May 1st, 2008
06:52 AM ET
7 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama losing ground

 Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally.
Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally.

(CNN) - The Democratic presidential race is tightening nationally, according to a new CNN average of several recent polls.

Obama's lead is now down to 1 point over Clinton nationwide, 45 percent to 44 percent, in CNN's "poll of polls." That margin is down 3 points from another CNN poll of polls conducted two days ago. In that analysis, Obama led Clinton 47 percent to 43 percent. The margin is also considerably lower than an April 18 poll of polls that showed Obama with an 11 point lead.

The poll of polls consists of three newly released national polls from Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, and Newsweek. There is no margin of error on the poll of polls.

Both the Fox News poll and the Gallup poll were conducted partially after Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made a fresh round of controversial comments earlier this week.

The Fox News poll also appears to show Obama no longer has an edge over Clinton among independent voters. In head-to-head match ups, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain wins independents by a 4 point margin over Clinton (42-38 percent) and by a 10 points over Obama (47 percent to 37 percent).


Filed under: Poll of polls
soundoff (1,279 Responses)
  1. Catherine

    Shouldn't we be asking why Hillary Clinton, who was initially the heavy favorite in this race, cannot keep up with Obama in the polls unless he is in the midst of a political crisis (i.e., the Reverend Wright fiasco)? If she is as strong of a candidate as she claims to be, why does it take Obama getting into hot water for her to catch up with him?

    Shouldn't we also keep in mind the fact that if Clinton is to be the nominee, the superdelegates must ignore Obama's lead in delegates and overturn the choice of the democrats of this country? How can anyone think that is a good thing?

    I would have certainly voted for Hillary if she could have won the nomination by the rules, but if she snags it out from under Obama, not only will I not vote for her, I will no longer be a democrat.

    April 30, 2008 05:55 pm at 5:55 pm |
  2. Tom

    This is so typical of CNN. Where's the news report about how the economy GREW in the past quarter?? Instead of CNN's why-do-you-beat-your-wife type questions to readers on how bad the "recession" is, we have to turn to other media outlets to find out that THERE IS NO RECESSION!! LOL
    It just goes to show: the secular fundamentalist left will go to any length to achieve power. Hitler's propaganda machine would have blushed at CNN. LOL
    McCain's going to win. We're going to get a majority of members of the Supreme Court who are not moral relativists who believe that the U. S. Constitution is a blank piece of paper upon which they can write their own perversions. And you baby-butchering Democrats (50 millions so far since 1973) have no moral authority to wag your bloodied fingers at anyone about anything! (Let's see if CNN will publish this! I seriously doubt it.)
    Go McCain!

    April 30, 2008 05:55 pm at 5:55 pm |
  3. Paula from Canada

    Obama will come back..it makes me nervous that Michelle is on Larry King though.. she doesn't present herself well at all. I pray she doesn't say something stupid without thinking. Obama needs some good Karma to come his way and it will. He is goodness through and through. Love ya up here in Canada Barack I wish I could vote!! So do allot of other Canadians Good Luck to you !!

    April 30, 2008 05:56 pm at 5:56 pm |
  4. Porchnik

    People who question Obama's judgement are typically those who twice voted for Bush. Obama at least had the good sense to oppose the Iraq war from the start. But we don't want to talk about that, do we? Better this inconsequential crap.

    April 30, 2008 05:56 pm at 5:56 pm |
  5. Lillian Mercer

    All I know is that if they make some backroom deal to give Hillary the nomination, this white suburban mother of four will have a very hard time voting for her in the general election. My husband will not vote for her and would rather vote for McCain. I would most likely vote for the Independent candidate. She and Bill disgraced the nation while in the White House and are both masterful liars. I for one do not want to see them back in the White House. I just can't vote for McCain. After the horrendous years of being under the Bush administration, I am looking forward to our country having pleasant international relations. I am from Sweden and all my family and friends tease us terribly about our cowboy President.

