May 20th, 2008
01:40 PM ET
11 years ago

Poll: Obama gaining support with key Clinton demographics

Sen. Clinton was introduced by her husband at a campaign event in Louisville, Kentucky Monday.

Sen. Clinton was introduced by her husband at a campaign event in Louisville, Kentucky Monday.

(CNN) – A day after Sen. Hillary Clinton declared that the Democratic nomination fight was “nowhere near over,” polling data released Tuesday suggest Clinton is losing ground with key demographic groups that have powered her campaign so far.

Sen. Barack Obama’s 16-point lead over Clinton in the latest Gallup daily tracking poll of Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters comes from even higher support among groups that have been supporting him throughout the primary race, and from newfound support among several groups that have backed Clinton.

Obama leads or ties Clinton among women, Easterners, whites, adults with no college education, and Hispanics, with the New York senator’s support now below 50 percent in each group, according to Gallup. Both are backed by 47 percent of white voters surveyed, and Obama is essentially tied with Clinton – 47 percent to 46 percent – among Democrats whose education level is a high school diploma or less.

Clinton’s advantage among women overall seems to have evaporated, with Obama now holding a lead within the survey’s three point margin of error, 49 percent to 46 percent. Hispanics favor Obama over Clinton by 7 percentage points, 51 percent to 44 percent. And Obama now leads among voters in Eastern states by 9 percentage points over Clinton – 52 percent to 43 percent.

Clinton’s standing with whites has fallen by five percentage points during the month of May. With Hispanics, Clinton has lost eight percentage points in the same time period. Clinton’s support with Easterners has fallen by seven percentage points and with women, Clinton has last four percentage points in May. Women age 50 or older is the only major demographic group where a majority, 52 percent, still support the New York senator.

Obama’s support among voters with postgraduate education, voters with monthly incomes of at least $5000, and men – has grown to the point that, he now leads Clinton by a margin of 2-to-1. Among voters 29 or younger, Obama leads Clinton by a margin of nearly 3-to-1.

Gallup’s results released Tuesday are based on a survey of 1,261 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters using combined data from May 16-18, 2008. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points. Gallup’s May 1-13 daily tracking poll results are based on a survey of 5,474 Democratic or Democratic-leaning voters. The May 1-13 survey results have a margin of error of plus or minus one percentage point.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Hillary Clinton • Polls
soundoff (600 Responses)
  1. Kansan

    I voted for Clinton in the primary, but got totally turned off by her very negative campaigning. I have no doubt she is brilliant and great at policy, however I also think she is divisive and negative. That is not what America needs in a leader at this critical point in history. Obama is a real leader, also brilliant, and has demonstrated an ability to unite and motivate Americans. Real leaders inspire and empower. Clinton attacks and tears down. Obama 08. YES WE CAN America!

    May 20, 2008 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
  2. AJ, IL

    No more bashing each other Hillary and Obama supporters! It is time to start rallying around the Democratic front-runner, Barack Obama!

    News of Ted Kennedy's brain tumor should remind all Americans that time on earth is precious. Having a Democrat is the White House in 2009 in the goal!

    May 20, 2008 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
  3. David, Silver Spring, MD

    Obama will continue to gain support from people that were mild HRC supporters. However, as long as HRC remains in the race, strong supporters will harden even more in their allegiance.

    At a time when Hillary needs to be helping unite all Democrats around Obama, she is instead creating in some people such an emotional investment in her candidacy that she is ensuring that many people now will sit out the election or vote McCain after she eventually leaves.

    May 20, 2008 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
  4. Marilyn

    Americans are coming together. The time has come for Hillary to pack it up and go back to New York with her hubby. However, Hillary, I'm sure has already figured a way to Spin these numbers to her benefit.

    Marilyn
    La.

    May 20, 2008 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
  5. km

    I'm no expert, but I would call that kicking butt.

