May 1st, 2008
06:52 AM ET
7 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama losing ground

 Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally.
Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally.

(CNN) - The Democratic presidential race is tightening nationally, according to a new CNN average of several recent polls.

Obama's lead is now down to 1 point over Clinton nationwide, 45 percent to 44 percent, in CNN's "poll of polls." That margin is down 3 points from another CNN poll of polls conducted two days ago. In that analysis, Obama led Clinton 47 percent to 43 percent. The margin is also considerably lower than an April 18 poll of polls that showed Obama with an 11 point lead.

The poll of polls consists of three newly released national polls from Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, and Newsweek. There is no margin of error on the poll of polls.

Both the Fox News poll and the Gallup poll were conducted partially after Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made a fresh round of controversial comments earlier this week.

The Fox News poll also appears to show Obama no longer has an edge over Clinton among independent voters. In head-to-head match ups, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain wins independents by a 4 point margin over Clinton (42-38 percent) and by a 10 points over Obama (47 percent to 37 percent).


Filed under: Poll of polls
soundoff (1,279 Responses)
  1. Angus McDugan

    Obama needs to get in the dirt with Hillary and show that he can not only take a punch but that he can deliver a knock-out. Get in there and fight, and stop taking her stuff.

    April 30, 2008 05:26 pm at 5:26 pm |
  2. BJ

    This is the clincher for Obama. His voter base is the independents, which, more than likely would've chosen to vote for McCain in November anyway.

    This send a message that there is no way he can be the nominee IF the Democrats want to win the White House back.

    April 30, 2008 05:27 pm at 5:27 pm |
  3. Obatala for obama

    CNN please report facts.. we know you want clinton...............
    Democratic Presidential Nomination
    Poll Date Sample Obama Clinton Spread
    RCP Average 04/23 – 04/29 - 45.6 43.6 Obama +2.0
    FOX News 04/28 – 04/29 400 LV 41 44 Clinton +3.0
    Gallup Tracking 04/27 – 04/29 1244 V 46 47 Clinton +1.0
    Rasmussen Tracking 04/26 – 04/29 900 LV 47 43 Obama +4.0
    AP-Ipsos 04/23 – 04/27 457 A 46 43 Obama +3.0
    Newsweek 04/24 – 04/25 592 RV 48 41 Obama +7.0

    April 30, 2008 05:27 pm at 5:27 pm |
  4. chris

    If Barak looses another 5 points over the next week I think he'll consider disowning Michelle.

    April 30, 2008 05:28 pm at 5:28 pm |
  5. Paul

    Obama is no loner electable and the superdelegates must be responsible by backing Senator Clinton.

    She has the popular vote, since Michigan and Florida are also part os the Union. They cannot be ignored by the DNC

    Hillary 08- Yes she will!!!

    April 30, 2008 05:28 pm at 5:28 pm |
  6. Karen in Cape Cod

    I think this indicates that some people are FINALLY questioning Obama's judgement and backgroundand qualifications.

    April 30, 2008 05:28 pm at 5:28 pm |
  7. scdem

    So now CNN is using Faux news' polling? ROFL I now KNOW you are back to the Clinton News Network.

    April 30, 2008 05:28 pm at 5:28 pm |
  8. Joseph

    Last time that I checked the election will be decided by the delegate count and not by a poll of polls.

    Clinton can't win on delegates.

    April 30, 2008 05:28 pm at 5:28 pm |
  9. D-mo-Crat

    Thanks Hillary. If Democrats lose in November, it will be because you split the party and drove people to the Republican's. I hope they will accept you after this is over, because I don't think many Dems will.

    April 30, 2008 05:28 pm at 5:28 pm |
  10. Paul

    Obama is no longer electable and the superdelegates must be responsible by backing Senator Clinton.

    She has the popular vote, since Michigan and Florida are also part of the Union. They cannot be ignored by the DNC

    Hillary 08- Yes she will!!!

