June 1st, 2008
03:18 PM ET
6 years ago

Schneider: How did Clinton win big?

(CNN) – CNN has projected that Hillary Clinton will win big in Puerto Rico. Why did she do so well there?

Two of the key reasons are her strong performance among those voters who favor statehood for Puerto Rico and her husband's popularity on the island.

According to CNN's exit polls, 60 percent of Puerto Ricans who participated in the primary favor statehood, and Clinton won 82 percent of those voters. Neither Clinton or Barack Obama have directly said they favor statehood for the island, but Clinton said earlier this week she thinks Puerto Ricans should be able to vote in the general election.

Bill Clinton's overwhelming popularity in Puerto Rico also gave the New York senator a boost. Just over 80 percent said they had a favorable view of the former president, and those voters went for Clinton by a 56 point margin, 78 percent to 22 percent. (Among the 15 percent who hold an unfavorable opinion of Bill Clinton, 76 percent voted for Obama.)


Filed under: Exit Polls • Schneider analysis
soundoff (862 Responses)
  1. Iyer

    I am not a Obama supporter. However, I fail to understand how could a person of Clinton stature could speak so much unreasonable?

    1) If popular vote is what matters why did not Clinton suggest for a change in the system wherein no delegates are awarded?

    2) If winning so called swing states / battleground states is what matters, why conduct primary election in other parts of the country?

    3) How could we use popular votes for comparison purposes – when some states held caucuses, some states allowed only registered democrats to vote and some states were open for all?

    4) I do not think it is fair to include Michigan and Florida (both votes and delegates) given that no candidate campaigned, and many people did not have an opportunity to vote. It is a complete sham.

    I wish the best political team in the country answer my above questions.

    June 1, 2008 06:39 pm at 6:39 pm |
  2. John Smith

    If I recall correctly, when this process started, Hillary had the "opportunity" to win all the "electoral" states she is now talking about. So, what happened that she is so behind today?

    Also, did all the candidates not agree that ONLY the pledged candidates would count? Okay, we now need to change the rules to "popular votes?" Be prepared to change all the rules during the general election!

    Can Hillary please simply just go away!!! This is getting to be a little annoying!

    Now Puerto Rico has been promised by Hillary about being a state to vote. Why promise something you cannot deliver? No surprises, Bill promised Monica... so that he can get what he wanted. May God have mercy on the souls of the Clintons!

    June 1, 2008 06:39 pm at 6:39 pm |
  3. hope4truth

    Why would you want someone like Hillary who doesn't have enough
    common sense to realize this race is over? PR cannot vote in the
    general election. They voted for her because they have many relatives in NY and know who she is. It's like picking Coke over 7-up. Just a better known name.She needs to tell her supporters it's over and get
    behind the nominee so we can win the White House back in the fall.
    Her fans will cut off their noses to spite their face and we might end
    up with McSame in the fall. 4 more years of dead soldiers, an economy that's tanking, higher fuel prices and food prices. Get real and vote Obama for President. I have a lot of respect for the Clintons but they need to quit banging their heads against the wall. Feels so good when you stop!

    June 1, 2008 06:39 pm at 6:39 pm |
  4. Melinda

    DNC and Obama campaign all the time talking about rules, that nobody can change during the game. Right? I have a question: Why you, people, changed rules during the game yourself?
    SUPERDELEGATES WAS DESIGN TO PICK STRONGEST CANDIDATE, who can win in November, not one who won more pledge delegates.
    Why you don't follow this rules? Hillary won popular votes!!!
    You have to follow RULES. CROOKS!
    It is fixed election. The DNC , And The Media Stealing The Nomination from Hillary. You think people don't understand what's going on?
    You think that in November we all will vote for Obama?
    NO WAY! Don't even count on us ( Hillary supporters )any more.
    If not Hillary we will vote for McCain 2008.

    June 1, 2008 06:42 pm at 6:42 pm |
  5. Katy

    HILLARY WINS ANOTHER BIG WIN>>SUPER DELEGATES ARE YOU IGNORANT OR WHAT DO YOU SEE OBAMA HAS NOT WON ANYTHING TO SPEAK OF SINCE JANUARY >>HILLARY WINS BY BIGGER AND BIGGER MARGINS AND OBAMA SPENDS THE MOST AND CAN"T WIN>>LIKE HE WILL NOT WIN IN NOVEMBER !! HILLARY GO INDEPENDENT IF THE PARTY DOES YOU WRONG>>THEY CAN"T WIN WITH OUT YOU!! YOU HAVE THE POPULAR VOTE!!HILLARY 2008!

