June 9, 2008
Posted: June 9th, 2008 03:45 PM ET

ALT TEXT

CNN will be projecting Electoral College results through Election Day. Battleground states are yellow, safe McCain states are dark red, leaning McCain states are light red, safe Obama states are dark blue, and leaning Obama states are light blue. Photo credit: CNN.

WATCH John King lay out the state of the Electoral College map.

WASHINGTON (CNN) – Today, CNN unveils the first of many CNN Electoral Maps of the 2008 general election. It is based on analysis from the CNN Political Unit and takes into account a number of factors, including polling, state voting trends, ad spending, candidate visits, and guidance from the campaigns and political strategists. The list will be updated regularly as the campaign develops over time.

======

TOTAL ELECTORAL VOTES 538
BATTLEGROUND STATES 154
MCCAIN STATES TOTAL 194
Safe McCain States Total 125
Lean McCain States Total 69
OBAMA STATES TOTAL 190
Safe Obama States Total 153
Lean Obama States Total 37
BATTLEGROUND STATES: 154 electoral votes in 12 states
Colorado 9
Florida 27
Iowa 7
Michigan 17
Minnesota 10
Missouri 11
Nevada 5
New Hampshire 4
Ohio 20
Pennsylvania 21
Virginia 13
Wisconsin 10
MCCAIN STATES TOTAL 194 electoral votes in 24 states
Safe McCain states total: 125 electoral votes in 16 states
Alabama 9
Alaska 3
Arizona 10
Idaho 4
Kansas 6
Kentucky 8
Mississippi 6
Nebraska 5
North Dakota 3
Oklahoma 7
South Carolina 8
South Dakota 3
Tennessee 11
Texas 34
Utah 5
Wyoming 3
Lean McCain states total: 69 electoral votes in 8 states
Montana 3
North Carolina 15
Arkansas 6
Georgia 15
Indiana 11
Louisiana 9
New Mexico 5
West Virginia 5
OBAMA STATES TOTAL 190 electoral votes in 15 states
Lean Obama states total: 37 electoral votes in 4 states
Maine 4
New Jersey 15
Oregon 7
Washington 11
Safe Obama states total: 153 electoral votes in 11 states (and D.C.)
California 55
Connecticut 7
D.C. 3
Delaware 3
Hawaii 4
Illinois 21
Maryland 10
Massachusetts 12
New York 31
Rhode Island 4
Vermont 3

Filed under: Electoral College


mccaineeack   June 9th, 2008 7:44 pm ET

Obama has no chance against McCain! If KY and TN are “safe” for McCain, then it is over. If McCain wins, KY, TN, he wins OH, MO, then the election. All 4 of the states have decided who would be the president for the past 40 years.

Mike   June 9th, 2008 7:42 pm ET

I am a very strong Clinton support... But I hope that Obama wins in November..

Adam   June 9th, 2008 7:42 pm ET

And Ian how did you come up with you figures? If you give both candidates all the leaning states, McCain has 263. Then give him Florida and he wins. Hardly an encouraging sign for Obama.

Sarah   June 9th, 2008 7:41 pm ET

Texas will turn blue this year. This will be the big upset of the election..
Keep watching

Dan (Redmond, WA)   June 9th, 2008 7:41 pm ET

Oregon and Washington are solidly Democratic states. There's no way McCain switches us over here on the LEFT Coast!!!

Michael   June 9th, 2008 7:41 pm ET

would you people stop saying Hillary won. My god are you people delusional? She was behind in pledge delegates. She was behind and she had no opponent in MI. She lost this election by being negative. You people act like she did nothing wrong. She and Obama agree on 99 percent of the issues. Stop being little babies.

Adam   June 9th, 2008 7:39 pm ET

Not sure why people continue to point to Florida as a swing state. McCain has that solidly locked up already. Disinfranchising voters may have helped Obama win the primary but it may have doomed him for the general.

I was going to support Obama but after seeing his extreme views on abortion (supporting partial-birth abortion aka. INFANTICIDE) I am not so sure. I think McCain should go for Palin as his VP, everyone should read up on her. She seems like an amazing woman.

