May 6th, 2008
11:42 AM ET
11 years ago

Polls: Clinton and Obama each in store for a win?

 Clinton is ahead in Indiana while Obama is up in North Carolina.

Clinton is ahead in Indiana while Obama is up in North Carolina.

(CNN) - As voters go to the polls in Indiana and North Carolina, an average of the latest surveys in both states suggests there will be a split decision between Senators Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama in their battle for the Democratic presidential nomination.

A CNN Poll of Polls in North Carolina out Tuesday morning indicates Obama is ten points ahead of Clinton, 51 percent to 41 percent, with eight percent undecided. That’s up by two points from our poll of polls Monday. Obama had been up by double digits until this weekend, when the race in North Carolina tightened up a bit.

The CNN Poll of Polls in Indiana suggests that Clinton up by four points, 48 percent to 44 percent, with eight percent unsure. The race in Indiana had been a dead heat until Clinton opened up a small lead in Monday’s poll of polls.

The CNN poll of polls is an average of the latest surveys in each state. Since it is a compilation of multiple surveys, there is no sampling error.

187 delegates are at stake as voters in Indiana and North Carolina cast ballots. It is the largest catch of delegates left this primary season, which ends with the Montana and South Dakota primaries on June 3. Going into Tuesday’s contests, Obama holds a lead over Clinton in delegates won, states won, and the popular vote (excluding Florida and Michigan, which broke party rules by moving their contests up to January) and in primary and caucus victories so far this year.

soundoff (383 Responses)
  1. Kate

    I think it's clear that Obama will win the black vote and the college kids and Hillary will win everyone else. Hillary would be the stronger candidate in the general election.

    May 6, 2008 09:37 am at 9:37 am |
  2. Tim from Ohio

    I challenge everyone to call the Obama campaign and ask that he officially and formally drop out of the presidential race tomorrow because 1) He will not be able to beat McCain in the general election, and 2) He is dividing the party, and 3) He has too much baggage.

    Please call the Obama campaign at (866) 675-2008 and demand he drop out of the race. I've already made my call. Will you?

    Hillary in 08'

    May 6, 2008 09:38 am at 9:38 am |
  3. Very realistic...

    I think it's really realistic that they each split the two states. Sadly, these two primaries won't change or tell us anything more. The only way is if Obama or Clinton swept today, which i doubt. She has 2 shots to possibly change the psychology again by winning Indiana and closing his lead in North Carolina or winning both, where Obama can only do that by winning both. But other than that, we're in the same boat we've been in. The only way to finish this is for one of them to trip up bad enough to sway the voters mind.

    May 6, 2008 09:38 am at 9:38 am |
  4. James

    CNN, how come you didn't report Obama's endorsements yesterday? I was checking all day and could not believe you didn't report it. What is going on?

    May 6, 2008 09:38 am at 9:38 am |
  5. frieda

    fired up and ready to go.we do not believe in snipers attack
    OBAMA 08

    May 6, 2008 09:38 am at 9:38 am |
  6. Jim

    Obama is going to take both! I'll eat my hat if he doesn't. I don't have a hat, but I am not going to go buy one 'cause I won't need it.... ha, ha, ha.

    OBAMA '08....

    O – B – A – M – A

    O – B – A – M – A

    May 6, 2008 09:38 am at 9:38 am |
  7. Damion K. Miles

    I think that today is going to be it. After today, there will be no reason for the Clinton camp to believe they can win the nomination. Now, they may cry foul about Michigan and Florida but, that's not going to help the party at all. Hillary should get behind Barack, wholeheartedly, and they can both bring home a win in November. Hillary and Barack, you have brought out the best and worst of us – best of all, you brought us out. Good luck in November and I'll be voting for you.

    May 6, 2008 09:38 am at 9:38 am |
  8. doodle

    Go Obama! Yes we can...tonight!!!!!

    May 6, 2008 09:39 am at 9:39 am |
  9. A vote for Hillary is a vote for McCain

    Come on Indiana
    You can decide today if you want to put democrats in the white house or give this race to McCain for a third Bush term

    A vote for Hillary is a vote for McCain

    May 6, 2008 09:39 am at 9:39 am |
  10. Bob

    Today is the last chance for the Democrats to put forward a candidate who can actually beat McCain in November. Hopefully, Hillary will win both states despite the polls and give the Democrats a chance. Otherwise, Obama will carry the nomination and be headed for a landslide loss to the republicans in November.

    Do I like Hillary? Hell no...she's dishonest person and Obama is a better person. However, Obama has no chance of winning in November. If the Democrats want the Whitehouse they need to send in a big gun, and Obama isn't it.

    Sad but true. It pains me to say...Go Hillary!

