June 9th, 2008
03:45 PM ET
10 years ago

CNN projects: Who's ahead in the fight for the Electoral College?


CNN will be projecting Electoral College results through Election Day. Battleground states are yellow, safe McCain states are dark red, leaning McCain states are light red, safe Obama states are dark blue, and leaning Obama states are light blue. Photo credit: CNN.

WATCH John King lay out the state of the Electoral College map.

WASHINGTON (CNN) - Today, CNN unveils the first of many CNN Electoral Maps of the 2008 general election. It is based on analysis from the CNN Political Unit and takes into account a number of factors, including polling, state voting trends, ad spending, candidate visits, and guidance from the campaigns and political strategists. The list will be updated regularly as the campaign develops over time.


Safe McCain States Total 125
Lean McCain States Total 69
Safe Obama States Total 153
Lean Obama States Total 37
BATTLEGROUND STATES: 154 electoral votes in 12 states
Colorado 9
Florida 27
Iowa 7
Michigan 17
Minnesota 10
Missouri 11
Nevada 5
New Hampshire 4
Ohio 20
Pennsylvania 21
Virginia 13
Wisconsin 10
MCCAIN STATES TOTAL 194 electoral votes in 24 states
Safe McCain states total: 125 electoral votes in 16 states
Alabama 9
Alaska 3
Arizona 10
Idaho 4
Kansas 6
Kentucky 8
Mississippi 6
Nebraska 5
North Dakota 3
Oklahoma 7
South Carolina 8
South Dakota 3
Tennessee 11
Texas 34
Utah 5
Wyoming 3
Lean McCain states total: 69 electoral votes in 8 states
Montana 3
North Carolina 15
Arkansas 6
Georgia 15
Indiana 11
Louisiana 9
New Mexico 5
West Virginia 5
OBAMA STATES TOTAL 190 electoral votes in 15 states
Lean Obama states total: 37 electoral votes in 4 states
Maine 4
New Jersey 15
Oregon 7
Washington 11
Safe Obama states total: 153 electoral votes in 11 states (and D.C.)
California 55
Connecticut 7
D.C. 3
Delaware 3
Hawaii 4
Illinois 21
Maryland 10
Massachusetts 12
New York 31
Rhode Island 4
Vermont 3

Filed under: Uncategorized
soundoff (84 Responses)
  1. Matthew

    Hope all you Hillary supporters lining up behind McCain know you're voting for more conservative judges on the Supreme Court. Goodbye Roe v Wade and a number of other civil liberties.

    June 9, 2008 07:01 pm at 7:01 pm |
  2. An American

    One word... Obama.

    June 9, 2008 07:02 pm at 7:02 pm |
  3. Scott Saunders

    Pure speculation .... NOBODY HAS A CRYSTAL BALL, not even CNN. The world is sick and tired of the Republican BS .... they're going to lose the election in the fall along with a slew of house and senate seats.

    June 9, 2008 07:04 pm at 7:04 pm |
  4. Don

    Wow, BO up by 6 points in the Gallup poll, McSame better watch out!!

    June 9, 2008 07:04 pm at 7:04 pm |
  5. axt113

    PA, is safe dem, check the polls, all have been going for Obama, even before then end of the dem primary.

    VA and Oh are very likely to flip dem, Obama has been doing very well in polling there

    Missouri is possible.

    For McCain he might be able to pick off Michigan if he picks Romney as Veep

    June 9, 2008 07:06 pm at 7:06 pm |
  6. Anne

    People are saying that the DNC was unfair in only awarding Florida and Michigan 1/2 of the vote/delegates and therefore they will teach them a lesson and vote for McCain in NOV, well I need you to educate yourselves because the RNC also placed a punishment on Florida and Michigan and took away half of their delegates.

    June 9, 2008 07:08 pm at 7:08 pm |
  7. Cindy

    It's not early. You know that both camps have already mapped this out and analyzed it a zillion times. Obama and McCain don't start campaigning in certain states randomly. Stragegy is key. Strategy is what helped Obama topple a dynasty.

    And before anyone goes ahead and extrapolates that Obama is all strategy and no substance... All the strategy in the world isn't enough by itself. Obama is a good man, coupled w/ a good strategy. It needs both to succeed.

    June 9, 2008 07:09 pm at 7:09 pm |
  8. j

    I honestly don't understand how anyone could vote for McCain considering the failed policies of the Republican party. Then again I didn't understand how anyone could vote for Reagan, Bush, or Bush. The Republicans can't even follow their own stated principles. They haven't controlled spending, they haven't made government smaller or more manageable, they've suspended or ignored many parts of the Constitution, and they don't support states rights. These are just a few examples and where they have followed their own principles they've just made things worse – cutting or ignoring regulations at the detriment of Americans. These are not the people I want in control of the federal government. America is definitely worse off because of the Republicans than at any other time in it's history. Vote Democrat! Save America!

    June 9, 2008 07:10 pm at 7:10 pm |
  9. Ryan Asbert

    Yeah, I'm sorry, but WA is a pretty safe Obama lean, as is OR.

    -Ryan in Seattle

    June 9, 2008 07:11 pm at 7:11 pm |
  10. KMAN

    Yes, it is too early at this point to mean much ... but it DOES GIVE all those RNC goose-steppers yet another opportunity to pretend to be disenfranchised HRC supporters! How transparent can they be?

