: Should Clinton's swing state edge be a factor?

 Blitzer: Could new polls sway some superdelegates?
Blitzer: Could new polls sway some superdelegates?

WASHINGTON (CNN) – There are new polls suggesting Hillary Clinton might fare better against John McCain in three key Electoral College battleground states in November than Barack Obama. These are states the two parties will be fighting over desperately in the general election – Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania.

The polls are snapshots and are certainly not conclusive evidence that she would in fact be a more formidable candidate against McCain in those states than Obama. A lot, of course, can change between now and November. But the polls are significant because they could influence those still-undecided superdelegates – and perhaps even some decided superdelegates who can change their minds.

The Quinnipiac University poll shows Clinton is currently ahead of McCain in Florida, 49 percent to 41 percent. In the same poll, McCain is statistically tied with Obama, 44 percent to 43 percent.

In Ohio, the poll shows Clinton ahead of McCain, 48 percent to 38 percent. McCain is statistically tied with Obama, 43 percent to 42 percent.

In Pennsylvania, Clinton is ahead of McCain, 51 percent to 37 percent. Obama is also ahead of McCain in this state, but by a slightly smaller margin - 47 percent to 38 percent.

As you know, Clinton defeated Obama by about ten points in both Ohio and Pennsylvania. In Florida, there was no campaigning because the state had moved up its primary against Democratic Party rules. But all the candidates’ names were on the ballots, and Clinton won decisively.

Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania will see a lot of campaigning in the months ahead. McCain is already spending lots of time there – as he should if he wants to be president. So should these latest polls be a serious factor in the minds of superdelegates?


Filed under: Wolf Blitzer
soundoff (325 Responses)
  1. Ed

    Yes, yes, yes!!!!

    May 1, 2008 05:33 pm at 5:33 pm |
  2. Marilyn

    Hillary Clinton has the experience America desperately needs to bring the country round and back on track. I believe the Rev. Wright issue will not go away and will infact make the Democrats lose in the General Election come November. Barak Obama has only distanced himself from his pastor because his campaign knew that the remarks made by Rev. Wright were damaging to the Obama campaign. Barak Obama is a part of the liberation movement which not only involves his church but that of the muslim Farakhan as well. There seems to be a degree of agreement between them listen to Rev. Wrights speech in which he praises Farakhan. This would be victory for all the radicals around the world to have Barack Hussein Obama in the White House.

    May 1, 2008 05:36 pm at 5:36 pm |
  3. Anne

    Why is CNN and other news outlets not reporting the Paul vs Clinton situation? You all seem to gang up on Obama but leave her alone with her illegal doings. It is hard to believe that the Clintons have every news source in their so...what is the deal with not reporting this particular news item?

    May 1, 2008 05:39 pm at 5:39 pm |
  4. an american citizen

    CNN the american people do not want to hear about Obama's former pastor ANYMORE. The only people that are pushing to hear more about Rev. Wright and say that Obama needs to answer more questions regarding Rev. Wright are Hillary Supporters. Please focus on the issues. Healthcare.......the Economy would be a good start.

    May 1, 2008 05:40 pm at 5:40 pm |
  5. Terri, TX

    Listen to you Clinton supporters:
    She has won the "big states". Are the people who live in "small" states not important or insignificant? These very people will be courted by the Clinton campaign should she miraculously win the nomination. God bless us all if she does.

    May 1, 2008 05:40 pm at 5:40 pm |
  6. MiMi in Illinois

    This is the writing on the wall that Michelle Obama refuses to read aloud!

    They NEED to run together–that is what will unite the party, DUH!

    May 1, 2008 05:40 pm at 5:40 pm |
  7. Thomas

    I would vote for a lier over a person who is living a lie...

    Clinton 08'

    May 1, 2008 05:40 pm at 5:40 pm |
  8. Shirley-Ohio

    I KNOW THIS DO NOT HAVE ANYTHING TO DO WITH THIS BLOG BUT COULD I ASK WHY ARE YOU TRYING TO BRING DOWN MICHELLE OBAMA, YOU ARE SO FULL OF IT. HILLARY IS NOT GOING TO WIN AND BY YOU DOING THIS TRYING TO ATTACK. THE MEDIA IS THE ONE GETTING THE SUPERDELEGATES TO GO TO OBAMA BECAUSE OF THE CRAP YOU KEEP GOING, GIVE IT UP WOLF, SHE IS NOT GOING TO WIN REGARDLESS OF HOW MUCH THE MEDIA ATTACK, PEOPLE HAVE HEARTS UNLIKE YOU AND SOME OTHER PEOPLE. GET OVER THE FACT THE A BLACK MAN MAY BECOME THE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES.

    May 1, 2008 05:40 pm at 5:40 pm |
  9. Sherry Graves

    WHAT ABOUT PAUL V CLINTON THAT IS IN THE COURTS AS WE SPEAK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    REPORT THAT!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    NOW THAT'S NEWS BLITZER!!!!

    May 1, 2008 05:41 pm at 5:41 pm |
  10. alex hogan

    Peter Paul V. Clinton. Please....keep it real. The worst election Fraud in US History.

    Democrats 08'

    May 1, 2008 05:43 pm at 5:43 pm |
  11. The big Bad Wolf in Chicago

    When are we going to discuss paul v clinton and Rev. procanick?
    come on media and CNN – bring it on!!

    May 1, 2008 05:43 pm at 5:43 pm |
  12. Al from NJ

    Senator Clinton should be credited for her big wins in these states.

    The biggest of states Florida still hasn't had a say.
    When will this issue be resolved.

    If Florida is seated it would make this race much tighter.

    Obama is rejecting this state along with Michigan because he will lose a lot.

    Can you blame him. I just know that voters from these states want forget what he did.

