May 20th, 2008
01:40 PM ET
11 years ago

Poll: Obama gaining support with key Clinton demographics

Sen. Clinton was introduced by her husband at a campaign event in Louisville, Kentucky Monday.

Sen. Clinton was introduced by her husband at a campaign event in Louisville, Kentucky Monday.

(CNN) – A day after Sen. Hillary Clinton declared that the Democratic nomination fight was “nowhere near over,” polling data released Tuesday suggest Clinton is losing ground with key demographic groups that have powered her campaign so far.

Sen. Barack Obama’s 16-point lead over Clinton in the latest Gallup daily tracking poll of Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters comes from even higher support among groups that have been supporting him throughout the primary race, and from newfound support among several groups that have backed Clinton.

Obama leads or ties Clinton among women, Easterners, whites, adults with no college education, and Hispanics, with the New York senator’s support now below 50 percent in each group, according to Gallup. Both are backed by 47 percent of white voters surveyed, and Obama is essentially tied with Clinton – 47 percent to 46 percent – among Democrats whose education level is a high school diploma or less.

Clinton’s advantage among women overall seems to have evaporated, with Obama now holding a lead within the survey’s three point margin of error, 49 percent to 46 percent. Hispanics favor Obama over Clinton by 7 percentage points, 51 percent to 44 percent. And Obama now leads among voters in Eastern states by 9 percentage points over Clinton – 52 percent to 43 percent.

Clinton’s standing with whites has fallen by five percentage points during the month of May. With Hispanics, Clinton has lost eight percentage points in the same time period. Clinton’s support with Easterners has fallen by seven percentage points and with women, Clinton has last four percentage points in May. Women age 50 or older is the only major demographic group where a majority, 52 percent, still support the New York senator.

Obama’s support among voters with postgraduate education, voters with monthly incomes of at least $5000, and men – has grown to the point that, he now leads Clinton by a margin of 2-to-1. Among voters 29 or younger, Obama leads Clinton by a margin of nearly 3-to-1.

Gallup’s results released Tuesday are based on a survey of 1,261 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters using combined data from May 16-18, 2008. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points. Gallup’s May 1-13 daily tracking poll results are based on a survey of 5,474 Democratic or Democratic-leaning voters. The May 1-13 survey results have a margin of error of plus or minus one percentage point.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Hillary Clinton • Polls
soundoff (600 Responses)
  1. Mary

    My grown daughter agrees with me in that Hillary is NOT a role model for women. She has NO morals. She's only out for herself. I don't know of anyone who is going to or who have voted for her.

    Hillary would not win in November.
    People won't forget what she's done and how she behaved.

    May 20, 2008 01:20 pm at 1:20 pm |
  2. It doesn't add up

    We can all see the writing is on the wall

    May 20, 2008 01:20 pm at 1:20 pm |
  3. sue

    How quickly we forget it wasn't not too long ago Obama belittled Hillary by calling her "likeable enough" during the New Hampshire debate. Then he went on and said in the Ohio debate that he doesn't "whine" which hinted Hillary does. And most recently, he tried to belittle Hillary again by doing that "brushing her off his shoulder" thing and calling a female reporter "sweetie". HILLARY '08

    May 20, 2008 01:20 pm at 1:20 pm |
  4. Lori

    CNN please report the random poll that you are reporting and find something positive to say in it about Obama....you have to keep pushing whatever BS you can that persuades people to vote for OBAMA. Very disappointed in CNN and have stopped watching months ago. STOP THE MEDIA BIAS!

    May 20, 2008 01:21 pm at 1:21 pm |
  5. anybody but clinton

    Now if i was a Hillary supporter I would say polls schmolls. unless of course they would favor her in which case they mean everything and the superdelegates should abide by them.

    May 20, 2008 01:21 pm at 1:21 pm |
  6. The man

    I'm 29, college educated, make 6K per month, Black, and male... Guess who I'm voting for:)

    May 20, 2008 01:21 pm at 1:21 pm |
  7. sheryl

    It's just a matter of time!!!!! Let's unite!!!!!

    Obama 08/12!

    May 20, 2008 01:21 pm at 1:21 pm |
  8. get with the program

    "Christine V from Dallas, TX May 20th, 2008 1:00 pm ET

    HOW CONVENIENT!!! THAT YOU SHOW THIS NOW

    Gallup’s results released Tuesday are based on a survey of 1,261 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters using combined data from May 16-18, 2008.

    BIASED BRAINWASHING TECHNIQUE OBAMA REPORTING!
    OH OK FORGET ABOUT THE OTHER MILLIONS!!!

    YOU MEDIA PEOPLE AND OBAMA PEOPLE ARE REALLY WORRIED AREN'T YOU….WAIT TILL NOVEMBER WHEN MILLIONS WILL SHOW UP IN FAVOR OF HILLARY OR MCCAIN AND
    NOT YOUR PRODUCT AMERICAN IDOL!"

    you're beating a dead horse. a vote for mccain is a slap in the face for hillary.

    May 20, 2008 01:21 pm at 1:21 pm |
  9. Steve

    odd how when clinton is racking up her biggest wins now the national polls are repoting just the opposite?! It doesnt take a statistical genius to understand this polling is useless....

    May 20, 2008 01:21 pm at 1:21 pm |
  10. Caryn, Washington DC

    Hillary is not going anywhere. Obama will be sworn into office and she'll still be campaigning. People should just ignore her...she's a non-issue at this point.

    We have more important matters to tend to and we don't have time to worry about the ramblings of one delusional woman.