    May 20, 2008 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
  6. Beal Klinton

    Hillary and I both know that it "IS" over. Now I know the meaning of the word "IS"

    May 20, 2008 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
  7. jj

    If the Obama people are suppose to be sooooo educated, why can they not see, IT'S NOT ABOUT HIS COLOR, IT'S ABOUT THE MAN.. Every time I read one of their comments, they say unite with the dems no matter what color, creed etc. I can not and will not unite under a nominee I can not support or believe in. He has no experience that he can show and his JUDGEMENTS SO FAR STINK, his pastor of 20 years, of hate. Experience is what this country needs right now and if it can not be Clinton, then I will go for McCain. I vote for a person I can believe can get the job done, not a party.

    May 20, 2008 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
  8. MAW

    save time and money......if you work for a living vote republican

    May 20, 2008 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  9. EC

    Many women are going to start supporting Sen. Obama very shortly. It will be a reality, but a reality none the less.

    Bottom line, this race is bigger than the "women" issues or the "race" issues... this is all about putting a DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENT IN OFFICE people!!! Stop making this a personal issue for YOU...this is about what is BEST for the country and right NOW is our time to put the best candidate forward and stop referring to the "past". The past is dead and gone and we need to start looking forward and thinking outside the box.

    Sen. Clinton is NOT the only woman in politics worthy enough to be Commander-in-Chief. The American people just DON'T WANT her as their next President, despite what women think or want. I mean Jesus, women are acting like Sen. Clinton is the ONLY woman in the world worthy to run for President!!!

    May 20, 2008 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  10. Mark, Berwyn, PA

    is that the sound of rolling thunder, or just the sinking sound of something righteous going under?

    Good bye Hillary. Don't let the door hit your pant suit on the way out......

    May 20, 2008 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  11. Darryl

    At this time in our histroy all americans need to come togather we need to new leadership. America, we can not talke four more years of Cowboy deplomacy.

    May 20, 2008 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  12. Jeff Illinois

    It's still Clinton or nothing. Deal.

    May 20, 2008 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  13. working girl

    Clinton is wrong on all counts:

    Obama won the popular vote
    Obama won more Blue states
    Obama won more Red states
    Obama won states that mattered
    Obama won states that "didn't matter"
    Obama won the number of pledged delegates
    Obama won the number of superdelegates
    Obama is resoundingly more electable!!!

    Obama has outcampaigned Clinton!!

    The fat lady has sung... weeks ago...
    Time to listen up!

    May 20, 2008 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  14. DannyCali

    DO NOT agree with the poller....it not true at all.....poller only the people have Internet so, what's about those people not using Internet their still
    have their voice and their voting too. Whatever their say Hillary still stronger in general election but the reason is those men just don't like a
    women to have power only. If your guy don't like Hillary your guy going to
    make same mistake like 2000 and 2004. The game just start to harm
    Obama now and I don't think he going to handle it because Republican is
    not stupid party at all, look what's party got more President elected?

    May 20, 2008 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  15. NO-BAMA

    I love it how CNN goes BONKERS over 1 poll and tries to act like the Dalia Lama of Cable News predicting some kind of siesmic shift.

    Get over it –it's 1 poll.

    Hillary has her base, just like No-bama has his.

    OREGON
    4
    CLINTON
    🙂

    May 20, 2008 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  16. Zach

    This survey is full of inconsistent information. The pollsters are making the case as if to support their own conclusion. The questions must have been framed in such a way that this result was derived. I am certain that the polling sample is bias.

    May 20, 2008 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  17. New Day

    "jr. May 20th, 2008 1:00 pm ET

    Let the Election continue Obama , respect women’s rights to have a fair Election they being held back for two Centuries."

    When did you hear Obama ask Hilary to get out? Thats about as silly as saying that Obama is suppressing the vote in FL and MI. He has no say in either matter.

    Hillary will decide when she leaves the race and the DNC will decide how to seat the FL and MI delegates.

    Lets keep our eye on the prize which is getting the country back on the right track.

    May 20, 2008 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  18. jason

    which leads me to believe that all the people on this site who swear they are hillary supporters who will vote for McCain over Obama, are actually McCain supporters who are dropping the suggestion to the Hillary supporters to vote McCain – appealing to their sense of spite.

