May 1st, 2008
06:52 AM ET
6 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama losing ground

 Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally.
Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally.

(CNN) - The Democratic presidential race is tightening nationally, according to a new CNN average of several recent polls.

Obama's lead is now down to 1 point over Clinton nationwide, 45 percent to 44 percent, in CNN's "poll of polls." That margin is down 3 points from another CNN poll of polls conducted two days ago. In that analysis, Obama led Clinton 47 percent to 43 percent. The margin is also considerably lower than an April 18 poll of polls that showed Obama with an 11 point lead.

The poll of polls consists of three newly released national polls from Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, and Newsweek. There is no margin of error on the poll of polls.

Both the Fox News poll and the Gallup poll were conducted partially after Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made a fresh round of controversial comments earlier this week.

The Fox News poll also appears to show Obama no longer has an edge over Clinton among independent voters. In head-to-head match ups, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain wins independents by a 4 point margin over Clinton (42-38 percent) and by a 10 points over Obama (47 percent to 37 percent).


Filed under: Poll of polls
soundoff (1,279 Responses)
  1. Paul

    I have yet to meet a person in real life who thinks this Rev. Wright stuff actually matters. On the Internet, where people are throwing whatever they can against the wall for their preferred candidate, yes. Walking around, no. Most likely because the "argument" can't be made with a straight face. Can we talk about important things please? No, that doesn't mean flag pins.

    April 30, 2008 07:31 pm at 7:31 pm |
  2. lol

    americans are seeing obama for what he is, a typical politician, who lies. for a harvard grad to say he had no idea for 20 years, that rev. wright was a hate monger, is an insult to americans. the liberal media can spin this any way they want, but small town america isn't buying the spin, the polls are reflective of that.

    April 30, 2008 07:32 pm at 7:32 pm |
  3. pia

    Go Hillery ......... we need a Rocky Balboa – to fight for us in the White House

    April 30, 2008 07:32 pm at 7:32 pm |
  4. Frank

    I'm from the UK currently studying in the U.S and I have to say I'm amazed at the negativity surrounding Obama. Every word he says is jumped on by the media or by the Clinton campaign in a completely unfair manner, even when he has no control over it i.e Reverend Wright. It amazes me that Clinton can have the most negative campaign I have ever seen, which damages her opponent as well as the party, and still people want to vote for her. If Obama had said he had landed in Bosnia under sniper fire, only to be found out he was lying, both the Clinton campaign and the media would have a field day!!! She seems to get away with anything where as Obama is hounded left right and centre. I give her credit for not giving up but her tactics are shameful. I really hope the remaining voters back Obama so he can challenge McCain to be the next president.

    April 30, 2008 07:33 pm at 7:33 pm |
  5. Julia

    He's losing is because Mr. Obama as a candidate, he wants to use race, and not benefit the Democratic party or the Country. This is irresponsible behavior. he's black resentment and he's white guilt Plus no Experience.

    April 30, 2008 07:33 pm at 7:33 pm |
  6. jenny s

    If the media would stop pounching on this whole Rev Wright issue and focus on where everyone stands on issues, Obama would not be "losing ground" as you say. I can't believe the Hilary supports actually think she will unite the party. If she wins the nomination, I'm staying home on voting day. We have had enough Clinton's and Bush's in the white house – are Jeb and Chelsea going to be the next to put there names on the ticket! Enough with the same ole' politicians already – this country needs a fresh perspective and Obama needs to be our president.

    What happen to CNN being fair and balanced – I think Hilary has done a lot lately that deseves some air time-bring her issues to the forefront and guess who would be losing ground. You actually think because she was first lady that constitues "experience". Please, if it does then she would not have voted for the war.

    OBAMA 08'

    April 30, 2008 07:33 pm at 7:33 pm |
  7. Question

    "There is no margin of error on the poll of polls."

    What does that mean? It has a margin of error of zero, or you didn't bother to calculate the margin of error?

    April 30, 2008 07:34 pm at 7:34 pm |
  8. samy

    Obama, we have confidence in you. HRC and Mccain are thw last thing we need for this country. I am on my way from San Francisco to Indiana to help convince voters to vote for Obama.

    Go Obama

    April 30, 2008 07:34 pm at 7:34 pm |
  9. Judiin NJ

    This over 60 white woman will NEVER vote for Hillary. She has shown herself to be really disappointing. I was a real, real Clinton supporter and was a Bill Clinton apologist for 16 years! Hillary has done what nobody else was able to do for 16 years: turn me against both Clintons!
    I will not vote for John McCain (why should I, he and Hillary are the same), I will either just vote down the ballot or vote for Bob Barr, Liberian.

    April 30, 2008 07:34 pm at 7:34 pm |
  10. DEX

    Obama is not Pastor Wrong get through your thick calcified skulls.

    Guess what American People we sat under the leadership of GEORGE W BUSH for 6 plus years, What does that make US.

    April 30, 2008 07:34 pm at 7:34 pm |
  11. pia

    Go Hillery ......... we need you to fight for us in the White House ......

    April 30, 2008 07:34 pm at 7:34 pm |
  12. Glenn

    Only 295 delegates away from the nomination for Obama.

    For the fat lady, time is ticking away....tick..tock...tick...tock!

    April 30, 2008 07:35 pm at 7:35 pm |
  13. sheeesh

    Democrats! keep throwing around this poison and you will only accomplish electing mccain to the white house. Hillary is not pure as the driven snow....but then neither is Obama. They both happen to be politicians, which means the are lawyers. Need I say more? Stop making the democratic race about your own small minded crap. Who really cares which one is elected! What we need is a Democrat for president! Please don't loose sight of what really matters among all of the media induced hysteria. Lets try to keep from destroying the progress that the democratic party has FINALLY made. Why do we always destroy our party from the inside?

