May 1st, 2008
02:27 PM ET
6 years ago

Blitzer: Should Clinton's swing state edge be a factor?

 Blitzer: Could new polls sway some superdelegates?
Blitzer: Could new polls sway some superdelegates?

WASHINGTON (CNN) – There are new polls suggesting Hillary Clinton might fare better against John McCain in three key Electoral College battleground states in November than Barack Obama. These are states the two parties will be fighting over desperately in the general election – Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania.

The polls are snapshots and are certainly not conclusive evidence that she would in fact be a more formidable candidate against McCain in those states than Obama. A lot, of course, can change between now and November. But the polls are significant because they could influence those still-undecided superdelegates – and perhaps even some decided superdelegates who can change their minds.

The Quinnipiac University poll shows Clinton is currently ahead of McCain in Florida, 49 percent to 41 percent. In the same poll, McCain is statistically tied with Obama, 44 percent to 43 percent.

In Ohio, the poll shows Clinton ahead of McCain, 48 percent to 38 percent. McCain is statistically tied with Obama, 43 percent to 42 percent.

In Pennsylvania, Clinton is ahead of McCain, 51 percent to 37 percent. Obama is also ahead of McCain in this state, but by a slightly smaller margin - 47 percent to 38 percent.

As you know, Clinton defeated Obama by about ten points in both Ohio and Pennsylvania. In Florida, there was no campaigning because the state had moved up its primary against Democratic Party rules. But all the candidates’ names were on the ballots, and Clinton won decisively.

Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania will see a lot of campaigning in the months ahead. McCain is already spending lots of time there – as he should if he wants to be president. So should these latest polls be a serious factor in the minds of superdelegates?


Filed under: Wolf Blitzer
soundoff (325 Responses)
  1. ItsOver

    Ahhhhhhhhhhh!!! You cursed brat! Look what you've done!! I'm melting, melting. Look at my polling numbers! Ohhhhh, what a world, what a world. Who would have thought that some little girl like you could destroy my beautiful wickedness.

    May 1, 2008 04:54 pm at 4:54 pm |
  2. mark

    can the superdelegates put an end to the clinton dynasty because it seems that they get control of any democrats and everywhere. those people are a bunch of liars. please, i m tired of liars. lying is not one of the values of the american people. people, you need someone who can tell you the truth not ducking under sniper fire

    May 1, 2008 04:54 pm at 4:54 pm |
  3. Greg

    Not in the slightest.

    That is not how the Democratic nominee is chosen and CNN, and Wolf Blitzer, are fully aware of this fact.

    The Democratic nominee is chosen by taking the total # of pledged delegates earned through the primaries/caucuses and adding them to votes of the super delegates.

    The job of the super delegates is to affirm the will of the voters.

    Since it is virtually impossible for Clinton to win (she will likely lose by more than 100) the race for pledged delegates, the task for the super delegates is clear cut.

    Just as a football game is not decided by how hard a team, that loses a game by 10 points, fought back at the end of the game when the other team was in prevent defense, the Democratic nomination is not decided on the basis of who was able to make up some ground by resorting to extremely negative campaign tactics.

    Although the media is attempting to create the impression that this race is close (see the meaningless CNN polling released today), this race is over. End of story.

    May 1, 2008 04:55 pm at 4:55 pm |
  4. dlr

    People should read 'Allen's" comments! He is so true and if she gets the nod.....the Republican Committee will eat her a live. The reason why it's not being discussed now, is because Sen. Obama refuses to run on negatives that have absolutely nothing to do with the needs of the people......

    Remember, it is NEVER Hilliary's fault....always someone else...

    May 1, 2008 04:55 pm at 4:55 pm |
  5. Obamorons

    Obamoron powers activate. Form of: an impractical electorate. Shape of: the destruction of the Democratic party.

    May 1, 2008 04:56 pm at 4:56 pm |
  6. Ed Russell

    Obama and his capaign have called Hillary a:

    “divisive figure”, “do anything to win”, “deceive the American people”, “that I have a 20 year plan to be president”, “one of the most secretive politicians in America”, “playing politics with War”, “dishonest”

    Yet they are the campaign of change?
    And general perception is Hillary is making it hard for Obama to win a general?

