May 6th, 2008
11:42 AM ET
11 years ago

Polls: Clinton and Obama each in store for a win?

 Clinton is ahead in Indiana while Obama is up in North Carolina.

Clinton is ahead in Indiana while Obama is up in North Carolina.

(CNN) - As voters go to the polls in Indiana and North Carolina, an average of the latest surveys in both states suggests there will be a split decision between Senators Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama in their battle for the Democratic presidential nomination.

A CNN Poll of Polls in North Carolina out Tuesday morning indicates Obama is ten points ahead of Clinton, 51 percent to 41 percent, with eight percent undecided. That’s up by two points from our poll of polls Monday. Obama had been up by double digits until this weekend, when the race in North Carolina tightened up a bit.

The CNN Poll of Polls in Indiana suggests that Clinton up by four points, 48 percent to 44 percent, with eight percent unsure. The race in Indiana had been a dead heat until Clinton opened up a small lead in Monday’s poll of polls.

The CNN poll of polls is an average of the latest surveys in each state. Since it is a compilation of multiple surveys, there is no sampling error.

187 delegates are at stake as voters in Indiana and North Carolina cast ballots. It is the largest catch of delegates left this primary season, which ends with the Montana and South Dakota primaries on June 3. Going into Tuesday’s contests, Obama holds a lead over Clinton in delegates won, states won, and the popular vote (excluding Florida and Michigan, which broke party rules by moving their contests up to January) and in primary and caucus victories so far this year.

soundoff (383 Responses)
  1. Tampa Votes Barack Obama

    ATTN: INDIANA

    You've known since the beginning Barack is the one, why doubt that now? Ask yourself, when is the last time your concious lied to you? Now ask yourself, when is the last time the media lied to you? It's really that simple.

    May 6, 2008 09:10 am at 9:10 am |
  2. Ken

    Hillary "Mike Hukabee" Clinton needs to go home. Can't she tell when she is not wanted anymore?

    Obama 08

    May 6, 2008 09:10 am at 9:10 am |
  3. RON

    Obama will win both

    May 6, 2008 09:10 am at 9:10 am |
  4. mitchell

    hillary should concede ,today,if she doesn't win with 70% of the vote.

    May 6, 2008 09:10 am at 9:10 am |
  5. Greg, NY

    They may both win a state, but if Obama wins the bigger state with more delegates by a wider margin, then doesn't that put him even more in the lead? Why is everyone ignoring this?

    Plus, you say the latest poll shows him ahead in NC by 10 points, then say that he had been up by double digits until this weekend. 10 points is still double digits no?

    When Hillary was up double digits in PA and then lost by 9 points, it was a huge win, there was no mention of her huge loss of support there as there will be when Obama wins by single digits. So sick of the spin.

    May 6, 2008 09:11 am at 9:11 am |
  6. Rob

    Think about what would happen if you–and every other media organization–got out of the poll business. People would have to decide for themselves whom to vote for. They would no longer stay home if the polls said their candidate had no chance or jump on the band wagon of the candidate who was supposed to win (everyone wants to be on the winning team). Yes, I know it won't happen.
    Imagine....

    May 6, 2008 09:11 am at 9:11 am |
  7. SaneTexan

    Clinton goes negative? CNN is so biased. You never talk about Obama's negative attacks. The fact is that he has only won one large state and is unelectable in the general election. He would have never one those early elections if the media hadn't given him a free ride. Now, people are seeing his true colors and no, they don't like it one bit! It seems like he and his wife are the bitter Americans here. Anyone but Obama in 08!

    May 6, 2008 09:11 am at 9:11 am |
  8. Jeremiah

    Hillary 08!

    May 6, 2008 09:14 am at 9:14 am |
  9. RON

    cnn does not like OBAMA

    BUT we will burn down the studios in atlanta.... mark my words

    May 6, 2008 09:15 am at 9:15 am |
  10. RON

    post OBAMAs 6 super delegates from yesturday

    May 6, 2008 09:16 am at 9:16 am |
  11. CNN=Hillary Clinton

    only idiots would vote for that wicked witch, only idiots.

    hillary u turly are the Worst role model for my daughter.

    May 6, 2008 09:17 am at 9:17 am |
  12. Ed, Santa Fe NM

    How can anyone vote for Hillary the Liar? Are voters so stupid they'll fall for her moronic "gas tax holiday" that's worthless? There's no way she can get that plan thru Congress or past Bush and she knows it. So her "plan" is about as valid as her memory of her trip to Bosnia!

    Hillary and Bush are 2 of a kind..... BEWARE!

    OBAMA '08

    May 6, 2008 09:17 am at 9:17 am |
  13. Lisa in Canada

    Obama is gonna WIN all the way baby. The day is coming soon. All of Canada is here waiting for you to be President. Nothing will be better than a round table talk with all the countries around the world.

    Obama '08'

    Your the best !!!!

    May 6, 2008 09:17 am at 9:17 am |
  14. Mike

    (Please Post)

    Senator Clinton will win Indiana and North Carolina will be too close for NObama to claim any real bragging rights since he was so far ahead initially.

    The undecided voters usually break for Senator Clinton; if Senator Clinton wins both states, NObama is toast.

    I am so sick and tired of all the Nobama supporters trashing Senator Clinton supporters; I hope she kicks his butt!!!

    It's amazing, months ago the black voters were for Senator Clinton (they liked her AND her stance on the issues), then after they realized he, (their bro-man) had momentum, they supported NObama.

    "Racial Divide" is alive and well, vote based on issues and not simply because you are trying to unite behind your race!

