May 1st, 2008
02:27 PM ET
7 years ago

Blitzer: Should Clinton's swing state edge be a factor?

 Blitzer: Could new polls sway some superdelegates?
Blitzer: Could new polls sway some superdelegates?

WASHINGTON (CNN) – There are new polls suggesting Hillary Clinton might fare better against John McCain in three key Electoral College battleground states in November than Barack Obama. These are states the two parties will be fighting over desperately in the general election – Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania.

The polls are snapshots and are certainly not conclusive evidence that she would in fact be a more formidable candidate against McCain in those states than Obama. A lot, of course, can change between now and November. But the polls are significant because they could influence those still-undecided superdelegates – and perhaps even some decided superdelegates who can change their minds.

The Quinnipiac University poll shows Clinton is currently ahead of McCain in Florida, 49 percent to 41 percent. In the same poll, McCain is statistically tied with Obama, 44 percent to 43 percent.

In Ohio, the poll shows Clinton ahead of McCain, 48 percent to 38 percent. McCain is statistically tied with Obama, 43 percent to 42 percent.

In Pennsylvania, Clinton is ahead of McCain, 51 percent to 37 percent. Obama is also ahead of McCain in this state, but by a slightly smaller margin - 47 percent to 38 percent.

As you know, Clinton defeated Obama by about ten points in both Ohio and Pennsylvania. In Florida, there was no campaigning because the state had moved up its primary against Democratic Party rules. But all the candidates’ names were on the ballots, and Clinton won decisively.

Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania will see a lot of campaigning in the months ahead. McCain is already spending lots of time there – as he should if he wants to be president. So should these latest polls be a serious factor in the minds of superdelegates?


Filed under: Wolf Blitzer
soundoff (325 Responses)
  1. Clayton

    Swing states should certainly be a huge factor for Clinton. She is the only candidate that can bring all of the states in this country back together.

    The supposition of Obama that he his healing the gap between the races in this country is ludicrous – in fact it is just the opposite.

    In my opinion, he is becoming a wedge between the races. Ultimately, if he wins the election, he will be the cause of a major race-war in this country.

    His reluctance to distance himself from the Rev. Farokam in the past debates now makes perfect sense, in light of his twenty-plus years of listening to "his" Rev. Wright and his racial philosophy of hate.

    May 1, 2008 05:02 pm at 5:02 pm |
  2. Pol

    Wolf, I like you although you are a bid boring and monotonous. You said that you don't mind this race will last as long as posiible. I understand you: difficult time, everybody needs money...
    But I am throwing up reading all this stupid comments. Don't make american people looking like idiots. Democratic party can not make Clinton a nominee. Period. It's done. Now it is a time for all democrats to help Obama (unexperienced, not tough enough, suspicious and other trash) to win in November. Stop testing him and start work together on McCain.

    May 1, 2008 05:03 pm at 5:03 pm |
  3. margaret

    I don't understand why more hasn't been made of the fact that Republican crossover-voters gave Clinton the Ohio victory–probably MANY if not MOST of them following the directive of Rush Limbaugh to support her. If I were a superdelegate, I would interpret that to mean that 1) Obama was the real Democratic choice in that primary, and 2) that he is the candidate the Republicans would rather not have to beat in November.

    May 1, 2008 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  4. E1944

    Bayou Joe
    Your point is???????????????????????????????

    May 1, 2008 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  5. mitch from ark.

    no ,obama can win them,too.

    May 1, 2008 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  6. Pat in NC

    Sounds like Clinton spin.

    May 1, 2008 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  7. Marilyn

    Too much polling and not enough listening!!! With all the press Rev. Wright has gotten lately, Obama is surely going to lose some strength in the polls. But this is just another bump in the road, just like Hillary's Bosnia sniper fire. The difference is there, she was speaking for herself and had control over her words, Obama had no control over Rev. Wright's words and actions. Obama is clearly the better candidate and once the media stops giving the narcisistic Reverend so much press I believe Obama will be leading the polls once again as well as the votes of the super delegates.

