June 19th, 2008
05:40 PM ET
6 years ago

Schneider: Men could be the deciding factor

(CNN) - After the long, bruising primary battle with Hillary Clinton, a lot of Democrats were concerned Barack Obama would have a problem getting support from women, but the big surprise is that it could be men who become the deciding factor this election cycle.

According to the latest CNN Opinion Research Corporation Poll Obama is running nearly even with John McCain among men. McCain has a slight edge with 49 percent to Obama’s 47 percent. Meanwhile, Obama leads McCain by 9 points among women 52 percent to 43 percent.

WATCH Why men could be the deciding factor

The support from men has become crucial for Republicans in past elections.

According to exit polls from the 2000 election, 53 percent of men helped George W. Bush get elected in 2000, with only 42 percent of men supporting Al Gore. In 2004 George Bush was re-elected with 55 percent support from men to John Kerry’s 44 percent. Most women voted for Gore and Kerry.

In fact, in the last nine presidential elections going back to 1972, men have voted for the Democrat only twice: for Jimmy Carter in 1976, when the economy was bad and a Republican was in the White House. And for Bill Clinton in 1992, when the economy was bad and a Republican was in the White House.

In the 2008 presidential cycle, the economy is bad and a Republican is in the White House, giving Obama a foothold with male voters.

Forty-four percent of men ranked the economy as their number one concern and among the nearly half of men who say their top concern is the economy, Obama has a 7 point lead, 52 percent to McCain’s 45 percent.

That's the thing about the gender gap. It's usually taken to mean women vote Democratic. But it also means men vote Republican — at least, it used to.

Full story

soundoff (166 Responses)
  1. Vato

    Only men interested in going to Iraq would vote for MacCain.

    June 19, 2008 06:54 pm at 6:54 pm |
  2. Ula Nejad- Sacramento Ca

    I still say women!

    June 19, 2008 06:55 pm at 6:55 pm |
  3. Yasriel

    O shut your mouth up Bill Schneider
    You're so full of it...Keep you ill-love of Obama to yourself.

    OBAMA 4 PREZ 2008

    June 19, 2008 06:55 pm at 6:55 pm |
  4. Wayne

    Men the deciding factor? I doubt it. I doubt it because one vote counts as much as another. It doesnt matter if your votes come from men or women so long as you have more. So far, Obama has more.

    You see, CNN and the experts are missing the fact that GOP has a major, major voter turn out problem. Dems topped GOP turnout in 47 states. GOP exceeded Dem turnout in just 3.

    Get ready for a blow out. CNN and MSM has a vested interest in making the race appear close.

    June 19, 2008 06:56 pm at 6:56 pm |
  5. Sante

    THE REAL MAN CAN SMELL THE FAKE, EMPTY SUIT FROM KILOMETARS!

    June 19, 2008 06:57 pm at 6:57 pm |
  6. Vietnam COMBAT Vet, OHIO

    JonRoss, why don't you join the military and protect something? Coward right? Smart men and real Veterans will not vote for McP.O.W.

    June 19, 2008 07:00 pm at 7:00 pm |
  7. Brandon Hillary Democrat for Mc Cain

    Many more male Hillary supporters will be defecting this fall to Mc Cain

    June 19, 2008 07:00 pm at 7:00 pm |
  8. After further review,Texas

    Maybe its because men are more RACIST?

    June 19, 2008 07:01 pm at 7:01 pm |
  9. TheTruthHurts

    I'm so sick of everyone slicing and dicing the electorate. I hope both of these candidates go out and court every vote based on what they plan to do to improve this country and the world.

    Get men and women, every ethnic group, rich and poor. Get them all and we won't need these games.

    Obama impressed me by truly going after every state until the end when he blew of WV and KY in order to not look foolish for loosing. Go look foolish and put in the good fight. I understand prioritization, but let everyone know, we want EVERY vote (except the bigots).

    June 19, 2008 07:02 pm at 7:02 pm |
  10. who cares

    After the way the democrats conducted their primary- that is...ganging up on the more qualified woman and obviously advantaging the Great Obama....
    I will not vote democratic. The DNC and the party elites need to learn a lesson:
    stay out of it
    let the voters decide.
    Count all the votes.
    Don't favor one candidate over the other.
    No trashing or bashing of the female candidate to advance the male.
    No corruption and threats to manipulate the super delegates.
    No swiftboating of your own BEST candidate.

    Until then... I will not vote democrat again- EXCEPT F for HRC.

    June 19, 2008 07:02 pm at 7:02 pm |
  11. BK

    Linda from South Dakota,
    Obama will raise your taxes. There is no way he can pay for everything he has promised without raising taxes.

