May 1st, 2008
02:27 PM ET
6 years ago

Blitzer: Should Clinton's swing state edge be a factor?

 Blitzer: Could new polls sway some superdelegates?
Blitzer: Could new polls sway some superdelegates?

WASHINGTON (CNN) – There are new polls suggesting Hillary Clinton might fare better against John McCain in three key Electoral College battleground states in November than Barack Obama. These are states the two parties will be fighting over desperately in the general election – Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania.

The polls are snapshots and are certainly not conclusive evidence that she would in fact be a more formidable candidate against McCain in those states than Obama. A lot, of course, can change between now and November. But the polls are significant because they could influence those still-undecided superdelegates – and perhaps even some decided superdelegates who can change their minds.

The Quinnipiac University poll shows Clinton is currently ahead of McCain in Florida, 49 percent to 41 percent. In the same poll, McCain is statistically tied with Obama, 44 percent to 43 percent.

In Ohio, the poll shows Clinton ahead of McCain, 48 percent to 38 percent. McCain is statistically tied with Obama, 43 percent to 42 percent.

In Pennsylvania, Clinton is ahead of McCain, 51 percent to 37 percent. Obama is also ahead of McCain in this state, but by a slightly smaller margin - 47 percent to 38 percent.

As you know, Clinton defeated Obama by about ten points in both Ohio and Pennsylvania. In Florida, there was no campaigning because the state had moved up its primary against Democratic Party rules. But all the candidates’ names were on the ballots, and Clinton won decisively.

Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania will see a lot of campaigning in the months ahead. McCain is already spending lots of time there – as he should if he wants to be president. So should these latest polls be a serious factor in the minds of superdelegates?


Filed under: Wolf Blitzer
soundoff (325 Responses)
  1. ys

    Hillary can beat McCain. Obama has no chance. Therefore, unless the Democrats are uninterested in winning she should be the nominee. It's that simple.

    May 1, 2008 04:48 pm at 4:48 pm |
  2. Griff

    The Swinging Gate. State's. And Hillary's sittinhg pretty.. A Woman's Prerogative??? The Women's vote will tell...

    May 1, 2008 04:48 pm at 4:48 pm |
  3. Ed

    Blitz! What a stupid question!!!

    May 1, 2008 04:48 pm at 4:48 pm |
  4. Robbie

    Hillary is the much stronger candidate. She can beat Mccain in the general election, Obama cannot. Obama has lied about his relationship with his Pastor. He will lose big time to Mccain because Obama is not truthful. As Pastor Wright said very truthfully , Obama says what he needs to say because he is a polotician. If pastor Wright had not made those remarks Obama would never have opened his mouth about what the Pastor said about the wids virus,etc. People you had better wake up and vote either Senator John Mccain or Senator Hillary Clinton. If Obama should get the nomination, this Tennessee democrat will be voting for John Mccain for President, and I urge other Democrats all over the country to do the same. Obama is BAD news for this country.

    May 1, 2008 04:49 pm at 4:49 pm |
  5. Mary from Sarasota FL

    Yes, the polls are just shapshots BUT they do reflect a good deal of general feeling among the electorate. Hopefully, people who have yet to vote will do some thinking ... some CAREFUL thinking about who they choose. We have not had so much representation in a lot of years in choosing a nominee. So PLEASE, people in IN & NC THINK CAREFULLY before you make your mark.
    As to whether Obama is "ahead" or not. Makes no difference.
    there is more to this whole thing than numbers and "whats fair".
    The fate of our nation rests in the decisions of the superdelegates.
    They must rise to this challange and not just run over the edge of the cliff like lemmings.
    mary from Sarasota, FL

    May 1, 2008 04:49 pm at 4:49 pm |
  6. SLO Bear

    There is still an opportunity not be be seen as the Clinton News Network.

    May 1, 2008 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  7. Susan, TX

    My parents made an interesting point, if Clinton gets her way in getting the nomination by having the delegates seated for FL/MI as is with her name being on the ballot only, it is just like Fidel Castro. His name was the only one on the ballot….That makes Clinton a dictator…..she wants to control everything and thinks she's entitled to this nomination. I think not!

    SORRY FOR THE MISTYPE IT SHOULD READ "HER" NAME WAS THE ONLY ONE ON THE BALLAOT.....

