CNN will be projecting Electoral College results through Election Day. Battleground states are yellow, safe McCain states are dark red, leaning McCain states are light red, safe Obama states are dark blue, and leaning Obama states are light blue. Photo credit: CNN.
WATCH John King lay out the state of the Electoral College map.
WASHINGTON (CNN) – Today, CNN unveils the first of many CNN Electoral Maps of the 2008 general election. It is based on analysis from the CNN Political Unit and takes into account a number of factors, including polling, state voting trends, ad spending, candidate visits, and guidance from the campaigns and political strategists. The list will be updated regularly as the campaign develops over time.
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| TOTAL ELECTORAL VOTES | 538 |
| BATTLEGROUND STATES | 154 |
| MCCAIN STATES TOTAL | 194 |
| Safe McCain States Total | 125 |
| Lean McCain States Total | 69 |
| OBAMA STATES TOTAL | 190 |
| Safe Obama States Total | 153 |
| Lean Obama States Total | 37 |
| BATTLEGROUND STATES: | 154 electoral votes in 12 states |
| Colorado | 9 |
| Florida | 27 |
| Iowa | 7 |
| Michigan | 17 |
| Minnesota | 10 |
| Missouri | 11 |
| Nevada | 5 |
| New Hampshire | 4 |
| Ohio | 20 |
| Pennsylvania | 21 |
| Virginia | 13 |
| Wisconsin | 10 |
| MCCAIN STATES TOTAL | 194 electoral votes in 24 states |
| Safe McCain states total: | 125 electoral votes in 16 states |
| Alabama | 9 |
| Alaska | 3 |
| Arizona | 10 |
| Idaho | 4 |
| Kansas | 6 |
| Kentucky | 8 |
| Mississippi | 6 |
| Nebraska | 5 |
| North Dakota | 3 |
| Oklahoma | 7 |
| South Carolina | 8 |
| South Dakota | 3 |
| Tennessee | 11 |
| Texas | 34 |
| Utah | 5 |
| Wyoming | 3 |
| Lean McCain states total: | 69 electoral votes in 8 states |
| Montana | 3 |
| North Carolina | 15 |
| Arkansas | 6 |
| Georgia | 15 |
| Indiana | 11 |
| Louisiana | 9 |
| New Mexico | 5 |
| West Virginia | 5 |
| OBAMA STATES TOTAL | 190 electoral votes in 15 states |
| Lean Obama states total: | 37 electoral votes in 4 states |
| Maine | 4 |
| New Jersey | 15 |
| Oregon | 7 |
| Washington | 11 |
| Safe Obama states total: | 153 electoral votes in 11 states (and D.C.) |
| California | 55 |
| Connecticut | 7 |
| D.C. | 3 |
| Delaware | 3 |
| Hawaii | 4 |
| Illinois | 21 |
| Maryland | 10 |
| Massachusetts | 12 |
| New York | 31 |
| Rhode Island | 4 |
| Vermont | 3 |
From CNN Politics
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On November 5, 2008 CNN will project Barack Obama the next President of the United States! That's the projection that will matter.
Put these to Safe:
Oregon lean D 7
Washington lean D 11
Montana lean R 3
New Mexico lean R 5
In Lean:
Florida tossup 27 (R)
Hillary Write in or McCain 08'
The electoral college map makes me so nervous! I'm going to pray and fast and work really hard for the next 6 months, for my candidate and if we lose, i will pick myself up and move on. There, that's my strategy!!!!
Mccain going to win easy over Mr. Change
A wee bit early for this, don't you think?
No ticker about Obama opening up a 6 point lead on McCain in the Gallup Poll?
PLEASE let the math be in McCains favor.
If Obama leads, by the time a scandal comes to surface about either he or racist Michelle, his bid for the White House will be over.
Go McCain!!!!
Math = McCain
Spelling = N.O.B.A.M.A.
Hillary
Obama makes me want to puke!
Go McCain!!!!!!!!!!
Obama was not elected he was selected. they give him the uncommitted votes so i will give McCain my full vote not 1/2 vote
realclearpolitics.com / electoral-vote.com
Obama leads in both, though I trust realclearpolitics.com more than electoral-vote.com. Let's see how this shapes up after the debates begin!
wow 24 states like paying $4 for gas
We won't know until Novermber 4th ... back off CNN
From the jaws of VICTORY to DEFEAT = DEMOCRATIC PARTY IN NOVEMBER!
Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Virgnia, West Virgnia will go to McCain.
Start digging DNC for electoral college vote!
OH NO!! JOHN YOU ARE AT THE MAP AGAIN.
