June 19th, 2008
05:40 PM ET
6 years ago

Schneider: Men could be the deciding factor

(CNN) - After the long, bruising primary battle with Hillary Clinton, a lot of Democrats were concerned Barack Obama would have a problem getting support from women, but the big surprise is that it could be men who become the deciding factor this election cycle.

According to the latest CNN Opinion Research Corporation Poll Obama is running nearly even with John McCain among men. McCain has a slight edge with 49 percent to Obama’s 47 percent. Meanwhile, Obama leads McCain by 9 points among women 52 percent to 43 percent.

WATCH Why men could be the deciding factor

The support from men has become crucial for Republicans in past elections.

According to exit polls from the 2000 election, 53 percent of men helped George W. Bush get elected in 2000, with only 42 percent of men supporting Al Gore. In 2004 George Bush was re-elected with 55 percent support from men to John Kerry’s 44 percent. Most women voted for Gore and Kerry.

In fact, in the last nine presidential elections going back to 1972, men have voted for the Democrat only twice: for Jimmy Carter in 1976, when the economy was bad and a Republican was in the White House. And for Bill Clinton in 1992, when the economy was bad and a Republican was in the White House.

In the 2008 presidential cycle, the economy is bad and a Republican is in the White House, giving Obama a foothold with male voters.

Forty-four percent of men ranked the economy as their number one concern and among the nearly half of men who say their top concern is the economy, Obama has a 7 point lead, 52 percent to McCain’s 45 percent.

That's the thing about the gender gap. It's usually taken to mean women vote Democratic. But it also means men vote Republican — at least, it used to.

Full story

soundoff (166 Responses)
  1. What if?

    To......Larry from LA June 19th, 2008 7:50 pm ET
    McCain said he did not want to run a negative campaign against Obama. All he is doing NON STOP is a negative attack campaign. People are seeing this and this will without a doubt hurt him.
    ===================================================
    TRUTH IS THE TRUTH..........Hillary and Bill HAS been in Washington long enough to know what type of damage they would cause Obama, if they where to continue to run the type of campaign that usually was acts of a republican. This was to make sure if he beat her he would have a hard time becoming our president.................Her way of campaign damaged him more than McCain or any republican could ever do.

    We all knew when she CRIED on NATIONAL TV, this was not expectable by many white people, they were not going to sit ideally by and watch a white woman be defeated by a person of another nationality (could have been an Hispanic, Chinese, ect..), especially not a black man. It would have been OK if it was a white man that brought on those tears. If this isn’t true the why are most of them who don't agree with McCain/McBush polices and his way of politics, now showing as the questionable votes for Obama.

    June 19, 2008 10:20 pm at 10:20 pm |
  2. RB

    I'm a republican and McSame does NOT have my vote. I hope Congress sends him a very strong message on the GI Bill. He ought to be ashamed of himself for not supporting the Webb Bill. And, he ought to be ashamed of himself for saying Obama "broke his promise" to American people on Public Finance. The "promise" Obama made was that IF his opponent accepted public financing, he would also. John McSame did not accept public financing until AFTER Obama decided he would not accept public financing. How long was he supposed to wait on McSame? John McSame was right about one thing: this election will be about trust. McSame was for public financing when he was losing the republican primaries and needed money, then against it when he won the nomination and had no opponent, then for it again AFTER Obama decided against it. How many times will the "great flipper" flop? Which McSame do you trust?? I don't trust either one.

    VETS FOR OBAMA/WEBB '08

    June 19, 2008 10:22 pm at 10:22 pm |
  3. Houston voter

    To all Obama supporters: Just watch your checks shrink if your candidate is elected president.

    Do Not Elect this Junior Senator who will deceive you.

    June 19, 2008 10:23 pm at 10:23 pm |
  4. Juan Grain

    McCain is a good man, He is just not going to be President this time. If you don't believe me, just print, cut and save my statement and see what happens in Nov. Not only is he not going to win but he is going to loose to a Reagan style landslide (47 maybe 48 states). God help McCain if Chuck Hagel is Veep ;)

    The good news is that when the dust settles, he will be one of those coming to the White House on a bi-weekly visit to help straighten out policy with President Obama. And so will Senator Clinton.

    June 19, 2008 10:23 pm at 10:23 pm |
  5. Ian

    Haha, McCain is gonna get PAWNT.

    June 19, 2008 10:24 pm at 10:24 pm |
  6. Believer

    Obama is the only candidate that was opposed to the war and supportive of the veterans. That is why we need to do whatever we can to show our support and make sure he's elected. Go to sayitonyourwrist.com to buy your "Yes We Can" silicone bracelets! I got one and now I show my support 24/7!

