May 26th, 2008
01:15 PM ET
10 years ago

Poll: Obama leads in Montana

Sen. Obama campaigned in Billings, Montana last week.

Sen. Obama campaigned in Billings, Montana last week.

(CNN) – Sen. Barack Obama appears to be headed for a win in one of the final contests of the Democratic nomination race, according to a new poll of likely Democratic primary voters in Montana.

Obama’s support stands at 52 percent and Clinton’s is at 35 percent. Thirteen percent of those who participated in the survey were unsure who they preferred as the Democratic nominee.

The Mason-Dixon poll of 400 likely Democratic primary voters in Montana was conducted May 19-21 and has a margin of error of plus or minus five percentage points.

Montana and South Dakota will hold the last Democratic presidential primaries on June 3; sixteen pledged delegates are up for grabs in Montana’s primary and 15 in South Dakota.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Hillary Clinton • Montana • Polls
soundoff (227 Responses)
  1. John

    Bill Clinton is right,about the way Hillary has been handled. President Bill Clinton,I think it is time to organise the millions of Hillary supporters to let them know that Hillary can win this election as an independent Democrat.The way things are going,Hillary has the right to contest as an Independent Democrat.Go Hillary.It is important.Otherwise we are in the same status quo of the last eight years.It is enough.I don't know what change Obama is talking about! Moderators make sure this printed.

    May 26, 2008 03:47 pm at 3:47 pm |
  2. Tanis

    Montana doesn't count–stupid, useless state.
    Go Hillary 08
    The USA Obama supporters are going to be stuffing their heads down their toilets when all hell breaks loose with McCain and him. Barack is going to be squashed like a bug–a big black bug!!!!!

    May 26, 2008 03:47 pm at 3:47 pm |
  3. David

    I think it's funny how all you people say he will lose against McCain when almost every single pole that puts Obama against McCain and Clinton against McCain shows Obama winning by a much larger margin...typical Clinton supporters, trying to say anything you can even though you know it's over!

    May 26, 2008 03:47 pm at 3:47 pm |
  4. R. Brown

    Obama '08 !

    Let's GO!

    May 26, 2008 03:49 pm at 3:49 pm |
  5. sistalinda

    Hillary and Bill are so desperate. Their supporters are feeling it too. And desperation brings out the WORST in us. There is way too much ugliness especially since policy differences are only slight. If we all could just be more grown up about this, it would not be so difficult to honor the eventual nominee and ultimately unite the party.

    All this talk about voting for McCain if Hilary is not the candidate is really showing a lack of thought. It is coming from a much lower place. It shows the same spoiled behavior desperate candidates demonstrate. It is not coming from the better parts of our being. Do we really want to sacrifice more of our neighbors children just to avoid having Mr. Obama take office? Search your heart. Search your MIND!

    It is a hard pill to swallow for the Clintons that the whole democratic nation was pro CLINTON at one time. But since their individual character's have shown through to be less than admirable, how could it be helped that so many would see BHO as a more suitable candidate?

    He's not perfect, and he is no MESSIAH. but he is a decent man who walks his talk with honor.

    The Clinton's service to the country is admirable too, but that does not mean that thy are justified in their sense of entitlement.

    On another note, I am so pleased to see that their are so many people who are looking beyond race (in spite of the media). Racism is so stupid. It is truly a shame that there is still so much of it. But happily, ones race (and gender for that matter) are less problematic than character.

    If only the MEDIA would learn this great lesson too.

    May 26, 2008 03:50 pm at 3:50 pm |
  6. Crazy HillBilly

    52% Obama to 35% HillBilly

    Must be all those Black people in skewing the numbers, eh pundits? Or...I know, it's the fact that no hard working White people live Montana...yeah that's it.

    Tick tock Hillary

    May 26, 2008 03:50 pm at 3:50 pm |
  7. Susan/PA

    The unsure are limbaugh brats...there in every state. Obama will prevail and WILL win the GE in November.

    Some of you Limbaugh Brats and truely out of touch. McCain will not win the GE....he offers this country nothing new...just 4 more years of Bush draining our pockets.

    To Hillary supporters: if you want that to continue and to lose what little you have left....please by all means vote McCain.......after all it is a free country.

