May 1st, 2008
06:52 AM ET
7 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama losing ground

 Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally.
Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally.

(CNN) - The Democratic presidential race is tightening nationally, according to a new CNN average of several recent polls.

Obama's lead is now down to 1 point over Clinton nationwide, 45 percent to 44 percent, in CNN's "poll of polls." That margin is down 3 points from another CNN poll of polls conducted two days ago. In that analysis, Obama led Clinton 47 percent to 43 percent. The margin is also considerably lower than an April 18 poll of polls that showed Obama with an 11 point lead.

The poll of polls consists of three newly released national polls from Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, and Newsweek. There is no margin of error on the poll of polls.

Both the Fox News poll and the Gallup poll were conducted partially after Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made a fresh round of controversial comments earlier this week.

The Fox News poll also appears to show Obama no longer has an edge over Clinton among independent voters. In head-to-head match ups, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain wins independents by a 4 point margin over Clinton (42-38 percent) and by a 10 points over Obama (47 percent to 37 percent).


Filed under: Poll of polls
soundoff (1,279 Responses)
  1. Sheri

    You Hillary people are so bitter and that because she is LOSING. No way she can win. DO THE MATH!!!!!

    April 30, 2008 06:51 pm at 6:51 pm |
  2. Phyllis Wick

    Polls go up. Polls go down. Once Obama clinches the nomination (and he will clinch the nomination) and Hillary supporters come to terms with the fact that their choice didn't win. The vast majority of them (the SMART ones) will bite the bullet and line up behind Obama, especially when she inevitably comes out in his support.

    April 30, 2008 06:51 pm at 6:51 pm |
  3. suzanne galda

    WHY will Obama NOT debate Hillary in free-form Lincoln styldebate? Something to hide? The more we see ALL of the candidates the more we understand who they are. I am a Democrat and will have to vote for who ever the nominee is BUT I trust Hillary Clinton for experience and expertise. Let's let Obama gro a little....please!

    April 30, 2008 06:51 pm at 6:51 pm |
  4. Dal

    OBAMA is MIXED RACE so he cares for both his race MIXTURE. Black and white.

    April 30, 2008 06:52 pm at 6:52 pm |
  5. Geoff Smith

    He prefers not to go negative, but it's what works.

    C'mon Obama you got to win before you can go change things...look at Gore and Kerry. Of course, they'd have been better than Bush: but they lost.

    April 30, 2008 06:52 pm at 6:52 pm |
  6. Steve

    Obama Preaches GOOD JUDGEMENT
    The list of his GOOD JUDGEMENT Calls
    1. Rev ,. Wright
    2 Resko
    3. Head Advisor speaking differently to Canada about NAFTA
    4. Head Advisir speaking differently to Britian on Irag
    If this is GOOD JuDGEMENT WE " DON"T" need him making his TYPE of GOOD JUDGEMENT CALLS for 300 Miilion Americans

    April 30, 2008 06:52 pm at 6:52 pm |
  7. Brad

    I love how when the polls are in favor of Obama – the Obamanites never mention the fact that the polls are meaningless – nor do they question who is doing them. But when they are in favor of Clinton "polls don't matter or aren't accurate – who's doing them?".

    Obama – time to go back to Illinois. We want to win the Election in November.

    Hillary 2008! Yes We Will!

    April 30, 2008 06:53 pm at 6:53 pm |
  8. Griff

    You have to disown Him..... Either the Dem's want a winner or not...
    So Hillary for 4yr's?? Maybe Obama, as a Future Rep... No Guarantee's But you dare rush, and fail... 'Dem" mean's Demolish. Period. Then what??? Come on? You Dreamer's... No, I guess you're jusr Loser's.

    April 30, 2008 06:53 pm at 6:53 pm |
  9. Ray

    Wolf,
    I do really like what Rev. Wright is stating. It allows for complete discloser from anyone seeking public office. It has raised some really great questions and seeing how it is handled not only by the person seeking office but those who are around them. Those who will also be around them when they are elected. With all that I've heard from Rev. Wright thus far he has made many good point worth seeking background on. Do a lot of blacks still feel they are not being treated equal? Yes. Do women still feel they are not being treated equal? Yes.
    Ray

    April 30, 2008 06:53 pm at 6:53 pm |
  10. Camilla D. Redding, California

    Obama is a refined and intelligent gentleman, however, he is a neophyte with only 3 1/2 years of experience in the political arena. He should have never run for presidency of a world power, he simply does not have the experience it takes. Obama is still an apprentice who needs to learn and who will make a fine president of this nation, some day. However, for now he should understand that neither he nor the world is ready for him to be president of the United States of America. Give it ten years, Obama, and learn.