    June 19, 2008 10:24 pm at 10:24 pm |
  7. Texas Trail Dog

    RUSSELL HAMMOND – DON'T GO THERE. NOW YOU ARE TALKING OUT OF THE OTHER END OF YOU AAs BODIES. YOUR GOOD REV. MARTIN LUTHER KING HAD A MISTRESS. REV. JACKSON HAD A MISTRESS. THROUGHOUT THE NEIGHBORHOOD OR THE HOODS AS YOU LIKE TO CALL THEM ADULTERY RUNS RAPID. IF YOU CAN'T KEEP YOUR COMMENTS CLEAN THEN DON'T CAST THE FIRST STONE. I THINK THERE IS A WHOLE LOT OF YOUR KIND OF BEHAVIOR OUT THERE IN THE WORLD FOR ALL RACES TO REPENT TO. SO YOU OBAMA SUPPORTERS NEED TO CLEAN IT UP. YOUR ARE NOT THE KIND OF PEOPLE THAT HAS SHOWED SHOW FAR THAT YOU DESERVE TO BE IN THE WHITE HOUSE. WITH ALL THE NEGATIVE COMMENTS YOU MAKE TOWARD THE OPPOSING CANDIDATE HIS SPOUSE OR HIS CHILDREN. NOTHING SEEMS TO BE OFF LIMITS WITH YOUR RANTINGS. THIS IS NOT A FOOTBALL GAME SO COME OUT FROM UNDERNEATH THE STANDS AND WATCH THE GAME. YOU THINK THIS IS YOUR GREAT CHANCE TO GET EVEN WITH WHITEY IN THE MEANTIME YOU ARE ONLY DECEIVING YOURSELVES BY FOLLOWING THIS CORRUPT LEADER YOU CALL OBAMA.

    June 19, 2008 10:26 pm at 10:26 pm |
  8. Alex 58

    All Obama needs is for McCain to keep coming out with idiotic statements (like the one today about the campaign financing) and Obama's victory, now probable, will become a landslide.

    June 19, 2008 10:28 pm at 10:28 pm |
  9. Jamie Lynn, Beverly Hills

    Let's see how smart (or dumb) you Obamanians are. Can you tell me why there have been no terrorist attacks in the U.S. for almost 7 years?

    Can you tell me why there are no suicide bombers or roadside bombs in your neighborhoods?

    Of course you can't. Otherwise you would not be voting for a woos/appeaser.

    He's going to give you "change you can believe in" but I suggest you buy an armored car first to drive your kids to school in after the election.

    June 19, 2008 10:30 pm at 10:30 pm |
  10. D. Holiday, OH

    What ever...just wait until election day. May the best man win. Don't be afraid. It's okay...you'll live. Just hang in there through the horrible economy,

    Being addicted to oil and all as W puts it...let's go ahead and drill for some of that domestic stuff. Here's an idea... why don't we write a letter to our local Alcoholics Anonymis Centers and tell them to just just have all their clients switch to domestic beer and get off that imported liquer. That will make all the difference right?

    That's why I'm a Demy!

    June 19, 2008 10:33 pm at 10:33 pm |
  11. MS CLEO!!!

    Rev. Wright .............All the polls said Gore was going to win. All the polls said Kerry was going to win… I see the pattern alright….....SEE
    THE LIGHT........NOMcSAME!!!! NO CHARGE JUST FACTS !

    June 19, 2008 10:38 pm at 10:38 pm |
  12. Rea

    White men will chose McCain
    Black men will chose Obama

    June 19, 2008 10:39 pm at 10:39 pm |
  13. Alex 58

    Jamie Lynn,

    There have been no additional attacks in 7 years due to the strict airline rules that went into play after 9/11, together with the good work our national security people have done since that time.

    Bush has very little claim to that success, and McCain even less. To suggest that electing Obama as President will inevitably lead to more attacks here in the U.S. is simply ridiculous.

    Don't worry, you will be pleasantly surprised to find that President Obama will be very strong in terms of foreign policy and national defense. He just doesn't rely on blind force like McCain.

    June 19, 2008 10:40 pm at 10:40 pm |
  14. Rea

    McCain is the only candidate that can protect this country.
    That's because he knows international policy
    Thirty years of experience is also helpful.

    Obama has change
    Obama wants to talk to terrorist
    Obama has no, none, nada experience.

    June 19, 2008 10:41 pm at 10:41 pm |
  15. RB

    For all those trying to scare folks by saying Obama will raise taxes, how else are we going to dig ourselves out of the hole W has dug for us and McSame would continue digging? Shouldn't it be the generation that brought us W that should have to pay for its mistake of electing W? Well, that would be us. So, if our taxes go up to restore this country to greatness, I'm OK with that. If our children/grand children have a chance to see a balanced budget, I'm OK with higher taxes. McSame would continue to borrow from the Chinese and other countries to support the war on terror. (OBTW, it's a farce) Terrorists are not interested in fighting a war of attrition with the US; they would lose in a heart beat. They wanted to draw us into a long war that crash our economy. They're doing a pretty good job...wouldn't you say? WE CANNOT AFFORD TO PAY FOR THE WAR – that's why we're borowing money to pay for it!! And, the money goes to big contractors. What a joke. My friends, the only fraud is McSame. Or, maybe he's just "confused".

    June 19, 2008 10:42 pm at 10:42 pm |
  16. REPUBLICAN WOMAN 4 OBAMA!!!

    NC Voter ..............I'm a Democrat man and Obama does NOT have my vote. He is too liberal, no track record, changes his tune depending on the political winds,...........I'm a REPUBLICAN WOMAN VOTING for OBAMA..........McCain is too OLD,depends on JOE LIEBERMEN TO TELL him where he is and HOW To get BACK ......MCSAME take money from MR BUSH FUND RAISER and DISTANCE himself in PUBLIC

    June 19, 2008 10:58 pm at 10:58 pm |
1 2 3 4 5 6 7