    May 1, 2008 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  8. Lonnie just telling the truth

    Wolf Blitzer wants it to matter byt it doesn't because Obama will win them as well. Point is is that he will win states thar Hillary has no chance what so ever in like Virginia, Colorado, Iowa, North Carolina and Mizzou! You know something, I don't believe we're still having this argument! CNN, YOU'RE BUNK! YOUR SO-CALLED COMMENTATORS ARE SO BLANTANT BIASED BORDERLINE RACIST IT'S TRAGIC! Hillary has a bigger problem awaiting her in the form of Paul vs Clinton fraud case. What say you CNN?

    May 1, 2008 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  9. gary

    ANON. WHY DONT YOU LOOK AT REALITY YOU YOUNG LOST MINDED , CLINTON HATER. THROW SOME MORE DIRT INTO HRC'S FACE. YOU ARE A MORON. GET THE FACTS BEFORE MAKING BIG ACCUSATIONS. THATS ALL A BUNCH OF CRAP.

    May 1, 2008 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  10. LucieLee

    I am with you anon~~I am so sick and tired of this media-driven election, and media manipulation. Hillary has not been "vetted" past Monica Lewinsky.....what Bill Clinton did to his wife, his daughter, and his legacy...the pain he caused.....you can choose your family Hillary....you can choose who you are married too.........But, if this "gutter" politics and 'slash and burn" is the way it sadly has to be.....if McCain should (good gawd...NO!) happen to win in November, because all you silly Hillary swooners voted for him...because you just couldn't vote for Obama over somethings his former pastor said....I don't want to hear you whining about remaining in Iraq for who knows how long...maybe 100yrs, and bombing Iran, higher priced healthcare coverage, $10.00 per gal of gas, $6 for a loaf of bread, $15 for a gal of milk...and a Republican majority in Congress....you deserve what you get......

    May 1, 2008 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  11. Belle

    Funny, you talk about the popular vote, but it only matters if you IGNORE two states!

    So even if the delegates aren't seated...voters still went to the polls and casted a vote...2.3 million people don't count?

    Obama doesn't care who he walks on or stomps in the ground to win...

    Check out Chicago Sun Times....Wright was called by Northwestern University today and the honorary degree he was supposed to receive was withdrawn because of the controversy between him and Obama.

    If Obama had really cared at all about Wright...he would have protected him by NOT having him on his Campaign Committee. He knew over a year ago about the tapes...so one has to ask what the controversy regarding Wright was about? How did that play into Obama's campaign strategy? He definitely IS a politician. He challenged every single voting petition of Senator Palmer's until he took her State Senate Seat in Illinois.

    So what advantage did the Wright Controversy bring to Obama?

    Besides the days of free air time, the ability to give 2 hour speeches on CNN, to paint himself as this pure man free from outside influences....the ability to throw down the race card....

    But he may very well have destroyed Wright's life...is that worth it?

    May 1, 2008 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  12. Gene

    Wolf,

    I only wish newspeople reported the news and not their opinions. Your'e bias towards Hilary is unfair and I wish you would shut your mouth and let us voters decide. Just report what's happening!

    The statement about the a new Super Dealgateswitching from Hilary could hurt Barack. How in the world could that happen? You stated he is an unknown – is that why ot could hurt. Cut me a breaK. I wish CNN would fire you. Your bad!!

    May 1, 2008 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  13. Neelam

    This question is just a wastage of time. The democratic primary is almost over now. Think about how swing states will affect republican Vs. democrats,.... not about somebody who is about to disappear from the scene very soon.....

    May 1, 2008 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  14. Ed Russell

    I cant speak for Ohio and Penn (although i was in penn and saw the same thing)

    OBAMA WILL LOSE FLORIDA!!!!!!!!!!

    1) Nobody will forget him ignoring our vote
    2) Florida is a state with latinos, older voters, and veterans, and a moderate republican governor
    – Mccain has appeal to all of these groups they dont value "change" they value "experience". Obama would have a shot if he wasnt denying our vote, everybody sees it in FLA and we are VERY UPSET!!

    OBAMA WILL LOSE FLORIDA!!!

    May 1, 2008 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  15. dlr

    I would not gauge anything on these polls. Is anyone else aware that 2 of the polls that were taken, not one African American was polled? That itself makes a HUGE difference.

