May 20th, 2008
01:40 PM ET
11 years ago

Poll: Obama gaining support with key Clinton demographics

Sen. Clinton was introduced by her husband at a campaign event in Louisville, Kentucky Monday.

Sen. Clinton was introduced by her husband at a campaign event in Louisville, Kentucky Monday.

(CNN) – A day after Sen. Hillary Clinton declared that the Democratic nomination fight was “nowhere near over,” polling data released Tuesday suggest Clinton is losing ground with key demographic groups that have powered her campaign so far.

Sen. Barack Obama’s 16-point lead over Clinton in the latest Gallup daily tracking poll of Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters comes from even higher support among groups that have been supporting him throughout the primary race, and from newfound support among several groups that have backed Clinton.

Obama leads or ties Clinton among women, Easterners, whites, adults with no college education, and Hispanics, with the New York senator’s support now below 50 percent in each group, according to Gallup. Both are backed by 47 percent of white voters surveyed, and Obama is essentially tied with Clinton – 47 percent to 46 percent – among Democrats whose education level is a high school diploma or less.

Clinton’s advantage among women overall seems to have evaporated, with Obama now holding a lead within the survey’s three point margin of error, 49 percent to 46 percent. Hispanics favor Obama over Clinton by 7 percentage points, 51 percent to 44 percent. And Obama now leads among voters in Eastern states by 9 percentage points over Clinton – 52 percent to 43 percent.

Clinton’s standing with whites has fallen by five percentage points during the month of May. With Hispanics, Clinton has lost eight percentage points in the same time period. Clinton’s support with Easterners has fallen by seven percentage points and with women, Clinton has last four percentage points in May. Women age 50 or older is the only major demographic group where a majority, 52 percent, still support the New York senator.

Obama’s support among voters with postgraduate education, voters with monthly incomes of at least $5000, and men – has grown to the point that, he now leads Clinton by a margin of 2-to-1. Among voters 29 or younger, Obama leads Clinton by a margin of nearly 3-to-1.

Gallup’s results released Tuesday are based on a survey of 1,261 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters using combined data from May 16-18, 2008. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points. Gallup’s May 1-13 daily tracking poll results are based on a survey of 5,474 Democratic or Democratic-leaning voters. The May 1-13 survey results have a margin of error of plus or minus one percentage point.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Hillary Clinton • Polls
soundoff (600 Responses)
  1. Joe Whittington

    Whenever I hear Senator Clinton explain why she’s still in the race, I can’t help but think of the scene between Arthur and The Black Knight in the movie Monty Python and the Holy Grail.

    It’s as if, after losing all her limbs, she’s saying to Obama, “Come back here… I’ll bite your legs off!”

    At least he has the grace not to say, “What are you going to do, bleed on me?”

    May 20, 2008 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm |
  2. Gayle

    No one asked me. Where are these polls coming from? I will never like him. I have no one to vote for this election if he gets the nomination.

    May 20, 2008 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm |
  3. David, Santa Rosa, CA

    We Obama folks need to stop the bashing of Sen. Clinton and supporters and start finding ways to heal the party. The contest has been over for a while now but I ask you to imagine if the shoe was on the other foot. What if our beloved candidate had lost to Sen. Clinton? Wouldn't we be screaming about the "political machine" behind Sen. Clinton? Wouldn't we be talking about the "same ol' politics?" Wouldn't we be inconsolable and feel our candidate was robbed because of… (fill in the blank). Wouldn’t we complain about how the system was rigged against Sen. Obama and the DNC was showing favoritism?

    The point is, after any disappointment we all, as humans, need some time and space to digest what has happened and learn to live with the reality. Not even Sen. Clinton is immune to that.

    I personally would like to see Sen. Clinton in the cabinet as Secretary of the Dept. of Health and Human Services. I’d like to see Janet Napolitano or Joe Biden as VP.

    The problem with Sen. Clinton being VP is not her ego or Obama’s ego or even the tumultuous primary. It’s Bill. And I’m saying this as a fan and admirer of Bill Clinton. I think it would be a tough nut to swallow. BUT… if Hillary is on the ticket, this Dem. won’t be complaining and will sit here with a Cheshire cat grin.

    Go Dems 08’

    Nov. is going to be so much fun, and January will be a huge relief.

    May 20, 2008 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm |
  4. Jeanne, San Diego

    It'd be nice if this would show up in the primaries. Maybe Clinton would realize this election isn't going to go her way and bow out gracefully instead of making a disgrace of herself. As far as I'm concerned this isn't winning her any points for 2012. She's not the candidate of choice for most Americans so it's time to move on to uniting the party.

    May 20, 2008 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm |
  5. Michael

    Go Obama!