    June 1, 2008 06:42 pm at 6:42 pm |
  6. Cali Girl

    No one stole anything from Clinton! After her 35 years of experience she should have known how to play the game.

    She claimed in Nov. 07 that she was going to be the "Nominee."

    However, she had no lasting campaign theme, she had no strategy beyond February 5th, she had no fund raising strategy, she had no sense of managing money, she had no judgment in selecting her campaign advisers. So instead of blaming Obama, the media, sexism, racism, and whatever other excuse, she should reflect and blame the only person left to blame, HERSELF!

    The nomination was hers for the taking but she failed.

    NO ONE STOLE ANYTHING FROM HER!

    June 1, 2008 06:43 pm at 6:43 pm |
  7. Eric

    Michigan Voter !!! June 1st, 2008 3:39 pm ET

    Hillary Holds The Keys To The White House !!!!! .

    ********

    She only has them because she is opening the door for President Obama!

    June 1, 2008 06:43 pm at 6:43 pm |
  8. Redneck from Kentucky

    Part of it was because Obama didn't spend much time there. He is letting her save face so she won't look like such a big loser after Tuesday. We wouldn't want her to cry again.

    June 1, 2008 06:43 pm at 6:43 pm |
  9. Peter FROM NJ

    IN A THREE RACE RUNNING FOR PRESIDENT
    OBAMA
    MCCAIN
    HILLARY

    HILLARY WILL WIN BIG
    HILLARY 08

    June 1, 2008 06:44 pm at 6:44 pm |
  10. Deborah S

    I'm so sick of the Obama people. They are so nasty–lets see, they really don't need the people that are for Hillary. So, let's see him do it with just them! Don't vote for Obama–look at who he's been close to the last 20years. Nasty,mean people!

    June 1, 2008 06:44 pm at 6:44 pm |
  11. An Independent Voter

    Who cares. The race is over and the only thing that haschanged since Late Feb 2008 is the size of Senator Obama's lead.

    June 1, 2008 06:45 pm at 6:45 pm |
  12. Sam C

    Hillary kept it close with the Republican Crossover vote in the Red States. If it weren't for Republicans voting for Hillary it wouldn't have been this close.

    June 1, 2008 06:45 pm at 6:45 pm |
  13. CONCHITA

    I think that she is a thief in the night. She has lied to my people in PR and I am not liking that. She don't tell the truth and my people are believing her. She do corruption and is a cheater.

    June 1, 2008 06:45 pm at 6:45 pm |
  14. R. Squibbs

    Why did Clinton win so big? The fact that she and her family basically camped out in PR for the last two weeks while Obama only showed for 20 hours probably has a lot to do with it.

    Why hasn't Obama scored big victories of late? Because he's campaigning in battleground states against McCain. The primary became an afterthought to him once it became MATHEMATICALLY IMPOSSIBLE for Clinton win what is, after all, A DELEGATE RACE.

    Why should he waste time, money, and energy fighting a primary that's actually been over for over a month now?

    Hillary has to leave her fantasy camp this week, and then figure out how to pay all the vendors she's stiffed around the country. Hopefully those hard-working Americans, white Americans, finally get paid. That's no way to treat one's blue-collar base, is it?

    June 1, 2008 06:46 pm at 6:46 pm |
  15. Ed, Fl

    Is this lady on medication or what ? can't she understand that P.R. can't vote in the general elections. How can you claim u win popular vote including Puerto Rico while ignoring Guam & Virgin Island and the Caucus states. These people who caucus in the caucus states can actually vote in the general elections. Dummies

    June 1, 2008 06:47 pm at 6:47 pm |
  16. marty

    clinton won big because she made promises she is in no position to keep.she also won because her grampa established the island as a us commonwealth, when he discovered it ,with his little hillary on his knee.bill also lived on the island for years,helping the navy,as a moving target on that one island,that chelsea wanted to visit ,so she could claim her and her mother dodged sniper fire ,there.bill has offered to run for governor,there,and made a mllion dollar down payment to actually purchse 1/3 of the island as his own country,for hillary to be queen of.