    May 20, 2008 01:19 pm at 1:19 pm |
  19. Chyrel Wallace-Jackson, Chicago Illinois

    This is great news I have been praying and hoping for unity within our party. This gives me some hope that's happening. We had great choices this time around but it is time for us to rally around the nominee, in this case clearly Obama. Let's give the Republican's hell.

    May 20, 2008 01:19 pm at 1:19 pm |
  20. Tex

    The absolute funniest and most stupid staements are those Hillarynuts who keep asking that if Obama is the winner why hasn't he closed the deal. What stupidity! Remember when this all started Hillary was the odds on favorite with all the political support of the Demnocratic party and all the fat cat and lobby support and money. Then Obama comes out of nowhere and starts beating the crap of the Clinton dynasty and political strategy of angry James "Bulldog" Carville. Clinton was the favorite and lead through Super Tuesday where she was to put Obama away. Wrong! Hillary is the one that wants to get her Hillarynuts to donate more money to pay off her debt before she throws the towel that is why she is dragging it out.. The problem is her Hillarynuts aren't bright enough to figure that out. "The party's over" sings the fat lady to the fat lady in pants' suits.

    May 20, 2008 01:19 pm at 1:19 pm |
  21. Unbelievable

    Gayle ~

    Why don't you like him?

    May 20, 2008 01:20 pm at 1:20 pm |
  22. Obama '08, Chicago, IL

    To ‘TRUE’ democratic Clinton Supporters: To those of you who are true democrats who will support the democratic nominee Obama, we thank you and welcome you aboard. Sen. Clinton waged a tenacious fight and she is to be commended. The following is NOT directed towards you.

    To All ‘OTHER’ Clinton Supporters: For those of you who say you will vote for McCain before you ever support our DEMOCRATIC NOMINEE Obama, please reconsider…

    If not – Turn around, Exit quietly and Turn the lights off after you leave. WE WILL NOT NEED YOU. Obama has a 50 state voter registration drive where thousands have been registered already, thus making up the difference of you turn-coats. We also have plenty of disaffected Republicans as well. Peace OUT.

    Obama ’08 no doubt.

    May 20, 2008 01:20 pm at 1:20 pm |
  23. Mark

    All of you Obamzombies that are simpering on about uniting the party might as well just be quiet and realize that there are many of us Democrats who despise you and your candidate and will do anything we can to see you defeated in November. Better a Republican than Obama and his cult of disciples. If the shoe were on the other foot, given the makeup of Obama’s core supporters, there would be rioting in the streets rather than talk of party unification. Get over it. We hate you as much as you hate us and there will be no unification.

    May 20, 2008 01:20 pm at 1:20 pm |
  24. Bill

    What do you expect with the media pushing Hillary out of the race, it is clear anyone would drop in numbers if the media kept on saying they had no chance and it is over for Hillary.

    Media is once again picking our next president.

    May 20, 2008 01:20 pm at 1:20 pm |
  25. ex-obama supporter

    BOTTOM LINE IN ALL OF THIS?
    McCain is clearly our next president.........WHY?

    No matter what obama wins he needs the majority of HRC's supporters to get him in the White House and he wont get it... ever!
    that is where the rubber meets the road. he can spar with Clinton on delegates, popular votes, whatever, but despite the additional numbers of newly registered democrats it is still not enough to put him over the top and he coupled with his wife and supporters have alienated far too many of Clinton's supporters with personla insultsand the like – – not to mention that obama is not capable of the presidency....

    Michelle's newly ADMIRATION of HRC comes a tad too late. She prepared a speech and stood in the front of thousands and blasted a first lady with insults that were not only un-called for but totally un-necessary..... Michelle could have made an effective without going ballistic on HRC, and it has cost her.... now she realizes the only way to cross the threshold of that White House Door is by way of HRC AND HER LOYAL SUPPORTERS.... AND it just wont happen.

    May 20, 2008 01:20 pm at 1:20 pm |
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