May 20th, 2008
01:40 PM ET
11 years ago

Poll: Obama gaining support with key Clinton demographics

Sen. Clinton was introduced by her husband at a campaign event in Louisville, Kentucky Monday.

Sen. Clinton was introduced by her husband at a campaign event in Louisville, Kentucky Monday.

(CNN) – A day after Sen. Hillary Clinton declared that the Democratic nomination fight was “nowhere near over,” polling data released Tuesday suggest Clinton is losing ground with key demographic groups that have powered her campaign so far.

Sen. Barack Obama’s 16-point lead over Clinton in the latest Gallup daily tracking poll of Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters comes from even higher support among groups that have been supporting him throughout the primary race, and from newfound support among several groups that have backed Clinton.

Obama leads or ties Clinton among women, Easterners, whites, adults with no college education, and Hispanics, with the New York senator’s support now below 50 percent in each group, according to Gallup. Both are backed by 47 percent of white voters surveyed, and Obama is essentially tied with Clinton – 47 percent to 46 percent – among Democrats whose education level is a high school diploma or less.

Clinton’s advantage among women overall seems to have evaporated, with Obama now holding a lead within the survey’s three point margin of error, 49 percent to 46 percent. Hispanics favor Obama over Clinton by 7 percentage points, 51 percent to 44 percent. And Obama now leads among voters in Eastern states by 9 percentage points over Clinton – 52 percent to 43 percent.

Clinton’s standing with whites has fallen by five percentage points during the month of May. With Hispanics, Clinton has lost eight percentage points in the same time period. Clinton’s support with Easterners has fallen by seven percentage points and with women, Clinton has last four percentage points in May. Women age 50 or older is the only major demographic group where a majority, 52 percent, still support the New York senator.

Obama’s support among voters with postgraduate education, voters with monthly incomes of at least $5000, and men – has grown to the point that, he now leads Clinton by a margin of 2-to-1. Among voters 29 or younger, Obama leads Clinton by a margin of nearly 3-to-1.

Gallup’s results released Tuesday are based on a survey of 1,261 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters using combined data from May 16-18, 2008. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points. Gallup’s May 1-13 daily tracking poll results are based on a survey of 5,474 Democratic or Democratic-leaning voters. The May 1-13 survey results have a margin of error of plus or minus one percentage point.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Hillary Clinton • Polls
soundoff (600 Responses)
  1. Dems Unite!!!

    For those of you who will whine and complaign about not having a candidate to vote for, do us a favor. DON"T VOTE we don't need you screwing things up more in the country because you were pissed off that Hillary didn't get the nomination. WAA WAA im voting for McCain because hillary didn't win WAA WAA. Cry me a river!

    Obama '08

    May 20, 2008 02:35 pm at 2:35 pm |
  2. Keith from Adam county Indiana

    Folks it is time for us to come together to fight against John McShame and the republican machine. Right now we should stop bashing senator Clinton and her supporters because we need their help. PLEASE PLEASE I cannot take another 4 years of the Bush policies, let's get behind our nominee and change America for a better tomorrow for our children

    May 20, 2008 02:35 pm at 2:35 pm |
  3. Deb

    It is about time we become a united political party and we put the republicans out of the White House. Most of us can not take another minute of a republican government.

    May 20, 2008 02:36 pm at 2:36 pm |
  4. POSITIVE CHANGE NOW!!!!

    I am from NY...I do think we need to hurry and come together before McBush is allowed to just rampage on with his blatant lies and mischaracterizations while we tear ourselves down....the world is watching!!!! McBush is very out of touch, he basially chastises Obama, and then a sentence later agrees with him...who can honestly even say with any self-dignity that they would vote for this bozo bush impersonator????

    May 20, 2008 02:36 pm at 2:36 pm |
  5. Will

    DEMS '08! Together we can!

    May 20, 2008 02:37 pm at 2:37 pm |
  6. Mike

    The only person who does not know that Hillary has lost the race is Hillary. The only thing she keeps doing is making a fool of herself.
    The country sees her as a flip floping liar who can not be trusted.
    Hillary – wake up and give up.

