May 26th, 2008
01:15 PM ET
6 years ago

Poll: Obama leads in Montana

Sen. Obama campaigned in Billings, Montana last week.
Sen. Obama campaigned in Billings, Montana last week.

(CNN) – Sen. Barack Obama appears to be headed for a win in one of the final contests of the Democratic nomination race, according to a new poll of likely Democratic primary voters in Montana.

Obama’s support stands at 52 percent and Clinton’s is at 35 percent. Thirteen percent of those who participated in the survey were unsure who they preferred as the Democratic nominee.

The Mason-Dixon poll of 400 likely Democratic primary voters in Montana was conducted May 19-21 and has a margin of error of plus or minus five percentage points.

Montana and South Dakota will hold the last Democratic presidential primaries on June 3; sixteen pledged delegates are up for grabs in Montana’s primary and 15 in South Dakota.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Hillary Clinton • Montana • Polls
soundoff (227 Responses)
  1. Godson

    I immigrated to this country just four years ago and sometime last year I just couldn't understand why anybody could hate the Clintons untill now. No rule stands if they're losing, and yet they still have a crowd so deficient in arithmetics that they've adopted the untested constantly wavering Clintons quantitative formula. I've never seen anything like this in the developed worlds.
    The Clintons were really in a hurry to loose my respect for them.

    May 26, 2008 03:15 pm at 3:15 pm |
  2. m y awan

    while florida and michigon voters are being punished for violation of election rules why sen clinton is not disquilified for keeping her name on the ballet paper

    May 26, 2008 03:15 pm at 3:15 pm |
  3. Rashida for Obama!

    Elisabeth,

    We the Obama supporters are not elitist.....sorry to be rude but we just think independently and with the facts in mind not just on someone who we are familiar with. I am a black female who works and I am voting for Obama not because of his race because of policies and ability!

    May 26, 2008 03:15 pm at 3:15 pm |
  4. Jerry

    Hillary has scaled down her negative comments, but Bill is still as of today talking about a Cover Up-the nominee will be pick by June 3, next week. If Obama wins why is he telling people today he can't win the general election; if he becomes the nominee than in a matter of a few days he has to endorse him and campaigne for him for the general election. It is best that he pushes Hillary's issues and stop saying how Obama can't win. If he really believe that which I do think he does, how is one to believe him getting behind Obama if he becomes the nominee.

    May 26, 2008 03:16 pm at 3:16 pm |
  5. Marc

    Obama will be our next President. I know CNN don't like this, but I would like to see them post this.

    May 26, 2008 03:16 pm at 3:16 pm |
  6. Frank McGuire

    This is not a very comprehensive survey. Who did this poll anyway? Pretty shoddy reporting .... just another example of CNN delivering entertainment as if it were 'news'.
    Nevertheless, I think Hillary is just more of the same old 'politics as usual', and on this level, she is no different from McCain. She is far too entrenched in the established order of American politics for me.
    It really is time for a change in the USA and Obama offers at least a little promise of this.

    May 26, 2008 03:16 pm at 3:16 pm |
  7. Jimmy VALENTE

    Hey Fellas Americans, wake up before it.s too late !!!!!.

    If you want Lies, promess in the wind, poverty, the lobbiest, Rich becoming more rich and poor goind down, wars actionned around the world withour reflexion, vote the Clintons Dynasty..

    If you want peace, opportunities for everyone, American prestige, jobs logic healthcare, etc.. Then Vote for the best:
    BARAK OBAMA, the trustee man, the President Messiah...Since JFK

    Jimmy, Phd – Finances.

    May 26, 2008 03:16 pm at 3:16 pm |
  8. Sandra

    I'll be so glad when this is all over with. I never seen anything like this in my life. Hillary need to stop being so hateful. Thats why it is not going in her favor.

    May 26, 2008 03:16 pm at 3:16 pm |
  9. Jim Garza

    I just spoke with Chris Driscoll, the media director for the Nader campaign, to discuss the results from my California poll that had Nader at 5%.

    MORE >>
    Quinnipiac Has Obama Behind McCain in PA, OH

    ... but Clinton leads in those states.

    5/22/08

    Here is how the matchups would go:

    * Hillary Clinton – 310
    * John McCain – 211

    * Barack Obama – 248
    * John McCain – 290

    Hillary or BUST!!!

    May 26, 2008 03:17 pm at 3:17 pm |
  10. Smitty

    How many people do you think live in Montana? Every poll is a very small sample of voters. Ive never been "polled" here in Virginia. Even in states like New York and California they only poll a thousand or so people. So given the logic of AN OHIO VOTER, Hillary should have won on Feb 5th, or March 4th, or April 22nd. She lost... I mean how many ways can you say it? You cant count Florida and Michigan as is and claim that was a fair election based off of name recognition only. You would also upset the thousands of people who didnt vote because they were told their votes wouldnt count. You have to give Obama delegates from Michigan or you would upset the people who wanted to vote for him. Split the delegates 50/50 move on to the General Election

    Democrats United
    Obama/Biden '08.

    May 26, 2008 03:17 pm at 3:17 pm |
  11. isis dagmar

    Obama supporters (of which I am one) should definitely stop attacking Senator Clinton. At this point, Obama will definitely get the nomination–that is not hubris, it simply logic–and the work now should be to unite the party, not to alienate her supporters.