    April 30, 2008 05:28 pm at 5:28 pm |
  11. Daniel, NY, NY

    GO HILLARY!!
    HILLARY 08

    April 30, 2008 05:29 pm at 5:29 pm |
  12. sara michelle b.

    The superdelegates must do their job and select the nominee who can win. This has been a long, hard fought primary. though Mr. Obama took an early lead, he is running out of gas. Senator Clinton can win. She also will make a great President.

    April 30, 2008 05:29 pm at 5:29 pm |
  13. Blake

    What is the latest delegate count of delegates?

    This will be my last post on CNN. I am done. CNN you just lost another customer.

    April 30, 2008 05:29 pm at 5:29 pm |
  14. Jim

    Go Hillary!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! You've got"em now and we're all behind you.

    April 30, 2008 05:29 pm at 5:29 pm |
  15. american

    it has to be the sniper fire

    April 30, 2008 05:29 pm at 5:29 pm |
  16. joyce

    obama will get the votes back.
    the polls says very little any way pending what area

    April 30, 2008 05:30 pm at 5:30 pm |
  17. RB

    That will change if you guys start reporting on the Peter Paul case and video evidence of HRC commiting felonies. Why aren't you doing your job of reporting the news. Don't you think people need to know that a potential candidate for the presidency is most likely going to be charged with a felony??

    April 30, 2008 05:31 pm at 5:31 pm |
  18. BGIV in NC

    Happy Rev. Wright? You got your attention and now your 15 minutes is up. With "friends" like you, I'd rather have enemies.

    April 30, 2008 05:31 pm at 5:31 pm |
  19. Pat

    Hillary should be way ahead this week after all the noise about crazy pastors.

    She's not though, and superdelegates are slowly going against her.

    April 30, 2008 05:31 pm at 5:31 pm |
  20. Ali

    Polls by Fox news...how accurate!!

    April 30, 2008 05:31 pm at 5:31 pm |
  21. kiki

    The American people is waking up.

    April 30, 2008 05:32 pm at 5:32 pm |
  22. Shirley-Ohio

    PICK THE DEMOCRATIC NOMINEE FIRST AND THE DO YOUR POLL. HILLARY IS SUCH A LIAR AND A BSer.

    April 30, 2008 05:32 pm at 5:32 pm |
  23. lynette

    Fox? You must be kidding me? Is Fox a news station??? I have never seen such backwards, bigoted news stories in my entire life. When I watch that station I think it MUST be 1968 instead of 2008. I am so tired of these polls, the media are the ones picking the president by running our candidates into the ground. I think we should just stop watching and reading and make up our own minds.

    April 30, 2008 05:32 pm at 5:32 pm |
  24. Waiting for the next shoe to drop

    This man is so fatally flawed. This is just the tip of the proverbial iceberg. He doesn't have the judgment necessary to figure out his preacher is a hate pedder, primarily to adorn his own ego and for financial gain. He doesn't have the judgment to necessary to live up to his own "post partisan" campaign sloganeering. He doesn't have the judgment to tell the truth about his relationship with this preacher. Yet, he wants the American people to believe that he has all the judgment necessary to size up world leaders, make decisions in crisis and handle all that is unexpected. Consider how weak and insincere he looked yesterday in that so called press conference. It was sad. He mumbled, stumbled, bumbled and was humbled. Get real. He's toast, I don't care how many Dem nominations he receives, he'll lose and take a lot of other candidates with him.

    April 30, 2008 05:32 pm at 5:32 pm |
  25. Mike

    NObama your staged Wright fiasco didn't work, your phony apology where you tried to appear emotional didn't sale.

    NObama you are a wolf in sheeps clothing and the people are finally on to you.

    Wright and NObama conspired to create this diversion.

    NObama was losing momentum and he needed to appear somber.

    BOO HOO!!!

    Go Hillary!!!!!!!!!

    April 30, 2008 05:32 pm at 5:32 pm |
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