May 20, 2008
Posted: 11:14 PM ET

From

(CNN) – CNN just predicted Obama will win the Oregon primary. How did the Illinois senator win there so easily?

Obama won overwhelming support from Oregon voters who attended college. Nearly 60 percent of that demographic went for Obama there and those voters made up nearly 80 percent of the demographic.

Obama also won big in another category: among those voters who say they do not have a religion, or have another religion outside of Catholicism, Protestantism, and Judaism.

Nearly 30 percent of Oregon Democrats said they were not religious and those voters went for Obama by 21 percentage points, 60 percent to 39 percent. And among those voters who listed "other" as their religion, a group that made up 10 percent of the vote, Obama won by 42 points, 70 percent to 28 percent.

Filed under: Exit Polls


Cinque from Texas   May 21st, 2008 3:41 am ET

The dirty little secret about why white liberals really like Obama.
We have arrived at the crux of the matter. So much of the educated white people’s love for Barack depends on educated white people’s complete ignorance of and distance from the rest of us. Barack is the black person they want the rest of us to be–half-white and loving, or “racially transcendent,” as the press loves to call him. And, since picking a candidate makes you allies with his other supporters, why would I want to be allies with educated whites whose glorification of Barack depends in large part on their implicit denigration of the rest of us?
And there it is. All of the liberal white guilt that has driven all of the liberal social policies for decades has this underlying premise: “We can help these dirty wretches out of their undignified social position with money and they will become perfect, clean, well spoken Americans like us.”
Like Barack Obama.

Sandy   May 21st, 2008 3:26 am ET

Just goes to show, a college education isn't everything. Even educated people sometimes make the mistake of basing their decisions on emotion rather than intellect.

In the little time it would actually take to compare the candidates' views (in their own words, on their own websites) for a little thing I like to call substance, anyone with even minimal analytical skills would see that the superior candidate is clear.

This is no time to let our emotions get the better of us. Wave a flag and dream of utopia later. This country has serious problems, and we need the most capable person we can get to lead us out of them. That person is Hillary Clinton.

John Smith   May 21st, 2008 2:57 am ET

It looks like the DEMS really know HOW to lose. It could be that it is the party with the most uneducated and vulnerable folks in this world.

Let the Dems give Hillary to the Republicans. Indeed, the Republicans are really eager for a "fighter" not a uniter. The Republicans will have no problem opening up their "war chest" against the Clintons. They will start where the Clintons left off– the White House items that were stolen and end up with "Bosnia fire." Yeah, let Hillary be the nominee for our women in this nation; blacks should work harder, they are not yet ready!

Barb in Tn   May 21st, 2008 2:52 am ET

If you look at all the exit polls you will find that the majority of people who have no religion vote for Obama. These are the people that say Rev. Wright makes no difference to them. Boy that's a surprise!
So if you don't believe in God you are more likely to vote for Obama. Maybe he fills a void in these peoples lives. Worshiping false idols.
Maybe if they went to church they would see what Obama really is, nothing more than a good preacher.

oseki evans   May 21st, 2008 2:35 am ET

WORD!

Trenton Sims, Los Angeles   May 21st, 2008 2:19 am ET

Sounds Logical..

Venus   May 21st, 2008 1:50 am ET

Wait————–

How about the percentage of white voters for Obama in Oregon?

raphael   May 21st, 2008 1:43 am ET

COLLEGE. . .ok. . .COOL EDGE. there's some wisdom it brings, some objectivity, bias-less.

In making complex decisions like picking someone with leadership qualities, yu can trust those who have aquired the COOL EDGE. . .oops

NO OBAMA,NEVER   May 21st, 2008 1:33 am ET

Oregon = always was a worthless town full of pot heads. The lawyers, teachers, police,students, doctors and nurses. I lived there…I know. They are very liberal because they always snort. Obama snorts too that's why he's so popular. What a bunch of rot. They deserve each other.

Dave in Oregon   May 21st, 2008 1:33 am ET

Yes, Oregon voters are educated and don't believe in fairy tales… And, we're proud of it too!

It's not just in Oregon… People with higher levels of education are consistently voting for Obama across the nation. It's the uneducated fools who fall for Clinton and McCain's worn out rhetoric.

