June 19th, 2008
05:40 PM ET
9 years ago

Schneider: Men could be the deciding factor

(CNN) - After the long, bruising primary battle with Hillary Clinton, a lot of Democrats were concerned Barack Obama would have a problem getting support from women, but the big surprise is that it could be men who become the deciding factor this election cycle.

According to the latest CNN Opinion Research Corporation Poll Obama is running nearly even with John McCain among men. McCain has a slight edge with 49 percent to Obama’s 47 percent. Meanwhile, Obama leads McCain by 9 points among women 52 percent to 43 percent.

WATCH Why men could be the deciding factor

The support from men has become crucial for Republicans in past elections.

According to exit polls from the 2000 election, 53 percent of men helped George W. Bush get elected in 2000, with only 42 percent of men supporting Al Gore. In 2004 George Bush was re-elected with 55 percent support from men to John Kerry’s 44 percent. Most women voted for Gore and Kerry.

In fact, in the last nine presidential elections going back to 1972, men have voted for the Democrat only twice: for Jimmy Carter in 1976, when the economy was bad and a Republican was in the White House. And for Bill Clinton in 1992, when the economy was bad and a Republican was in the White House.

In the 2008 presidential cycle, the economy is bad and a Republican is in the White House, giving Obama a foothold with male voters.

Forty-four percent of men ranked the economy as their number one concern and among the nearly half of men who say their top concern is the economy, Obama has a 7 point lead, 52 percent to McCain’s 45 percent.

That's the thing about the gender gap. It's usually taken to mean women vote Democratic. But it also means men vote Republican — at least, it used to.

Full story

soundoff (166 Responses)
  1. Michelle

    That's right, Jen in CA.


    June 19, 2008 07:55 pm at 7:55 pm |
  2. Tell the truth

    I wish people was smarting then this. We need a state by state polls. For example you can win 100% of men and womem in one state and lose men 49% to 51% in 10 states which would still have you winning the men vote but lose 10 states. Please think

    June 19, 2008 07:55 pm at 7:55 pm |
  3. John from small town Ohio

    McCain is our choice. Everyone I speak to from the grocery stores, local parks, and speakeasy's are going to vote NOBAMA IN 08.

    Ohio is the "PURPLE" state that is going to decide are country's future again. Trust me!!

    June 19, 2008 07:56 pm at 7:56 pm |
  4. Ratgurl

    Ah, men. The forgotten demographic! Ooh, make that WHITE men.

    June 19, 2008 07:56 pm at 7:56 pm |
  5. F. Taylor

    You can take all the polls you want right now but only a moron will vote to keep the war going, look for more wars and give the rich corporations more tax breaks at the expense of the middle class and lower income people. Even half the Republicans don't suppor these policies and that is why McCain has to take the government financing.

    Most people can see through the Limbaugh/Dobbs rhetoric and bigotry as it takes more than a stuffed suit and big mouth to fool the American people.

    June 19, 2008 08:00 pm at 8:00 pm |
  6. Susan

    If Obama picks Hillary, he will get millions of men's votes.

    They must be on the same ticket in order for Obama to be president.

    Obama/Hillary 08

    June 19, 2008 08:03 pm at 8:03 pm |
  7. F. Taylor

    Get smart people all these anti Obama people who say they are Clinton supporters going to McCain are Republican plants only the those with the IQ of a house plant will listen to the likes of Lou Dobbs or Rush Limbaugh.

    June 19, 2008 08:04 pm at 8:04 pm |
  8. PhillyVoter

    This is a stupid headline. Men are split about evenly. Women are leaning to Obama. Obama is leading McCain –> It looks like WOMEN are the deciding factor. Can CNN count?

    June 19, 2008 08:05 pm at 8:05 pm |
  9. Larry

    Ya, real men for McCain, we don't need Obama and the welfare cult anywhere near the White House!!!

    McCain 08, The real leader!!!

    June 19, 2008 08:05 pm at 8:05 pm |
  10. Melissa - Wisconsin

    Obama won't need to raise taxes to pay for everything.

    Once he gets us out of Iraq we'll be saving hundreds of billions of dollars and thousands of lives!

    June 19, 2008 08:05 pm at 8:05 pm |

    You can complain,whinning about obama, at the end obama will win anyway.bye bye haters, see you ,adieux les jealous,adios

    June 19, 2008 08:05 pm at 8:05 pm |
  12. Tim

    Obama 08!!!!

    Anything less is just same old politics!!!!

    June 19, 2008 08:07 pm at 8:07 pm |
  13. Dan, TX

    The news media are only interested in controversy and selling ads. They don't care about informing the public.

    If you think you are going to get intelligent discussion by CNN or bloggers here, you're in denial.

