June 16th, 2008
01:20 PM ET
10 years ago

Obama, McCain run neck and neck in important swing state

Sen. Obama campaigned in Nevada late last month.

Sen. Obama campaigned in Nevada late last month.

(CNN) - The battle for the swing state of Nevada – which has voted for every winning president except Jimmy Carter in 1976 – is a draw in a new poll that shows Barack Obama and John McCain in a statistical tie.

McCain – a senator from neighboring Arizona – would receive 44 percent of the vote if the election were held today, according to a new Mason-Dixon poll for the Las Vegas Review-Journal. The survey finds that Obama would pull in 42 percent, a difference within the survey’s four point margin of error. Fourteen percent of likely voters remain undecided

The survey suggests that adding Clinton to the ticket could cost Obama here: 28 percent of those polled said it would make them less likely to back the Illinois senator, compared with the 19 percent who said it would make them more likely to support him. Roughly half of those polled said it would have no impact on their decision.

One out of four undecided voters said adding Clinton to the ticket would make them more likely to support Obama – but 38 percent said it would make them less likely to vote for him.

The poll of 625 likely voters was conducted June 9-11.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (104 Responses)
  1. D.C.

    I am sure that the good people of Nevada know the right decision. No Bush Third Term!

    June 16, 2008 02:51 pm at 2:51 pm |
  2. RIF

    It's funny for all the PUMA and "perceived" power that Clinton supporters have that more people are saying that they are less likely to vote for Obama if Hillary is on the ticket. Obama's his own candidate and should choose a running mate that he wants and not what some others want because there could be more that he turns off by the move than turns on. People keep forgetting that he has over 18 million that supported him in the primary.

    Obama/Biden '08

    June 16, 2008 02:53 pm at 2:53 pm |
  3. John Starnes Tampa Florida

    McCain shot down the new GI Bill plus has voted against MANY bills that would have improved life for our new vets coming home from Iraq and Afghanistan. Atop that he jokes about war with Iran, as if thousands of new deaths are a laughing matter. These facts alone should wake people up...how can anyone even THINK of voting for someone so out of touch with facts, with the suffering of our troops?

    June 16, 2008 02:54 pm at 2:54 pm |
  4. Johnny

    Long way to go until the election.

    McCain will tromp Obama.

    Obama has nothing to bring tot the table for Americans.

    June 16, 2008 02:56 pm at 2:56 pm |
  5. Larry Sinclair

    I would like to go on record stating that there is no such incriminating videotape of Michelle Obama. Even if such a tape existed, she did not say those things. And even if she did say those things, she was taken out of context. And even she was not taken out of context, she did not mean them. And even she did mean them, it does not matter.............

    June 16, 2008 02:56 pm at 2:56 pm |
  6. Brian from Fort Mill, S.C.

    It's the bottom of the first inning, and the score is a 1-1 tie.

    Let's see what this looks like in October.

    June 16, 2008 02:56 pm at 2:56 pm |
  7. carlo

    Wow. That's a tough spot for Obama to be in; however, I think that it is completely ridiculous that something like a particular running mate would make that big of a difference. There are several qualified people to be Obama's vp. Now I see why he's taking his time making a selection.

    June 16, 2008 02:57 pm at 2:57 pm |

    No Mccain Not Ever!

    June 16, 2008 02:57 pm at 2:57 pm |
  9. Tired of W, OH

    PUMA = Operation Chaos.

    Keep this in mind as the so-called Hillary supporters post here.

    June 16, 2008 02:58 pm at 2:58 pm |
  10. Citizen

    At the rate that McCain is shooting himself in the foot; by Labor Day Obama is going to be up by 20% points.

    June 16, 2008 02:58 pm at 2:58 pm |
  11. kim hussein taylor portland, oregon

    polls schmolls, we all know how useless they are. but i am so shocked that obama and mcsame are neck and neck in so many of the polls. how can that be?

    it makes ZERO sense whatsoever to vote for mccain and 4 more years of THIS: to support someone who is dishonest, has ALWAYS been pro-business, DOESNT support our troops, continually votes down benefits for them, will get rich off his wars, promises more wars, will put terrible right-wing judges on the supreme court, loses it on a regular enough basis that he has a long-standing reputation, is sickly and getting worse every week of the campaign, called his wife nasty names, doesnt think women deserve equal pay, shows terrible judgment in supporting bush's failed policies and wars, and on and on and on...

    the guy's a ridiculous mess-he's a HYPOCRITE, has no integrity, is a rightie, wants wars before diplomacy, will send YOUR kids and grandkids to die but wont give them medical care or college tuition. it is dispicable that these pigs like mccain send our troops on numerous tours of duty, with no rest between, then $crews them on benefits-if you vote for mccain that makes you anti-troops too!!!!