Are you reporting news, or making it up as you go?
Mccain is not leading in Lousiana,Georgia or North Carolina.
You have the ability to ruin this countries Presidential nomination, by reporting false information and/or favoring a particular candidate. Why would you want to do that? That is truly un-American.
Good grief.. can we at least wait until the conventions are over and we have "official" candidates before we start with all the "possible" outcomes?
Looks good. If you give Obama all his leaning states and McCain all his leaning states and ration out the battlegrounds according to current polls, Obama wins 284-254.
If I were Obama, I will tell these "uneducated" and "bitter" Hillary supporters where to go and hide until this election is over. If they think they are doing Obama a favor, that says a lot about the "mind-set" of these folks!
This is NOT about Obama or even the DEM party; it is about the direction that this NATION needs to take! I do not care, as long the individual has the "guts" to bring about "change" in Washington, I will give my vote to that person– Green, Yellow, Black, young or old! This is simple common sense.
Hillary had all the resources, and she blew them all! She ran a horrible campaign, and there is no doubt that she would have ran the U.S. in a horrible manner if she had been the nominee!
No one has made a case yet that Hillary would have done better than she did here! She planned for this process for years, and has only herself to blame. I did support her, but could not hang on to this level of "failure." There is nothing here to be proud about; she disappointed me!
I have seen this done more thoroughly and with better explinations in a number of other places. I couldn't be more disappointed with CNN's coverage during this election cycle.
I can no longer support John McCain. I CANNOT vote for the same person now pandering for Clinton's votes. Talk about a flip flop. I will now be voting Libertarian.
Thank you and good riddance to the GOP
More endless polls, until Obama wins again.
John McCain will be the next president of the United States of America. There is no way BHO can beat McCain in battleground states like Florida, Ohio, Missouri, Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico, and perhaps Michigan. Therefore, that gives the presidency to McCain. By the way, I just changed my party affiliation and I am voting for McCain in November. The media, the DNC, and the Obama campaing did not fully respect Senator Hillary Clinton. When November comes, I am sure the Obama campaing will be begging for 18 million votes that went for Hillary! Bye democratic party, in 2012 pick the most capable candidate to win in November!!!!!!!!!!!!
I think Obama NEEDS TO TELL US WHO HIS VP WILL BE.!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! I know he isnt suppose to tell us until the convention but the super delagates were not suppose to give there vote until then also. so HE NEEDS TO TELL US WHO HIS VP WILL BE......
In what universe is New Mexico not a razor thin battleground state? Is it because CNN thinks that New Mexicans have a kinship with McCain since he's from Arizona? Wrong...
A little early for this, don't you all think?
I think Barack Obama will landslide John McCain. Because John McCain want to keep the same George Bush failed policy on the economic and foreign policy. But the problem is he says he doesn't know too much about the economy. That's why i think the american people will vote overwelmingly for the democratic party this year.
I don't understand. Can someone help me and explain it to me. First Time Voter here.
What should be ahead for the antiquated Electoral College is total and permanent abolishment! As a resident of Arizona, I am painfully aware that the Republican majority keep shifting the districts so they are always in the majority. This negates my Democratic vote more times than not. This is an absolute stacking of the political deck!
While you are at it abolish McCain!
Go Obama
Well, elswhere in the world, the feeling is that Obama is the obvious choice to move America forward.
Tom Dashle, the Obama campaign co-chair said on National TV they do not need HRC supporters to win the general Elections...
November will tell us the truth.
There is some chance that McCain could win all the States that went for Bush in '04 except Nevada, New Mexico and Iowa. If this would happen McCain and Obama would each finish with 269 electoral votes.
Georgia is going BLUE this year!! Yes, thank you Bob Barr!
This projection seems way out of place. Obama is drawing out minorities in record numbers, he is certain to win North Carolina and most likely Louisiana.
The slap across the DNC's face has started. NOBAMA! Go McCain!
....This RED STATE is... TURNING ... BLUE... come November...
Montana is voting Barack Obama into the presidency....
Counted vote in Montana read like this:
Barack Obama – 102,000
Hillary Clinton - 74,000
John McCain - 72,000
This red state is turning BLUE in Nov... 2008....
Dem's for McCain, period!
Our democratic Gov who is running as an incumbent got more votes than John McCain..
Schweitzer got over 100,000 ...
This RED State is Turning.. BLUE....
Yes...WE...Can...
I wouldn't put it past Barack Obama to completely turn this electoral map upside down and inside out. Nobody's stopped him yet. His campaign is a juggernaut..
give me a break.
