May 20th, 2008
01:40 PM ET
11 years ago

Poll: Obama gaining support with key Clinton demographics

Sen. Clinton was introduced by her husband at a campaign event in Louisville, Kentucky Monday.

Sen. Clinton was introduced by her husband at a campaign event in Louisville, Kentucky Monday.

(CNN) – A day after Sen. Hillary Clinton declared that the Democratic nomination fight was “nowhere near over,” polling data released Tuesday suggest Clinton is losing ground with key demographic groups that have powered her campaign so far.

Sen. Barack Obama’s 16-point lead over Clinton in the latest Gallup daily tracking poll of Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters comes from even higher support among groups that have been supporting him throughout the primary race, and from newfound support among several groups that have backed Clinton.

Obama leads or ties Clinton among women, Easterners, whites, adults with no college education, and Hispanics, with the New York senator’s support now below 50 percent in each group, according to Gallup. Both are backed by 47 percent of white voters surveyed, and Obama is essentially tied with Clinton – 47 percent to 46 percent – among Democrats whose education level is a high school diploma or less.

Clinton’s advantage among women overall seems to have evaporated, with Obama now holding a lead within the survey’s three point margin of error, 49 percent to 46 percent. Hispanics favor Obama over Clinton by 7 percentage points, 51 percent to 44 percent. And Obama now leads among voters in Eastern states by 9 percentage points over Clinton – 52 percent to 43 percent.

Clinton’s standing with whites has fallen by five percentage points during the month of May. With Hispanics, Clinton has lost eight percentage points in the same time period. Clinton’s support with Easterners has fallen by seven percentage points and with women, Clinton has last four percentage points in May. Women age 50 or older is the only major demographic group where a majority, 52 percent, still support the New York senator.

Obama’s support among voters with postgraduate education, voters with monthly incomes of at least $5000, and men – has grown to the point that, he now leads Clinton by a margin of 2-to-1. Among voters 29 or younger, Obama leads Clinton by a margin of nearly 3-to-1.

Gallup’s results released Tuesday are based on a survey of 1,261 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters using combined data from May 16-18, 2008. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points. Gallup’s May 1-13 daily tracking poll results are based on a survey of 5,474 Democratic or Democratic-leaning voters. The May 1-13 survey results have a margin of error of plus or minus one percentage point.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Hillary Clinton • Polls
soundoff (600 Responses)
  1. Connie Williamson

    SHAME, SHAME, SHAME!! I have been a CNN addict for a longtime. We are very dissapointed with most all of the CNN people!! It doesn't take a "bright light" to see that most of you are and have been for Obama. This should NEVER have happen since you are reporting news that should be bias!

    Will not be giving 4 hours a night to CNN anymore!!

    May 20, 2008 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  2. WOW - Cedar Hill, TX

    This is great news!!!!! No matter what is being said about Obama, he is still the front runner and he will be President of the U.S. come Novermber 08.

    Clinton Supporters, you might as well come over to the winning team and stop all the hate for Obama......Obama is what this country needs and what we will have.

    Obama all the way!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    May 20, 2008 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  3. hrao

    The support from young people for Obama may be due to their fear of the draft returning and several them ending up in the war. After all the death in Iraq and Afganisthan has been of this group. So they are voting their welfare. The press makes out as if they had some superior power to see into the future.

    May 20, 2008 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  4. Mariann Pepitone

    I don't see my comment. What happened to it?

    May 20, 2008 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  5. Karol

    Of course CNN would come out with this today – the media in general has been against Clinton from the beginning.

    I'd lie to know what is the difference between "wait a minute sweetie" and "hey boy" – and you say it's not gender based!!

    Doesn't anyone else see that Rev Wright and Obama came up with the "crazy uncle " scheme to get Obama off the hot seat – perfect timing!

    Obama is only for the rich – he is arrogant and desn't have a clue how to run this country –

    May 20, 2008 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  6. GLORIA

    WHAT DO YOU EXPECT. GOODNEWS FOR THE DEM.PARTY AND A SIGN TO SENATOR CLINTON TO JOIN THE WINNING TEAM. GO OBAMA

    May 20, 2008 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  7. sacto joe

    Quit the divisive talk, Senator Clinton, especially on Michigan and Florida. And while you're at it, muzzle Geraldine Ferraro, and your other "spokespersons". You are seriously harming your chances of becoming VP.

    May 20, 2008 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  8. joann

    Another CNN lie! What I don't understand is why are Obama supporters so mean and full of hate. It sounds like you all go to Reverand Wright's church and maybe that explains why you all didn't hold Obama accountable for this disaster. One man stated it in a letter in another blog – that he never saw such hatred as in Obama supporters and such mean spirited comments, sexism etc. He said he will never vote for this man simply because of your actions as well as the media and the superdeligates who turned their back on the "dear friend Hillary". You all deserve what you get and that's all I'll say.

    May 20, 2008 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  9. Odette

    Go Obama. We can do it. Yes

    May 20, 2008 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  10. Sharon

    Maybe if she had a little more style, she wears those pantsuits that make her look all hippy and frumpy. She doesn't look presidential. She needs to wear a skirt once in a while or better designed clothes. Obama is dressed to the nines. It should not make a difference but it does ( remember the images of Kennedy compared to Nixon) . She is not realistic, which makes me wonder about her judgemnet in other matters too. GO OBAMA !