    April 30, 2008 05:56 pm at 5:56 pm |
  6. AKRON, OHIO OBOMA SUPPORTER

    cnn is not being fair. REPORT THE PETER PAUL VS. CLINTON FRAUD CASE AND THAT WILL BE NEWS.. WHY IS CNN AND THE REST OF THE MEDIA TRYING TO KEEP IT OUT OF THE NEWS. PEOPLE NEED TO KNOW WHAT HILLARY IS FACING WHEN SHE GOES TO COURT. TO BAD THEY CAN'T PUT HER ON THE STAND WHILE SHE'S STILL IN THE RACE. I THINK THATS WHY SHE IS STAYING IN THE RACE

    GO OBOMA

    April 30, 2008 05:56 pm at 5:56 pm |
  7. Anonymous

    Okay, CNN... you guys keep commenting on how Obama's lead is going down. How come you guys have not broadcast the fact that it was a Hillary Clinton's supporter, Barbara Reynolds who sponsored the event to have Rev Wright address the National Press Club? How, it was actually the Clinton's Campaign that setup the Questions and Answers session for Rev.Wright? How come you guys have not investigate the motive behind this event ? Hillary and her Campaign continues to play dirty and set up Obama....plain and simple. Or maybe this another Penn example. The fact is that Hillary and her campaign are stirring up the Wright issue to slander Obama because they are desperate and have nothing else to slander him with. Hillary is pathetic. Is there a bigger hypocrite than Hillary... She brings up again the Wright issue to slander Obama while she critizes John McCain for objecting to what SHE IS actually doing! And she has the audacity to say she is offened by Rev Wright!!! Wakeup people!! Having read a biography of Hillary and her ambition to become President of the United States, she will stop at nothing! We should be voting for a President who can unite all people. The fact this election has seen the biggest turn out of voters in American history is not credited to Hillary but to Obama. Now because of Hillary's dirty tactics, voters are beginning to lose confidence and indicating they might just vote Republican. If the Democratic Party is smart, they will advise Hillary to step down now.

    April 30, 2008 05:56 pm at 5:56 pm |
  8. johnny

    lol based on the FOX news poll. ahahaha. FOX has been doging Obama for the longest. I guess the media can't take this revolution that is about to occur so they draw up some terrible, made-up facts. check the REAL facts. Obama is the next president and this nation will be brought back to it's highest state. OBAMA OBAMA 08!

    April 30, 2008 05:56 pm at 5:56 pm |
  9. Californian

    THE OBAMA CULT IS COMING TO AN END! :)

    Finally this madness is ending as people are pull back the curtain on Obama and seeing that he is just a flat out RACIST.

    Why can't the Democrats find good candidates?!?!?!?!

    Al Gore please run!!!!!!!!!!

    April 30, 2008 05:56 pm at 5:56 pm |
  10. FV

    AS A LIFELONG DEMOCRAT, I MUST STATE:
    BECAUSE OF HIS INEXPERIENCE, RACISTS LEANINGS AND HYPOCRITICAL SAYINGS AND ACTIONS, OBAMA NOW DOESN'T HAVE A SNOWBALL'S CHANCE IN HELL OF BEATING MCCAIN IN THE FALL.

    THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY LEADERS "MUST" ACT UPON THE OBVIOUS, AND FIELD THE CANDIDATE WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF BEATING MCCAIN....
    AND THE BEST CHOICE FOR THAT IS OBVIOUS....

    HILLARY RODHAM CLINTON.

    April 30, 2008 05:57 pm at 5:57 pm |
  11. lynette

    Alex in Tx , I concur!!!! The ones going back and forth are imaginary, and if not and they truly exist then I would hate to be their friends, they would turn on you in a flash, or when the next side show came to town.

    April 30, 2008 05:57 pm at 5:57 pm |
  12. Biased CNN

    Hillary is a fighter...
    She voted for Iraq war. As a result we lost thousands of lives and destrolyed our economy...
    She fought Obama and destroyed the democratic party...
    This lady has the ability to start world war 3, and she will destroy the whole world...
    Hillary is a real fighter

    April 30, 2008 05:57 pm at 5:57 pm |
  13. BOB

    OBAMA DO THE PARTY A FAVOR

    DROP OUT OBAMA

    SO WE CAN WIN IN NOVEMBER

    April 30, 2008 05:57 pm at 5:57 pm |
  14. Chuck, Oregonians for Obama

    Give it another few days and those numbers will go back in favor of Obama. No polls were taken after Obama's news conference. Infact I will be willing to go so far as to state that Obama will take NC +9 or better and he will take IN by +2. I must give American's a large dose of credit, as they can also do the math that this gas thing of hers will only save then at the most $50 over a period of 4 months unless they take a long road trip vacation of 3000 miles which will save them a huge $27.60. Same applies to this freeze on home repo's. If they cant afford thier home now, they will not beable to afford it in 5 months. Americans in IN and NC are too smart to fall for something like that, they know this is only a trick to get their vote.