The people of Oregon know better and we've had enough. It's time for real change in Washington!

Obama in 2008 and 2012

Latifah Taormina   May 21st, 2008 1:30 am ET

While I don't live in Oregon, I am white, female, in my 70s, college educated (but not well paid) and firmly believe in God — and I am a staunch Obama supporter. (And I caucused for him here in Austin, Texas.)

Which is just to say that generalities about the kinds of people who go for Hillary and the kinds of people who go for Obama can be really off the mark when you start talking to real people.

Thanks.

Kimberly   May 21st, 2008 1:25 am ET

Bill, in another article it states that white voters propel Clinton to victory in Kentucky? Why do you have a problem stating the white people propeled Obama to a victory in Oregon?!!! You are doing nothing more, but adding to the wedge of disivness amongs democrats - blacks and women!! Do you plan on voting for McCain?!!!

You are a very narrow journalist in your columns. How embarrasing for you - and for that matter, those who like to see this kind of split. This race should not be about race - it was not at the beginning! It should be about the issues at hand and what is at stake!! You are horrible!!

Barbara   May 21st, 2008 1:09 am ET

I always find it ridiculous when the media tries to pigeon hole voters: blue collar voters vote for Hillary, women over 60 vote for Clinton, and now the religious claim. If this were indeed true, how could Obama be winning at all? I happen to know several blue collar workers who are huge Obama supporters. (Some might even have a latte and others a beer). i happen to be a 62 year old woman Catholic voter, who has been a supporter of Obama since I heard him give his first speech announcing he was running for president. (and I do not even watch Oprah, nor do I care to). I think that with all the political pundits filling air time for 15 months, they just have to talk about something. How about news… or let us just listen to the candidates and make up our own minds?

CK   May 21st, 2008 12:56 am ET

Can we have a law that says only educated voters should vote. seriously we need this!

Talk about a strong democrat!   May 21st, 2008 12:48 am ET

I guess Obama wins voters who are not bitter about God and Guns.

Obama cannot win Catholics, Jews and Protestants, but does good with with athetists and people who are not Catholic, Jews and Protestants. They must be a large minority of people thats for sure.

Obama believes that the Unites States is 48 states not 50 states.
Man, talk about changing the rules!

For a winner, a woman who has guts and stands up for average Joe, vote Hillary Clinton for President.

Wow!   May 21st, 2008 12:48 am ET

Speaks volumes! Uneducated, low income supporters who rely on rumor and edited soundbites to make decisions for them OR education, researching, successful people who are not resentful of someone making it out of the situation they can't get out of.

Seriously! Maybe we should go back to testing ALL folks before letting them vote. Just a thought.

Michael in NC   May 21st, 2008 12:44 am ET

FOR THE LOVE OF PETE, LISTEN TO ME!!!!! I think we need to call more attention to this statistic. Forget race, forget gender. The college-educated people of America have decided Barack Obama is the better candidate. Meanwhile, Hillary Clinton is appealing to people who only have high school degrees. What does that tell you? Huh? Obama is the discerning, critical thinker's choice. Think smart, guys, please.

John Lawrence   May 21st, 2008 12:40 am ET

"College educated, non religious…" is media code for "intelleigent and sane". We'll find out in November, how big this demograph really is.

Jeanne   May 21st, 2008 12:38 am ET

Hurray for smart people! Don't you just wish there was more of this demographic throughout the country? I know I do.

Mike   May 21st, 2008 12:34 am ET

College educated? Non-religious? That just screams liberal elitism. And they voted Obama? What a shocker! Also, the world is round, and the sun sets in the west. Gimme a break.

God Bless America   May 21st, 2008 12:31 am ET

GOD BLESS EM!!!!!!

Viva Obama 08   May 21st, 2008 12:20 am ET

Obama/Hillary 08 for the white house. Yes we can.