    May 1, 2008 05:06 pm at 5:06 pm |
  8. Grant

    I am really beginning to question the integrity of CNN as a credible objective news source......I think your anchors have become entities on themslelves...I really think that Coporate has to overhaul the direction that this network is going.. I am a 20 year viewer and I feel that the network has either been thrown into a corporate profit centre, which is fair, or that the on air talent perhaps has too much control over the content without supervision.

    Anyways, something needs to change , I speak only for myself, but as an avid reader of your blogs, I would be very concerned over the numerous comments with respect to your objectivity. If this was my company, I would be!

    May 1, 2008 05:07 pm at 5:07 pm |
  9. Elaine

    What should be a factor in the Super Delegates' decision is the job loss 'misspeak' in Valpariso, IN. and the Peter Paul v. Clinton, et al in CA. Wouldn't it be tragic if on Inauguration Day she has to leave to sit in the defendent's chair for her FRAUD trial?

    May 1, 2008 05:11 pm at 5:11 pm |
  10. YES

    I want to win this one... GORE AND KERRY loosing the last two rounds has cost us dearly. We can no risk this one and the strongest candidate by a long shot is Hillary. SHE CAN WIN!!!!

    No way Obama can win in november and I wish I could take my vote back.

    May 1, 2008 05:14 pm at 5:14 pm |
  11. Will

    Of course, the swing-state factor should matter. The idea is to win the general election. We desperately need a Democrat in the White House.

    May 1, 2008 05:14 pm at 5:14 pm |
  12. Tim

    We want to know about Paul Vs Clinton in CA? What gives CNN, Fox, MSNBC??? The media has kept the Resko story going and there is no connection to Senator Obama, except the unsubstantiated internet blog rumors. Is there a gag order that prevents all the news media from even mentioning the Paul case? It is the only logical explanation as to why is this not being reported when a Judge just ruled that Senator Clinton does not have to give a deposition concerning her husband until after the election? Paul was a direct contributor to her Senate campaign. CNN show us you are the best political team in news and report all the news. Senator Obama is too much of a gentleman to bring it up, but America wants to know.

    May 1, 2008 05:15 pm at 5:15 pm |
  13. Bis ND

    KEEP PILING ON! I hope the gender bias backfires. These people have little respect or moral authority. Their behavior reflects badly on the "party" and Obama. Trolling for highschool kids to vote also has damaged the dialog. DISRESPECTING WOMEN IS STILL MORE ACCEPTABLE than speaking about race.

    May 1, 2008 05:15 pm at 5:15 pm |
  14. Jay

    Obama is running STRONGER than Clinton in many major swing states. The title of this post is extremely misleading. Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Florida ARE NOT the only swing states, and I am sick of the Democrats trying to run the table instead of winning a broader array of states. Clinton is weak in states like Virginia, North Carolina, Colorado, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Oregon, Washington, New Hampshire, and Iowa. She is only a couple of points ahead in Connecticut, a Democratic state!

    The Clinton campaign needs to stop discounting states they didn't win in the primaries/caucuses. It is insulting and the height of arrogance, yet she has the nerve to call someone else elitist. What a liar and a complete hypocrite. Her husband is going around saying that the caucus states that went for Obama won't go Democratic in the fall. What an idiot! The Democrats need to win states like Iowa, Minnesota, and Colorado, all caucus states–to be successful in the election. Obama wants to employ an effective 50-state strategy, while Hillary Clinton only thinks the "big" states matter. Well, Kerry won most of the "big" states in 2004, and he isn't in the Oval Office.

    May 1, 2008 05:16 pm at 5:16 pm |
  15. Rob

    you're showing your true colors again Wolf.

    What happens in the primaries really has no bearing on the general. In the primaries you are showing a preference not rejecting the other. It is completely different as well in that some folks don't vote primaries only generals.