    Get ready Obamabots looks like Obama is going to have to back peddle on the war. The Dems are going along with funding the war because there has been a major change in Iraq for the better.
    Then Obama will back peddle on NAFTA. You will start seeing a lot of back peddling from lying Obama.

    June 19, 2008 07:04 pm at 7:04 pm |
  12. kayla

    (who cares) you can vote for whomever you like. just do it. nobody cares anyway. Obama 08

    June 19, 2008 07:06 pm at 7:06 pm |
  13. Phil, FL

    Sante – My wife says it "kilometers" – HA

    June 19, 2008 07:06 pm at 7:06 pm |
  14. Phil, FL

    By the way – we're both backing Obama all the way !!!! And we can both spell !!!!!

    June 19, 2008 07:07 pm at 7:07 pm |
  15. Jerome

    I have no idea why you keep talking about McCain.

    He doesn't have a chance.

    Obama will win in a landslide.

    I cannot conceive how Americans could in their right minds vote for another Republican given the mess they are in as a result of Bush/McCain policies especially the continuation of the Iraq war and the continuing destruction of the USA economy.

    June 19, 2008 07:07 pm at 7:07 pm |
  16. Lets hope so

    Let's hope they don't capitulate to Obama.

    Women got royally screwed by the Obama campaign this primary... but for some reason... women never vote in their own best interest. They always put everyone else ahead of themselves. This time they owe it to HRC as well as themselves to vote against Obama... but seems like that isn't likely.

    Women should boycott the democratic party... until it actually becomes fair and democratic, and does not hatefully sacrifice their female candidates just to advantage the lesser qualified males.

    Maybe the men can vote against Obama since women can not seem to vote as a political bloc.

    June 19, 2008 07:07 pm at 7:07 pm |
  17. Mike from Westchester

    Sante June 19th, 2008 6:57 pm ET

    THE REAL MAN CAN SMELL THE FAKE, EMPTY SUIT FROM KILOMETARS!
    ______________________________________________

    What is KILOMETARS? Is that a planet in a parallel universe where McCain is actually even close to being a better choice than Obama?

    YES WE CAN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    June 19, 2008 07:08 pm at 7:08 pm |
  18. Women voters

    These stats hold true because women vote with emotions and men don't care if someone cries, we don't give sympathy votes. This is why and I'm not hating, Clinton got as far as she did.

    Perfect example, Obama was predicted to win in NH but Hillary cried on tv and all the women flocked to vote for her.

    June 19, 2008 07:11 pm at 7:11 pm |
  19. jesus

    Lets start writing about real issues, why is this news? I think dogs and cats will decide the election! This is stupid news that is consistent with CNN. Do some real reporting on oil, healthcare, insurance. Oh you won't do that because they advertise on your network! Lets have the CEO's of the oil companies explain that demand is up. Do you think everybody's stupid, I guess some people are. DEMAND IS DOWN and the oil companies are sitting on capped wells full of oil. I get real news online, not from CNN.

    June 19, 2008 07:13 pm at 7:13 pm |
  20. Linda K.

    What else is new?

    June 19, 2008 07:13 pm at 7:13 pm |
  21. I SAY NO TO MCCAIN

    Go head vote for mccain and you will be the ones who going to continu to complain about high price of gas,foods,lack of jobs, 100 years of war in irak.did i mentionned he would veto all your beers when he becomes president.

    June 19, 2008 07:13 pm at 7:13 pm |
  22. kev

    women don't like obama – he's cocky and unfit for the job. while there are more important issues out there that they're considering, equal pay and freedom of choice are also important, a stance the dem's have always held.

    June 19, 2008 07:15 pm at 7:15 pm |
  23. Loretta from California

    Ok Men, you need to start convincing one another. Have some back yard BBQ's or something. We really need your support to win.

    DEMOCRATS UNITE!!!!

    June 19, 2008 07:15 pm at 7:15 pm |
  24. Shelly in IL

    I thought it was women? Oh no wait, wasn't it blue collar? NO! It must have been the independant vote. I wish you people would make up your minds who will decide the vote...sheesh!

    June 19, 2008 07:16 pm at 7:16 pm |
  25. Dem in CA

    All of us who vote will be the deciding factor. All the polling indicates that a majority of people are drawn to Obama. How you dice it by gender or race or whatever is pretty meaningless and can lead to false conclusions.

    A vote is a vote is a vote.

    Do blue eyed or brown eyed people prefer one over the other? How about all people named "Susan"? Bald guys, who do they prefer? Better check, it may mean something, and if it doesn't you can always spin it, huh?

    June 19, 2008 07:18 pm at 7:18 pm |
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