M   June 9th, 2008 7:36 pm ET

I love how they left Michigan and Florida as toss up states. Are you kidding me CNN, Michigan and Florida are not going to forget that quickly.

Monica for Obama in Indiana   June 9th, 2008 7:33 pm ET

This is just getting started. We'll give McCain the lead now, because he is old and to ease his arthritis, we will give him a rocking chair to sit on for now.
"But this year Indiana will go BLUE 'Democrate"
Hillary supporters or not

GO OBAMA O8

white woman for Obama   June 9th, 2008 7:31 pm ET

As the nation gets to know Senator Obama, his policies and vision for our country, the majority of the people of the USA will support him and vote for him. Those who were angered by Hillary's defeat will also come around. They are not stupid people, they know that their livelyhood, their ecnomy, their health care, their planet depends on their votes. They will not vote or withhold a vote in November becuase they are Americans first and will do whatever it takes to vote as an expression of their patriotism. We are all diferent, race, color, religion, status, education and such, but we are all Americans and we vote our conscious. I have faith in the American people and I believe that we will stand up and fight to take Washington back from politicians who have been bought by lobbyists and special intrest. Obama will lead in a way that will benefit all of Americans not just the healthy and wealthy. He will help every color, race and religion all the same. He will work hardest for the hard working Americans and help Americans get their respect back.
Obama 08,2012

Rosanne   June 9th, 2008 7:30 pm ET

How many airplanes did daddy's son (McSame) lose before he was captured and put up in comfort (compared to his compatriots)? His friends the communist probably saved the taxpayers millions by shooting 'the singer' down over North Vietnam!

Mike - Ventura, CA   June 9th, 2008 7:30 pm ET

Don't you think it's a teeney bit early to count electoral votes? Remember the Primary we just had ? The INEVITABLE NOMINEE was defeated? The Obama campaign will win over the hearts of millions more – some are grieving Senator Clinton's loss, some are Independents who have yet to decide how they'll vote, and there are many more republicans like my parents and sister who will vote OBAMA because we need change!

Eric   June 9th, 2008 7:29 pm ET

How is New Mexico leaning republican. All polls I have seen this entire year have had it at a toss up. Minnesota has voted democrat for every election since 1972 and all polls I have seen show it going that way again. It is not a toss up state. Eric

Informed voter from florida   June 9th, 2008 7:28 pm ET

Go ahead and turn Florida dark red. The democrats here are supporting Mccain.

Sam Houston, GA   June 9th, 2008 7:26 pm ET

Scott – why isn't anyone asking McShame who his VP choice is?

Give it a rest – it's not a decision to be made lightly.

I doubt that either will rush because of little ole you (one vote in one of 50 states – HAR HAR HAR)

President of What?   June 9th, 2008 7:26 pm ET

Majority of the Georgia, Alabama, Lousiana, Mississippi is over 40 % black and will be voting this time. Those states never had to worry at all because there was always a white candidate. New polls show Latinos favor obama 71 to 29 today. How can he even win Texas. Also, Pennsylvania..he won more votes than all the Republicans put together. He won many states with twice the amount of john mcnut and the rest of the bumbling fools. If I were a republican...I would expect be scared of losing states...vs townhall meetings.

Anti Iraq War Crusader   June 9th, 2008 7:21 pm ET

This is Bogus!!!! The democrats have well over double the primary votes for texas than the republicans did. 2.5 million to 1 million! You guys need to chart this much better!!

Ilene MI   June 9th, 2008 7:20 pm ET

Michigan will go to Obama. We are all hurting in this state and a republican in office is not in the cards. We also have a large African American population that appears is going to get off their behinds and go out and vote. Give MI to Obama.

saif   June 9th, 2008 7:18 pm ET

By the way, Rupert Murdoch thinks Obama is going to have a landslide win in November. When Rupert speaks, we should listen!

James from Fla   June 9th, 2008 7:18 pm ET

It is a little too early for this. Mike you are a clown that is showing your true colors. Scott you also need to be quiet too, ask Mccain for his V.P. since u act like u r a Republican. Real Democrats act like real democrats. Two face people are two face people.