    May 6, 2008 09:39 am at 9:39 am |
  11. KFattorusso@citistreetonline.com

    It's already been shown that the undecideds typically go to Hillary, and she will win Indiana and North Carolina, Obama will lose both. I saw him in an interview the other day, and he hardly wanted to discuss anything. He is worn out from the fight, and can't go the distance. Hillary, on the other hand... has been doing this for 30 years. The Clintons NEVER get tired from campaigning, and they NEVER give up. And that's going to get her the votes.

    May 6, 2008 09:39 am at 9:39 am |
  12. bernie

    Anon, you are indeed correct. Basic statistics dictates that, unless every person is asked, there must be a margin of error. Even then, nobody can poll with perfect accuracy. It may be low, but the bell curve on such things always accounts for some variation on the stated analysis.

    BJ

    May 6, 2008 09:39 am at 9:39 am |
  13. Jeff Radun

    If Hillary wins in Indiana by more than her 4 points. It will be a great voctory.
    She is at 48-44 with 8 undecided. If she is able to get 5 of the undecided she wins 53-47 solid win, and it shows the supers that he is unelectable by the white blue collar voters the dems need.

    If Hillary can make it close in NC.
    He is up 51-41 with 8 undecided. If she gets 5 of the undecided and looses 53-47 the math doesn't change but again it shows he is loosing now that the voters have gotten to know the real Obama and Michelle.

    May 6, 2008 09:40 am at 9:40 am |
  14. Dusacre

    I wonder how long it will take most people in our country to look beyond the color of skin and to be biased by it.

    May 6, 2008 09:40 am at 9:40 am |
  15. john

    I dont trust polls anymore....yesterday clinton was leading in a CNN/GALLUP poll, but in a GALLUP daily tracking poll on the SAME DAY, Obama was leading Hillary.

    May 6, 2008 09:40 am at 9:40 am |
  16. Matt Campbell - NJ

    Residents of NC and IN, get out and vote today! In a race this close, every vote truly counts. If you don't get out today and have your voice heard, I don't want to hear you complain about the eventual Democratic Nominee for President.

    May 6, 2008 09:40 am at 9:40 am |
  17. Doug

    "Since it is a compilation of multiple surveys, there is no sampling error."

    Yeah... right. You figured out how to do the PERFECT poll.

    May 6, 2008 09:40 am at 9:40 am |
  18. Cindy

    Why is the photo shown above have Hillary banner in front of Obama's??- A political gimmick of course!

    Why not have them side by side as equal? Because he's black and we're still dealing with the black person having to always be placed behind the white person- Back to the Rosa Parks era! Rev Wright is so on target with where this country is as proven by this very subtle politocal sly move on the part of the photogher!

    America is racist!

    May 6, 2008 09:40 am at 9:40 am |
  19. gerald strother

    sampling error! Cliniton has got to win not by 5 to 6% but by 70% and then she can!t win do the math

    May 6, 2008 09:41 am at 9:41 am |
  20. FRANK

    GO HILLARY!!

    LETS HOPE THE UNDECIDED VOTES LIKE THEY HAVE IN THE PAST AND VOTE FOR HILLARY ! I DOUBLE WIN WOULD BE GREAT!!

    OBAMA'S HAS TO GO HE IS NOT ELECTABLE!

    May 6, 2008 09:41 am at 9:41 am |
  21. Bob of VT

    I can't believe the people in Indiana are easily enough fooled by Hillary's vote getting speeches. Surely they can see through her lies and deciet for tricks. One obvious one is the negative Ad she always puts out during the last few hours before the vote can begin.
    I think the people in Indiana are smart enough to realize that Hillary is a do anything to win dirty player and would make a lying underhanded President that the American people would never be able to believe.

    May 6, 2008 09:41 am at 9:41 am |
  22. Tiz

    People lets talk basics. Clinton needs at least 60% of all delegates and superdelegates left. With Obama leading in the bigger state, North Carolina, Clinton's requirements are going to increase! She is as good as out of this race, even if she wins considerably in Indiana.

    May 6, 2008 09:41 am at 9:41 am |
  23. Mike

    A win for Hillary no longer matters. She has no chance at catching up to Obama, and frankly, if she did, I don't think I would want to vote for her after all the damage she is causing to the Democratic party. She needs to drop out and help unify the party. Her ego is helping the Republicans!

    May 6, 2008 09:41 am at 9:41 am |
  24. J.S.

    They need to include Florida and Michigan-Let the voters decide by popular vote, not the super delegates.

    May 6, 2008 09:41 am at 9:41 am |
  25. Joel Schware

    "The CNN poll of polls is an average of the latest surveys in each state. Since it is a compilation of multiple surveys, there is no sampling error."

    Throughout the whole election process, I've had a real problem with polls that present a point or two of change as statistically signficant, given the large margins of error inherent to polls of a very small number of voters. At least these polls, however, clearly state there margin of error. CNN, however, is now proclaiming that by averaging these polls (and still only having a very small sample of the vote, the sampling errors magically go away. I guess this proves that math skills are disappearing quickly in this country!!!

    May 6, 2008 09:42 am at 9:42 am |
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