    Cheney visits Saudi Arabia................Gas price rises
    Bush visits Saudi Arabia....................Gas prices rise again

    anyone else see a "pocket book" relationship there?

    May 26, 2008 03:51 pm at 3:51 pm |
  8. Jake

    McGovern endorsed Obama. If Democrats ever doubted where Obama was going to lead them, now they know. Obama has received McGovern's endorsement. Bill Clinton's genius was that he managed to neutralize the Democratic Party's left-wing loonies while appearing "moderate" to mainstream voters. Increasingly as Obama acts as "The Candidate," he is going to unleash the left-wing in an uncontrollable "Days of Rage" (sound familiar?) for their marginalization under the Clintons.

    May 26, 2008 03:52 pm at 3:52 pm |
  9. Conservative Buyer- CA

    It is time for all Democrats to unite and keep bringing in Republicans. If Democrats do not unite completely, it will be hard for Republicans to unite with Democrats.

    I know losing an election is hard on you Jacksonian Democrats. Please remember we've all been there together before since Al Gore. Let us all consider the far greater losses we will endure as a country if McCain goes into office.

    I am Republican converted to Obamacan because he's a uniter like Lincoln. Obama has the courage of JFK, the New Deal policies of FDR, and he's a tough foreign diplomat like Reagan.

    May 26, 2008 03:54 pm at 3:54 pm |
  10. YES WE CAN

    God Bless the wonderful people in the great State of Montan. Please don't buy into the pitty party Bill and Hillary are throwing.

    Our nation can't wait to go forward any longer. We must bring our troups home, creaate jobs, lower gas prices and the strenthen the economy. We need integrity and honesty back in the White House.

    Make your votes count. Vote for Barack Obama.


    May 26, 2008 03:55 pm at 3:55 pm |
  11. Shalauddin Ahmed

    Can any one tell me please - if winner in Montana and South Dakota take all the delegates instead of proportion. Thank you

    May 26, 2008 03:56 pm at 3:56 pm |
  12. George Ennis from Toronto, Canada

    13% are undecided!!!????

    I guess it's still "early" in the primary process....

    my advice you can get splinters from sitting on the fence for such a long time!

    May 26, 2008 03:56 pm at 3:56 pm |
  13. Kathy

    My question to the “under 30 generation” who for the first time in their lives “found their voice”… in Obama…..where have you been? Why not until now have you not exercised your right to vote? You place your faith in a man who has not been tested, pocesses little record of accomplishment and little to no experience in international or economic matters. For shame!

    Life to you folks seems rather simple. I suppose in your minds, Obama offers a sense of entitlement - your time has come. The simple fact is that if you look past his rhetoric there is little substance. You buy into his chant of “change..yes we can” with little thought as to the complexities involved in bringing about change. Some of you worship him like he is a “messiah”, here to save us from ourselves. He may in fact be anointed the nominee, and you like him, will think nothing can stop you. The simple and relevant truth is……. One can fool some of the people some of the time…but not all the people…. all the time.

    McCain may represent a party for which I may not find a lot of common ground however, I respect his honor, integrity and sacrifice to our country, the scars of which he still bears as a testament to his courage…. And I will place my hope for change in him. He has earned my respect and most likely my vote and the votes of millions of others who feel the same way.

    For the sake of our country and that of our future….thank god there are more of us than you, and we will not allow this fantasy to continue past Nov. DNC party chairs and uncommitted superdelgates… either stop this false prophet now….or we will do so with our votes come Nov.

    May 26, 2008 03:57 pm at 3:57 pm |
  14. darlington

    we all know obama is (going to be) the nominee. so i don't understand what the debate is all about. let the general election come! he will come out victorious! sure!

    May 26, 2008 03:57 pm at 3:57 pm |
  15. morrow

    So what percentage of voters in Motana are registered Democrats? How many are independents/non-partisan? And how many Republicans? I suspect Dems are a minority. Also, are the majority of the Democrats in Montana independently wealthy rich folks from 'blue' states who've bought a bit of acreage to get away from the big city? I know that's been a trend lately.

    PS: I keep seeing comments saying no one will give reasons why they'd vote McCain or write in Hillary over Obama. I've tried to submit mine (as a non-party affiliated voter), but CNN has not posted them. The gist is–I distrust the unreasoning hate-filled left wing (Obama’s loudest and staunchest support) as much as I do the unreasoning hate-filled right wing.