    May 26, 2008 03:17 pm at 3:17 pm |
  12. Carl29

    I honestly wish that McCain puts a woman on his ticket. So, that decent woman makes history as the first female vice-president, one step to become president; meanwhile, Hillary is in the trash can of History. The word is that if Hillary is not on the democratic ticket McCain is gonna put a woman to woo all those feminazis to his camp. Bingo!!!! Another woman is gonna make history. As a female myself, I'm not against of women in high positions of power, but Hillary is another story. She is just a monster.

    May 26, 2008 03:17 pm at 3:17 pm |
  13. chisom

    good news, Another state (Montana) has been won by Obama, since CNN has maintained a 99% on their projections, that haven't been so wrong, and I was wondering, was it Bill Clinton speaking on that rad truck today about unfairness to Hill, I am very disappointed in him, He better keeps shut or loses his hard-earned respect, talking about Hillary and presidency.
    Obama, well done, 2 more states to go.

    May 26, 2008 03:17 pm at 3:17 pm |
  14. Sean

    "Vote McCain and save America." Oxymoron. Seriously, have you looked at both Clinton's and Obama's policies? Very little difference. I'm guessing the reason it's either Clinton or McCain is the closet racism. And yeah, I said it. I'm 32, white, and know racism when I see it.

    May 26, 2008 03:18 pm at 3:18 pm |
  15. Willie McGill, Graduate Student@DePaul University

    I sincerely wish Senator Obama well in Montana; however, I am a supporter of Senator Clinton. If Senator Obama receives the nomination, he will certainly lose in the general election against Senator McCain. West Virginia, Ohio, Pennsylvania, New York, Florida and Kentucky have certainly sent a loud message throughout America that Senator Obama is not the stronger candidate to win. Yet Senator Obama is determined to become the Democractic Presidental Candidate. As a man proclaiming equality, I wish him well. However, in the general election, Senator McCain will become victorious.

    May 26, 2008 03:19 pm at 3:19 pm |
  16. Carl29

    The most fascinating fact about this poll is that just 20 something % of the people in Montana has and favorable opinion of Hillary. How many has an unfavorable opinion? You guessed, more than 50%.

    May 26, 2008 03:19 pm at 3:19 pm |
  17. Concern

    I hope by November Americans will get sobber and elect person with knowledge and experience to lead Country in these difficult times.
    All this Democratic Primary was total disaster : cauces, supper delegates being bullied and pressure , DNC choosing nominee, and irresponsible -bias media, Florida/Michigan votes oh my God to much to swallow.
    Fidel Castro and Muslim world is just waiting for Barak Obama to be elected, but joy may be premature.

    May 26, 2008 03:20 pm at 3:20 pm |
  18. Nick

    Not really surprising... look at the delegate map. Obama has taken just about everything from the Midwest to the Northwest. I'm sure the numbers in South Dakota are similar.

    May 26, 2008 03:20 pm at 3:20 pm |
  19. john williams san diego, ca.

    FOOLS for HILLARY...keep repeating..MONTANA DOES NOT COUNT..MONTANA DOES NOT COUNT..MONTANA-

    May 26, 2008 03:20 pm at 3:20 pm |
  20. Ed, Santa Fe, NM

    and now we get hear more crying and whining from LOSER CLINTON.... she's a victim of the media... oh BOO HOO....

    Democrats nationally picked OBAMA, you stupid HAG..... GET IT YET?

    The media practice SEXISM and the primary system is UNFAIR and the DNC omitted Florida and Michigan... OH BOO HOO BOO HOO......

    YOU LOST, YOU DUMB HAG.... SHUT UP AND GO AWAY

    May 26, 2008 03:20 pm at 3:20 pm |
  21. Polls are polls

    Again...polls only matter if they support HRC. Just like only big states matter; swing states only matter if they are the ones HRC has won and winning 7 of the last 11 contests is more important than winning 33 out of 45 total contests. The delegates don't matter and now, neither do the superdelegates.

    This poll only polled 400 voters whereas others polled even less, so this can't matter either because the people polled accidently said they supported Obama and not HRC.

    May 26, 2008 03:20 pm at 3:20 pm |
  22. white, female, over 50

    How many states has Obama won with "landslide" percentages? Why does the Clinton campaign insist that because she's won some states with large margins that it proves something? It doesn't.

    Obama will win Montana and South Dakota. Probably with large margins. Yet somehow, the Clintons will find some other bizarre metric to be "the winner".

    I tell you what, Hillary... why don't you and Bill go run for office in the state of denial? You can fight it out about who will be on top.

    May 26, 2008 03:21 pm at 3:21 pm |
  23. Mary

    It would be interested to know who conducted these polls. I worked for a political party for 8 years and know polls can be directed in favor of one candidate over another. If CNN did these polls, they are for Obama 100%.

    No rational voter would sign on to a radical left wing extremist as Obama. Twenty years with a Black Liberation Theology Church teachings can not be erased. He is a socialist/Marxist. He will destroy the USA.

    May 26, 2008 03:21 pm at 3:21 pm |
  24. MP-Pennsylvania

    For those who think Obama cannot win big states in november.

    Texas, California, Ohio, pennsylvania, New York (obama has more votes than McCain)

    Please check the # of votes Obama vs McCain or Democrats Vs Republicans.
    Also remeber that in november there is only one candiddate representing Democratic party.

    And about rules
    Clintons were in power for 8 years and she touts that she had 35 years of experience. It looks like they got 35 years to understand the voting system of the party.

    That implies they need 35 years to understand how to govern???????

    May 26, 2008 03:21 pm at 3:21 pm |
  25. After further review,Texas

    Can we write in any language on this blog or is it limited to just two?We have people from many countries here not just two.

    May 26, 2008 03:22 pm at 3:22 pm |
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