June 19th, 2008
05:40 PM ET
6 years ago

Schneider: Men could be the deciding factor

(CNN) - After the long, bruising primary battle with Hillary Clinton, a lot of Democrats were concerned Barack Obama would have a problem getting support from women, but the big surprise is that it could be men who become the deciding factor this election cycle.

According to the latest CNN Opinion Research Corporation Poll Obama is running nearly even with John McCain among men. McCain has a slight edge with 49 percent to Obama’s 47 percent. Meanwhile, Obama leads McCain by 9 points among women 52 percent to 43 percent.

WATCH Why men could be the deciding factor

The support from men has become crucial for Republicans in past elections.

According to exit polls from the 2000 election, 53 percent of men helped George W. Bush get elected in 2000, with only 42 percent of men supporting Al Gore. In 2004 George Bush was re-elected with 55 percent support from men to John Kerry’s 44 percent. Most women voted for Gore and Kerry.

In fact, in the last nine presidential elections going back to 1972, men have voted for the Democrat only twice: for Jimmy Carter in 1976, when the economy was bad and a Republican was in the White House. And for Bill Clinton in 1992, when the economy was bad and a Republican was in the White House.

In the 2008 presidential cycle, the economy is bad and a Republican is in the White House, giving Obama a foothold with male voters.

Forty-four percent of men ranked the economy as their number one concern and among the nearly half of men who say their top concern is the economy, Obama has a 7 point lead, 52 percent to McCain’s 45 percent.

That's the thing about the gender gap. It's usually taken to mean women vote Democratic. But it also means men vote Republican — at least, it used to.

Full story

soundoff (166 Responses)
  1. Enlightened Voter

    That's because men have an amazing ability to cut through the bull and the lies and emotions and see people for who they really are. By the time this is done men will support Barack Obama overwhelmingly. It's natural.

    June 19, 2008 06:29 pm at 6:29 pm |
  2. John Wa

    They know he is PRO-WAR but NOT SUPPORTIVE OF VETS!

    June 19, 2008 06:31 pm at 6:31 pm |
  3. linda from South Dakota

    well i dont believe in these polls posted here,, but its no surprize that mccain claims hes ahead, cause he can buy votes the illegal way,, mccain cant get anything without the support of his liars,,, thats the republican way,, everyone can see that,,,,, its time for change and obama can do it IF people open thier eyes and see tha mccain, is a second bush,,, mccain has lobbists supporting him which is part of the white house gang under bush,, sooooo if you want higher taxes and want the econmy to get higher then mccain is your man,, ( i highly doubt this is what you want) but IF you want GOOD change then obama is your man,, do searches and you will know that mccain has lied his way to where he is now,, check out the site,,www.mccain in 1999.com,, and you'll see what im talkin about,,, i checked it out and i was so shocked at what i read,,, my votes for obama and ,, by the way,, obama IS NOT muslim,,, his dad was and he left him and his mon at a early age, so do your searches here and go with change,, OBAMA!!!!!08

    June 19, 2008 06:32 pm at 6:32 pm |
  4. Andy, MI

    Yes, but those men have sons in the service and drive cars. They will decide for the best person to lead the country and that person is Barack Obama.

    June 19, 2008 06:33 pm at 6:33 pm |
  5. John

    Shame on Obama !!! Obama running a dirty campain and trashing the Clinton's now taking everyone for a fool. Democrat party had thier big break two years ago when the took charge of the congress and did nothing. Do we really want another lier like Obama in Office??I konw im a democrat and i will be voting for McCain!

    June 19, 2008 06:33 pm at 6:33 pm |
  6. PAT FOR OBAMA

    WHO CARES, OBAMA WILL WIN ANYWAYS

    June 19, 2008 06:33 pm at 6:33 pm |
  7. benis tijan

    I think Barack Obama will landslide John McCain.

    June 19, 2008 06:36 pm at 6:36 pm |
  8. Anonymous

    Schneider, get a real job where you have to actually do some meaningful work. We see how all your stats from the primaries are holding out to be nothing but bunk. So, now your specialty is BS in whatever form creates the drama for the next moment or news cycle? I think we ought to take a poll on how soon you should make your exit! I vote now!!!

    June 19, 2008 06:36 pm at 6:36 pm |
  9. fight the liberal media!

    because we won't bend over for pansies

    June 19, 2008 06:37 pm at 6:37 pm |
  10. Tommy Hussein in St. Louis

    Don't more men support the Republican candidate, while more women tend to support the Democratic candidate? That's how it's been for at least as long as I've been old enough to vote, which admittedly hasn't been that long. I don't see why this year should be any different. The first time I voted in a presidential election was in 1992, and I remember hearing even back then how according to the polls more men liked Bush and more women liked Clinton. But it looks like McCain has a razor-thin lead even among men. If he loses even that much ground, he may have a hard time in November.