Brandon   May 21st, 2008 12:14 am ET

Anyone who hates other people and is a tug would think Obama is great. Most hard working people will for Hillary or McCain. Obama is just a joke, and needs to drop out of race.

spencer   May 21st, 2008 12:12 am ET

Who cares…………

Beverly   May 21st, 2008 12:09 am ET

Obama will destroy the U.S. if he was to be elected President. That's why we have to get Hillary in. If it's not Hillary it will be McCain all the way for millions of dems to move to the republican side.

kate cumiskey   May 21st, 2008 12:03 am ET

I am really tired of seeing this statement. I am a highly educated (eight years of higher ed, terminal degree) professor, as is my younger sister, and both of us are solidly behind Senator Clinton, and find Obama to be a politician who makes general promises without the substance or experience to back them up. Simply because CNN says educated persons vote for Obama does not put us in his camp. I believe what we are seeing is blatant sexism: no matter how educated Americans are, they will vote for any man (even if he's inexperienced) over a woman who is obviously brilliant, strong, and confident. Very sad. I will also comment that the pundits at CNN have lost my respect entirely. They are blatantly trying to get Obama elected. And, why has no one discussed the obvious contradiction in Obama's Black candidacy, when his is just as white as he is black?

ABC   May 20th, 2008 11:59 pm ET

College educated and not caught up in religion but still Obama supporters??? I think the second adjective needs to be cut. Obama worship has now officially become a religion. Craziness. What does he plan to do to bring out this magic Change?*

* Change is an official trademark of the Obama campaign. Any resemblance to actual positive change past or future is coincidental. All qualified candidates were voiced by impersonators.

PS - Obama counts as a misspelling here but Clinton does not.

Mike in NYC   May 20th, 2008 11:56 pm ET

OR follows the well-established pattern — BO wins states with lots of blacks, and states with very few. OR clearly falls into the latter group. No surprise here.

Clinton's wins in WVA and KY are exceptions to this pattern. WVA has virtually no blacks, and she walked away with the state. KY is about 9% black, not far below the national 12.8%, but she did much better than in other states with comparable black %'s.

The Dem party bosses are hell bent on BO getting the nom — can't miss this "historic opportunity," can we? — and this will almost certainly happen. But his demographic weaknesses are stark.

Many a useful lesson is being taught this election season.

No.Cal. for Obama   May 20th, 2008 11:49 pm ET

Educated voters. Thank God. However, I find these breakdowns very insulting. Who cares what color or religion someone is? A vote is a vote. We all have someone in our families or circle of friends who are not like us yet we still like their company.

Obama supporters we should be very proud tonight. We have all worked hard and contributed to Sen. Obama's success. Everyone get a good night's sleep. Tomorrow it is on again.

Lauren Harbaugh   May 20th, 2008 11:49 pm ET

CNN's description of the "collage educated, non-religious" state of Oregon is not a description that bothers me. The issue that irks me most would be the fact that Kentucky was described as a state won by Clinton mostly because the people of Kentucky decided to play the "race card". I find it extremely bothersome to find that the same term wasn't used to belittle Obama's win in North Carolina, a state heavily populated by blacks. Clinton has as much reason to ask her voters not to vote for her just because she is white, as Obama has to ask his voters not to vote for him because he is black. Lets not forget that Caucasian Americans are not the race that can be deemed "racist".

Desmond Sequeira   May 20th, 2008 11:49 pm ET

Curiously, though not ostentatiously religious, OBAMA is by far the nearest thing to Jesus that I have seen among the presidential candidates.

"Naive, poor judgment" guy that he was, Jesus said "Love your enemies" and meant it, whether they belong to the Clinton following or are Republicans or whether they are Iranian, Cuban, Venezuelan or anybody.

Jesus sat and ate with his enemies and also challenged them to CHANGE. That is why he changed the world.

Trasa   May 20th, 2008 11:47 pm ET

Just goes to show you that Obama is the smart choice.

Obama 08 :)

mmartin arkansaw   May 20th, 2008 11:45 pm ET

the 'sensible' people.true americans.

Daniel, WA   May 20th, 2008 11:44 pm ET

Schneider, I am college educated but I will not vote for Obama. Never.

OBAMA '08   May 20th, 2008 11:44 pm ET

Thanks pollsters…………bring on the HRC and McCain supporters who still think Obama is a Muslim.

Exactly when did HRC become a champion for Christians?

BTW I was raised Baptist. My father was a minister for many years and I'm still a Christian who voted for Obama and will vote for him in Nov.