    May 1, 2008 05:44 pm at 5:44 pm |
  13. no2osama

    The young people are starting to see the truth of who this obama is and they are looking at what is important, a paycheck and family. They have had enough of his fluff. They want what will put food on the table, not just promises and voting to try to stand out. They know we need actions and results, not talk, talk, talk, talk, talk, talk...

    May 1, 2008 05:44 pm at 5:44 pm |
  14. Alex

    The "Big Three" (Pennsylvania, Florida, & Ohio) have 68 electoral votes, which makes them strategically necessary. No candidate since Kennedy has won without winning at least 2 of these. The winner of Ohio has won every general election since 1960.

    Yes, it should definitely be a factor.

    May 1, 2008 05:44 pm at 5:44 pm |
  15. Peter

    Wolf,
    It should only be a factor if you have invented a new way of winning a General Election that does not involve ststes that Obama alone can win as illustrated in the primaries and without the African American vote or youth vote.
    If you have this one licked, well go ahead...make John McCain's day!

    May 1, 2008 05:46 pm at 5:46 pm |
  16. mike

    Wolf, I'm watching you and your panel on America Votes 2008 right now. I've never seen this ex-Mayor of Dallas speak before but I have to ask, did you have to go that far to find anyone who was willing and capable of making those observations and still keep a straight face?

    His attempted put down of the Republican spokesmen was especially entertaining. Can you say "projection"? Keep bring this guy back, he may pick up where Wright left off.

    May 1, 2008 05:47 pm at 5:47 pm |
  17. Berg Levin

    The duty of a true reporter is to “report” and inform the people of the actual facts, not to be a part of them.

    Shame on CNN for keeping such a bias bigot like Cafferty on the air!!!!
    He should stop insulting our intelligence and just send in his resume for the Obama VP job.

    May 1, 2008 05:47 pm at 5:47 pm |
  18. douadavid, PA

    Wake up people ! What service did Barack Hussein Obama have for American to deserve our vote from all races ? None. These were the experiences that he had for this nation : He was a drug addict and woman chaser. His grandma was a typical white woman that he will disown her before his friend of 20 years , Rev Wright., who was a racism. Obama is a crying baby and keep complaining about the vote in Pennsylvania that he did not get the majority of white voter . He and his friends called us old , uneducated , racist white people. Mr Obama , here is for your information . Hillary Rodham Clinton got only
    10 % of black vote and did not cry and call racist black. It is time for you to leave now for the sake of our party. Hillay 2008.

    May 1, 2008 05:48 pm at 5:48 pm |
  19. toot

    Yes you can Hillary!!
    Hillary for President 08!!

    May 1, 2008 05:49 pm at 5:49 pm |
  20. Philip Sims

    Jack,

    You and your CNN cronies are doing every thing possible to spin
    this nomination for Hillary and to take Obama down. If it's not Jeremiah Wright, it's something else. Now your using the swing battle ground states to sway Super delagates for Hillary.

    The fact is Obama leads in delegates, popular votes and has won far more States. If the Blue Collar rural White voter thinks McCain is going to do anything for them other than another Bush III, then vote for him and see what happens to those idiots. If they hate and have that much bias towards Obama, because he is black, then he will win anyway with young voters, young women, independants and the African American voters. He will still get Michigan, Indiana, Illinois, Wisconsin and Missouri along with NY, DC, Virginia, California and other the Western States. It will be closer, but he will still prevail through the grace of GOD's plan.

    YES WE CAN!

    Go Obama 08

    May 1, 2008 05:50 pm at 5:50 pm |
  21. Karlie

    Wolf, why on earth would you have "experts" or "analysts"on discussing their impressions of Michelle Obama??? What has she done that is so awful, especially in light of what the other candidates' spouses have done when they opened their mouths? If you're going to stoop to this kind of thing, then please be evenhanded and do the same with Sen. McCain's wife and Bill Clinton, and be sure you have some "experts" on who will point out all their negatives also.

    Your bias is showing, as others here have said. Let's be fair, okay? And maybe stick to reporting rather than editorializing. We don't want another Fox News.

    May 1, 2008 05:50 pm at 5:50 pm |
  22. mike

    I agree with the ex-Mayor of Dallas....BRING ON MICHELLE.... BRING ON MICHELLE!!!!! I want to see the "real" person, not the media portrayal....HA

    May 1, 2008 05:51 pm at 5:51 pm |
  23. Alex

    Wolf Blitzer is a lackey for the Clintons. No doubt about it.

    May 1, 2008 05:51 pm at 5:51 pm |
  24. Carol, Long Island, NY

    Mr. Blitzer,
    While debating the gas holiday issue, why did you not mention the fact that Obama supported just that back in the day (before he became a candidate for the President of the US?

    May 1, 2008 05:51 pm at 5:51 pm |
  25. Philip Sims

    AMENDED SORRY JACK!!!!

    Wolf,

    You and your CNN cronies are doing every thing possible to spin
    this nomination for Hillary and to take Obama down. If it's not Jeremiah Wright, it's something else. Now your using the swing battle ground states to sway Super delagates for Hillary.

    The fact is Obama leads in delegates, popular votes and has won far more States. If the Blue Collar rural White voter thinks McCain is going to do anything for them other than another Bush III, then vote for him and see what happens to those idiots. If they hate and have that much bias towards Obama, because he is black, then he will win anyway with young voters, young women, independants and the African American voters. He will still get Michigan, Indiana, Illinois, Wisconsin and Missouri along with NY, DC, Virginia, California and other the Western States. It will be closer, but he will still prevail through the grace of GOD's plan.

    YES WE CAN!

    Go Obama 08

    May 1, 2008 05:53 pm at 5:53 pm |
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