    Obama 08 YES

    May 20, 2008 02:38 pm at 2:38 pm |
  7. jack

    Please Dems, lets look at the BIGGER picture. This Nov. we need to all go to the polls and vote for any DEM on the ticket. WHY? Because with this election we can destory the Republican party. They will take a drubbing like no politician has ever experienced. The evil that was the Bush/Cheney years will be like a bad horror movie. We have the opportunity to put a majority in both houses and take control of a filibuster proof congress that can deliver what we the American public has clammored for for a long time.

    Because Hillary lost is not a reason to vote McCain.

    If you want to get even? Then vote for any Democrat on the ticket/

    May 20, 2008 02:38 pm at 2:38 pm |
  8. Just Me

    Please everyone member Ted Kennedy in your prayers and lets elect a democrat into office this year Go Dems 08...

    May 20, 2008 02:40 pm at 2:40 pm |
  9. Omentum

    Predictions tonight

    Kentucky
    Clinton 60 Obama 40

    Oregon
    Obama 57 Clinton 43

    Denial
    Cinton 100 Obama 0

    May 20, 2008 02:41 pm at 2:41 pm |
  10. Lorenzo

    It's ova Billary." Turn out the lights the party is ova."

    May 20, 2008 02:41 pm at 2:41 pm |
  11. sue

    Not only has she lost ground, she's also lost her mind. Someone please yank her offstage. She's becoming obnoxious and I'm sick and tired of hearing her drone on and on how she's winning the popular vote. Isn't there a trap door near-by??

    May 20, 2008 02:41 pm at 2:41 pm |
  12. frank

    For those Dems who say he wont win in Nov. He wont win because you wont vote for him. So its in your hands.

    do you want

    A BETTER AMERICA

    or

    A BITTER AMERICA

    May 20, 2008 02:42 pm at 2:42 pm |
  13. Ed H

    And this is news how? Any person with a hint of intelligence should be able to easily see through the charade that is Hillary Clinton.

    May 20, 2008 02:42 pm at 2:42 pm |
  14. robert ga

    Rural America has not heard enough about Obama to make an educated choice. they will before november once we clear those rumours floated by you know who.

    THey will come to love him, there are way too much democrates to mess this up in 2008 .
    Go Dems.

    May 20, 2008 02:42 pm at 2:42 pm |
  15. Democrats UNITE

    Dems come together...say no to McCain!!

    Barack has a young family and is connected to the future welfare of this country. He only needs to look at his children for inspiration.

    McCain has been hijacked by the GOP. He is the empty shell of the bipartisan politician he once was.

    Democrats 2008!!!

    May 20, 2008 02:42 pm at 2:42 pm |
  16. Simone

    FOR EVERYONE WHO ISN'T VOTING OBAMA – GET TO KNOW HIM. READ HIS BOOKS. HE IS WORTH FIGHTING FOR AND HE WILL FIGHT FOR YOU BECAUSE HE HAS THE CELLULAR ROOTS THAT WILL NEVER ALLOW HIM TO SEPARATE HIMSELF FROM YOU. AND HIS ETERNAL GOAL IS TO BRING US ALL TOGETHER – DON'T FIGHT IT – WE CAN DO IT – BUT WE HAVE TO DO IT – TOGETHER.
    As for Senator Clinton – she will have her day – she's come so far and we all know she is capable. The fact remains – for what this country needs right now – we need Senator Obama. This is not a gender or race thing – this is a – we need your help Senator Obama kind of thing!

    May 20, 2008 02:42 pm at 2:42 pm |
  17. Harry C

    Well my wife and I are not surprised by these latest poll figures. We are both white without a college degree and are considered middle income hard workers, and have supported Obama from the start. Those primary's in WV and Kentucky do not in anyway represent main stream American. What we find very interesting is that both Clinton's have called the voters in those two states as "Uneducated White's" , yet they still vote for her: This is Amazing to us, how people from that area do not recognize when they are being insulted.

