May 20th, 2008
01:40 PM ET
11 years ago

Poll: Obama gaining support with key Clinton demographics

Sen. Clinton was introduced by her husband at a campaign event in Louisville, Kentucky Monday.

Sen. Clinton was introduced by her husband at a campaign event in Louisville, Kentucky Monday.

(CNN) – A day after Sen. Hillary Clinton declared that the Democratic nomination fight was “nowhere near over,” polling data released Tuesday suggest Clinton is losing ground with key demographic groups that have powered her campaign so far.

Sen. Barack Obama’s 16-point lead over Clinton in the latest Gallup daily tracking poll of Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters comes from even higher support among groups that have been supporting him throughout the primary race, and from newfound support among several groups that have backed Clinton.

Obama leads or ties Clinton among women, Easterners, whites, adults with no college education, and Hispanics, with the New York senator’s support now below 50 percent in each group, according to Gallup. Both are backed by 47 percent of white voters surveyed, and Obama is essentially tied with Clinton – 47 percent to 46 percent – among Democrats whose education level is a high school diploma or less.

Clinton’s advantage among women overall seems to have evaporated, with Obama now holding a lead within the survey’s three point margin of error, 49 percent to 46 percent. Hispanics favor Obama over Clinton by 7 percentage points, 51 percent to 44 percent. And Obama now leads among voters in Eastern states by 9 percentage points over Clinton – 52 percent to 43 percent.

Clinton’s standing with whites has fallen by five percentage points during the month of May. With Hispanics, Clinton has lost eight percentage points in the same time period. Clinton’s support with Easterners has fallen by seven percentage points and with women, Clinton has last four percentage points in May. Women age 50 or older is the only major demographic group where a majority, 52 percent, still support the New York senator.

Obama’s support among voters with postgraduate education, voters with monthly incomes of at least $5000, and men – has grown to the point that, he now leads Clinton by a margin of 2-to-1. Among voters 29 or younger, Obama leads Clinton by a margin of nearly 3-to-1.

Gallup’s results released Tuesday are based on a survey of 1,261 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters using combined data from May 16-18, 2008. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points. Gallup’s May 1-13 daily tracking poll results are based on a survey of 5,474 Democratic or Democratic-leaning voters. The May 1-13 survey results have a margin of error of plus or minus one percentage point.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Hillary Clinton • Polls
soundoff (600 Responses)
  1. Michael straight talk

    Please face reality and exit gracefully! To be a good looser is nobel, and one can exit in a big way by rallying all supporters behind the nominee. When Democrats win against Republicans, all Democrats win no matter who's name is on the ticket!

    Once again, let's bury our ego and work for the common good!
    God Bless!

    May 20, 2008 02:46 pm at 2:46 pm |
  2. Beth

    Please do not sit home if Obama is the nominee. This country and the rest of the world cannot take four years of McCain.....

    May 20, 2008 02:46 pm at 2:46 pm |
  3. Grace

    I have never seen a sweeter picture of Bill and Hillary together. I am an Obama supporter, but this picture for some reason the picture of Bill hugging Hillary and Hillary's expression made tears come to my eyes. Hillary, even if you don't get the nomination. You are the best. Take care Hillary.

    May 20, 2008 02:46 pm at 2:46 pm |
  4. BP from ME

    A couple of observations..
    Why is it that the media only speaks about and glorifies the Clinton double digit wins..
    I do believe Obama has a few of his own...
    Another thing ...in the general election Delegate RICH California is never spoke of...Florida and Ohio, and all of those are...What happened to California...I believe Obama is going to surprise a bunch of so called swing states..I can see the whole country...in the General Election...Nothing but clear BLUE skies...Good days ahead...Go Obama...

    May 20, 2008 02:46 pm at 2:46 pm |
  5. tap

    Obama is now the democratic party leader,and all democrates must live with that ,lets rally behind your leader and get ready for the show down in november,
    Obama08

    May 20, 2008 02:46 pm at 2:46 pm |
  6. roy wilmore

    SORE LOSERS, Please stop attacking CNN for this poll. It was done by GALLUP.

    OBAMA/HAGEL 08

    May 20, 2008 02:47 pm at 2:47 pm |
  7. True

    Good for you Obama! Its been a hard drawn out fight, but alas, integrity and honesty always wins no matter who you are and where your from!

    May 20, 2008 02:47 pm at 2:47 pm |
  8. Steve from California

    Americans have become a nation of front runners. We need to "feel good" about how we are perceived by others. Perception is now fabric of our lives.

    May 20, 2008 02:47 pm at 2:47 pm |
  9. Chris

    Well of course, The Media has declaired the winner before this race is over. It was not like this from the start.

    May 20, 2008 02:48 pm at 2:48 pm |
  10. Carlos

    As an Obama supporter, we need to stop alienating Clinton supporters. And as much as I find Clinton abrasive, she is a strong political force that the Republicans will need to deal with along with the Obama. Not to say she should be the Veep. She would be a contradiction to the Obama message. Regardless, to all Clinton supporters, I'm sure Obama supporters would feel the same way, hurt, resentful, etc..etc... but I have to ask, is McCain a better choice? Please check yourselves. Be adults. Obama's platform isn't very much different. It's like comparing golf green to evergreen. Geaux Obama!!!!!!

    May 20, 2008 02:48 pm at 2:48 pm |
  11. Obama the Truthful

    geez! why can't hrc just notice what most other intelligent people already know......obama is the BEST person for the job! go obama! and lead us to a greater tomorrow.