    June 1, 2008 06:48 pm at 6:48 pm |
  17. crodzvidal

    Is anyone at CNN going to mention anything about the absurdly low turnout in Puerto Rico? In a country with more than 2 million eligible voters, fewer than 400,000 actually voted. Only those who really care about statehood and about maintaining a closer relationship to the U.S. actually voted.actually voted. Turnout for a Republican primary would have been even lower. To attribute sentiment for statehood as the reason for Clinton's victory in this instance is nonsense. It just shows the number of people who give a hoot about U.S. politics in Puerto Rico.

    June 1, 2008 06:49 pm at 6:49 pm |
  18. COUNT ALL THE VOTES

    Just not the ones against Hillary

    OBAMA 08!!!!!!!!!

    June 1, 2008 06:51 pm at 6:51 pm |
  19. Don

    OBAMA/CLINTON=WINNING COMBINATION
    CLINTON/OBAMA=WINNING COMBINATION

    EITHER WAY WE ALL WIN, CANT WE ALL JUST GET ALONG
    BAD MOUTHING EITHER CANDIDATE IS NOT HEALTHY

    REMEMBER THE OLD SAYING THAT YOUR MOTHER TAUGHT YOU WHEN YOU WERE LITTLE:
    IF YOU CANT SAY SOMETHING NICE, THEN DONT SAY NOTHING AT ALL.

    June 1, 2008 06:52 pm at 6:52 pm |
  20. ME

    Go Hillary!
    She is going to be the best president America has ever seen!! I'm sure she has a master-plan to win this election. She is just briliant!!

    June 1, 2008 06:52 pm at 6:52 pm |
  21. Ruth Bastarrika

    Hillary won in my country, PR because she aligned herself with the Republican Party of Puerto Rico PNP, the party wanting statehood for PR. Could not believe my eyes when I saw Carlos Romero Barcelo, the biggest Republican in our island sitting with her at the podium.... The things she does to get votes!!!! Shame on you Hillary.

    June 1, 2008 06:52 pm at 6:52 pm |
  22. shannonL

    why is CNN ignoring the race issue in PR?

    June 1, 2008 06:53 pm at 6:53 pm |
  23. Kevlar

    Many voters are upset about the LIBRAL giving of Michigan votes to OBAMA when he REMOVED HIS NAME from the ballot... There seems to be a blind following and bending of rules FOR Obama and that is causing MANY PA, NJ, and NY voters to loose faith in the fairness in the Democratic party.

    Many 20 somethings actually see what is happening and aren't choosing a candidate because they are a young and "trendy" candidate.

    Denying your membership to a church that you attended for 20 years and defended 20 days ago is shameful and an obvious marketing move....... WHO ARE YOU REALLY OBAMA?

    Ive voted Democratically in the past but if I such disjustice by the giving of votes to someone who wasn't on the ballot, I may vote for another party.

    The decision should be reconsidered and changed. This is a VERY HOT topic amongst myself and other 20 somethings.

    June 1, 2008 06:53 pm at 6:53 pm |
  24. SFLib

    CNN analysis about the counties where Hillary beat Obama is and how she is making that argument is rediculous. She was running against another democrat and all that will change in a GE. Does she make the same point in the counties where Obama trounced her? Most of those voters will come over to Obama in the GE, so this is not just apples and oranges, but a moot point. It is frustrating the way CNN puts those numbers out there as if it is a forgone conclusion.
    So when doing this electoral analysis please remind people that two dems running against each other is quite different from Rep vs Dem, and where Kerry beat Bush will probably be an even larger margin of victory for either dem candidate when running against McCain. Get your analysis straight. Very frustrating to watch your coverage sometimes.

    June 1, 2008 06:54 pm at 6:54 pm |
  25. Go Hillary...

    The thing I read most is how divisive Hillary is, and it just isn't true. Obama supporters believe he has the nomination and may have had it long ago so why even care about the rest of the primary. You're solution is for Hillary to give up, thus giving her supporters and supporters of REAL change no vote in the primary. Why should we not follow the actual rules that were set up long ago, every state gets to vote and every vote should count. Even though it does look lost at this point, Hillary is doing what she has all along. Fighting for the given right of each person in this country to have say in who should become president. I hope when the time comes I can look at our president and say...
    "Hillary has stood up for my right to vote for a president that I feel is most qualified, not who ever hasnt forced the other to give up and quit. Hillary really does stand up for EVERY American, and their given rights."

    June 1, 2008 06:54 pm at 6:54 pm |
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