    That is why I am not a huge fan of polls.......

    May 1, 2008 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  16. Still 4 Obama

    Wolf, get off Hillary's bra strap!!! The isn't about "swing states" its about delegates and I believe Obama is winning that race. Since your girlfriend Billary seems to be dead set on making this race about popular, let just remind you she's behind in that race as well. Why dont you report something on Paul vs. Clinton?

    May 1, 2008 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  17. FRANK

    OBAMA SHOULD RUN AS AN INDEPENDANT CUZ THE DEMS DONT WANT HIM, THE INDEPENDANTS ARE THE ONES THET MADE HIM WIN PRIMARYS, HE HAS NOT WON A SINGLE PRIMARY THAT ONLY DEMS VOTED IN..

    THE BAD THING IS THE INDEPENDANTS WILL GO FOR MCCAIN IN NOVEMBER AND OBAMA WILL BE TROUNCED, ILL BET HE LOOSES BY BIGEST MAGRIN EVER!! BY THAT TIME WILL KNOW ALL ABOUT ALL THE SKELETONS IN HIS CLOSET!! SUPPER DELAGATES NEED TO GET A CLUE!! THIS GUY IS NOT ELECTABLE WITH HIS RELATIONSHIPS WITH TERORISTS, AND CRAZY PREACHERS, HE IS NOT ELECTABLE NOW... NEVERMIND AFTER THE GOP GETS AHOLD OF HIM!! DROP OUT NOW OBAMA SHOW US HOW TRUE OF A LEADER YOU ARE, FACE THE FACT U R NOT ELECTABLE!!!

    May 1, 2008 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  18. Des,Toronto

    Hillary!! mission accomplished!!!, do not blame Rev. Wright for the entire drop, she has almost succeded in damaging Obama and the democratic party through her selfishness and kitchen sink Karl Rovian tactics. I hope she is happy now,it's hers or nobody's....totally selfish.Ohio and PA blue collar voters voted against Obama because of race...pure and simple, based on what Bill and Hillary have said and done. The only way she can win now is for the back room deals to deny the nomination to Obama, then goodbye democratic partry for ever!!!

    Obama 08

    May 1, 2008 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  19. Connie

    Wolf, you are a messenger from hell! I am not an Obama supporter, but you are one of the poison in the media.

    Vote Huckabee! NPA

    May 1, 2008 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  20. Alex in TX

    These questions are nonsense. The dynamics will be completely different when we are down to a 2 person (Dem – Rep) race.

    Obama will will all three states in November.

    May 1, 2008 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  21. mick

    The bad think about Obama is he can not make up his mind.
    It's like Edwards said he had over a 100 no votes and now it took him 20 years to decide that his Rev. is not good for him or his family

    May 1, 2008 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  22. Mike in Columbus

    Yes it should...

    her lies about Bosnia should be considered too.

    her lies about Mark Penn and his negotiations should also be considered.

    her illegal campaign financing of her senate seat should be considered.

    her willingness to attack one of the top members of her own party should be considered as well.

    So yes, let's consider it all...

    May 1, 2008 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  23. Mack

    Sen. Clinton has already shown that she can win the important states PA,Ohio, and FL. Sen Clinton is more electable and is a must if the democrats want to win the White House and stay in the majority in the house and senate. Sen. Obama has too much baggage and is not proven.

    May 1, 2008 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  24. OlvrWhit

    Anon

    The reason the media is not reporting on the Paul vs. Clinton case is because its a non-issue. Its been thrown out of court several times and every time the court has said the Clintons are not involved, nor should they be.

    If this is how the Obama supporters want to play, that is sad. I see this post pop up and it amazes me how stupid you can be. Kind of like the minister story you guys tried to spread about Hillary. How stupid you all must have felt when its revealed that its Clinton, NY, not Hillary Clinton.

    Stop spreading lies. Maybe you should look at why Obama lied about Wright, Ayers and others and spend less time worrying about fake news.

    May 1, 2008 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  25. Jazzy

    To Judi Smith: How far can you drive off of $30 at $4.00 per gallon. You can only get 7.5 gallons on your summer tax savings. At the most in a gas efficient car, you can drive (20miles to a gallon–140 miles.) This is a big savings if you stay at home all the time and your job is right around the corner or in your basement.

    May 1, 2008 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
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