    May 1, 2008 05:16 pm at 5:16 pm |
  16. marilyn MD

    Wolf,
    Please get a grip. I watched CNN the night that Obama won VA, and I thought they would have to call the EMS for you. You could not get the words to roll out of your mouth, and you sounded like stuttering idiot.. It was obvious that you were shaken to your boots as a matter of fact you left the studio. It is obvious that you, Candy, and fat head wooden teeth bias lou dobbs, can not accept an Obama nominate. However, you all are on MSM so please try to be partial. I know that you and all american know that Hillary and Bill are the biggest liars ever to impose themselves on politics.

    May 1, 2008 05:16 pm at 5:16 pm |
  17. John

    Since the media is refusing to reveal/report the Paul vs Clinton fraud case in court right now, we need to create our own movement and flood every blog on CNN and every blogging website on the World Wide Web with information from the case regardless of what the topic is. For those that don't know – Google Paul vs Clinton and hold on to your shirt with what you read!!

    May 1, 2008 05:16 pm at 5:16 pm |
  18. maria Mtl, Can.

    Well it's impossible. I just can't believe that fl, oh, pen. doesn't whats going on with Hillary...Please google it and you will see everything you don't want to know..or it't just make a wakeup call...

    May 1, 2008 05:17 pm at 5:17 pm |
  19. Unbiased observer

    It is quite obvious that Wolf Blitzer is a biased supporter of Hillary Clintion. His statements on the situation room call his objectivity into question. Obama is beating McCain in Pennyslvania, and also fares much better than Clinton against McCain in Minnesota, Colorado, Nevada, Virginia, Wisconsin, Missouri, and Iowa.

    CNN, please stop such biased reporting in favor of Hillary Clinton.

    May 1, 2008 05:18 pm at 5:18 pm |
  20. Bit, Alabama

    Stop fooling the media into thinking that Obama can't win against McSame. The only reason he didn't win those states is because there were two Democrats on the Ballot! Just wait for November and you will see those same states voting for Barack......if they are serious about getting rid of the Bus Adminstration.

    The media is just like Hillary.....using scare tactics! The media is going to scare the votes right to McSame.

    May 1, 2008 05:19 pm at 5:19 pm |
  21. shawn

    "Oh my, I'm going to see the Pope. Oh my, I'm going to see the Pope! "-Wolf Blitzer.

    May 1, 2008 05:19 pm at 5:19 pm |
  22. Ca Native

    SHOULD the swing states factor into the nomination???

    ONLY if democrats want to win in November.

    May 1, 2008 05:19 pm at 5:19 pm |
  23. WAKE UP PEOPLE!

    Wolfster,

    You are coming accross like you have a hidden agenda.

    May 1, 2008 05:19 pm at 5:19 pm |
  24. rose, texas

    i know that hillary is the only one that would be able to beat mccain. so wakeup and realize that we need help....gas, health care, mortages. everything looks good 4 obama now and i'm sure he a good person, but we need hillary 2 get us out of this mess like bill did .

    May 1, 2008 05:20 pm at 5:20 pm |
  25. Tawanna

    What about this!!! Media is dragging Obama thru mud and ignoring this.

    When the Rev. William Procanick put his hand on the
    Bible during his sex-abuse trial in Oneida County Court earlier this
    year, he swore to tell the whole truth And nothing but the truth.
    But as the former Clinton Pastor was sentenced Friday to three years
    in prison for Inappropriately touching a 7-year-old girl at his
    Home last March, Judge Michael L. Dwyer said Procanick Sacrificed
    his honesty the day he testified.
    Okay, so now that Bill and Hillary Clinton's pastor
    Has been convicted of child molestation, will we see the Same furor
    directed at Hillary that Obama has had to Endure these last few
    weeks?
    IF A CANDIDATE IS KNOWN BY THE PASTOR THEY KEEP...
    Then you need to email this article to everyone you
    know. Here the CLINTON'S Pastor is convicted of child Molestation.
    So, if Obama bears the guilt for his pastor's comment; then Hillary
    has to be equally tainted by this man's crimes.

    GIVES NEW MEANING TO SHOE ON THE OTHERS FOOT...

    May 1, 2008 05:20 pm at 5:20 pm |
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