Democratic Party 08'

PatrickTM   June 9th, 2008 7:16 pm ET

Perhaps one of the reasons that Obama isn't doing better right now is the HilBilly factor. She made a phoney and dishonest to seat fully the MI and FL delegates with no penalty, and when that didn't fly, her die-hard unthinking, unreasoning supporters took that as a "fix" or unfair. She also made many fallicious arguments during the final part of the campaign about popular vote, what states count and which ones don't and cried fould and blamed everyone exdcept herself and her campaign for her trun from being the inevitible nominee to losing. she has a lot of work to do, and if Obama loses, it can be spelled one way H I L L A R Y!!

Casey   June 9th, 2008 7:16 pm ET

When Obama picks someone like Joe Biden or Bill Richardson (or maybe a Rep? like Chuck Hagel) for VP, this map will change radically.

Breaker   June 9th, 2008 7:15 pm ET

I have to laugh. Who in his right mind wan'ts to continue with Bush's failed policies.

Keep on dreaming rebublicans, you are in for a huge surprise come November 5th.

the old America will fade away – A new America is born.

Obama for President !!! There is no other choice.

Cynthia   June 9th, 2008 7:12 pm ET

I am going to do the same as Mya but the fasting part. If the Clinton supporters adapted that belief we all would be better off.

KMAN   June 9th, 2008 7:12 pm ET

Yes, it is too early at this point to mean much ... but it DOES GIVE all those RNC goose-steppers yet another opportunity to pretend to be disenfranchised HRC supporters! How transparent can they be?

Ryan Asbert   June 9th, 2008 7:11 pm ET

Yeah, I'm sorry, but WA is a pretty safe Obama lean, as is OR.

-Ryan in Seattle

j   June 9th, 2008 7:10 pm ET

I honestly don't understand how anyone could vote for McCain considering the failed policies of the Republican party. Then again I didn't understand how anyone could vote for Reagan, Bush, or Bush. The Republicans can't even follow their own stated principles. They haven't controlled spending, they haven't made government smaller or more manageable, they've suspended or ignored many parts of the Constitution, and they don't support states rights. These are just a few examples and where they have followed their own principles they've just made things worse – cutting or ignoring regulations at the detriment of Americans. These are not the people I want in control of the federal government. America is definitely worse off because of the Republicans than at any other time in it's history. Vote Democrat! Save America!

Cindy   June 9th, 2008 7:09 pm ET

It's not early. You know that both camps have already mapped this out and analyzed it a zillion times. Obama and McCain don't start campaigning in certain states randomly. Stragegy is key. Strategy is what helped Obama topple a dynasty.

And before anyone goes ahead and extrapolates that Obama is all strategy and no substance... All the strategy in the world isn't enough by itself. Obama is a good man, coupled w/ a good strategy. It needs both to succeed.

Anne   June 9th, 2008 7:08 pm ET

People are saying that the DNC was unfair in only awarding Florida and Michigan 1/2 of the vote/delegates and therefore they will teach them a lesson and vote for McCain in NOV, well I need you to educate yourselves because the RNC also placed a punishment on Florida and Michigan and took away half of their delegates.

axt113   June 9th, 2008 7:06 pm ET

PA, is safe dem, check the polls, all have been going for Obama, even before then end of the dem primary.

VA and Oh are very likely to flip dem, Obama has been doing very well in polling there

Missouri is possible.

For McCain he might be able to pick off Michigan if he picks Romney as Veep

Don   June 9th, 2008 7:04 pm ET

Wow, BO up by 6 points in the Gallup poll, McSame better watch out!!

Scott Saunders   June 9th, 2008 7:04 pm ET

Pure speculation .... NOBODY HAS A CRYSTAL BALL, not even CNN. The world is sick and tired of the Republican BS .... they're going to lose the election in the fall along with a slew of house and senate seats.

An American   June 9th, 2008 7:02 pm ET

One word... Obama.