Please.
just a month or so with no daily polls and projections.
Really.
give me a break!
The media is sure having a ball with this aren't they? I guess they need to do something until the convention. Come November, wait til they get a load of Obama Nation.
GO MCCAIN!!!!!!
GO AWAY OBAMA!!!
I am sickend at the stomach by the racist remarks of McCain voters. He and his supporters disgust me.
First off, since when did polls really matter ?? wait to election day and see how much people do not want more Republican in office... and how many more are going to loose their seats in the senate and lower parts of the government.
Like some Republicans says, we are less worth then dog food and should be taken off the shelfs
Renatti in Ohio, you were never a Democrat... McCain is so not going to win, so deal with it..
Thomas...please put on your big boy pants.
Dems will not win in FL no matter who was running–BUT we don't need it! Do the math with CO, IA, VA, NM, OH and PA on the Dems side, then add in all the Obama safe states–we are there! Nice pick-ups in the west for Obama
Mike makes me wanna puke....
Go Obama
Folks,
It has started, Barack now leads McCain48% to 42%! Check Gallup Poll.
CNN this is NEWS we need to hear about this!
Don't be stupid people, McCain 2008
Go Obama! And as for Mr. Mike. . . You make me want to puke!
Hope all you Hillary supporters lining up behind McCain know you're voting for more conservative judges on the Supreme Court. Goodbye Roe v Wade and a number of other civil liberties.
One word... Obama.
Pure speculation .... NOBODY HAS A CRYSTAL BALL, not even CNN. The world is sick and tired of the Republican BS .... they're going to lose the election in the fall along with a slew of house and senate seats.
Wow, BO up by 6 points in the Gallup poll, McSame better watch out!!
PA, is safe dem, check the polls, all have been going for Obama, even before then end of the dem primary.
VA and Oh are very likely to flip dem, Obama has been doing very well in polling there
Missouri is possible.
For McCain he might be able to pick off Michigan if he picks Romney as Veep
People are saying that the DNC was unfair in only awarding Florida and Michigan 1/2 of the vote/delegates and therefore they will teach them a lesson and vote for McCain in NOV, well I need you to educate yourselves because the RNC also placed a punishment on Florida and Michigan and took away half of their delegates.
It's not early. You know that both camps have already mapped this out and analyzed it a zillion times. Obama and McCain don't start campaigning in certain states randomly. Stragegy is key. Strategy is what helped Obama topple a dynasty.
And before anyone goes ahead and extrapolates that Obama is all strategy and no substance... All the strategy in the world isn't enough by itself. Obama is a good man, coupled w/ a good strategy. It needs both to succeed.
I honestly don't understand how anyone could vote for McCain considering the failed policies of the Republican party. Then again I didn't understand how anyone could vote for Reagan, Bush, or Bush. The Republicans can't even follow their own stated principles. They haven't controlled spending, they haven't made government smaller or more manageable, they've suspended or ignored many parts of the Constitution, and they don't support states rights. These are just a few examples and where they have followed their own principles they've just made things worse – cutting or ignoring regulations at the detriment of Americans. These are not the people I want in control of the federal government. America is definitely worse off because of the Republicans than at any other time in it's history. Vote Democrat! Save America!
Yeah, I'm sorry, but WA is a pretty safe Obama lean, as is OR.
-Ryan in Seattle
Yes, it is too early at this point to mean much ... but it DOES GIVE all those RNC goose-steppers yet another opportunity to pretend to be disenfranchised HRC supporters! How transparent can they be?
I am going to do the same as Mya but the fasting part. If the Clinton supporters adapted that belief we all would be better off.
I have to laugh. Who in his right mind wan'ts to continue with Bush's failed policies.
Keep on dreaming rebublicans, you are in for a huge surprise come November 5th.
the old America will fade away – A new America is born.
Obama for President !!! There is no other choice.
When Obama picks someone like Joe Biden or Bill Richardson (or maybe a Rep? like Chuck Hagel) for VP, this map will change radically.
Perhaps one of the reasons that Obama isn't doing better right now is the HilBilly factor. She made a phoney and dishonest to seat fully the MI and FL delegates with no penalty, and when that didn't fly, her die-hard unthinking, unreasoning supporters took that as a "fix" or unfair. She also made many fallicious arguments during the final part of the campaign about popular vote, what states count and which ones don't and cried fould and blamed everyone exdcept herself and her campaign for her trun from being the inevitible nominee to losing. she has a lot of work to do, and if Obama loses, it can be spelled one way H I L L A R Y!!
