May 20th, 2008
01:40 PM ET
11 years ago

Poll: Obama gaining support with key Clinton demographics

Sen. Clinton was introduced by her husband at a campaign event in Louisville, Kentucky Monday.

Sen. Clinton was introduced by her husband at a campaign event in Louisville, Kentucky Monday.

(CNN) – A day after Sen. Hillary Clinton declared that the Democratic nomination fight was “nowhere near over,” polling data released Tuesday suggest Clinton is losing ground with key demographic groups that have powered her campaign so far.

Sen. Barack Obama’s 16-point lead over Clinton in the latest Gallup daily tracking poll of Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters comes from even higher support among groups that have been supporting him throughout the primary race, and from newfound support among several groups that have backed Clinton.

Obama leads or ties Clinton among women, Easterners, whites, adults with no college education, and Hispanics, with the New York senator’s support now below 50 percent in each group, according to Gallup. Both are backed by 47 percent of white voters surveyed, and Obama is essentially tied with Clinton – 47 percent to 46 percent – among Democrats whose education level is a high school diploma or less.

Clinton’s advantage among women overall seems to have evaporated, with Obama now holding a lead within the survey’s three point margin of error, 49 percent to 46 percent. Hispanics favor Obama over Clinton by 7 percentage points, 51 percent to 44 percent. And Obama now leads among voters in Eastern states by 9 percentage points over Clinton – 52 percent to 43 percent.

Clinton’s standing with whites has fallen by five percentage points during the month of May. With Hispanics, Clinton has lost eight percentage points in the same time period. Clinton’s support with Easterners has fallen by seven percentage points and with women, Clinton has last four percentage points in May. Women age 50 or older is the only major demographic group where a majority, 52 percent, still support the New York senator.

Obama’s support among voters with postgraduate education, voters with monthly incomes of at least $5000, and men – has grown to the point that, he now leads Clinton by a margin of 2-to-1. Among voters 29 or younger, Obama leads Clinton by a margin of nearly 3-to-1.

Gallup’s results released Tuesday are based on a survey of 1,261 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters using combined data from May 16-18, 2008. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points. Gallup’s May 1-13 daily tracking poll results are based on a survey of 5,474 Democratic or Democratic-leaning voters. The May 1-13 survey results have a margin of error of plus or minus one percentage point.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Hillary Clinton • Polls
soundoff (600 Responses)
  1. Cammi317

    True Democrats will unite in the Fall, regardless of race, creed or color and defeat the Republican War Machine.

    May 20, 2008 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  2. Carol

    Newsflash to Republicans – You may want us to continue to fight amongst ourselves. But like typical brothers and sisters when we have a common target, we're going to steam roll you.

    So to all the fake Democrats out there stating they'll vote McCain if their candidate isn't the nominee – keep talking, it won't change the inevitable fact that come November you'll see a Democrat win the GE.

    May 20, 2008 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  3. CNN = Cynical News Network

    Sounds good to me. But it was sure to happen. I can't see how any democrat or independant or even republican who is concerned about their future, their kids future can vote for McCain who is not providing anything other than what Bush has provided for the last 7.5 years.

    May 20, 2008 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  4. dEMOBRAT

    Thats because the media keeps telling her to get out of the race!

    May 20, 2008 12:54 pm at 12:54 pm |
  5. Susan in SC

    I am sorry, but could someone explain to me how "it is nowhere near over'? Does Senator Clinton truly believe her own spin?

    Why is she still wasting money on a campaign she cannot win? Is it really all about 2012 for her?

    Does anyone else see this as TOTALLY selfishness on her part?

    What happened to being a team player and showing party loyalty? I truly hope that all democrats remember how she drug this out and hurt our party!

    She cannot win without some type of shananagins... How many of us will embrace her if she pulls something underhanded?

    Not me, not ever again.

    May 20, 2008 12:54 pm at 12:54 pm |
  6. Tex

    Hillary, Bill and James Carville will spin this info from the latest polls as Hillary has now pulled out front with all delegates, all superdelegates, all Democrats, all Republicans, all Independents and all of Bill's former bimbos. What a glorious day for the Clinton campaign! Perception is more important than fact.

    May 20, 2008 12:54 pm at 12:54 pm |
  7. Debby

    So if this is true why couldn't Obama close the deal in Kentucky or WV. I wonder what states they conducted this poll that would tell alot. Wow there up to 5,474 from 1,261. LOL What about Florida have they polled there yet with the 1.7 million that voted leaning heavily for Clinton.

    May 20, 2008 12:54 pm at 12:54 pm |
  8. Jeremiah from Canada

    Wow....Democrats finally beginning to rally behind the soon to be presumptive nominee. Way to Go Democrats. The world is watching!

