June 1st, 2008
03:18 PM ET
5 years ago

Schneider: How did Clinton win big?

(CNN) – CNN has projected that Hillary Clinton will win big in Puerto Rico. Why did she do so well there?

Two of the key reasons are her strong performance among those voters who favor statehood for Puerto Rico and her husband's popularity on the island.

According to CNN's exit polls, 60 percent of Puerto Ricans who participated in the primary favor statehood, and Clinton won 82 percent of those voters. Neither Clinton or Barack Obama have directly said they favor statehood for the island, but Clinton said earlier this week she thinks Puerto Ricans should be able to vote in the general election.

Bill Clinton's overwhelming popularity in Puerto Rico also gave the New York senator a boost. Just over 80 percent said they had a favorable view of the former president, and those voters went for Clinton by a 56 point margin, 78 percent to 22 percent. (Among the 15 percent who hold an unfavorable opinion of Bill Clinton, 76 percent voted for Obama.)


Filed under: Exit Polls • Schneider analysis
soundoff (862 Responses)
  1. kimere

    Congrats and Good bye. You will always be my hero. Please help our party to unite. I am happy that you have made your point.

    June 1, 2008 04:47 pm at 4:47 pm |
  2. Real Thing

    As a woman, I hope in my life time to finally see a woman president, who is not only the best person for the job, but one who got there on her own merit and not because of her last name.

    June 1, 2008 04:48 pm at 4:48 pm |
  3. Adam

    With all these positives for Sen. Clinton, why is the turnout so low?

    June 1, 2008 04:49 pm at 4:49 pm |
  4. HD

    Well, it appears Clinton will NOT be winning in the popular vote with only 500,000 puerto ricans turning out to vote.

    Not that winning the popular vote matters, especially since many caucus states do not get their total voters counted towards the popular vote and since the election is based on winning the most DELEGATES.

    Now Clinton has no argument. Absolutely, zero point to be in the race after Tuesday. I can see the remaining superdelegates to put Obama over the top.

    I can not see him choosing her as his VP given all of the negative press and negative divisions that come with Hillary and Bill. She can only hope that old women do not turn out to vote and McCain wins so she can try again in 2012 if Obama does not want to try again in 2012.

    If those old ladies and poor rural voters refuse to vote for Obama then they are not true democrats and they must feel that the economic, domestic and foreign policies of Bush/McCain and the republicans is the correct direction for our country.

    CNN never posts my comments b/c they love Billary.

    June 1, 2008 04:49 pm at 4:49 pm |
  5. ......

    For those who decide to vote for McCain instead of the Dem nominee (Obama).... I hope you get the worst 4yrs a Pres can offer, to show what a big mistake you have caused ....Cuz that's what you deserver for turning your back on Your Party.... Hilliary has caused chaos in misleading her supports to believing in such lies and making them think that She has won the race, but it's being taking away from her....

    Primary are won by DELEGATS not by POPULAR votes... same way the White House is Won by ELECTORAL College not by POPULAR votes.

    June 1, 2008 04:49 pm at 4:49 pm |
  6. Greta

    How much sexist can you get - pinning Clinton's win on her husband's popularity!!!

    June 1, 2008 04:49 pm at 4:49 pm |
  7. Jonathan

    Who cares anymore. Barack already clinched the Nomination the Clintons are useless and I'm glad this primary season is over. Only worthy news is how much in DEBT is the Clinton Campaign after doing so much in Puerto Rico. Just my 2 cents

    June 1, 2008 04:49 pm at 4:49 pm |
  8. loyaltohillary

    Hillary is the best candidate to win the white house! Let's face the truth without Hillary, barack will never get the same attention right now. He's lucky Hillary is very popular. He is getting advertisement for free.

    Hillary or John McCain 2008!

    June 1, 2008 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  9. Clinton For President

    Sorry Obama Supporters. Your all wrong, If Democrats allocated the delegates the same way Republicans do Hillary would be ahead. Obama has won all the Republican states. Big woop!! HELLO?!?!? OBAMA SUPPORTERS THOSE STATES WILL VOTE REPUBLICAN IN THE GENERAL ANYWAY!!!
    Hillary Clinton is the true Democratic Nominee, she won both the big dem states and the swing states. She has every right to take this to the convention.

    Hillary 2008 if not then Mccain 2008

    June 1, 2008 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  10. WHY

    Dont you guys love how puerto rico votes counts even thoe they dont pay taxes.