    May 20, 2008 02:43 pm at 2:43 pm |
  18. Dave G

    To me, it's obvious that the Democratic ticket will be Obama/Clinton. Every other tight Democratic nomination in history has had the runner up in the VP slot. In addition, the Clintons are very talented, and Obama knows how to work with talented people.

    I don't understand the concern about Bill Clinton. If Hillary is the VP, the Clintons will live at Number One Observatory Circle – not a bad deal. Hillary will have an office in the West Wing. Bill wont. So I don't understand why Bill Clinton being the second spouse (or whatever you call it) makes any difference. He's still our beloved ex-president, and his experience may be very useful, but he wont be involved in day-to-day decisions.

    May 20, 2008 02:43 pm at 2:43 pm |
  19. An American Abroad

    I am soo glad someone finally made the Monty Python "Black Knight" reference. I referred to the Fast Times at Ridgemont High Cheerleader screaming enthusiastically yet unsuccessfully and alone in a pep rally in a post yesterday.

    I must say I find it telling that many Hillary supporters claim they will "never vote for Obama." This demonstrates the lack of depth of their position on issues. Same statement goes for Obama supporters saying the reverse a month or two ago. You would rather vote for a republican (albeit finally a more centrist republican), yet a pro-war, fear-mongering republican, over a candidate who is nearly identical to Hillary in position on the issues. Why?

    Democrats unite. If you allow such immature, petty discussions drive your behaviour, you will contribute to the ongoing cycle of fear-mongering politics and the separatist ways of this terribly failed administration´s foreign policy. The lowest approval ratings in recorded history. Democrats in 08, Please show some brains.

    May 20, 2008 02:43 pm at 2:43 pm |
  20. Omentum

    Well Hillary after this you can go back to living an elitist life again.

    May 20, 2008 02:43 pm at 2:43 pm |
  21. mr. reality

    DEMS DONT WORRY!!! all these people who say they would never vote Obama were never tru dems anyway. if you are a hillary supporter and u vote mccain you were never a hillary supporter.

    May 20, 2008 02:44 pm at 2:44 pm |
  22. paolo brandi

    It's about time! Thus time to leave the stage, finally, I would say. But the Clintons never know what time it is.

    May 20, 2008 02:44 pm at 2:44 pm |
  23. Lee Rose

    I think it's very sad that intelligent men and women are not backing Hillary. She has the years of experience with her husband being President. Together they had the courage and integrity to see themselves through the immorality in their marriage and stay together, something most people would not have done. It's obvious they truly love one another and they are prayerful people, forgiving one another as God would have them do. Hillary would make a great woman president, with the guts and determination to see this country through anything the rest of the world would throw at us. She has what it takes. O'bananna does not. He is simply the puppet on the string of the world dominators. He is nothing but the fake storefront of the western town mentality, run by those who wish to control the world. He is proof positive that those who have the most money and power dominate the rest of us. The American political process is corrupt and deceptive. It is no longer about who would do the best job, but rather about who has the most money and political power – perhaps it has always been this way, but now it is more evident and this country is going to suffer greatly because of it. Only God can turn things around now.

    May 20, 2008 02:45 pm at 2:45 pm |
  24. ANSWERING SERVICE LADY

    HATS OFF TO BOTH OF THE 2 HOT DEM PEOPLE IT HAS A BEEN A GOOD RACE AND IT IS TIME THAT THEY BOTH STAND TALL AND FIRM TOGETHER AS MKL SAID FREE AT LAST FREE AT LAST THANK GOD ALMIGHTY FREE AS LAST FROM THE REPUBLICAN PARTY IT HAS A BEEN A LONG HARD 8 YRS TIME FOR BEST TO GET BACK INTO THE BIG AND DO WHAT NEEDS TO BE DONE TO TURN THIS COUNTRY BACK AROUND !!!!!!!!!HATS OFF OBAMA, CLINTON AND EDWARDS YOU ROCK !!!!!

    May 20, 2008 02:45 pm at 2:45 pm |
  25. WFK

    Say goodnight, Hillary, and turn out the lights. There will be no 3:00 A.M. call for you.

    May 20, 2008 02:45 pm at 2:45 pm |
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