May 1st, 2008
06:52 AM ET
6 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama losing ground

 Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally.
Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally.

(CNN) - The Democratic presidential race is tightening nationally, according to a new CNN average of several recent polls.

Obama's lead is now down to 1 point over Clinton nationwide, 45 percent to 44 percent, in CNN's "poll of polls." That margin is down 3 points from another CNN poll of polls conducted two days ago. In that analysis, Obama led Clinton 47 percent to 43 percent. The margin is also considerably lower than an April 18 poll of polls that showed Obama with an 11 point lead.

The poll of polls consists of three newly released national polls from Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, and Newsweek. There is no margin of error on the poll of polls.

Both the Fox News poll and the Gallup poll were conducted partially after Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made a fresh round of controversial comments earlier this week.

The Fox News poll also appears to show Obama no longer has an edge over Clinton among independent voters. In head-to-head match ups, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain wins independents by a 4 point margin over Clinton (42-38 percent) and by a 10 points over Obama (47 percent to 37 percent).


Filed under: Poll of polls
soundoff (1,279 Responses)
  1. kenny cole

    The cnn should stop fooling the voters HILLARY can not be DEM.candidate

    April 30, 2008 06:10 pm at 6:10 pm |
  2. Kathy

    Everybody knows that CNN and the mainstream media wants Hillary to win. The only way that old bag McCain can win.

    There are people in this country who are desparate for change and they have hope in Obama.

    But the media doesn't care. You guys take home 100K plus, all of the perks, you never miss a meal or worry about how you can juggle medications for a sick family member and feeding the family.

    GET OUT HILLARY AND LET OBAMA TAKE THIS ELECTION...YOUR A LOSER!

    April 30, 2008 06:10 pm at 6:10 pm |
  3. Alex

    Look at Rasmussen, NBC, APP and 3 other POLLS relised today – OBAMA leads by 7-9-12 Points!!! CNN, why don't you give us the whole picture of polls from today, Aprill 30.. I or because it's not in Clinton's favour..

    April 30, 2008 06:10 pm at 6:10 pm |
  4. Orville

    If you want more politics as usual, Clinton will be there for you. If you want a fresh a new oulook, Obama is your man! Simply put, I like Clinton's professed policies as they are very similar to Obama's, but I don't trust her. Clinton has a track record of saying what she thinks her given audience wants to hear. I expect that if she wrestles the nomination away from Barack that it will be detrimental to the party and the nation!...And McCain, he's just plain out of touch!...Obama is the right choice for a new America!

    April 30, 2008 06:10 pm at 6:10 pm |
  5. scott

    Hey Kool-aid drinkers you lost another one today as Albert Hofmann Died at 102

    April 30, 2008 06:11 pm at 6:11 pm |
  6. jim from Canada

    When is CNN going to have the gumption to start questioning Billary about her integrity? For weeks now all they yammer about is this crackpot preacher. It's been examined and re-examined.
    Now it's time to ask Billary why she lied about Bosnia, why she lied about the young mother not getting health care, why Bubba gets to collect 800k from Columbia while she's denouncing the country, why she lied about her precious daughter being in harms way on 9/11. Anytime, CNN, you'd like to ask her why so many people in the country mistrust her. Why the free ride? Has Billary made CNN some irresistible promises if they back off asking questions about her honesty? You're doing a disservice to you viewers by leaving her pattern of dishonesty unexamined. The American electorate deserve better.

    April 30, 2008 06:11 pm at 6:11 pm |
  7. Michael in MO

    It is long overdue for all of us to finally stop playing the American Idol game and acknowledge the hypocracy of Obama. He is an empty suit – a nice gift box with nothing inside. He does not offer this country leadership in any tangible sense – he offers words. He offers hope. We don't have time to "hope" for "change." For someone who touts not being a part of the Washington system, his "change" platform is one of the oldest politcal dog-n-pony shows known. This man has no vested interests in the needs of Americans and the betterment of our country, domestically and internationally. He is in this for one thing only – Obama. For the country's sake, please get real and vote for Hillary.