    TO ALL OBAMABOTS what comment has hillary made that is as divisive as any listed above

    May 1, 2008 04:56 pm at 4:56 pm |
  7. Randy

    Wolf – why don't you just go ahead and endorse Mrs. Clinton? You're a superdelegate, aren't you? Perhaps you're stringing us along because at the end of the day what CNN and the other media really wants is for us to think there's still a race.

    May 1, 2008 04:56 pm at 4:56 pm |
  8. John

    Both Wolfe and Dobs are for Clinton, look at who Dobs has on his show more often Zemerman ( who I find very scary sifty smearkes) or Rep stratagist defending Obama. Wolfe does the same. Come guys play fair if you can FL and MI broke the rules so they lose out. Or are you the ones who if you are caught doing something illeagal you find the best lawyer money can buy to get you off on some loop hole.

    May 1, 2008 04:56 pm at 4:56 pm |
  9. Alonzo Demetrius

    Aren't we still a democracy, even in the democrat party? Who-ever gets the most votes wins– that's the way it is done in a democracy. Will the democrats depart from this?

    May 1, 2008 04:56 pm at 4:56 pm |
  10. Matt from Tulsa, OK

    Yes, of course it should be a factor. The sad truth is that neither blue states, nor red states matter in November. Swing states are the only ones that count in the general election. Obama's victories over Clinton in red states may give him a lead in the nomination fight, but they won't matter at all in November. The south and much of the west is solidly republican. The states to watch are Ohio, Pennsylvania, Indiana, Florida, Nevada, New Mexico, Colorado, and Missouri. (And if Clinton is the nominee, then Arkansas becomes a swing state). Of these important states, Obama only won in Colorado (caucus) and Missouri (less than one percent over Clinton). Hillary, however, is winning where it counts. Specifically, her victories in OH and PA should mean more to Democrats wanting to win in November than any of the wins Obama has posted.

    It's time we look at this realistically: Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina, Montana, Wyoming, Utah and a myriad of other states ARE NOT going "blue" this fall. What good is it if we select a nominee based on his performance in states we have no shot of winning in the fall???

    November is about the electoral college. Clinton wins where it matters.

    May 1, 2008 04:56 pm at 4:56 pm |
  11. gary

    BAYOU JOE. YOU ARE RIGHT. AMERICA DOSNT WANT TO HAVE REAL CHANGES FROM THE ONLY ONE THAT CAN BRING THEM.(HRC.) THE SUPER DELIGATES ARE PRETTY STUPID AND DONT CARE ABOUT OUR COUNTRY EITHER ,IF THEIR GOING TO GO TOWARD A UNKNOWN ,ARROGANT, HYPOCRTICAL, RACIST ,AND UN QUALIFIED CANIDATE. GO HRC

    May 1, 2008 04:56 pm at 4:56 pm |
  12. Kathy Corey

    Senator Clinton is the best candidate to appeal to swing voters. She has proven that with the states that she has won. She goes after every vote in small venues and large venues. Senator Obama prefers to speak from on high at big rallys. Some people like this approach...but not the voters in the swing states.

    Pennsylvania

    Senator Casey vouched for Senator Obama in PA and in Casey's own neighborhood...Senator Clinton won 72% to Obama's 28%. Governor Rendell had a great candidate in Senator Clinton and a great surrogate in President Clinton. Without a strong democratic candidate ...PA in the Republican column.

    Florida
    The voters in Florida have said that they are not going to vote for Senator Obama..since he refused to support the revote.

    Ohio
    Same as PA. Governor Strickland had a great candidate in Senator Clinton and a great surrogate in President Clinton. Without a strong democratic candidate ...PA in the Republican column.

    May 1, 2008 04:56 pm at 4:56 pm |
  13. Mike in Columbus

    One voter...

    you like fair play? yet you back Clinton? I think not.

    May 1, 2008 04:56 pm at 4:56 pm |
  14. Lynn D

    I definitely do believe that Senator Clinton's swing state edge should be a factor. Common sence tells me that. Therefore, the superdelegates should not endorse anyone until after all of the people have voted. This poll is telling me that Senator Clinton has a better chance of beating Senator McCain in November. So, why are the superdelegates even considering making their choice known? Would it not be better to wait and see who the people actually want for their nominee? Would it not be better to wait and see who comes out on top after all the people have voted? What is the rush? If either candidates supporter's believe that they were cheated, it will be much worse than waiting this thing out. Finally, Howard Dean should seat the delegates in Michigan and Florida. For goodness sakes, would it not make sense to seat these delegates for the good of our party?