    April 30, 2008 06:53 pm at 6:53 pm |
  11. Tricia

    This game being played by the media might well be destroying our only hope of a viable tomorrow. Yes your bosses provide your pay check today but remember you are dispensible just like the rest of us. What about the Catholics who still attend churches where so many "men of God" were pedophiles. Let Obama move on!

    April 30, 2008 06:53 pm at 6:53 pm |
  12. Paula Lesko

    I watched Rev. Wright's speech to the NAACP conference on Sunday, and I heard the applause and cries of agreement from the audience. Silence in response would have spoken volumes, but unfortunately, the opposite was true. Obama supporters and opposition take heed! It would appear that although he has strengths, being a good judge of character is lacking. I want and expect more from my President. Where are we all to turn in this mess? I hope that remaining primary voters and super delegates take notice and register their displeasure with this candidate. Barack Obama's hill to climb in the general election has now become a mountain. He is NOT up to the task!

    April 30, 2008 06:53 pm at 6:53 pm |
  13. phe

    People, not poll averages decide.
    It appears to me that some voters have been lulled into a false sense of security in reference to one of the candidate’s baggage.......but for the fact, the other candidate has chosen to take the high road, and not bring up dirty facts that are out in cyberspace for the picking.

    Don't bee fooled, the Republicans will not be so kind.

    Hillary has two brothers that never make the news,why?

    April 30, 2008 06:54 pm at 6:54 pm |
  14. Carol

    That's funny, NPR (The only actual unbiased news reporting) polls don't reflect that.

    And Cindy Murphy, please don't speak for us Michigan voters. I wasn't disenfranchised by Barack Obama.

    I didn't lose my voice because of Obama, I lost my right to be heard because of our State policitical leaders.

    And if you knew anything about the DNC, all the Democratics were supposed to withdraw their names because the State political leaders broke the party rules they agreed to follow.

    Don't speak for me or any Michigan voter when you don't even know the state Democratic primary laws or the National Democratic rules!

    April 30, 2008 06:54 pm at 6:54 pm |
  15. Lucy Johnson

    One thing is certain, Clinton simply CANNOT win without the black vote! If she somehow manages to steel this election from Barack Obama, John McCain will most definately become our next President, because blacks will not forgive her. If America would rather have 4 more years of continued Bush policies and a president who admittedly does not know anything about the economy, then it deserves whatever is in store, from that lack of judgement!!!

    April 30, 2008 06:54 pm at 6:54 pm |
  16. M.S. Indiana

    Cindy Murphy, you are insane... HC only made you guys a topic and issue after she lost super tuesday.... As it is, it was not a real election, so no way it can count...

    But you trust her on nafta and cafta, which should have hurt you guys alot ?? Maybe with her health care you an go see a doctor and get some medication for your problems...

    Think it is more the Democratic party loosing people because of the kitchen sink stuff, get back to the issues HC and maybe people would vote for you

    April 30, 2008 06:54 pm at 6:54 pm |
  17. Linda of Atlanta

    Obama may be losing ground because blue collar workers are allowing themselves to be hoodwinked by Hillary Clinton. How can people who hardly have anything think that Hillary Clinton identifies with them? The Clintons had a birthday Party for Bill when he turned 60. The invited guests paid from $60,000 to $500,000 to attend. Why, how is it possible that people who have no health insurance, no gas money, hardly any food believe that Hillary is for them? It's insane.
    When people talk about Hillary's experience, they should remember that she controlled one national initiative, Health Care Reform. She failed miserably in that effort. She couldn't even get the support of Democrats. Obama's losing ground may have more to do with people being willing to self destruct because they value having a white President more than they value national security, food and economic security. So be it!

    April 30, 2008 06:55 pm at 6:55 pm |
  18. Fred-Boston

    In less Fla. and Mich. are counted Hillary will run out of ground to make up the delegates she is down. This propostional delegate stuff is BAD. Obamas lead is false. He got all those votes before the truth came out.
    Now these gutless super-delegates are afraid it will look bad to give the nomination to the person in 2nd place. They need to announce they want Fla. and Mich. seated for the good of the party now.
    They can then wait until convention and give Hillary the nomination because she will have the lead or be very close. By doing this several months will go by between the acts which will serve to sanitize this
    unseamly but needed action. The ends do justify the means for are party and Obama is now unelectable. He must be stopped even if it is probably unfair to him!

