May 1st, 2008
02:27 PM ET
6 years ago

Blitzer: Should Clinton's swing state edge be a factor?

 Blitzer: Could new polls sway some superdelegates?
Blitzer: Could new polls sway some superdelegates?

WASHINGTON (CNN) – There are new polls suggesting Hillary Clinton might fare better against John McCain in three key Electoral College battleground states in November than Barack Obama. These are states the two parties will be fighting over desperately in the general election – Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania.

The polls are snapshots and are certainly not conclusive evidence that she would in fact be a more formidable candidate against McCain in those states than Obama. A lot, of course, can change between now and November. But the polls are significant because they could influence those still-undecided superdelegates – and perhaps even some decided superdelegates who can change their minds.

The Quinnipiac University poll shows Clinton is currently ahead of McCain in Florida, 49 percent to 41 percent. In the same poll, McCain is statistically tied with Obama, 44 percent to 43 percent.

In Ohio, the poll shows Clinton ahead of McCain, 48 percent to 38 percent. McCain is statistically tied with Obama, 43 percent to 42 percent.

In Pennsylvania, Clinton is ahead of McCain, 51 percent to 37 percent. Obama is also ahead of McCain in this state, but by a slightly smaller margin - 47 percent to 38 percent.

As you know, Clinton defeated Obama by about ten points in both Ohio and Pennsylvania. In Florida, there was no campaigning because the state had moved up its primary against Democratic Party rules. But all the candidates’ names were on the ballots, and Clinton won decisively.

Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania will see a lot of campaigning in the months ahead. McCain is already spending lots of time there – as he should if he wants to be president. So should these latest polls be a serious factor in the minds of superdelegates?


Filed under: Wolf Blitzer
soundoff (325 Responses)
  1. Jerry from Oregon

    Wolf,

    No her argument is as bogus as her campaign has been. For two reasons primarily. First and most of all she is not beating Obama in these 'swing-states' by 40 points, she's winning by 10. netting a mere 10 more delegates out of Pennsylvania for example. Obama has shown a large draw of Republicans and Independants combine that with the huge numbers the Democrats are turning out and he'll have no problem taking the swing states. Particularly if Hillary holds true to her word and do everything she can do to see that a Democrat wins in November, healing some of the damage she has done to our party.

    2nd, Obama draws a new electoral map to the White house. He brings more historically red-states into play. As he puts it he's running for President of the United States of America, not the blue states

    May 1, 2008 05:20 pm at 5:20 pm |
  2. Mike NYC

    The facts are Democrats can not afford to lose Florida – which could go Republican and Pennsylvannia. No doubt about it. California with its large hispanic population could go to McCain with Gov. Scwartzenegger's help. Liberals are in denial. Obama could not win California WITH the help of all those celebrities. What makes you think that with 30% of Clintons supporters jumping ship for McCain – only 30%, that he can not beat Obama in the General Election. Also note that because of recent events, Republicans are energized to defeat Obama even more now than they were to beat Hillary.
    He can't win.
    The truth hurts.

    May 1, 2008 05:21 pm at 5:21 pm |
  3. Paul from Boston

    Dems will unite behind Obama and vote him into the White House. Hillary is desparate. Right now the polls say she can beat McCain. Only Barack can carry Independants and some Republicans. Remember the term Mcainocrat and Obamican? Those names refer to support McCain receives from Dems and Obama receives from Repubs. There is no Clintonican or Hillaryican...

    No why because all Republicans hate her. If she is the nominee, McCain will win the White House. All Republicans will rally behind him and a swarm of moderate Dems like me will not vote for Hillary either. Barack appeals to moderates and well as liberals. Hillary does not. She has the highest negative rating of all candidates. She is not the right choice for the White House. All Obama needs to do is win NC and IN and it is game over. If he loses IN, he needs to win NC by enough popular votes to regain the supposed lead back. Yet he has never lost the lead from where I stand because FL and MI don't count., which means Hillary can't count them either...

    May 1, 2008 05:21 pm at 5:21 pm |
  4. Maxine

    So, my understanding is that Obama doesn't have a chance and he should drop out. Is that what CNN is telling everyone.? The way I am reading all the news articles today, is that Obama doesn't have a chance and he should quit. Thank you for reporting the news.

    May 1, 2008 05:23 pm at 5:23 pm |
  5. Tony B B.C.Mich

    THEY NEED ONLY TO SWING TO THE OBAMA CAMPAIGN, AND FOLLOW SUIT WITH THE REST OF THE SUPER DEL. THAT HAVE FINALLY COME TO REALIZE THE ONLY LOGICAL SOLUTION, BRING THE PARTY TOGETHER, AS ONE DEMOCRATIC SUPER POWER, AND OF COURSE HER FIGHTING SPIRIT AND EXPERIENCE WILL BE BROUGHT INTO CONSIDERATION, BECAUSE WE ALL NO RESISTANCE IS FUTIAL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    May 1, 2008 05:23 pm at 5:23 pm |
  6. Realistic

    Not nearly as much as that 6 our of 10 Americans believe that Hillary is not truthful, which makes her totally unelectable in a general election.