    May 1, 2008 04:57 pm at 4:57 pm |
  15. IHH

    Throw the bucket of water on her and be done with this. NOW.

    May 1, 2008 04:57 pm at 4:57 pm |
  16. Matthew

    By the time this has finished, Hillary will have won the popular vote and the most important electoral college states. Polls are already showing her running stronger against McCain. Obama should certainly be congratulated on his wins in Georgia, Idaho, Kansas, South Carolina and Wyoming, but Democrats will NEVER win these states in November! If the superdelegates refuse to accept this – out of some unfounded fear of offending Obama's base – they will be leading the party off a cliff.

    May 1, 2008 04:58 pm at 4:58 pm |
  17. Lonnie just telling the truth

    I've found something quite interesting developing on CNN. Wolf Blitzers all out campaigning trying to make every case for Hillary and every case against Obama. I also understand there's a possible tie between Wolf and Clinton that goes a bit further than just one sided reporting. We'll see?

    May 1, 2008 04:59 pm at 4:59 pm |
  18. Hermas

    Senator Obama is not a bad guy, but Hillary WILL do a better job. She is the right one!!!

    May 1, 2008 05:00 pm at 5:00 pm |
  19. Eric-PA

    Yes, and I'll tell you why as I have said to people months ago. Although there will be some fluidity in the poll numbers of McCain and Clinton, we are all well aware of their scandals and past mishaps. Obama is another story. He's new. Just look at what's happend in the past couple of months. We don't know his floor when it comes to poll numbers. If Obama gets the nomination, just wait and see what the Republicans will throw at him. I can only imagine.

    May 1, 2008 05:00 pm at 5:00 pm |
  20. Barack the Vote in RI

    No but this SHOULD be....

    PAUL vs CLINTON!!!!!!

    Why doesn't CNN investigate and broadcast this news the way they covered Rev. Wright?

    Fair is fair, CNN!!!

    May 1, 2008 05:01 pm at 5:01 pm |
  21. Ricky Hoskins

    Hey,

    Lets talk about Peter Paul and the Clinton, why don't you dig a little deeper into their crawl space like you have done to Barack Obama.

    May 1, 2008 05:01 pm at 5:01 pm |
  22. kingsley

    WOLF YOU ARE A CLINTON SUPPORTER AND APPEARS TO BE RACIST AS WELL. IF YOU WANT TO TALK ABOUT POLLS, LETS TALK ABOUT THE PERCENTAGE OF THE COUNTRY THAT DOESN'T TRUST HILLARY. YOU PROVE TO BE DIVICIVE BY THE POST YOU PUT UP YESTERDAY REGARDS TO TRYING TO REACH OUT TO REV. WRIGHT FOR A REPLY. WHY IS THAT SO RELEVANT. WHY YOU DONT TRY TO REACH OUT TO MARK PENN AND ASK HIM ABOUT THE CAFTA DEAL. LETS TALK ABOUT SUPER DELEGATES SWINGING OBAMA'S WAY FOR LEGITIMATE REASONS. AMERICANS DON'T NEED A LIAR, THATS WHY WE AT WAR NOW. I DON'T THINK YOU HAVE A PROBLEM AT THE GAS PUMP BODY

    KINGSLEY CT. (WOLF IS RACIST)

    May 1, 2008 05:01 pm at 5:01 pm |
  23. I'm a fighter

    "People want leadership, Mr. President, and in the absence of genuine leadership, they'll listen to anyone who steps up to the microphone. They want leadership. They're so thirsty for it they'll crawl through the desert toward a mirage, and when they discover there's no water, they'll drink the sand."

    – The American President

    A gas tax holiday ain't leadership

    May 1, 2008 05:01 pm at 5:01 pm |
  24. Krissy, FL

    Thanks Anon;

    I will second your motion:

    TO ALL THE OBAMA SUPPORTERS:

    Since the media is refusing to reveal/report the Paul vs Clinton fraud case in court right now, we need to create our own movement and flood every blog on CNN and every blogging website on the World Wide Web with information from the case regardless of what the topic is. For those that don't know – Google Paul vs Clinton and hold on to your shirt with what you read!!

    OBAMANACS UNITE!!! LET'S DO THIS!!

    ...for the record!!!

    May 1, 2008 05:01 pm at 5:01 pm |
  25. Dan , TX

    no

    May 1, 2008 05:01 pm at 5:01 pm |
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