    June 19, 2008 06:38 pm at 6:38 pm |
  11. David, Silver Spring, MD

    Men like to talk tough and self-sufficient and all that, but I think we realize, especially after the last eight years, that as a country we can't bomb and shoot out of every problem and toughing it out isn't always the best strategy. Sometimes we have to use our rational brains and our mathematical skills to work through problems.

    When men realize that being smart isn't the same as being a wimp, they'll vote Obama.

    June 19, 2008 06:41 pm at 6:41 pm |
  12. NC Voter

    I'm a Democrat man and Obama does NOT have my vote. He is too liberal, no track record, changes his tune depending on the political winds, just another opportunist politician who says what is expedient at the time. America deserves better than this and must have better than this or we will face some serious headaches in the years to come. Think Bush is bad, just wait if Obama is elected....more taxes in all forms, higher prices, inflation, joblessness, the list keeps going!

    June 19, 2008 06:42 pm at 6:42 pm |
  13. xddy4u

    Well men, you saw what you've gotten us the last eight years. The Bush dynasty. Now, just follow your "woman" to the polls and vote just like she votes, and you can't go wrong. Obama'08

    June 19, 2008 06:43 pm at 6:43 pm |
  14. David, Silver Spring, MD

    Hey John (6:33). You're not a democrat and we know it. If you were, you wouldn't have referred to the Democratic party as the Democrat party.

    June 19, 2008 06:43 pm at 6:43 pm |
  15. WJS

    I would consider taking these negative Obama postings seriously if words as simple as "naive" and "liar" were spelled correctly. Sad really. I feel bad for McCain and his "interesting" demographic of voters.

    June 19, 2008 06:44 pm at 6:44 pm |
  16. Republican for Obama

    Ok, this will sound chauvanistic and it's not intended to be: But I think this actually means that women will decide it.
    Here is the sexist part:
    Do statistics still indicate that more women have time to vote (due to work) then men do? If so, then that 2% edge that McCain has won't be enough to beat the 9% of women that Obama has.
    Forgive if I offended, I am not certain if we are at a 50/50 work force yet, but am well aware that women are completely equal in capacity to men (other then sports ;) teasing)

    June 19, 2008 06:45 pm at 6:45 pm |
  17. NickNas

    According to exit polls from the 2000 election, 53 percent of men helped George W. Bush get elected in 2000,

    That must mean 53 Percent of the men must feel like IDIOTS for doing so.

    June 19, 2008 06:45 pm at 6:45 pm |
  18. The Lady

    Every week it is some other group who will be the deceiding factor, let's just wait and see.

    June 19, 2008 06:46 pm at 6:46 pm |
  19. Turnabout is Fair Play

    Something to remember, there's a hell of a lot more women voters than there are men; approx 7 women to every 1 man in this country. If I was Barack, I wouldn't even worry about this poll, he'll be fine.

    Obama/Sebelius '08

    June 19, 2008 06:46 pm at 6:46 pm |
  20. JonRoss

    Men who want to protect their families, their homes, and their country will vote for McCain. They will not accept a Marxist coup.

    June 19, 2008 06:47 pm at 6:47 pm |
  21. Rev. Wright

    All the polls said Gore was going to win. All the polls said Kerry was going to win... I see the pattern alright...

    June 19, 2008 06:48 pm at 6:48 pm |
  22. La Raza

    Any one willing? I will bet my paycheck, house, car, etc., that Obama will win by a landslide. Any takers out there? How bout you PUMA nuts?

    June 19, 2008 06:48 pm at 6:48 pm |
  23. Ralph

    Any large group could be a deciding factor. Yawn. What counts is electability, and that "my friends", McCain lacks.

    June 19, 2008 06:49 pm at 6:49 pm |
  24. jm from sc

    During the time of slavery, it was the men that glorified in that way of life. Today, it is usually the men that prejudges people without even knowing them. It is the white male that are paid more than women and blacks for the same job. Therefore, it is not news to hear that they would be the last ones to understand that Sen. Obama is the best candidate for president of the USA.

    June 19, 2008 06:50 pm at 6:50 pm |
  25. Keith

    I laughed at the headline. "Men could be the deciding factor"

    WOAH, could half of America's population really decide the outcome of this election? *gasp* I don't believe it. Brilliant detective work there, Schneider

    June 19, 2008 06:52 pm at 6:52 pm |
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