    May 1, 2008 05:23 pm at 5:23 pm |
  7. Darryl- Montebello

    Hillary people keep saying what the GOP will do to Barack, well you'd better know your history, because they are salavating to get ahold of Hillary with her WHAREHOUSE full of deciet, lies, coldwater, staff firing, HEALTH CARE PLAN FAILING, Barry Goldwater supporting, and most of all REPUBLICAN PAST.

    Yeah, she's got experience allright. If I LIVED at 1600 Pennsylvania Ave for 8 yrs as first lady, giving tours, meeting important dignataries at state dinners, traveling to meet with mother's and daughters in N.Ireland and I won't even touch the Bosnia thing (open mouth insert foot) I too would feel qualified to be President.

    Talk about "Carpetbag" politicians, look it up in the dictionary and you'd probaly find a picture of her and slick willy running down the train tracks, bags in hand with stops in New York and D.C.

    What a joke, there must be thousands of better QUALIFIED women out there, anyone BUT HILLARY...........

    May 1, 2008 05:23 pm at 5:23 pm |
  8. pam Eugene OR

    Wolf,
    Are you bucking for a new job with the Clinton administration or are you just delusional?
    You bias is over the top. I can't wait for you to have egg on your face when Obama is elected as the next President of the US. Hillary will probably be in a federal prison about time.
    Try for a little balance. You are not a Queen maker!

    May 1, 2008 05:24 pm at 5:24 pm |
  9. Julian

    Obama hasn't won a significant state yet.

    Hillary is the one that has taken these strong financial centers of the US so far. CA, FL, NY, let's face it...certain states do outweigh the votes of others. You cannot tell me that you should weigh the state of Wyoming as heavily as you do California. This needs to be taken into account when the superdelegates cast their pledges. I'm sure they will make the right decision and vote for Hillary because she can and will do it. I have been saying for months that Obama cannot take the important swing states, and red states will always remain red. Idaho will not vote for Obama come the general election. Hillary is the only one that can! The only way to get the democrats back in The White House!

    The country is too much in shambles right now to put it all on the shoulders of a rookie. I'm sorry, I am not willing to gamble with my future!

    HILLARY 2008!

    May 1, 2008 05:26 pm at 5:26 pm |
  10. Andre

    What about Paul vs Clinton!!!!
    What about Paul vs Clinton!!!!
    What about Paul vs Clinton!!!!
    What about Paul vs Clinton!!!!
    What about Paul vs Clinton!!!!
    What about Paul vs Clinton!!!!
    What about Paul vs Clinton!!!!

    May 1, 2008 05:26 pm at 5:26 pm |
  11. jean

    Mark in Columbus
    Facts when Obama was first asked about wright he said he had never heard these thing said. 3 days later he made a speech and said he had set in churchwhen this was being said but he didn't agree. But he just sat there.
    He says he didn't vote for the war. Well I guess he didn't as he wasn't a US senator at the time.
    I just looked at an area that shows who has donated to his campaign.
    My understanding was no one could give more than $2300.00, but I saw two movie stars had each given $4500.00.
    Obama keeps saying Hillary has rich people donating to her. I was glad to find out that my $10.00 a month out of my SS is considered being rich.
    He says all of his contributors are small donations off the internet.
    Oh well I don't expect you too look any of this up.
    And as usual this will not be posted since I am for HILLARY in 08

    May 1, 2008 05:26 pm at 5:26 pm |
  12. Chris

    Wolf,
    Stop selling wolf tickets. lol
    Everyone knows primaries are not a reflection of what a general election will produce.
    The fact of the matter is the majority of American are not ready for another 4 years with a Republican in the White House!!!
    Oh and another point everyone is pretty much over HRC and McCain type politics.

    May 1, 2008 05:27 pm at 5:27 pm |
  13. Wait for it...

    Once Barack wins the nomination the polls will bounce and Barack will be beating McCain by 5 points or more. It shows them a statistacal tie because people who want Clinton are saying no to Obama. But once their choice is gone and they only have Barack or McSame, Obama's numbers WILL rise in those key battleground states!

    May 1, 2008 05:27 pm at 5:27 pm |
  14. Samuel

    I think it will be a disaster if Hillary does not deserve to be nominated yet she gets it anyway. There are so many things that OBAMA can do. He will take us to the glory of Kennedy days.

    Should Hillary wins the nomination fairly she will be a very good president but if she wins it using the media fraudulently as we all understand rightnow, then I am afraid her presidency will be worse than that of George W. Bush. Please mark my words boldly on the wall becide your computer desk. I rest my case.