    April 30, 2008 06:11 pm at 6:11 pm |
  8. shelly

    You can't believe a fox poll, fox isn't a news station, it is a right wing entertanment channel.

    April 30, 2008 06:11 pm at 6:11 pm |
  9. LIZ

    .... AND THE MEDIA CONTINUES TO PERPETUATE THE MYTH THAT CLINTON ACTUALLY HAS A CHANCE.

    YOU CANNOT WIN THE NOMINATION IF YOU CANT WIN THE ELECTED DELEGATES, PERIOD.

    CLINTON CANNOT CATCH UP AND THUS OBAMA IS PRESUMPTIVE NOMINEE.

    April 30, 2008 06:11 pm at 6:11 pm |
  10. max

    BOB Winners dont drop out!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    April 30, 2008 06:11 pm at 6:11 pm |
  11. jim from Canada

    When is CNN going to have the gumption to start questioning Billary about her integrity? For weeks now all they yammer about is this crackpot preacher. It's been examined and re-examined.
    Now it's time to ask Billary why she lied about Bosnia, why she lied about the young mother not getting health care, why Bubba gets to collect 800k from Columbia while she's denouncing the country, why she lied about her precious daughter being in harms way on 9/11. Anytime, CNN, you'd like to ask her why so many people in the country mistrust her. Why the free ride? Has Billary made CNN some irresistible promises if they back off asking questions about her honesty? You're doing a disservice to you viewers by leaving her pattern of dishonesty unexamined. The American electorate deserve better.

    April 30, 2008 06:11 pm at 6:11 pm |
  12. Concerned Canadian

    Barack Hussein Obama who had this close relationship with Rev. Wright , claims at the early part of his campaign " I do not know or ever heard these disturbing remarks made by Rev. Wright in his sermons as seen on those sound bytes". And he's been close with Wright for 20 years. Hmm...bad judgement or absent minded ?

    Now , Barack Hussein Obama is alarmed and upset with Rev.Wrights recent outbursts at the NAACP and National Press gallery etc. Well for starters, everything Rev.Wright said in those recent speeches was not about Barack Hussein Obama. He touched upon all sorts of subjects regarding race, religion , history, education etc., which I found appalling and laughable. So its not all about Barack. So Barack comes out swinging to look 'Presidential' for political purposes obviously. Heck we still have to wait for all the immigrants that came to America, the Europeans, white people heck even other Black people to come out and denounce Wright. Barack thinks the spotlght is on him only when it comes to Wright. Well , he has to share that entitlement with a whole lot of other people that are insulted.

    For Barack Hussein Obama though it understates his real lack of judgement in the man Rev.Wright and it also brings into question how honest has Obama been about Rev. Wright because he hasn't been totally honest.

    In short, Obama is a huge liability to the Dems if he's the nominee to face McCain. Anyone with half a brain and a sense of political saviness will stay away from even coming close to picking Obama to go up against McCain. The battle will be lost before it even starts.

    The best , most logical , most realistic, most experienced and most credible nominee for Prez is Hillary Rodham Clinton.
    With Obama, America will have to endure this Wright vs Obama circus even during the Presidency....ah...that would be very counter productive to say the least.

    April 30, 2008 06:11 pm at 6:11 pm |
  13. Carol McFarlane

    You know, you guys will print anything, half a percent change here, point 05 there. Just for sensation and ratings. I'm so sick of it.

    I have stopped watching CNN and keep hoping for some real news, not just something that is eye-grabbing and what boils down to gossip

    April 30, 2008 06:12 pm at 6:12 pm |
  14. Another female Obama supporter

    Sounds like the Clintons have Wright in their back pockets, as well

    April 30, 2008 06:12 pm at 6:12 pm |
  15. Zagazaw

    America is a very Emotional country, we make descion base on how we feel, today we feel one way all that can change in a moment, Obama will wil NC by 12-15%
    and IN by 3-5% in Clinton want to continue after next week she can do that, but Obama winning the Nomination is inevitable....