    May 20, 2008 02:48 pm at 2:48 pm |
  12. Daniel

    I agree with a previous poster about MI and FL. As a lifelong FL resident, I cannot for the life of me understand why people are falling for Hillary's B.S.! First, she agrees to the rules put forth by the DNC, then when she feels she needs our votes to win, she tries to portray herself as our "saviour" because we were "disenfranchised"! Give me a break! Why wasn't she fighting back when this decision was first made? Wake up people! It's because she didn't think she would need FL and MI, and she didn't plan for a campaign that would last beyong February 5th!!!

    Hillary doesn't give a rat's behind about FL voters. She only wants to win! The funny thing is, even if you count FL and MI, SHE STILL LOSES!

    I must say, I have a great deal of nostalgic respect for the Clintons. I voted for Bill Clinton in 1996 – the first time I EVER voted. But now it is time to move forward. It's time for the Democrats to unite around Barack Obama. Let's hope Hillary realizes this – and SOON!

    May 20, 2008 02:49 pm at 2:49 pm |
  13. Bukky

    Who says he cant bring people together. I hope this shows the GOP that we DEMs may be mad at each other... but we hate repugs more

    May 20, 2008 02:50 pm at 2:50 pm |
  14. w.l. jones

    Mr. Buffet have a mine like steel when it come to business and eyes like an Eagle in seeing a whole continent to buy and sell our good for at least the next hundred years. With Mr. Obama at the helm and our find business men durning what they do best we are in a win win prosition where we and the Afrocain will both benfit from good relation.

    May 20, 2008 02:51 pm at 2:51 pm |
  15. American Mom for Obama

    The problem is that the MSM (not Obama) is making Hillary feel like she's wasting time and money by staying the course. Obama told her that she should stay in until she was ready to go. What's the big deal? There are only a few weeks left. Now is the time to seal the rift within our party (anysone see McCain on SNL this week?) and look toward November. We can't be divided at the time of the convention.

    Great race, Hillary. Good luck, Barack!

    May 20, 2008 02:52 pm at 2:52 pm |
  16. Chicago's Own

    Jeez it;s finally over 30 years of Bush-Clinton. WOW!

    May 20, 2008 02:52 pm at 2:52 pm |
  17. Sadden in New Jersey

    It really saddens me to hear people say that “if Hillary loses, I won’t vote for Obama,” just as it saddens me to hear, “if Obama loses, I won’t for Hillary." Wake up people, this is 2008! If you’re a democrat – then you vote democrat and remember that the two aren’t too far from each other. They share some same goals. If you want change in the US, then vote democrat

    May 20, 2008 02:53 pm at 2:53 pm |
  18. Kate

    C'mon Hillary! You know the longer you stay in there the worse the chances are for the Dems to win. So please make a graceful exit. Some of us supported you this long but now it's over.

    Time to unite and beat the reptilian Republicans!

    May 20, 2008 02:53 pm at 2:53 pm |
  19. Jim

    Read this!

    jmarie May 20th, 2008 1:12 pm ET

    I am Female, >50, Registered Republican, and will strongly consider Obama over McCain. Will not consider Clinton over McCain.

    This is not sexism, this is simply who I trust. Ferraro did further damage to women's goals on The Today Show this morning. Media has not been sexist, Clinton has just run a tacky, shrill, lies-packed campaign. (Just watching her change the rules of counting makes me laugh, albeit sadly).
    ==============

    This is my reply
    Why do you depend on news from people like Ferraro -???? You don't have a brain? to judge for your self

    May 20, 2008 02:55 pm at 2:55 pm |
  20. Dissapointed in NYC

    I am a New Yorker who voted for Senator Clinton for Senate and has literaly stood next to her at press conferences on issues like 9/11. I'd like to say that even if she were going to be the nominee, I would still vote but I don't know. She has done more than be a formidable candidate. She has lied, misrepresentated and manipulated. She has made this election not about American's, not about women but about herself in absolutely the most selfish, unflattering, un-lady like manner possible.

    May 20, 2008 02:56 pm at 2:56 pm |
  21. Generation X

    Democrats don't forget about the Republicans blogging as Hillary or Obama supporters. OPERATION CHAOS is dead. Republicans get ready for the fight of your lives. Democrats will take the White House back.

    May 20, 2008 02:56 pm at 2:56 pm |
  22. Jagdish , Vancouver,Canada

    the downward slide will gather momentun very soon.....

    May 20, 2008 02:56 pm at 2:56 pm |
  23. Lyz in MD

    On the one side, we need to stop bashing Clinton. I'm pretty upset with her right now too, but we need to heal the party.

    On the other side, feminist Clinton supporters need to put those principles ahead of their disappointment at her virtually inevitable loss of the primary.

    Between the supreme court (which effectively overturned a law protecting women against pay discrimination, and which, if McBush has his way, will overturn Roe V. Wade too) and the war, which, between horrific rapes abroad and an increase in violence against women at home, is definitely a women's isssue, you have no right to call yourself a feminist if you refuse to use your vote to stop McCain.

    May 20, 2008 02:57 pm at 2:57 pm |
  24. Jimmy VALENTE

    What Hillary wants else.
    May be she will find another utopic argument to stay in this non sense race.

    The champion accept with honour the Defeat, but the arrogant think always something (ANYthing) will happen further to win..
    Poor Hilary,
    All Clinton's lost the prestige we did have for them

    The Best Ticket: OBAMA-J.EDWARDS (With Richardson in Foreign Policies)

    Gatsby Jimmy Valente
    PhD

    May 20, 2008 02:58 pm at 2:58 pm |
  25. Blaising

    GO OBAMA!!!!!!

    May 20, 2008 02:59 pm at 2:59 pm |
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