John Kearney   May 20th, 2008 11:43 pm ET

While Oregon is a relatively "godless" state (30% are "other" or "no" religion) compared to other areas of the country, we are an educated state (78% of Democrats voting are college educated). I would much rather live in an educated, godless state than a godfearing commonwealth where as many as 25% of those polled stated that race played a factor in their vote.

In Oregon, "mail-in" is a misnomer. My wife and I voted by delivering our ballots to the public library only two blocks from my office. While I was there, I checked out some books for my kids and renewed Sir Thomas More's "Utopia." I recommend that Kentucky add that book, which was written 500 years ago, and by a man who is a saint in the Catholic Church and in the Church of England , to their required reading lists.

By the way, if given the opportunity, I would have voted for Obama. In Oregon, independent voters cannot vote in big party primaries.

Becky in Texas   May 20th, 2008 11:39 pm ET

I am a white 37 year old divorced mother of 3 aged 15 and under. I would never vote for Hillary - president or VP.

I am (finally) graduating from college next summer and I support Barack Obama. I tell my kids that I am all for a woman president - just not THAT woman. I don't trust her, and I will not vote for her.

It seems like people are voting on emotion and stereotype, rather than facts - I hope this turns around before November.

Becky in Texas - a brand new Democrat

Kevin   May 20th, 2008 11:38 pm ET

Voters are crazy. Obama is the guy who is clearly more religious than Hillary Clinton and yet non-believers vote for him in Oregon. In Kentucky most voters are religious but vote for her.

marianna   May 20th, 2008 11:34 pm ET

Mr Analyst Bill: you wrote of the ooverwhelming support for Obama in Oregon whilst there was only 25 % precincts reporting. Jumping ahead yourself for your golden boy, huh?

Heidi in Houston   May 20th, 2008 11:33 pm ET

Well this tells the religious voters that only the heathens vote for Obama. Nice, now those uninformed voters have even more excuses not to vote for Obama.

bvcfgtr   May 20th, 2008 11:31 pm ET

The corollary to the questions of why Obama doesn't do as well with people who haven't been to college, and why Dems should be concerned by it:
Senator Clinton can't seem to win people who are educated. What's her problem? Why take pride in getting votes from bigots and people who are so ignorant to believe every stupid chain email they get?

Stephen   May 20th, 2008 11:31 pm ET

That is amazing that 30% of Democratic voters in Oregon are non-religious. Makes me proud.

Justin from West Haven, CT   May 20th, 2008 11:30 pm ET

Atheist for Obama.

Think about it!   May 20th, 2008 11:30 pm ET

I think the key here is Non-Religious! It appears Obama connects with people who do not "cling" to religion (like he said small town America did) and are wondering around lost. I think in the general election most people in this country have some sort of religious background. The Republicans will have fun with this guy. I know I would never vote for him!!!!!

Dee   May 20th, 2008 11:30 pm ET

More than 75,000 people show up for a Obama speech - WOW
He wins 83% off the white vote - AMAZING !
Obama wins the Oregon primary - TERRIFIC !!
Obama gets the Democratic nominee for President - PRICELESS !!!

one nation under god!!!!   May 20th, 2008 11:30 pm ET

lol college educated but no common sense.Kentucky was by far more impressive then elitist oregon.

karen   May 20th, 2008 11:29 pm ET

it didnt take me long to go over to obama camp.. i dont want to know as the DUMB southern who voted for her.. i am not college educated, not a hig paying job and live pay check to pay check.. obama gives us hope … so he does have un-educated as you say (dumb) as we take it ) so he soes have supportes who are in the dumb farm people. we will get the word out..we are smart enough to use the phones and knock on doors..

jojo   May 20th, 2008 11:29 pm ET

this is realy starting to piss me off!!!!!!!! Why is it when clinton gets most of the white vote it racist. When obama gets most of the black vote, thats just presumed normal.you want to talk racist , then be fair.

Electress   May 20th, 2008 11:28 pm ET

Hillary is genuinely committed to helping us turn this economy around!
She will be more successful with soultions for this Country!