Matthew   June 9th, 2008 7:01 pm ET

Hope all you Hillary supporters lining up behind McCain know you're voting for more conservative judges on the Supreme Court. Goodbye Roe v Wade and a number of other civil liberties.

Jill   June 9th, 2008 7:00 pm ET

Go Obama! And as for Mr. Mike. . . You make me want to puke!

JJ   June 9th, 2008 7:00 pm ET

Don't be stupid people, McCain 2008

Ilona Proud Canadian   June 9th, 2008 6:58 pm ET

Folks,

It has started, Barack now leads McCain48% to 42%! Check Gallup Poll.

CNN this is NEWS we need to hear about this!

AJ   June 9th, 2008 6:58 pm ET

Mike makes me wanna puke....

Go Obama

SPK   June 9th, 2008 6:58 pm ET

Dems will not win in FL no matter who was running–BUT we don't need it! Do the math with CO, IA, VA, NM, OH and PA on the Dems side, then add in all the Obama safe states–we are there! Nice pick-ups in the west for Obama

the other jd   June 9th, 2008 6:58 pm ET

Thomas...please put on your big boy pants.

M.S. Indiana   June 9th, 2008 6:56 pm ET

First off, since when did polls really matter ?? wait to election day and see how much people do not want more Republican in office... and how many more are going to loose their seats in the senate and lower parts of the government.
Like some Republicans says, we are less worth then dog food and should be taken off the shelfs

Renatti in Ohio, you were never a Democrat... McCain is so not going to win, so deal with it..

sickend   June 9th, 2008 6:56 pm ET

I am sickend at the stomach by the racist remarks of McCain voters. He and his supporters disgust me.

Democrat against Obama   June 9th, 2008 6:54 pm ET

GO MCCAIN!!!!!!

GO AWAY OBAMA!!!

Don in Florida   June 9th, 2008 6:54 pm ET

The media is sure having a ball with this aren't they? I guess they need to do something until the convention. Come November, wait til they get a load of Obama Nation.

Valerie   June 9th, 2008 6:54 pm ET

give me a break.

Please.

just a month or so with no daily polls and projections.

Really.

give me a break!

Steve from California   June 9th, 2008 6:52 pm ET

I wouldn't put it past Barack Obama to completely turn this electoral map upside down and inside out. Nobody's stopped him yet. His campaign is a juggernaut..

Montana is Obama Country   June 9th, 2008 6:50 pm ET

Our democratic Gov who is running as an incumbent got more votes than John McCain..

Schweitzer got over 100,000 ...

This RED State is Turning.. BLUE....

Yes...WE...Can...

Jim   June 9th, 2008 6:50 pm ET

Dem's for McCain, period!

Montana is Obama Country   June 9th, 2008 6:48 pm ET

....This RED STATE is... TURNING ... BLUE... come November...

Montana is voting Barack Obama into the presidency....

Counted vote in Montana read like this:

Barack Obama – 102,000

Hillary Clinton - 74,000

John McCain - 72,000

This red state is turning BLUE in Nov... 2008....

It Has Begun!   June 9th, 2008 6:47 pm ET

The slap across the DNC's face has started. NOBAMA! Go McCain!

Colin L   June 9th, 2008 6:46 pm ET

This projection seems way out of place. Obama is drawing out minorities in record numbers, he is certain to win North Carolina and most likely Louisiana.

Kate, Atlanta   June 9th, 2008 6:45 pm ET

Georgia is going BLUE this year!! Yes, thank you Bob Barr!

Glen Parker, Glendora, CA   June 9th, 2008 6:43 pm ET

There is some chance that McCain could win all the States that went for Bush in '04 except Nevada, New Mexico and Iowa. If this would happen McCain and Obama would each finish with 269 electoral votes.

Richard from MA   June 9th, 2008 6:42 pm ET

Tom Dashle, the Obama campaign co-chair said on National TV they do not need HRC supporters to win the general Elections...
November will tell us the truth.