    June 16, 2008 02:58 pm at 2:58 pm |
  12. Upstanding Gentleman

    Many Clinton supporters want Obama to pick Hillary. The problem is that she may be popular with you but she is not with everyone else. People with a favorable opinion of her 50% and people with a negative opinion of her is 50%. There are a number of states like Nevada with a high number of Independents that Hillary Clinton will her the Democratic ticket in the polls. She will help in some states but hurt the Democratic ticket in other states. I give Hillary credit for being a hard worker, but one of my main reasons for supporting Obama over Hillary Clinton was because like or not she is very polarizing. As many people dislike her as like her.

    June 16, 2008 02:59 pm at 2:59 pm |
  13. amtFresno,CA

    NO Hillary on the ticket. Once the people in Nevada get to know Obama they will back him. Obama for Pres 08

    June 16, 2008 03:00 pm at 3:00 pm |
  14. Alvin

    Obama will never win. Kerry and Gore were way ahead at this time in pre-polling and look what happened there.

    Obama is one BIG mistake! The party messed up pushing Obama at us when we wanted Hillary!

    June 16, 2008 03:00 pm at 3:00 pm |

    I Have Read So Many Disturbing Things About Mccain Today Its Unreal! The Previous Article Was Unbelievable! I Dont Understand How Any Woman Can Vote For Him! He Is Sure To Loose Nevada After The Things He Said Today!

    June 16, 2008 03:02 pm at 3:02 pm |
  16. martin

    pick who you want to be vp.nevadans will come around with the rest of the nation.they are as smart as the rest of us.

    June 16, 2008 03:03 pm at 3:03 pm |
  17. Luke Brown, Charleston SC

    Obama = Future ... c'mon Nevada, get on board

    June 16, 2008 03:03 pm at 3:03 pm |
  18. ohio voter

    Senator Obama's numbers should be through the roof by now. Everyone wanted Senator Clinton out of the races, because Senator Obama needed to concentrate on the GE. Well, the GE is here and his numbers haven't shot up like everyone said they would. It's time for one of your eloquent speeches, Senator Obama. You are the best speech giver in the whole wide world!! Please give a speech so we can all fall in line and follow you like the sheep you think we are.

    June 16, 2008 03:04 pm at 3:04 pm |
  19. Brian Knoxville, TN

    Thanks for the scoop, CNN. Nevada is definitely a state we'll be targeting.

    You hear that Obamabots? We're coming to take our party back from the undemocratic and failed leadership of the DNC and the wanna be rulers over at the campaign of the so-called leadership's selected nominee.

    Puma Democrat

    June 16, 2008 03:04 pm at 3:04 pm |
  20. Hillary 08

    A poll today is really ill relevant as to what will happen in Nov.
    But AI really do hope that the OBama camp is excited about these nationwide numbers- because when the republicans beat him bad come election day-they will take a harder fall then expected.
    This guy Obama is a phony and will be revealed so in the coming months-and his wife is worse. A clinton supporter myself will either vote McCain, or not vote at all. Never will I vote for this preacher, who has failed to impress me from day one. I do hope millions feel the same way, because if not, and this joker gets in office, with all his promises and rhetoric all of us will be doomed. Wall Street and corporate America will turn on him like white on rice-and we the taxpayer will pay a very high price-and that's only half of it-Iraq will turn into a sinkhole-hundreds more of our brave men and women will perish under his false pretense of pulling out too soon–and we will all be more the worse for this idiot if elected.

    June 16, 2008 03:04 pm at 3:04 pm |
  21. martin

    except west virginians and arkansans

    June 16, 2008 03:04 pm at 3:04 pm |
  22. Marc in Virginia

    Obama doesn't need Ohio, doesn't need Florida, doesn't need Michigan, doesn't need Nevada, etc., to win the election. He can do it! Yes, he can!

    June 16, 2008 03:04 pm at 3:04 pm |
  23. CNN Reaches

    CNN are you strapped for news. Let me remind you that Hillary is not in the race anylonger - so let it rest.

    Tune into FOX if you want to see how it's done.

    June 16, 2008 03:09 pm at 3:09 pm |
  24. NOBAMA

    Obama's chances are as a candidate much,much worst than Kerry.
    He will be toppled in November. He is just symbolic, bubble candidate, who has no experience and no vision at all!!!

    June 16, 2008 03:09 pm at 3:09 pm |
  25. Enlightened Voter

    By the time November comes, people will be dying to vote for Obama. BTW john mcwar just voted against three important bills – extending GI benefits for veterans, extending unemployment benefits and a vote that would give women equal pay. We can't afford john mcwar or any repulsive repub. There is nothing christian about them, why do you think they are losing their evangelical base? People are finally waking up!

    June 16, 2008 03:11 pm at 3:11 pm |
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