    April 30, 2008 06:12 pm at 6:12 pm |
  16. Save the Party

    The only way the Democrats are going to survive this Obamination is for Obama to give it up before May 6th. Hillary is the only one that has a small chance of winning in November. Obama will lose in a landslide. McCain can sit home and just wait for the outcome.

    Moveon.org. and all of Michael Moore's money will not save the Democrats from another defeat at the polls.

    April 30, 2008 06:12 pm at 6:12 pm |
  17. Quincey Warrick

    Think of it like this. This whole Rev. Wright thing would seem like it would literally destroy a political candidates chance for running for anything, let alone president. Plus if you would ask Hillary or McCain they couldn't ask for any scandal better as this one to destroy their opponents chances.
    But if you really look at it, this could have been a looooooot more damaging to Obama. No doubt it has affected him, but for the circumstances, it hasn't really been that bad for him. At the end of the day, this Rev. Wright thing is going to get old. Everybody knows Hillary basically has no chance anymore. Perhaps 2012.

    April 30, 2008 06:12 pm at 6:12 pm |
  18. Gary of El Centro, Ca

    Polls have an ebb and flow as the process moves along. A candidate can be up one week and down the next and back up the following week. As I recall, Hillary was way up in the polls early in the process. Then she dropped like a rock, and now she's back in the hunt. Obama will experience his ups and downs as well, so it's folly to count him out because his numbers dropped this week. These polls have very little to do with what the final result will be.

    April 30, 2008 06:12 pm at 6:12 pm |
  19. manuel

    After Indiana and North Carolina we will see the number of delegates, those are the ones that are going to choose the nominated: different that the polls, Obama leads in a clear margin of "Popular" delegates.

    Obama 2008!!!

    April 30, 2008 06:13 pm at 6:13 pm |
  20. chris

    How sad such a distraction can take us from an amazing leader. Part of me wishes he would bring up Hillary's pastor's molestation on a 7 yr old girl and all of her skeletons and part of me is glad he doesn't resort to those types of tactics (like she does).

    and to all those Hillary supporters... this drop has nothing to do with Hillary being successful, this has everything to do with her personal negative attacks instead of issue attacks and Wright/Media. Way to blow our chances of actually getting someone wanting to CHANGE HOW WASHINGTON WORKS – instead of the lobbyists/old politics running the place

    April 30, 2008 06:13 pm at 6:13 pm |
  21. Grant

    Funny, two other polls conducted by major news networks taken today, show the opposite...those results will be released tonight...perhaps CNN should conduct its own polls instead of reporting biased numbers from FOX and pasting them on their website...Did Murdoch buy CNN from the Clintons?
    I always though CNN was a leader in political coverage, not headlining and relying on other networks polling...then again their candidate is fading fast....

    Better run some more Wright footage guys...

    Very disappointed long time (20 year) CNN viewer (Republican supporter by the way)

    Please post this..thank you

    April 30, 2008 06:13 pm at 6:13 pm |
  22. Donovan

    Obama is Through,

    -Donovan

    April 30, 2008 06:13 pm at 6:13 pm |
  23. bob in L.A.

    Like the weather and peoples opinions, polls will change again soon.
    As a Hillary supporter, I don't put too much stock in this number. People aslo were in favor of the war at one time, and in the last four months have changed what is the most important issue to them 3 times.

    April 30, 2008 06:13 pm at 6:13 pm |
  24. Cameron

    Two most recent polls for the Indiana Democratic Primary from Real Clear Politics show Senator Clinton ahead by an average of 8.5 points as follows:

    Polling Data
    Poll Date Sample Clinton Obama Spread
    PPP (D) 04/27 – 04/28 1347 LV 50 42 Clinton +8.0
    SurveyUSA 04/25 – 04/27 628 LV 52 43 Clinton +9.0

    The tide is turning and I think the automatic (Super) delegates should get on board the ulitmate winning candidate, Senator Clinton.

    April 30, 2008 06:13 pm at 6:13 pm |
  25. BOB

    HILLARY DO THE PARTY A FAVOR

    DROP OUT HILLARY

    SO WE CAN WIN IN NOVEMBER

    April 30, 2008 06:14 pm at 6:14 pm |
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