    All the wayto the White HOuse.

    YES WE CAN in 2008

    May 20, 2008 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm |
  6. Love Huckabee

    Yes, go Obama! I knew you could pull it off. Yes We Can!

    Ignore the Love Huckabee. I still like Huck, but Obama is a brilliant man!

    May 20, 2008 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm |
  7. Texas Trail Dog

    X-New York Mayor Koch knows who should be the Democrat nominee DNC Super Delegates. You have cast yourself for the wrong man. We voters will make you pay come election time.

    Koch: There's no question that Hillary would be a tougher candidate for him. I think that the odds are that she would beat him, primarily because the Republicans are saddled with a record of non-achievement over the last eight years, and a president who I personally like but who is perceived by, I think it's now close to 80 percent of the public, as a failure. I don't think he's a failure on the issue of Islamic terrorism — I think he has stood up like a giant. But on all domestic issues he has a record of failure.

    May 20, 2008 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm |
  8. Proud American

    Yes we will!!
    Obama '08

    May 20, 2008 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  9. Rick in Florida

    END OF STORY.........................

    GOODBYE HILLARY.............NICE TO SEE YOU GO.

    May 20, 2008 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  10. Steve B, NewYork. NY

    This is Good News.
    It goes to show that Democrats WILL UNITE to defeat John McCain.
    4 more years is UN-ACCEPTABLE .. no matter who the Dems pic as their nominee.

    May 20, 2008 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  11. Sissie in NC

    Well, well, well.......and attacks on Obama in 3....2.......1

    May 20, 2008 12:51 pm at 12:51 pm |
  12. Proud West Virginian

    These Polls are a Joke...they change every 5 minutes...just more of CNN Bias and trying to brainwash us.

    May 20, 2008 12:51 pm at 12:51 pm |
  13. fred

    LMAO and where did you say that they were taking these polls??? Mississippi, NC etc.....

    May 20, 2008 12:51 pm at 12:51 pm |
  14. Kevin Leo (Jonesboro, GA)

    Hillary has regained her stride and is doing well as of late in these last few primaries. Let every one take a step back and allow her to finish out the process so that the party can uite behind the Democratic nominee Barack Obama. The vitrol and animosity behind thrown back and forth between the supporters of Hillary and Barack needs to end now to give us time to heal.

    Democrats unite!

    Obama '08

    May 20, 2008 12:51 pm at 12:51 pm |
  15. Smart People for Obama

    yay!

    May 20, 2008 12:51 pm at 12:51 pm |
  16. Mary

    Obama has won these voters in other states already: Wisconsin, Virginia and Maryland to name but three. Talk of Hillary Clinton being more electable is ridiculous.

    May 20, 2008 12:51 pm at 12:51 pm |
  17. Obama rules!

    Obama, I have a feeling your whole family is going down.

    Hey, who rules?

    Obama rules! Obama rules! Obama rules! Obama rules! Obama rules! Obama rules! Obama rules! ... (as the car goes over the cliff but in this case, it's our country)

    May 20, 2008 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  18. Susan

    I am delighted to read this. maybe women are beginning to realize how self important she believes she is, and how this election is all about her. People are now realizing that we must do what is best for America, and that is to band together rather than concede more of our freedoms to the Republicans! OBAMA 08!

    May 20, 2008 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  19. Bushwhacked in Eugene, OR

    The writing is on the wall, Hillary. Stay in the fight until the end, but do it with grace and dignity, and then exit the same way. Nobody likes a sore loser!

    May 20, 2008 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  20. proud army and navy mom

    good..people are coming around. maybe this article will bring Hillary to her senses. i doubt it though, when has old girl ever let something like facts get in the way of her delusions

    May 20, 2008 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  21. shelly in IL

    WAIT! Which one is it? First you say he's losing then, he's ahead! Make up your mind which is true. If you just polled 1200 people...hahahaha

    May 20, 2008 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  22. Jon

    OBAMA 08.....here we come!

    May 20, 2008 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  23. nate

    Do you know your alphabet? Here are four of the letters: O V E R. Got it?

    May 20, 2008 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  24. Thomas

    Look Obama needs 100% support from all dems to win the General Election... not 50%-70%, what is sad is I know 8+ people in my little circle of life that are voting Hillary or McCane in the GE and this is in Oregon "The Great Obama State".

    I think the fact is, Hillary and Obama WILL NOT win the GE unless they group up, really its to that point now.

    May 20, 2008 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  25. Jim, Oregon

    Thank you Clinton supporters for keep an open mind about Obama. A mind "is like a parachute it won't work unless it's open". Thank you.

    Democrats united to fight the GOP!

    May 20, 2008 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
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