    May 1, 2008 05:27 pm at 5:27 pm |
  15. joe

    YES

    YES

    YES

    YES

    OBAMA IS NOT ELECTABLE....HIS TRUE COLORS AND WRIGHT

    HAVE RUINED HIS CHANCES....LOOK AT ALL THE POLLS

    HILLARY IS OUR ONLY CHOICE...LIKE IT OR NOT

    HILLARY IS OUR ONLY CHOICE....LIKE IT OR NOT

    TO WIN...IT HAS TO BE CLINTON AS PRES AND OBAMA AS VP

    May 1, 2008 05:27 pm at 5:27 pm |
  16. Shirley-Ohio

    THEY SHOULD MATTER IF YOU ARE TRYING TO TAKE THE NOMINATION AWAY FROM OBAMA. NO ONE CAN PREDICT THE FUTURE AND THE INCLUDES MYSELF, BUT I THINK THAT OBAMA WILL DO JUST FINE WITH THE SWING STATES AGAINST MCCAIN.
    I DO BELIEVE, THAT YOU WOLF ARE AN INSTIGATOR AND TROUBLE MAKER WHEN IT COME TO THIS ELECTION. YOU WON'T PUT THE REV. WRIGHT CASE TO REST EVERYTIME SOMEONE SAYS SOME GOOD ABOUT OBAMA YOU COUNTER THAT WITH SOMETHING NEGATIVE ABOUT OBAMA. I AM GALD LOTS OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT THE MEDIA IS NO FRIEND OF THIERS. WHEN OBAMA GETS THE NOMINATION I AM NOT WATCHING THE SITUATION ROOM ANYMORE ON AT 4:10, 5:10 AND 6:10 AND AT 4:54, 5:54 AND 6:54 BECAUSE I LIKE JACK.

    May 1, 2008 05:28 pm at 5:28 pm |
  17. Lynn

    My answer is a resounding yes !!!! The main thing is winning against McCain.

    May 1, 2008 05:28 pm at 5:28 pm |
  18. merle 7

    Here comes another set up it would only matter if americans are stupid enough to elect another republican to the white house(God forbid) This is just another arugument to take this away from Obama,along with those super delagates add on!

    Obama 08!

    May 1, 2008 05:28 pm at 5:28 pm |
  19. Tony B B.C.Mich

    STEP INTO THE LIGHT HILLITARIANS.......... STEP INTO THE LIGHT................................... OBAMA 08!!!!!!!!!

    May 1, 2008 05:29 pm at 5:29 pm |
  20. JM - Ft. Laud., FL

    Wolf,

    I'M SHOCKED, SHOCKED, SHOCKED! Please, can you or someone explain to me why Cafferty is CENSORING COMMENTS to his questions from Hillary Clinton supporters? For two days, myself and my sister have not been able to get past moderation. The comments though critical of Obama, have been well presented and factual and by no means demeaning in any way whatsoever. I have made a copy of the page with the questions and will be forwarding to whomever necessary for an answer. I have never experienced this with any blog, It's NOT right, and I am absolutely SHOCKED!

    May 1, 2008 05:29 pm at 5:29 pm |
  21. Mike NYC

    Listen to Matt from Tulsa. That is correct. The numbers do not lie.

    May 1, 2008 05:29 pm at 5:29 pm |
  22. John, Brooklyn, NY

    Pennsylvania has not voted for a Republican since 1988 – its not a swing state – its blue!

    May 1, 2008 05:31 pm at 5:31 pm |
  23. Doesn't matter

    What experience does Hillary have? Being a wife.

    Come on people. If you think Hillary will make a better president, that is fine. But please don't use the "she has more experience" arguement. It is old and has lost its umph.

    The only hope that she has is if she plays the race card and convinces the superdelegates that a huge number of whites will never vote for OBAMA, which may prove a valuable arguement.

    No matter what, Obama is still black–Hillary has that on her side.

    May 1, 2008 05:32 pm at 5:32 pm |
  24. angelamoore

    I THINK THE US IS SCARE OF A BLACK PRESIDENT THEY DO NOT WANT CHANGE THEY JUST LIKE TO HEAR LIES THAT HILLARY KEEP TELLING THE PEOPLE SHE IS A CON -ARTIST

    May 1, 2008 05:33 pm at 5:33 pm |
  25. Darlene

    People do not like being taken or deceived! This is what Obama has done to the American public. Obama has approached this election like the gameshow survivor, be everyone’s friend until you stab them in the back. Well I hope he finds a way to disqualify himself because he doesn't deserve to win. He's definitely a politician for sure. Obama doesn't feel bad about anything unless its hurting his poll numbers.....

    And what’s with Obama saying "ant" instead of "and" when he speaks? There is no "t" at the end of “and.” Has anyone else noticed this?

    May 1, 2008 05:33 pm at 5:33 pm |
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