    May 26, 2008 03:57 pm at 3:57 pm |
  16. Desmond Sequeira

    I had a huge amount of respect for Bill Clinton while and after he was President. That respect has rapidly evaporated since he has launched this maniacal, obsessed with power, charade to have Mrs. Clinton elected. And after his wild tirade in Montana, all that respect has has gone. VERY SAD.

    Remember, it was OBAMA who was the gross underdog to Clinton. He was bold to even dare to compete. Having having proved the pundits wrong already and dealt with everything thrown at him by the Clintons , he will now prove that he can even more easily win the Presidency, we all want him to win, over McBush

    May 26, 2008 03:58 pm at 3:58 pm |
  17. ljj

    everybody goinig to see obama win the nomination but what about mcain in the general election. I'm a 15 year old teenager in toronto,cananda and i even know that obama is going to get romped.if clinton doesnt win the nomination, he has to make hillary VP or know one will vote for him.all he's got are snotty rich people[not you Bill] and the african vote.hillary's got white women,white men,old people,the hispanic vote and the ever coveted blue coller worker.mcain is able to win every single one of those groups.

    dont worry ,we have crappy candidatesover here
    to.that's why I'm a future Idependent

    Go lou

    May 26, 2008 03:58 pm at 3:58 pm |
  18. Mimi De La Cruz for OBAMA




    May 26, 2008 03:59 pm at 3:59 pm |
  19. Jacklyn

    My first point: For all of you turncoat idiots that would like to vote for McCain, then go on! You will get the same thing that you've had for the past 8 years and if you think it is going better think again. Barack Obama hopefully will win the last 3 races of this primary season and then the true Dems can start to work on getting him elected to be the PRESIDENT of the UNITED STATES of AMERICA, regardles of Race, Creed, Gender or Religion. The Clintons are out there: It is like they both have gone MAD!

    May 26, 2008 04:00 pm at 4:00 pm |
  20. Juan Gomez, Miami

    Forget Montana-–they don't have enough votes to elect a dog catcher– Obama better pay attention to us in Florida-–we sent Gore packing and we can do the same to him--I say count our votes now and count all of them-otherwise you get nothing in November-
    listen to us Barack-forewarned is forearmed.

    May 26, 2008 04:00 pm at 4:00 pm |
  21. KK

    TJ–you of little intelligence: WHY on earth do you think Obama would loose the general election? RUBBISH. Pure D rubbish. BARAK is a maverick and WILL win big in NOV. I feel sorry for you and the pity [party you will throw the day after the election. For my part, I will not be a work, but will be dancing in the streets and drinking champagne!!

    May 26, 2008 04:01 pm at 4:01 pm |
  22. vic nashville,Tn

    Who care these polls now, when super delegates behave like supreme court 2000
    MSNBC behave like Katharine Harris
    Hillary 08 or Mc Cain 08

    May 26, 2008 04:01 pm at 4:01 pm |
  23. pat deadder

    i'm canadian so your election is none of my business.i have friends from florida and many friends who came here during viet nam war. some things they were saying #1hillary clinton had the nerve to call americans misogynists my goodness who could be more misogynistic than her husband.#2why was rev wright played over and over and over on cnn and nothing was ever shown of the event ed rendell had honoring louis farrakhan and all the glowing remarks he made about him so hillary could repudiate,denounce,reject rendell's support.#3 they say they all know why barack obama didn't campaign in west would be too dangerous.also from me i love americans.p.s. we have a factory up here in quebec that recycles our garbage into ethanol.

    May 26, 2008 04:01 pm at 4:01 pm |
  24. not my real name because CNN censors me

    Thank you in advance Montana and South Dakota.

    May 26, 2008 04:01 pm at 4:01 pm |
  25. Stefan

    Can Obama win Montana in the general election? It's known as the Treasure State and has been solidly Republcan. Bill Clinton won Montana in 1992 but lost it to Bob Dole in 1996. George W. Bush won in 2000 and 2004. It has 3 electoral votes. His best bets are probably in Missoula and Bozeman, home to the University of Montana and Montana State University. .

    May 26, 2008 04:01 pm at 4:01 pm |
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