Smart from London   June 9th, 2008 6:41 pm ET

Well, elswhere in the world, the feeling is that Obama is the obvious choice to move America forward.

skylark   June 9th, 2008 6:36 pm ET

What should be ahead for the antiquated Electoral College is total and permanent abolishment! As a resident of Arizona, I am painfully aware that the Republican majority keep shifting the districts so they are always in the majority. This negates my Democratic vote more times than not. This is an absolute stacking of the political deck!
While you are at it abolish McCain!
Go Obama

Anita from Arizona   June 9th, 2008 6:31 pm ET

I don't understand. Can someone help me and explain it to me. First Time Voter here.

benis tijan   June 9th, 2008 6:29 pm ET

I think Barack Obama will landslide John McCain. Because John McCain want to keep the same George Bush failed policy on the economic and foreign policy. But the problem is he says he doesn't know too much about the economy. That's why i think the american people will vote overwelmingly for the democratic party this year.

ASW   June 9th, 2008 6:29 pm ET

A little early for this, don't you all think?

Brian M.   June 9th, 2008 6:28 pm ET

In what universe is New Mexico not a razor thin battleground state? Is it because CNN thinks that New Mexicans have a kinship with McCain since he's from Arizona? Wrong...

scott   June 9th, 2008 6:28 pm ET

I think Obama NEEDS TO TELL US WHO HIS VP WILL BE.!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! I know he isnt suppose to tell us until the convention but the super delagates were not suppose to give there vote until then also. so HE NEEDS TO TELL US WHO HIS VP WILL BE......

Renatti in Ohio   June 9th, 2008 6:28 pm ET

John McCain will be the next president of the United States of America. There is no way BHO can beat McCain in battleground states like Florida, Ohio, Missouri, Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico, and perhaps Michigan. Therefore, that gives the presidency to McCain. By the way, I just changed my party affiliation and I am voting for McCain in November. The media, the DNC, and the Obama campaing did not fully respect Senator Hillary Clinton. When November comes, I am sure the Obama campaing will be begging for 18 million votes that went for Hillary! Bye democratic party, in 2012 pick the most capable candidate to win in November!!!!!!!!!!!!

Ralph   June 9th, 2008 6:27 pm ET

More endless polls, until Obama wins again.

Brian   June 9th, 2008 6:27 pm ET

I can no longer support John McCain. I CANNOT vote for the same person now pandering for Clinton's votes. Talk about a flip flop. I will now be voting Libertarian.

Thank you and good riddance to the GOP

Dan, NJ   June 9th, 2008 6:26 pm ET

I have seen this done more thoroughly and with better explinations in a number of other places. I couldn't be more disappointed with CNN's coverage during this election cycle.

John Smith   June 9th, 2008 6:26 pm ET

If I were Obama, I will tell these "uneducated" and "bitter" Hillary supporters where to go and hide until this election is over. If they think they are doing Obama a favor, that says a lot about the "mind-set" of these folks!

This is NOT about Obama or even the DEM party; it is about the direction that this NATION needs to take! I do not care, as long the individual has the "guts" to bring about "change" in Washington, I will give my vote to that person– Green, Yellow, Black, young or old! This is simple common sense.

Hillary had all the resources, and she blew them all! She ran a horrible campaign, and there is no doubt that she would have ran the U.S. in a horrible manner if she had been the nominee!

No one has made a case yet that Hillary would have done better than she did here! She planned for this process for years, and has only herself to blame. I did support her, but could not hang on to this level of "failure." There is nothing here to be proud about; she disappointed me!

Ian   June 9th, 2008 6:25 pm ET

Looks good. If you give Obama all his leaning states and McCain all his leaning states and ration out the battlegrounds according to current polls, Obama wins 284-254.

Sark   June 9th, 2008 6:25 pm ET

Good grief.. can we at least wait until the conventions are over and we have "official" candidates before we start with all the "possible" outcomes?

David, Dumfries, VA   June 9th, 2008 6:25 pm ET

Are you reporting news, or making it up as you go?

Mccain is not leading in Lousiana,Georgia or North Carolina.

You have the ability to ruin this countries Presidential nomination, by reporting false information and/or favoring a particular candidate. Why would you want to do that? That is truly un-American.