NORA, FLORIDA   May 20th, 2008 11:28 pm ET

This should tell you alot about what is needed in the country. More educated folks that are truly aware of the issues that this country is facing. Hillary was right in her saying that the American people should think of this as a job. Well it is a job and many Americans realize that. If I was a highschool drop out (undeducated) and went to apply for a CEO job @ Disney what would be the chances of me getting that job. Hmmmmmm Lets see how long it take it to register……..

The fact is, I would not get that job because I lack the knowledge that would be required to do the job and I think that it is sick that HIllary is playing on the less educated the way she is.

Proud West Virginian   May 20th, 2008 11:24 pm ET

Wow, that's an insult to Obama. I believe I would rather be uneducated versus non religious. Brains versus Morality….I'll take Morality.

Hillary 08

A True Democrat   May 20th, 2008 11:24 pm ET

Its a no brainer - Smart people makes smarter decisions and do their homework before making a decision on who to vote for instead of making a choice only because of name recognition!
That's why! If the Hillary supporters did a little homework on their candidate they would be shocked and surprised and whats hidden - NAFTA, CAFTA, PETER PAUL etc etc etc!!!

Canadian not far from the usa border   May 20th, 2008 11:22 pm ET

Wow wish we had a guy like him in Canada running to become Canada Prime Minister.

kingsley   May 20th, 2008 11:21 pm ET

simply put.you cant pander to Obama voters. You just cant lie to them you are winning popular vote just to sway them. and thanks to the media who are driving the non religious to him even though he is more religious than hillary

Sarah   May 20th, 2008 11:21 pm ET

"Non-religious" That says something about where this country is headed. A country whose foundation rests on GOD.

K   May 20th, 2008 11:20 pm ET

I am college educated and I support Hillary. My best friend doesn't have a degree and he supports Obama. CNN…..these ridiculous stereotypes are getting old. Guess that's the only thing you can talk about besides racism or something as lame.

demographic does make a difference   May 20th, 2008 11:20 pm ET

It is not that Hillary is religious she does not know why there is suffering in the world. It is because of SIN Hillary that's why bad things happen. But catholics,protestants,and jews are lost souls eternally anyway

Hillary 2 Victory   May 20th, 2008 11:20 pm ET

OREGON VOTERS JUST WANT A PRESIDENT…

KENTUCKY VOTERS *NEED* A PRESIDENT

WE
NEED
YOU
HILLARY
:)

Jeff Spangler, Arlington, VA   May 20th, 2008 11:19 pm ET

How many Ph.D. Buddhists does it take to screw in an Obama with 270 electoral votes? Not enough around, I suspect.

LT for Obama   May 20th, 2008 11:18 pm ET

God be with them any way.

obamamama   May 20th, 2008 11:16 pm ET

time for an independent run for Hillary.This is the year and with Bar and Nader in the race Hillary can pull this off with 17,000,000 strong supporter to start with.some of Obama's pre rev. wright supporters might vote for her instead.Hillary or stay home democrat.

Accountant Guy   May 20th, 2008 11:16 pm ET

Nice to see that Oregon got it right and made an educated and well informed decision!

Chris in Va.   May 20th, 2008 11:16 pm ET

Finally away from the hillarybillies!

dennis Chen   May 20th, 2008 11:16 pm ET

All of you Barack's backers, heres point by point argument:

1) Check which candidate has better plans for the country - CLinton.
2) Check which candidate are more exposed to foreign policies - Clinton.
3) Check which candidate are more popular among democrat voters - catholics, women and white men - Clinton.
4) Check which candidate has more experience other than "Community leader" or a speech - Clinton
5) Check which candidate has a spouse who ran the country welli in the 1990s when we have cheap gas and mortgage and 0 debt - Clinton.

6) Check which candidate is surrounded by hating and racist people - Obama with his Michelle and Jeremiah Wright.

7) Check which candidate is winning despite of lack of budget - Clinton

8) Check which one appeases poiticians, promissing every politician the sun and moon when he gets nominated - Barack.

Do you ever wonder why those superdelegates are warming to Barack? Because they are expecting something in return and they know the CLintons are not that easily swayed by wrong politics.

So dont call me racist just because I like Clinton. I am an Asian Male.

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