    April 30, 2008 05:57 pm at 5:57 pm |
  15. Brandon

    Obatala,

    You show all your polls, especially from Newsweek showing Obama with a 7 point lead, but you forget to show the relevant polls. Newsweek was from the 25th of this month. It's now the 30th. This article says he's losing points, which he is if you actually care about recent polls.

    Stop blindly following Obama, or you'll end up walking off the cliff like most of his current supporters. This is the reason why most superdelegates have been afraid to endorse him. He's not electable in a general election.

    Rev. Wright is PISSED OFF. He was denounced by the man who he helped get elected to the Senate. Then because Obama is posturing for the Demo nomination, he throws Wright under the bus. Bullsht. I'd be pissed too. For Obama to say that Wright isnt the same man as he was 20 years ago, haha... what a joke. Wright has been saying this since at least 2001 (8 years ago). How far back can we actually track Wright's sermons?

    Obama, you are unloyal.. must have picked that up from your buddy Richardson.

    April 30, 2008 05:57 pm at 5:57 pm |
  16. Bob King

    When Obama chose to lay down with a dog (rev.wright)... he should have known he'd end up with fleas!

    April 30, 2008 05:58 pm at 5:58 pm |
  17. TNeal

    You mean after the Wright mess Hillary only has a 10 point led over Obama? How could this be? Are you saying Obama still has a national led over Hillary even after the Wright drama. Come on, somethings got to be wrong.

    Hillary just had a big victory in PA and has had super delegates to swing her way and she even raised more money than ever. All she can do is have a 10 point led in the midst of all the negative hype thrown at Obama. What's wrong with this picture? You would think she would be winning based on the odds against Obama. Why are they still running neck to neck in Indiana.

    After all, isn't she the candidate with the name brand and the 35 years of experience.

    April 30, 2008 05:58 pm at 5:58 pm |
  18. clbrune

    Hillary is a fighter. That's exactly what we need in a president to fix Bush's disaster and to stand up against the republican machine.

    April 30, 2008 05:58 pm at 5:58 pm |
  19. John Boy

    Barrack Obama has a good line of bull and theres people out there that are dummer than he is for listening to him,his pastor,oh yeah,now that he can see it's comeing back to haunt him,he's washing his hands of the crazy man.None of the people running for president can fix america,you will have the rich and the poor,I keep wondering to myself whats going to happen to me with all these price increases,when prices go up everything follows suit,and I am on a fixed income and it's not that much I also have copd so I can't get back into the work force and neither can my wife,she's 72 years old,and the people forget what the oil companies said,and it was that they was still going to make there profits,if we make cars that would get 100 miles to a gallon of gas and used less,they would just raise the price.

    April 30, 2008 05:58 pm at 5:58 pm |
  20. monyneen

    obama has lost the game already . he his truly unelectable . he and his wife and there pastor are racist . good bye obama .he is the spoiler of 08 .watch

    April 30, 2008 05:58 pm at 5:58 pm |
  21. Democratic no matter who wins

    I am tired of the racism in this country; there is no way this should still be an issue in 2008! It is sad to say however this is a issue of race and that's all this country has ever known is a white president. Now it comes down to the two minorities once again a white woman and a black man. Just like when black people and women didn't have a chance to vote. Same old America! And Rev. Wright needs to shut it up! This country needs a drastic change quickly. Obama you need to man up and Hillary you could gain some scruples and make this thing work.

    CNN can you please post my comment?

    April 30, 2008 05:58 pm at 5:58 pm |
  22. Josh, LA

    Why include Faux News polls? They are as skewed against Obama as Rev. Wright against America.

    April 30, 2008 05:58 pm at 5:58 pm |
  23. John

    More CNN cheering of Clinton. No surprise here.

    Now will the cover the Robo Call story from North Carolina

    April 30, 2008 05:58 pm at 5:58 pm |
  24. joe

    OBAMA DO THE PARTY A FAVOR

    DROP OUT OBAMA

    LET US WIN IN NOVEMBER

    DROP OUT OBAMA

    April 30, 2008 05:58 pm at 5:58 pm |
  25. Enough

    I don't care much about the polling – as long as the delegate counts are up and the supers keep heading for obama.

    I know one thing, I wouldn't vote for McCain or Clinton – not even with a gun held to my head.

    April 30, 2008 05:59 pm at 5:59 pm |
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