    April 30, 2008 07:35 pm at 7:35 pm |
  14. MEG

    The stir about Rev. Wright is only the beginning of the trouble that Obama will be in in the near future. The Republicans have so many things they are trying to keep secret until he (may get) the nomination, then look out. They believe that the Republicans can beat Obama, so they are going to vote for him in the primaries and then, of course, vote for McCain in the General election. This really should be against all election laws, in every state in America. If you are truly a Republican you vote, Republican, and it you are Democrat, you vote Democratic in both elections. I wonder if those states have local or state elections and the same time? If so, I do believe those that are running for a local or state office will truly be very disappointed, and will be able to tell it by the votes they do not get. So maybe you should give this a serious thought!

    April 30, 2008 07:35 pm at 7:35 pm |
  15. jenny s

    If the media would stop pounching on this whole Rev Wright issue and focus on where everyone stands on issues, Obama would not be "losing ground" as you say. I can't believe the Hilary supporters actually think she will unite the party. If she wins the nomination, I'm staying home on voting day. We have had enough Clinton's and Bush's in the white house – are Jeb and Chelsea going to be the next to put there names on the ticket! Enough with the same ole' politicians already – this country needs a fresh perspective and Obama needs to be our president.

    What happen to CNN being fair and balanced – I think Hilary has done a lot lately that deseves some air time-bring her issues to the forefront and guess who would be losing ground. You actually think because she was first lady that constitutes "experience". Please, if it does then she would not have voted for the war.

    OBAMA 08'

    April 30, 2008 07:35 pm at 7:35 pm |
  16. Vince - Phoenix

    i would LOVE to see how all of you casting stones would hold up under withering scrutiny for everybody you have ever known your YOUR lives...

    sorry....

    that thinking is WAYYY too enlightened for THIS crowd....

    April 30, 2008 07:35 pm at 7:35 pm |
  17. Sherri

    Michigan and Florida broke rules that were established 2 full years before the election. Senator Clinton and Senator Obama agreed to abide by those rules, now Clinton and her supporters flip flop when it is in her interest. This is sad commentary on her judgment. Voters in MI and FL have a beef with their state party, not either one of the candidates. You don't change the rules mid stream.

    My support is strongly with Senator Obama. I will not forget Hillary's lies about Bosnia. She insulted every soldier in uniform when she pretended to have been under fire. Why is this so easily swept away? It is not something a commander in chief would ever, ever do.

    April 30, 2008 07:35 pm at 7:35 pm |
  18. Audrey

    Nobody is reporting on Hillary's pastor like they are Obama's. Her pastors charged with abuse in the church. and they are not saying anything about her going to court after we nominate a candidate.

    April 30, 2008 07:35 pm at 7:35 pm |
  19. Chris from IL

    Come on now CNN, are you really quoting Fox News Polls? Seriously? Fox News is one big GOP commercial.

    April 30, 2008 07:36 pm at 7:36 pm |
  20. Tha Fixxx

    I know who is getting my vote for president. Rev. Wright
    The reason I am voting because if you listen to the media he is one running and not Obama. Oh I get it! They have to tie Obama to the Rev. because that is the only way to find something on Obama.

    Well what about clinton and her record. HMMMM!!!!! she lied about Bosinia, no gun fire there. My bad she miss spoke. Hell no she lied just like her husband did. "I did not have sexual relations with that woman". remember that. That was billy clinton lieing about monica.
    One thing we know is that the house they live in be it the white house where they lived when billy lied or in new york where they live and she lied. they know how to lie and they do it without sean hannity and dope head russy limbaugh saying anything about it.

    April 30, 2008 07:36 pm at 7:36 pm |
  21. California Voter

    It's taken a long time for the media (thanks to FOX news) to give us a better look at the character and core values of Obama. In addition, it is clear that Clinton has a better chance of beating the Republicans in November with her wins in the big and swing states. She is on an upswing and Obama is beginning to show some wear and tear. Clinton is tough and during these tough times that's what we need.

    GO HILLARY 08

    April 30, 2008 07:36 pm at 7:36 pm |
  22. oliver howard

    The good Rev. Wright have hurt not only Obama, but has really hurt the democratic party. If Hillary gets the nomination, most African Americans will not vote for her, since we believe she and others who think like her and Bill, do not want to see an African American in the White house, has perpetuate the lies and false information about Obama.

    Let's face it, Rev. Wright's statements were timed to destroy any chance that Obama had for capturing the nomination, of course it is my belief that this country will never elect a Black person to the highest office now or at any time in the future.

    The man is head and shoulders over any of the candidates, and certainly above that of the president. In addition, your news media, (CNN) has made it abundantly clear that your reporting and commentary has been slanted to Mcain, a man who has very little intelligence, and uses the flag and service experience to run for President. You get the government you deserve.
    I dare you to publish this.

    April 30, 2008 07:37 pm at 7:37 pm |
  23. Caly

    Is this not the same story we had yesterday.

    GO Obama

    April 30, 2008 07:37 pm at 7:37 pm |
  24. Indiana Voter

    OBAMA WILL LOSE! I live in Indiana and Hillary has a huge base here – she's just popular here!

    April 30, 2008 07:37 pm at 7:37 pm |
  25. DEX

    You know what, here goes another $100.00 for the Obama/American
    campaign.

    April 30, 2008 07:38 pm at 7:38 pm |
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