May 20th, 2008
01:40 PM ET
11 years ago

Poll: Obama gaining support with key Clinton demographics

Sen. Clinton was introduced by her husband at a campaign event in Louisville, Kentucky Monday.

Sen. Clinton was introduced by her husband at a campaign event in Louisville, Kentucky Monday.

(CNN) – A day after Sen. Hillary Clinton declared that the Democratic nomination fight was “nowhere near over,” polling data released Tuesday suggest Clinton is losing ground with key demographic groups that have powered her campaign so far.

Sen. Barack Obama’s 16-point lead over Clinton in the latest Gallup daily tracking poll of Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters comes from even higher support among groups that have been supporting him throughout the primary race, and from newfound support among several groups that have backed Clinton.

Obama leads or ties Clinton among women, Easterners, whites, adults with no college education, and Hispanics, with the New York senator’s support now below 50 percent in each group, according to Gallup. Both are backed by 47 percent of white voters surveyed, and Obama is essentially tied with Clinton – 47 percent to 46 percent – among Democrats whose education level is a high school diploma or less.

Clinton’s advantage among women overall seems to have evaporated, with Obama now holding a lead within the survey’s three point margin of error, 49 percent to 46 percent. Hispanics favor Obama over Clinton by 7 percentage points, 51 percent to 44 percent. And Obama now leads among voters in Eastern states by 9 percentage points over Clinton – 52 percent to 43 percent.

Clinton’s standing with whites has fallen by five percentage points during the month of May. With Hispanics, Clinton has lost eight percentage points in the same time period. Clinton’s support with Easterners has fallen by seven percentage points and with women, Clinton has last four percentage points in May. Women age 50 or older is the only major demographic group where a majority, 52 percent, still support the New York senator.

Obama’s support among voters with postgraduate education, voters with monthly incomes of at least $5000, and men – has grown to the point that, he now leads Clinton by a margin of 2-to-1. Among voters 29 or younger, Obama leads Clinton by a margin of nearly 3-to-1.

Gallup’s results released Tuesday are based on a survey of 1,261 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters using combined data from May 16-18, 2008. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points. Gallup’s May 1-13 daily tracking poll results are based on a survey of 5,474 Democratic or Democratic-leaning voters. The May 1-13 survey results have a margin of error of plus or minus one percentage point.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Hillary Clinton • Polls
soundoff (600 Responses)
  1. MP-Pennsylvania

    CNN
    Finally you realized that Obama will be the president.

    Anyway thanks for posting this news

    May 20, 2008 12:59 pm at 12:59 pm |
  2. USAF Sr. Airman

    Demographics. Man what fun. Let's see since everyone is interested:

    I'm a 23 year old white male.
    I didn't go to college, instead I enlisted in the U.S. Air Force.
    I've spent my career in Security Forces.
    I'm a Iraq War combat veteran.
    I'm from rural Pennsylvania and own four guns.
    I'm Catholic.

    Wow amazing!!!!

    Some real news: Obama picked up two supers today.

    Obama '08

    May 20, 2008 12:59 pm at 12:59 pm |
  3. jeh15

    I guess you can finally say that strident Clinton is finally opening some people's eyes around here. And the Dems are now backing a proven winner. That would be Senator Barack Obama.

    May 20, 2008 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  4. Stacy Clarks

    UNITE DEMOCRATS!!!!!

    WE ALL WANT TO SEE A BETTER AMERICA UNDER THE DEMOCRATS NO MATTER YOUR BACKGROUND!!!!!!!!

    DEMOCRATS IN 08!!!!!!!!!!

    May 20, 2008 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  5. Christine V from Dallas, TX

    HOW CONVENIENT!!! THAT YOU SHOW THIS NOW

    Gallup’s results released Tuesday are based on a survey of 1,261 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters using combined data from May 16-18, 2008.

    BIASED BRAINWASHING TECHNIQUE OBAMA REPORTING!
    OH OK FORGET ABOUT THE OTHER MILLIONS!!!

    YOU MEDIA PEOPLE AND OBAMA PEOPLE ARE REALLY WORRIED AREN'T YOU....WAIT TILL NOVEMBER WHEN MILLIONS WILL SHOW UP IN FAVOR OF HILLARY OR MCCAIN AND
    NOT YOUR PRODUCT AMERICAN IDOL!

    May 20, 2008 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  6. McCain for President

    Overwhelming numbers. Billary will figure out a way to spin it.

    May 20, 2008 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  7. jr.

    Let the Election continue Obama , respect women’s rights to have a fair Election they being held back for two Centuries.

    May 20, 2008 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  8. Joseph Johnson

    These polls are misleading and you will find out why in the general election, when Obama loses to McCain. I will only vote for the democrats if Hillary is on the ticket. Also, if these polls were true Hillary wouldn't blow Obama away in Kentucky today. THE END!