    May 20, 2008 01:21 pm at 1:21 pm |
  11. Fredi

    to Dallas, TX
    "I guess I need to know why all these people support Obama. I just don't see any substance."

    try to imagine a country where the government is honest and transparent, where the president tells the people the truth or at least what he knows or believes to be true. Imagine a country where the president tell you the real reasons why he makes decisions we may not agree with.

    just imagine being informed instead of manipulated.

    May 20, 2008 01:21 pm at 1:21 pm |
  12. No Hillary

    Obama is gaining because:

    1) People are tired of seeing democrats running against each other
    2) People want to see an end to this primary and concentrate on general election
    3) people are tired of Clinton

    May 20, 2008 01:21 pm at 1:21 pm |
  13. Amber

    Hillary, you've put up a good fight, but your job as a politician is apparently in some other position.

    For those of you who reluctantly support Obama due to circumstance, your support is greatly appreciated. Now let's take back our government!

    May 20, 2008 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |
  14. georgia

    Clinton supporter ,Obama actually said sweetie (not honey) something I & many others (male & female) use totally innocuosly.
    @ least he's not using cigars like someone we all know & love.

    May 20, 2008 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |
  15. kelly WI

    Read Richard Cohen in RCP
    Comment by Misogyny Run Wild. He lists 50 lies by Ob.

    May 20, 2008 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |
  16. Belle

    Oh...Rember Obama bashed Clinton for not campaigning in the SMALLER states?

    So what does he do? Doesn't go campaign in KY or WV...or PR...he is a big hypocrite, and I will never vote for him! We already have one inexperienced hypocrite in the White House now...don't need another.

    May 20, 2008 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |
  17. Venus

    Looking forward to seeing and hearing Obama's Train Rolling Over Mc Same!

    Go Obama!

    We don't need polls – we have the facts!

    For those who will vote for Mc Same – go ahead!

    Before the war in Iraq – a barrel of oil cost $25.00-- it's now $125.00 and climbing! Go ahead and add five more years in Iraq – if you have a job – you will be walking to work! Also – considering how much Mc Same is getting from Lobbyists – what will your take home pay be like in 5-years!

    May 20, 2008 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |
  18. jr.

    Women Election means so much for you’ll to have a first women president this will help with women’s rights in so many issues. If you don’t support Hillary you’ll are taking a step backward this may be the only opportune of ones in a life time for many women.

    May 20, 2008 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |
  19. bob

    gayle, at least you arent gonna vote for mccain, for that I have a great deal of respect for you.

    May 20, 2008 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |
  20. Generation X

    FRED & SHARON MN- 103 DELEGATES TO WIN

    So let me get this straight, your are listening and supporting a women who has been a millionare for over 2 decades and YOU can relate to her? A woman who has not pumped her own gas, driven a car, went to the grocery store, did her own laundry, made dinner for her family and didn't have an accountant to pay all her bills since the early 90's...AND YOU RELATE TO HER!?

    May 20, 2008 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |
  21. ex-obama supporter

    DON'T BELIEVE THIS POLL!!!!!!
    ------
    i'm with you on that one, 100%
    it is downright pitiful how people have prostituted themselves to put obama in the oval office.......... this and others are blatenlty pititful. would be funny if not for the seriousness of it all.

    May 20, 2008 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |
  22. Hillary Supporter To The End

    What do you expect at this time when every media outlet and print media has written her off. Of course, at this time you will see skewed polls favoring Obama.

    Go Hillary!!!!

    May 20, 2008 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |
  23. Linned

    When this is all said and done I hope that all Democrats can come together with one common goal of giving the Republicans the worst loss in their history. No matter who the nominee is the difference between the two candidates pales in comparison to the Republicans.

    May 20, 2008 01:23 pm at 1:23 pm |
  24. Paul

    I am always amazed at the ignorance of people. Look, I'm an independent who will vote Democrat this election regardless of who the candidate is and/or was. I understand the emotional attraction that people have for either Obama or Clinton, but do we not have a greater responsibility to this great nation of ours, then to let our emotions ruin this country even more than it is right now. To vote Republican for any reason is bad enough this time around (I voted for Bush in 2000 & Kerry in 2004), but to vote Republican just out of pure spite and hate for the Democratic candidate because your choice lost is about the most ignorant thing I've ever head or witnessed.

    A few months back I found myself thinking the same thing, that if the Super Delegates overturned the will of the people in either case (Clinton or Obama), I would be upset and vote Republican. After taking a moment to step back and realize that that is/was not the correct answer. I came to the realization that my county, your country is more important than that. I have worn the uniform for this county (USMC), I have given myself to this country and I refuse to allow you ignorant people to be so stupid as to harm my country by voting or not voting because you are a sore loser (and a loser in life for thinking this way). Grow up people, life doesn't always go your way, get over it.

    It looks as though Barak Obama will be the Democratic candidate for President and Hillary gave a good fight and in the end lost fair and square by the rules that they both agreed to last year when this primary season kicked off. So, at this point it is not important who between the two but what is important is that we fundamentally change the direction we are going in this country and the ONLY way to accomplish this is to vote DEMOCRAT in November, no matter who it is. Bottom line, if Mickey freakin Mouse was/is the Democratic candidate for president in November.....YOU VOTE FOR MICKEY!

    Grow up people and put your country first for once since its selfishness that got us in this mess in the first place!

    May 20, 2008 01:23 pm at 1:23 pm |
  25. RickytheGriff

    Let's cut the nonsense gang.

    If Obama is the Democratic pick, and you vote for McCain just to spite him....

    ... then you are sending America's children to their deaths overseas. Their blood will be on your hands.

    And that's all there is.

    Democrat 2008.

    May 20, 2008 01:23 pm at 1:23 pm |
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24