    April 30, 2008 06:55 pm at 6:55 pm |
  19. Venus

    Who in their right mind would ever believe any thing reported by Fox News!

    This race is over between Obama and Hillary!

    And, Obama will win!

    April 30, 2008 06:55 pm at 6:55 pm |
  20. Oregon calling -

    When we think of the candidates for the Democratic Party, I found it a little amusing and disturbing at where some have positioned their Lane County headquarters. Here is how our local free weekly paper, Eugene Weekly, described their locations.

    “It's not just candidates coming through town for a quick speech anymore; the presidential campaigns have come to Eugene and they're setting up shop. Just across from Kinko's on Willamette lies Barack Obama's new headquarters. And Springfield is the home for Hillary Clinton's newly opened local campaign office for Lane County, located across the street from Club 1444 (a "gentlemen's club"), a 60-day loan shop and a panaderia on Main Street.
    Clinton's office is one of six offices statewide. The white painted square cinderblock building at 1441 Main boasts in its front window a series of red, white and blue yard signs and white poster board signs drawn with markers emblazed with slogans such as "Honk for Hillary."
    The building shares a parking lot with Goodfella Lounge and the EZ Boy Mattress factory. Along that section of Main Street are aging trailer parks, cheap motels and little used lots encircled by barbed wire-topped chain link fencing....”

    This might explain why she has the so called “blue collar” support. It does make me wonder if Bill picked out the location:-}
    Here is a link to the story http://www.eugeneweekly.com/2008/04/24/news2.html

    I hope that it will get some to pause and to think of the two of these candidates on the more obscure issues. For myself I ask, “Why would a women that is running to be the 1st “women” POTUS have her county headquarters in such a location? Living in this area I know of much more suitable locations that would not stare at the belittling of women by being next to a strip club.”

    I am a 40ish mixed ethnical background, blonde hair blue eyes woman, guess who has my vote!

    I might add that I am under the poverty level as I have had to get an education after being downsized 4 times in the last 13 years. 1st one in my family to get a higher education and we go back several generations on this soil. Obama 08

    April 30, 2008 06:56 pm at 6:56 pm |
  21. ANNIA

    I sensed from the get go that Sen. Obama does not walk on water. All the hype about him is that he is a black man who dares to run for the highest office in the land, that's all. Nothing is so special about him. Once a person takes a step back and looks hard, he offers nothing.

    It took him a day after Rev. Wright's speech, and I bet after he and his advisors finished watching CNN's panel of experts saying what he should do, for him to denounced Rev. Wright. Pres. Bush took about that long to responds to Katrina crisis. And he talks about change? Is he serious?

    If I have an access to the media at my beck and call, I would respond the same day, not a day after. By then, it would be too late, would not it?

    April 30, 2008 06:56 pm at 6:56 pm |
  22. RB

    Cindy, cast your vote for Obama. Do a google search on Peter Paul and Hillary Clinton. You'll figure out for yourself if God has intervened, somehow. ALL Hillary supporters should google PETER PAUL & HILLARY CLINTON. You might find out who has really been pulling the wool over your eyes!

    April 30, 2008 06:56 pm at 6:56 pm |
  23. Mike

    The fact that these polls show 5-15% of the country is apparently changing their mind every time a new story hits and every time some new dirt is thrown just shows me how unreliable and irrelevent they really are.

    April 30, 2008 06:56 pm at 6:56 pm |
  24. Sue F

    Faux news does a poll and Clinton is winning??? HAHAHAHAHA, alert the media, oh yea you guys are the media, funny several other POLLS show the opposite, so why not just endorse her CNN that's all that's left for you to do?

    April 30, 2008 06:57 pm at 6:57 pm |
  25. Ann Richard

    With the Rev. Wright story, I believe there is plenty of blame to go around – including the reckless and irresponsible reporting by some members of the press. You know this thing had escalated to a potential point of no return when members of the Trinity United Church of Christ in Chicago and their new pastor had their lives threatened,

    The fiery times of the 60's – which was not that long ago – means that there are still some kooks out there who are alive and kicking! Yes, they may be in their 60's or late 50's by nowor even older, and they may be supporting Hillary Clinton or John McCain,just because – but nevertheless, they are still alive.

    I agree with Senator Obama that some of the language of Rev. Wright was indeed inflammatory and catered to the people who are motivated by hate. Add that to the comments of Pat Buchanan, Joe Scarborough, Rush Limbaugh, and Sean Hannity, and you really realize that America still has a way to go. Yes we can do better and we will with Senator Obama as our next president. There is no other unifier in this race.

    April 30, 2008 06:58 pm at 6:58 pm |
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