    June 1, 2008 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  11. Tim

    "If Obama is the "nominee" then why is Clinton winning all of these primaries at the end of the race?"

    --If Hillary is "supposed" to be the nominee why isn't she leading in pledge delegates. You know, winning by the metrics of the game. Barack is not the nominee because he clearly does not have the number needed to win. But Hillary will not be the nominee because she CAN'T reach that number. You are so stupid!

    June 1, 2008 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  12. Drew, Central FL

    How does this matter in the GE? PR can't vote. This "victory" is largely empty. PR will just become a tool for the HRC campaign to point to a bogus argument about the popular vote. All the while, Hillary will continue to ignore the caucus states in that tally and disenfranchise FL and MI voters that didn't go to the booths because they followed party rules.

    Bah! I'm so over her.

    June 1, 2008 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  13. Mary

    Please help me get out of this bizarroland....she won PR...who the heck cares...they do not vote in the General Election and they are hispanic...which means they are not probably too big on African Americans...let's all be honest. Hillary is toast...please report on that instead of this ridiculousness

    June 1, 2008 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  14. 1968 Veteran

    According to the CNN exit polls, 29% of the Hillary Clinton vote came from people who felt that her being white was a significant positive factor in determining their vote. This comes after WV and KY, where 27% and 26%, respectively, of the Clinton voters valued her whiteness over Obama's blackness.

    There is a lot of talk in the media about Hillary Clinton attracting the Reagan Democrats. This is incorrect; Hillary Clinton's solid base is the old George Wallace Democrats.

    June 1, 2008 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  15. cph9680

    Maybe she promised that Puerto Rico would be the 51st state. The only way she could win would be by making such ridiculous promises that she can't fulfill, as she's been doing all along!

    June 1, 2008 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  16. kim c

    It is over for her. She has campaign excellent but it is time to look to the future- general election. Tuesday is the day that Obama will be the Democratic Nom !!!!!!

    Obama 08

    June 1, 2008 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  17. loyaltohillary

    I love Hillary!!!! I will never give up on you!

    Hillary08

    June 1, 2008 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  18. Jasper from Chicago

    Barack Obama is officially an Uncle Tom. By quittting Trinity Church and walking out on his black brothers who need his support, he shows us that all he wants are votes and to make it worse, white votes at that.

    June 1, 2008 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  19. tony

    Well, Hillary proved that she can win uncontested election. The popular votes she get from Puerto Rico, do not mean much since the metric that determines who is the nominee, delegates, has already been decided. For the Hillary supporters who will vote for McCain, just remember, we can do the same thing to you in 2012, 2016, or whenever Hillary decides to try again.

    June 1, 2008 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  20. SZ

    What a sad ending to Axelrod's big boisterous campaign. No one has mentioned "hope" or "change" in a very long time. It's all math, math, math.

    June 1, 2008 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  21. In North Carolina

    California voter, what will your argument be for Senator Clinton continuing when she loses in South Dakota in Montana on Tuesday? I think it's wonderful that she won in Puerto Rico which isn't going to count in the General Election. I am sure her next argument will be that America doesn't care enough about Puerto Rico to make it a state! What I find is a shame how on one hand she can say, "We need to unite the party" and then in the next breath talk about how the party and the media have failed her. It's obvious she is pandering to unintelligent people. Oh yeah...that's right!

    June 1, 2008 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  22. Reality

    is Puerto Rico a state?? nope.

    June 1, 2008 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  23. d

    Hillary's last win...how sweet it is that she is finally done!, now we can get on with the General Election. Wrap it up Tuesday Obama!..

    June 1, 2008 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  24. shelley

    If and when Barack Obama wins the democratic nomination and maybe even the presidency, what will he really do, and where can he start with his CHANGE and be successful? My biggest fear is that all of the people who want him to be the president of the United States and will vote for him right now, will be the same people who will turn on him if all of the things that he has been speaking of don't come true.

    June 1, 2008 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  25. Ghost

    Lets see what happens tomorrow when the Michelle Obama video is played. Not sure of any of you heard yet, but supposedly MO was making racist "whitey" statements at her so-called old church. The video is supposed to be aired tomorrow. Maybe this is what Hillary was waiting for and lets see if she can still take the nomination from Barack.

    June 1, 2008 04:54 pm at 4:54 pm |
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