    May 20, 2008 01:43 pm at 1:43 pm |
  11. No Hope

    David in Santa Rosa...you're waisting your time. Hillary does not have the grace to admit defeat. She is going to run third party. Are you telling me Hillary Clinton will stand at a podium and support somebody else as the nominee of the Democratic Party!? PLEASE. She'll run third party and we are going to have President McCain for the next four years. Then Hillary will run again in 2012

    May 20, 2008 01:43 pm at 1:43 pm |
  12. The Reality Check

    The People Want A Decent Honorable Intelligent President! The People Need A Leader That Has Integrity And Will Unite And Improve America! Positive People Of All Walks Of Life Want Change! Power To The Positive People Of America!

    May 20, 2008 01:43 pm at 1:43 pm |
  13. OBAMA!!!

    This message board continues to disgust me. if you are a true democrat you will leave the bitterness behind and unite as one to ensure that we do not have 4 more years of Bush. Get overyourself. We can only have one democratic nominee, and its likely to be Obama. If you are such a sore loser and you will not vote or vote for four more years of Bush policy because your candidate did not win, then you I feel sorry for you. My six year olds know better and behave better. If you can't throw your support behind your beliefs, we don't want you anyways.

    May 20, 2008 01:43 pm at 1:43 pm |
  14. INDEPENDENT VOTER

    I REALLY tired of Hillary's supporters trying to strong arm the dem. party with threats of not voting dem in the fall. Well if that's how you feel then so be it. Please just join the dem party and then hit their blogs. Okay, you're not going to vote for Barack in the fall...Who in the hell do you think is gonna beg you? Just remember, she WONT get it the nom in 2012...YOU CAN BELIEVE THAT! JUST SAY THANKS TO HILLARY AND HER SUPPORTERS THE DEM PARTY HAS FALLEN APART!

    Barack 2008

    May 20, 2008 01:43 pm at 1:43 pm |
  15. lawrenceville

    cnn fully of hates towards hillary u guys dot make no sense no more and from now ur fair and balance news for obama u guys need feel ashem to urself for ceatin all these hates to hillary and any hllary supportes dont vote for obama they think u stupid and im black i will not gonna vote for him because he inject racial to the race

    May 20, 2008 01:43 pm at 1:43 pm |
  16. Pradeep

    Why is Rush Limbaugh supporting Hillary and opposed to Obama? Because Rush does not have a college degree.

    May 20, 2008 01:43 pm at 1:43 pm |
  17. Mike, Iowa

    Now that Operation Chaos is winding down, maybe we're starting to see *real* poll numbers instead of the slanted ones that certain radio show hosts wanted to see.

    May 20, 2008 01:43 pm at 1:43 pm |
  18. Karol

    Of course CNN would come out with this today – the media in general has been against Clinton from the beginning.

    I'd like to know what is the difference between "wait a minute sweetie" and "hey boy" – and you say it's not gender based!!

    Doesn't anyone else see that Rev Wright and Obama came up with the "crazy uncle " scheme to get Obama off the hot seat – perfect timing!

    Obama is only for the rich – he is arrogant and desn't have a clue how to run this country –

    May 20, 2008 01:43 pm at 1:43 pm |
  19. carmen

    More good news will follow as soon as Hillary gets out of the way completely.

    May 20, 2008 01:43 pm at 1:43 pm |
  20. Alexander

    You have to be kidding me. I wish all of you mindless Clinton-ites would realize you are rallying behind a woman who will do anything to be President. Look at her sweeping statement that she "is winning" the popular vote. That is if you cut out the caucuses (which is a contrary argument to her "let all the votes count." And she wants to include Michigan where Obama was not even a candidate. Huh!?! This is the President you want? I guess later, she'll say, "well, is winning depends on what your definition of is, is." Give it a break Hillary, you are only making this easier for the Republicans to beat the Democrats by dragging on this Farce.

    May 20, 2008 01:44 pm at 1:44 pm |
  21. AJ, IL

    For all the Hillary supporters, just go to the polls in November and hold your nose and vote Obama! Hillary and Obama vote similiarily around 90 to 95% of the time!

    May 20, 2008 01:44 pm at 1:44 pm |
  22. natalie

    Go Obama!

    He has won this nomination with dignity and honesty.

    Clinton needs to bow out gracefully so we, as Democrats, can be a united party. Unfortunately she has too big of an ego for this.

    May 20, 2008 01:44 pm at 1:44 pm |
  23. OBAMA SUPPORTER

    HELLO ALL
    we had no doubt the clinton supporters would come on board. it is the republicans who are being so rude pretending to be dem.

    god bless america and ted kennedy

    May 20, 2008 01:44 pm at 1:44 pm |
  24. Larry in Wilmington DE

    The Fat Lady is singing her encore!!

    May 20, 2008 01:44 pm at 1:44 pm |
  25. MMN - Milwaukee WI

    Sadly so Clinton is the queen of spin. At one point she said she’ll remain in the race until the last vote is cast, then that changed to until we (DEMS) have a nominee. The coded words here are she’ll not give up after June 3rd, she’ll not give up until all supers have made their pledges, she’ll not give up until FL & MI issues have been settled, she’ll not give up until the convention is over and not until the DEM Party is a total wreck.

    May 20, 2008 01:44 pm at 1:44 pm |
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