    May 20, 2008 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  9. Mr.International

    The Democratic Party is coming together as it must. Time for logic and reason to rightly triumph over ignorance and lies.

    Obama '08

    May 20, 2008 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  10. Fiyah_Startah

    Alright Now!!! People let's pull it together and let's take it on home...Dems, Indies, and Repubs–OBAMA TODAY-A BETTER TOMORROW!

    2008/2012-Look at us now World!

    May 20, 2008 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  11. Randal NYC

    This information is only usefull untill it changes next month

    May 20, 2008 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  12. Democrat in LA

    It's happening– the swell of support is building throughout the party. This is a good thing.

    May 20, 2008 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  13. vic nashville,Tn

    If Obama gaining support !!!!!!! Then why he can win Kentucky
    He spend more money than Hillary in Kentucky

    CNN let wait and see the Kentucky result to night

    May 20, 2008 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  14. Question for ALL

    QUESTION FOR ALL REGARDING MI AND FL:

    I understand that MI and FL are important, but why is Hillary projecting it as if it was unfair only to her, all candidates were equally affected by it.

    1.) It was unprofessional to campaign in these states, this shows she has no regards for the rules (Rules may be right or wrong – but those were the rules that were laid out AND all candidates agreed to them before) .
    2.) Second, project it in such a way that it is not fair to her.

    Ok…now how are we going to resolve FL and MI.
    Issue # 1 – MI –
    Barack was not even on the ballot.
    Hillary was on the ballot and she campaigned there after agreeing not to.
    Issue # 2 – FL –
    Barack was on the ballot, but he did not campaign there because he was following rules.
    Hillary was on the ballot and she campaigned there after agreeing not to.

    AGAIN IT WAS NOT BARACK WHO MADE THE RULES. IT WAS THE PARTY AND EVERY CANDIDATE AGREED TO IT, WHY WAS THIS NOT PROTESTED BEFORE. SO HILLARY PLEASE STOP PORTRAYING AS IF IT WAS BARACK WHO MADE THE RULES.

    AND IF THE VOTES ARE GOING TO BE COUNTED AS POLLED THIS IS UNFAIR AND UNJUST.

    Please reply only with sensible suggestions and do not answer this with a prejudice. It is only a fair question.

    May 20, 2008 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  15. Fiyah_Startah

    Thanks Gayle, that's what we look love about your type! Keep it up!

    May 20, 2008 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  16. No Way

    That picture just made me throw up in my mouth. Please change it.

    May 20, 2008 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  17. rjames

    DON'T BELIEVE IT! THE MEDIA IS SO SKEWED FOR OBAMA. THE POLLS ARE ALWAYS WRONG. HILLARY IS STRONG AND HER SUPPORTERS ARE BEHIND HER. GO HILLARY!!!!!

    May 20, 2008 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  18. David

    At last the democrats move toward our winner. Im sorry for Clinton supporters out there, but you need to help promote the Democratic party's ideologies and values rather than sulk over a loss. Hillary was a less dignified candidate and a majority have spoken, even including MI and FL, they majority has spoken for Senator Obama. Many women should not be bitter as we may have a female on the ticket with Obama, but please not Hillary, her lies and negative attitude have spun out of control.

    OBAMA 08-12!!!

    May 20, 2008 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  19. get with the program

    we shall stand up to the real evil doers. time to take back the white house.

    May 20, 2008 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  20. Chris from NY

    As a good Obama supporter this is a good sign. After all things are coming together for him. Hope all these lexcitements asts into November election.

    May 20, 2008 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  21. mmartin arkansaw

    that's good gayle.stay home.democrats have spoken.

    May 20, 2008 01:03 pm at 1:03 pm |
  22. Tired of W, OH

    Here comes all of the Operation Chaos bloggers with their "if Hillary doesn't get the nomination, I'll vote for McCain" bull crap. Give it up, already. Everyone knows you were never really Democrats. Go back and listen to Limbaugh and eat your pork rinds.

    May 20, 2008 01:03 pm at 1:03 pm |
  23. The Truth

    As people become more educated about Hillary, the less they like.
    As people become more educated about Obama, the more they like.

    Hillary ran a good campaign but the American people have spoken.

    Democrats unite and keep McBush out of the White House.

    OBAMA: THE NEXT PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES!!!!!

    May 20, 2008 01:03 pm at 1:03 pm |
  24. Obama is the One

    as it should be
    indeed... people are clearly realizing truth...finally

    May 20, 2008 01:03 pm at 1:03 pm |
  25. Christine V from Dallas, TX

    ALSO PROVES THAT THE MEDIA'S(CNN/MSNBC...SO ON SO FORTH) CREDIBILITY IS ZEEEEEROOOO

    CNN IS PRO OBAMABOTS

    May 20, 2008 01:03 pm at 1:03 pm |
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