    I find it odd that the bloggers who attack the Clinton supporters are all named: Jamal, Jerome, Levon, Lekeisha and Leroy.

    Yes, I said it, and anyone who says that race is not an issue between these two candidates supporters, then you are simply fooling yourself.

    Most of the white supporters who state they will vote for NObama, once that curtain is drawn, they will vote Clinton.

    Can you say "white guilt?"

    Go Hillary!!!!!!!

    May 6, 2008 09:19 am at 9:19 am |
  15. Derek

    Hello,

    I’ve been thinking about the difficulty that Obama and Clinton are having reaching the required 2025 delegate count and of the disqualified democratic delegates from Michigan and Florida. This may seem like to simple a solution, however, I would be interested in knowing if anyone has discussed or thought of the following:

    The limit of 2025 delegates was set taking all states into account. Once the delegates from Michigan and Florida were disqualified shouldn’t the number of delegates required have been reset? Michigan has 156 and Florida has 210 for a total of 366 delegates, could the democrats not simply divide the delegates in half and lower the required 2025 delegates to 1842?

    Although I do see some of the arguments against such a move, I still have to ask is it right to make the candidates still reach 2025 delegates minus the possibility of accessing 366 potential delegates?

    Regards,

    Derek

    May 6, 2008 09:19 am at 9:19 am |
  16. RON

    i live in FLORIDA ... and im a OBAMA supporter.... only the old people went out to vote in january... since most of florida knew that the our votes would not count ... we did not vote in january.... unless there is a revote in FLORIDA... those delegates need to be split 50/50..... not only that he didnt even get to campaghn down here....

    May 6, 2008 09:20 am at 9:20 am |
  17. Marcia

    It was not Reverand Wright that damaged Barack Obama...it was 24/7 coverage of this meaningless issue for weeks by cable news that damaged Obama. Where is the coverage of the Clinton's negatives? What about Paul vs Clinton in California? What if Hillary is in jail when she gets the nomination?

    May 6, 2008 09:20 am at 9:20 am |
  18. ProudIndependent from Indiana

    DEMOCRATS, it is time to come together like never before. This contest is almost over and I believe Barack Obama will be our nominee. He will win North Carolina today, the state with the biggest delegate prize remaining. He will come within 10 points of Hillary in Indiana. He will finish the day with a net gain in delegates. Given that he was already in the delegate lead by more than 130 delegates and picked up another 4 superdelegates yesterday, the race is essentially over. That is the reality. The votes in Florida and Michigan unfortunately cannot count. They were not valid primary elections. I myself am from Florida and would have voted for Obama if I knew that the votes would count. I know many other people that were in that same boat. Is is unfortunate that our politicians failed us in ensuring our vote would count but, that had nothing to do with Barack and Hillary. They both agreed with the DNC's decisions up front. The rules were the rules and I blame the Florida state legislature above all others and the governor for what happened.

    Regardless of the outcome of the primary I will vote for either Hillary or Barack. I am a democrat and that is what real Democrats do.

    If you are for Obama and he does not get the nomination and you decide to vote Republican because of that then you are a Republican and the Democratic Party does not want you. Please don't claim you are a Democrat because YOU ARE NOT!

    If you are for Clinton and she does not get the nomination and you decide to vote Republican because of that then you are a Republican and the Democratic Party does not want you. Please don't claim you are a Democrat because YOU ARE NOT!

    If this means we lose the Presidency in November then so be it. At least we lose with a Democratic Party with loyal and faithful Democrats and no waffling, don't know who they really are, sell-outs.

    May 6, 2008 09:21 am at 9:21 am |
  19. Aaron

    Indiana,
    Please release the Democratic party from the grips of Darth Clinton.

    May 6, 2008 09:21 am at 9:21 am |
  20. Jim

    GO Hillary!

    May 6, 2008 09:25 am at 9:25 am |
  21. ECHEWEOZO

    indiana for obama

    north carolina for obama

    May 6, 2008 09:25 am at 9:25 am |
  22. Dean - Colton, CA

    I hope people do not vote based upon emotional appeals. When races are tight, and time is short the only tactic left to a candidate trying to address issues that have an emotional impact – such as your pocket book, or fear. This is done because it often works. This is how GWB was elected. As should be obvious, decisions made when one is emotionally distressed are usually *bad* decisions. This is just as true in politics as it is in your personal life – don't let emotion cloud your judgement or you may be stuck with a 'partner' that will only promise you wonderful things, but end up abusing you and cheating on you.

    May 6, 2008 09:27 am at 9:27 am |
  23. Anon

    There is always going to be a sampling error! There is no way that sufficient polls across all geographic areas can be made in the space of time that they have.

    May 6, 2008 09:27 am at 9:27 am |
  24. Anonymous

    polls polls polls. who cares. The fact is that the democrats will have to low-blow Obama out of the nomination. I have no problem with Hillary staying in the race. My problem however, is that she lies as though she really beleives what she is saying. c'mon, a gas tax holiday! Anyone voting for her at this point probably doesn't use the thinking side of the brain.

    May 6, 2008 09:28 am at 9:28 am |
  25. proud army and navy mom

    cnn you are late and lost. your news is a day late and a dollar short. 6 new delegates were picked up by Obama yesterday and you have yet to report on it, but you have the audacity to report that Tom Hanks is an Obama supporter. it's nice but not news. Superdelegates are news. i am having to look at another channel to get the real news of the day. pitiful.

    May 6, 2008 09:28 am at 9:28 am |
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