It is a little too early for this. Mike you are a clown that is showing your true colors. Scott you also need to be quiet too, ask Mccain for his V.P. since u act like u r a Republican. Real Democrats act like real democrats. Two face people are two face people.
Democratic Party 08'
By the way, Rupert Murdoch thinks Obama is going to have a landslide win in November. When Rupert speaks, we should listen!
Michigan will go to Obama. We are all hurting in this state and a republican in office is not in the cards. We also have a large African American population that appears is going to get off their behinds and go out and vote. Give MI to Obama.
This is Bogus!!!! The democrats have well over double the primary votes for texas than the republicans did. 2.5 million to 1 million! You guys need to chart this much better!!
Majority of the Georgia, Alabama, Lousiana, Mississippi is over 40 % black and will be voting this time. Those states never had to worry at all because there was always a white candidate. New polls show Latinos favor obama 71 to 29 today. How can he even win Texas. Also, Pennsylvania..he won more votes than all the Republicans put together. He won many states with twice the amount of john mcnut and the rest of the bumbling fools. If I were a republican...I would expect be scared of losing states...vs townhall meetings.
Scott – why isn't anyone asking McShame who his VP choice is?
Give it a rest – it's not a decision to be made lightly.
I doubt that either will rush because of little ole you (one vote in one of 50 states – HAR HAR HAR)
Go ahead and turn Florida dark red. The democrats here are supporting Mccain.
How is New Mexico leaning republican. All polls I have seen this entire year have had it at a toss up. Minnesota has voted democrat for every election since 1972 and all polls I have seen show it going that way again. It is not a toss up state. Eric
Don't you think it's a teeney bit early to count electoral votes? Remember the Primary we just had ? The INEVITABLE NOMINEE was defeated? The Obama campaign will win over the hearts of millions more – some are grieving Senator Clinton's loss, some are Independents who have yet to decide how they'll vote, and there are many more republicans like my parents and sister who will vote OBAMA because we need change!
How many airplanes did daddy's son (McSame) lose before he was captured and put up in comfort (compared to his compatriots)? His friends the communist probably saved the taxpayers millions by shooting 'the singer' down over North Vietnam!
As the nation gets to know Senator Obama, his policies and vision for our country, the majority of the people of the USA will support him and vote for him. Those who were angered by Hillary's defeat will also come around. They are not stupid people, they know that their livelyhood, their ecnomy, their health care, their planet depends on their votes. They will not vote or withhold a vote in November becuase they are Americans first and will do whatever it takes to vote as an expression of their patriotism. We are all diferent, race, color, religion, status, education and such, but we are all Americans and we vote our conscious. I have faith in the American people and I believe that we will stand up and fight to take Washington back from politicians who have been bought by lobbyists and special intrest. Obama will lead in a way that will benefit all of Americans not just the healthy and wealthy. He will help every color, race and religion all the same. He will work hardest for the hard working Americans and help Americans get their respect back.
Obama 08,2012
This is just getting started. We'll give McCain the lead now, because he is old and to ease his arthritis, we will give him a rocking chair to sit on for now.
"But this year Indiana will go BLUE 'Democrate"
Hillary supporters or not
GO OBAMA O8
I love how they left Michigan and Florida as toss up states. Are you kidding me CNN, Michigan and Florida are not going to forget that quickly.
Not sure why people continue to point to Florida as a swing state. McCain has that solidly locked up already. Disinfranchising voters may have helped Obama win the primary but it may have doomed him for the general.
I was going to support Obama but after seeing his extreme views on abortion (supporting partial-birth abortion aka. INFANTICIDE) I am not so sure. I think McCain should go for Palin as his VP, everyone should read up on her. She seems like an amazing woman.
would you people stop saying Hillary won. My god are you people delusional? She was behind in pledge delegates. She was behind and she had no opponent in MI. She lost this election by being negative. You people act like she did nothing wrong. She and Obama agree on 99 percent of the issues. Stop being little babies.
Oregon and Washington are solidly Democratic states. There's no way McCain switches us over here on the LEFT Coast!!!
Texas will turn blue this year. This will be the big upset of the election..
Keep watching
And Ian how did you come up with you figures? If you give both candidates all the leaning states, McCain has 263. Then give him Florida and he wins. Hardly an encouraging sign for Obama.
I am a very strong Clinton support... But I hope that Obama wins in November..
Obama has no chance against McCain! If KY and TN are “safe” for McCain, then it is over. If McCain wins, KY, TN, he wins OH, MO, then the election. All 4 of the states have decided who would be the president for the past 40 years.