    June 9, 2008 07:12 pm at 7:12 pm |
  11. Cynthia

    I am going to do the same as Mya but the fasting part. If the Clinton supporters adapted that belief we all would be better off.

    June 9, 2008 07:12 pm at 7:12 pm |
  12. Breaker

    I have to laugh. Who in his right mind wan'ts to continue with Bush's failed policies.

    Keep on dreaming rebublicans, you are in for a huge surprise come November 5th.

    the old America will fade away – A new America is born.

    Obama for President !!! There is no other choice.

    June 9, 2008 07:15 pm at 7:15 pm |
  13. Casey

    When Obama picks someone like Joe Biden or Bill Richardson (or maybe a Rep? like Chuck Hagel) for VP, this map will change radically.

    June 9, 2008 07:16 pm at 7:16 pm |
  14. PatrickTM

    Perhaps one of the reasons that Obama isn't doing better right now is the HilBilly factor. She made a phoney and dishonest to seat fully the MI and FL delegates with no penalty, and when that didn't fly, her die-hard unthinking, unreasoning supporters took that as a "fix" or unfair. She also made many fallicious arguments during the final part of the campaign about popular vote, what states count and which ones don't and cried fould and blamed everyone exdcept herself and her campaign for her trun from being the inevitible nominee to losing. she has a lot of work to do, and if Obama loses, it can be spelled one way H I L L A R Y!!

    June 9, 2008 07:16 pm at 7:16 pm |
  15. James from Fla

    It is a little too early for this. Mike you are a clown that is showing your true colors. Scott you also need to be quiet too, ask Mccain for his V.P. since u act like u r a Republican. Real Democrats act like real democrats. Two face people are two face people.

    Democratic Party 08'

    June 9, 2008 07:18 pm at 7:18 pm |
  16. saif

    By the way, Rupert Murdoch thinks Obama is going to have a landslide win in November. When Rupert speaks, we should listen!

    June 9, 2008 07:18 pm at 7:18 pm |
  17. Ilene MI

    Michigan will go to Obama. We are all hurting in this state and a republican in office is not in the cards. We also have a large African American population that appears is going to get off their behinds and go out and vote. Give MI to Obama.

    June 9, 2008 07:20 pm at 7:20 pm |
  18. Anti Iraq War Crusader

    This is Bogus!!!! The democrats have well over double the primary votes for texas than the republicans did. 2.5 million to 1 million! You guys need to chart this much better!!

    June 9, 2008 07:21 pm at 7:21 pm |
  19. President of What?

    Majority of the Georgia, Alabama, Lousiana, Mississippi is over 40 % black and will be voting this time. Those states never had to worry at all because there was always a white candidate. New polls show Latinos favor obama 71 to 29 today. How can he even win Texas. Also, Pennsylvania..he won more votes than all the Republicans put together. He won many states with twice the amount of john mcnut and the rest of the bumbling fools. If I were a republican...I would expect be scared of losing states...vs townhall meetings.

    June 9, 2008 07:26 pm at 7:26 pm |
  20. Sam Houston, GA

    Scott – why isn't anyone asking McShame who his VP choice is?

    Give it a rest – it's not a decision to be made lightly.

    I doubt that either will rush because of little ole you (one vote in one of 50 states – HAR HAR HAR)

    June 9, 2008 07:26 pm at 7:26 pm |
  21. Informed voter from florida

    Go ahead and turn Florida dark red. The democrats here are supporting Mccain.

    June 9, 2008 07:28 pm at 7:28 pm |
  22. Eric

    How is New Mexico leaning republican. All polls I have seen this entire year have had it at a toss up. Minnesota has voted democrat for every election since 1972 and all polls I have seen show it going that way again. It is not a toss up state. Eric

    June 9, 2008 07:29 pm at 7:29 pm |
  23. Mike - Ventura, CA

    Don't you think it's a teeney bit early to count electoral votes? Remember the Primary we just had ? The INEVITABLE NOMINEE was defeated? The Obama campaign will win over the hearts of millions more – some are grieving Senator Clinton's loss, some are Independents who have yet to decide how they'll vote, and there are many more republicans like my parents and sister who will vote OBAMA because we need change!

    June 9, 2008 07:30 pm at 7:30 pm |
  24. Rosanne

    How many airplanes did daddy's son (McSame) lose before he was captured and put up in comfort (compared to his compatriots)? His friends the communist probably saved the taxpayers millions by shooting 'the singer' down over North Vietnam!

    June 9, 2008 07:30 pm at 7:30 pm |
  25. white woman for Obama

    As the nation gets to know Senator Obama, his policies and vision for our country, the majority of the people of the USA will support him and vote for him. Those who were angered by Hillary's defeat will also come around. They are not stupid people, they know that their livelyhood, their ecnomy, their health care, their planet depends on their votes. They will not vote or withhold a vote in November becuase they are Americans first and will do whatever it takes to vote as an expression of their patriotism. We are all diferent, race, color, religion, status, education and such, but we are all Americans and we vote our conscious. I have faith in the American people and I believe that we will stand up and fight to take Washington back from politicians who have been bought by lobbyists and special intrest. Obama will lead in a way that will benefit all of Americans not just the healthy and wealthy. He will help every color, race and religion all the same. He will work hardest for the hard working Americans and help Americans get their respect back.
    Obama 08,2012

    June 9, 2008 07:31 pm at 7:31 pm |
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