    May 20, 2008 12:54 pm at 12:54 pm |
  9. SlimSista

    SO TO THE OBAMA HATERS.....THIS POLL IS AN EXAMPLE THAT HE IS GAINING STRENGTH AMONG VOTERS HE DID NOT HAVE BEFORE...SO HE'S GAINING AND IT'S NOT ALL ABOUT THE AFRICAN AMERICAN VOTES EITHER....

    OBAMA 08 & 12...

    GOOD LUCK BARACK OBAMA...THE NEXT PRESIDENT OF THE US

    May 20, 2008 12:54 pm at 12:54 pm |
  10. Clinton Supporter

    How amusing that Barack called a reporter, Honey. He later added it was "a bad habit" of his for a long time and means nothing. If someone called Barack the N word, explaining that it was "a bad habit for a long time and means nothing," would the boys on MSNBC and CNN treat as a joke and trivialize it? You tell me.

    There's not enough money in the world to get me or anyone I know to vote for Barack Obama, arrogant, sexist and out of touch. The Democrats apparently have a death wish. I hope they get what they wish for.

    May 20, 2008 12:54 pm at 12:54 pm |
  11. Mel

    Mummy Hillary, all these results and surveys show that Sen. Barack Obama is the Dem candidate nominee. Just follow the rule and let the history be writen properly. Go OBAMA 08. Praise the Lord!!!

    May 20, 2008 12:54 pm at 12:54 pm |
  12. Jamaal Kansas

    Polls don't mean Nothing I hate how they conduct those inaccurate polls Obama has a very very strong Coaliton all over the United States Polls goes up and Down all I know is Barack Obama is the Best to lead of out of this Bush Adminstration

    May 20, 2008 12:54 pm at 12:54 pm |
  13. Ben (New York)

    If he is the nominee – the majority od Dems supporting Hillary – either won't vote or will vote for Mccain

    Including myself.

    May 20, 2008 12:55 pm at 12:55 pm |
  14. Tjaye

    This is good news, but let's all wait for the "Polls don't matter" spins from the Clinton team. Polls only seem to matter when they say what she wants them to say.

    Obama O-8!

    May 20, 2008 12:55 pm at 12:55 pm |
  15. Jeff

    Finally the party is uniting! Lets go people.

    May 20, 2008 12:55 pm at 12:55 pm |
  16. Berat, Park Ridge, IL

    I don't know why these numbers would surprise anyone. I mean, everyone except for Howard Wolfson seems to have gotten the memo that this race is over, and Hillary has been doing her best to heal the wounds she inflicted in Pennsylvania, while Obama is trying to undo the damage that's been plaguing him since Ohio.

    Eventually, Wolfson will get the message too. Eventually.

    May 20, 2008 12:55 pm at 12:55 pm |
  17. New Day

    Can we stop all this divisiveness and just focus on governing a country? How about focusing on what they have in common such as, their deep-seated desire to right the nation after YOU idiots voted for Bush TWICE!!!!!!!!!!!

    May 20, 2008 12:55 pm at 12:55 pm |
  18. Jordan, NY

    Clinton is a great candidate. As were a number of other democrats that were in the race. But it seems as though more and more people are willing to coalesce around the presumed nominee. Which is precisely as it should be.

    Democrat '08

    May 20, 2008 12:55 pm at 12:55 pm |
  19. rosebud

    Hillary, put on some makeup!

    May 20, 2008 12:55 pm at 12:55 pm |
  20. FINALLY

    I KNEW PEOPLE WOULD COME TO THEIR SENSES!

    OBAMA FOR PRESIDENT

    May 20, 2008 12:55 pm at 12:55 pm |
  21. semp

    Bill and Hill just need to go home ... wherever that is?

    May 20, 2008 12:56 pm at 12:56 pm |
  22. bill from pa

    What the poll doesn't show is how she's faring with Republicans. After all Karl Rove has turned into an unofficial advisor. Why democrats will stand for this nonsense is beyond me.

    May 20, 2008 12:56 pm at 12:56 pm |
  23. David, Santa Rosa, CA

    I feel that once Sen. Clinton admits the reality of this situation and get's behind Obama (which she will do), that most Clinton supporters are reasonable and will follow her lead. For those who say they will vote McCain... my flabber is totally gasted and I'm rendered speachless.

    May 20, 2008 12:56 pm at 12:56 pm |
  24. concern ga. voter

    good news, yes we can and yes obama will in nov 2008............

    May 20, 2008 12:56 pm at 12:56 pm |
  25. Rant3000

    This is dedicated to the naysayers, yours truly – real American voters for real change.

    May 20, 2008 12:56 pm at 12:56 pm |
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