David Goldman for OBAMA   June 9th, 2008 6:25 pm ET

OH NO!! JOHN YOU ARE AT THE MAP AGAIN.

Les-Wa   June 9th, 2008 6:25 pm ET

From the jaws of VICTORY to DEFEAT = DEMOCRATIC PARTY IN NOVEMBER!

Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Virgnia, West Virgnia will go to McCain.

Start digging DNC for electoral college vote!

A Clear Thinking Indepedent Voter - Ohio   June 9th, 2008 6:25 pm ET

We won't know until Novermber 4th ... back off CNN

Brian   June 9th, 2008 6:22 pm ET

wow 24 states like paying $4 for gas

Juan in Colorado   June 9th, 2008 6:21 pm ET

realclearpolitics.com / electoral-vote.com

Obama leads in both, though I trust realclearpolitics.com more than electoral-vote.com. Let's see how this shapes up after the debates begin!

WILLIAM   June 9th, 2008 6:21 pm ET

Obama was not elected he was selected. they give him the uncommitted votes so i will give McCain my full vote not 1/2 vote

Mike   June 9th, 2008 6:20 pm ET

Obama makes me want to puke!

Go McCain!!!!!!!!!!

Mike   June 9th, 2008 6:20 pm ET

Hillary

Mike   June 9th, 2008 6:19 pm ET

PLEASE let the math be in McCains favor.

If Obama leads, by the time a scandal comes to surface about either he or racist Michelle, his bid for the White House will be over.

Go McCain!!!!

Math = McCain
Spelling = N.O.B.A.M.A.

R.I.F.   June 9th, 2008 6:19 pm ET

No ticker about Obama opening up a 6 point lead on McCain in the Gallup Poll?

Dan , TX   June 9th, 2008 6:19 pm ET

A wee bit early for this, don't you think?

Willy   June 9th, 2008 6:18 pm ET

Mccain going to win easy over Mr. Change

mya   June 9th, 2008 6:17 pm ET

The electoral college map makes me so nervous! I'm going to pray and fast and work really hard for the next 6 months, for my candidate and if we lose, i will pick myself up and move on. There, that's my strategy!!!!

Thomas   June 9th, 2008 6:16 pm ET

Put these to Safe:

Oregon lean D 7
Washington lean D 11

Montana lean R 3
New Mexico lean R 5

In Lean:
Florida tossup 27 (R)

Hillary Write in or McCain 08'

Doris,Memphis,TN   June 9th, 2008 6:16 pm ET

On November 5, 2008 CNN will project Barack Obama the next President of the United States! That's the projection that will matter.

Comments have been closed for this article

subscribe RSS Icon
About The Ticker

The latest political news from CNN's Best Political Team, with campaign coverage, 24-7. Sign up for our twice daily Ticker emails. Got a news tip or feedback? For complete political coverage, bookmark CNNPolitics.com.

CNN=Politics Screensaver

CNN=Politics ScreensaverTap into the power of The Situation Room. Download this powerful new tool that keeps you posted on the latest political news from the campaign trail.
Download (4.1 MB, PC only)

twitter
hambypCNN: @DanDoranBlum nice. hopefully you get two big wins over Pitt in one week.
Updated: Tue, 08 Dec 2009 14:42:32 -0800
hambypCNN: @AP_Ken_Thomas excellent duane spencer reference. let's try to work in lee scruggs, too, before the season ends.
Updated: Tue, 08 Dec 2009 14:14:50 -0800
@wolfblitzercnn: Shocking - what's happening in Baghdad. Five terror attacks. More than 100 killed and 400 injured amid fears the violence will increase.
Updated: Tue, 08 Dec 2009 14:08:29 -0800
hambypCNN: Kaine vs. Steele on Situation Room today in 6P hour.
Updated: Tue, 08 Dec 2009 13:55:02 -0800
@edhenrycnn: My colleague Dan Lothian and I show what's it's like on the road with the President - http://bit.ly/7XSU53 #cnn
Updated: Tue, 08 Dec 2009 13:09:21 -0800
Categories
Powered by WordPress.com VIP