    June 19, 2008 08:08 pm at 8:08 pm |
  14. Venus

    Get a real job Bill! Sick of you and your polls!

    Before you said it was women!

    Go Obama!

    All this week they give Obama the win polls!

    Next week – McSame will get the win polls!

    Glad the primary is over!

    June 19, 2008 08:08 pm at 8:08 pm |
  15. Mike

    To all you 18MM HRC supporters that are voting for McCain, I hope your children and grandchildren have a wonderful summer vacation next year in sunny and friendly IRAN.

    June 19, 2008 08:09 pm at 8:09 pm |
  16. Perusing-through

    "3rd-Term McSame" is smelling fear!! They are getting desperate. The wisdom of Senator Obama has confounded even the brightest member of McSame's team.

    But what I find puzzling is the more McSame sinks in the quicksands of failed Bush policies, the more McSame clings to those same failed strategies. How much sense does this make?

    June 19, 2008 08:10 pm at 8:10 pm |
  17. lampe

    I am so sick of Obamanuts bad mouthing Sen. Clinton and her supporters. If for one second you thought that the election had been stolen from Obama, not only would you be yelling, according to alot of your so called leaders there would be rioting in the streets (go figure).If you think that THE OBAMAS do not lie, you really are living in a fairy tale world. So my suggestion to all of you Obama supporters, take a few minutes to think about what you would be saying, if your boy ,had the race stolen away from him. If you really want to get the party together maybe,just maybe you ought to be the ones to let the DNC know that you are not happy, with the way they acted, and tell them you never wish for any woman to be disrespected again. One more thing my mother used to say "once a straight REP. ticket

    June 19, 2008 08:10 pm at 8:10 pm |
  18. PCS / North Carolina

    Typical White Male June 19th, 2008 7:32 pm ET

    "I am a 42 year old white male who lives in the south. I voted for Gore and Kerry, but will not vote for Obama. I think as a white male, I will be the lowest on priorties for Obama."

    You are right. The whole world knows that Obama is not going to carry the South. That is because of people like you, who consider race more important than saving our country.

    June 19, 2008 08:10 pm at 8:10 pm |
  19. Ratgurl

    To Jen, CA June 19th, 2008 7:23 pm ET

    Who said " Yes, indeed, it IS because men have an amazing ability to cut through the bull and the lies and emotions and see people for who they really are. And as for women, you just can't "put it over" on a woman forever with respect to Obama's "fairy tales." Foregone conclusion: By the time this is done, both men and women will support John McCain overwhelmingly.

    Funny thing happens when you finally have to cast that important final vote. You put aside all the "hype" and "sound bites" and ask: "Who, REALLY, will best protect my family and my country," and who, REALLY, has demonstrated the greatest accomplishments and genuine experience to solve our economic crisis."

    Seriously, girl, put down the pipe. You've already killed too many brain cells, & there's no coming back. That's okay, though, 'cause the rest of America's got your back… we'll make sure the country is safe, even for you!

    C'mon mods, print me already!!! I've been cooped up at work all day, anticipating all this entertainment!

    June 19, 2008 08:12 pm at 8:12 pm |
  20. PCS / North Carolina

    John from small town Ohio June 19th, 2008 7:56 pm ET

    "McCain is our choice. Everyone I speak to from the grocery stores, local parks, and speakeasy's are going to vote NOBAMA IN 08.

    Ohio is the "PURPLE" state that is going to decide are country's future again. Trust me!!"

    Yeah right. You all got it right in 2000 and 2004. Do it again, and go find jobs in China and India.

    June 19, 2008 08:13 pm at 8:13 pm |
  21. Marie Canada

    I would suggest people examine some of the things citizens of progressive and modern societies enjoy and do an honest comparsion to your particular circumstances.

    The problem is the right wing conservatism keeps your country and your policies in the 20th and late 19th centuries on a lot of your culture and benefits. You might not like hearing this but some honest investigation into the facts and ignoring the corporate brainwashing you will be surprised.

    There are rankings out there for how each country scores on a host of different issues. Look them up.

    June 19, 2008 08:15 pm at 8:15 pm |
  22. Monica for Obama in Indiana

    Now that Obama is not taking tax payers money. I am sure that all people will vote for him. Why not vote for a President, who is not taking tax payers money, no matter who you are?

    Democrate, Republican, Independent, Male or Female, young and old can appreciate our tax dollars going to better places than on a campaign.

    Be smart America, things are beginning to look up.

    June 19, 2008 08:16 pm at 8:16 pm |
  23. TXBad1 ex-Democrat for 2008

    Obama, is Behind John McCain in the poles, oh wow, Could it be that we Do Not Trust Obama and think he has no experience! I think so! Obamanites will love this !

    McCain2008 Hillary2012

    June 19, 2008 08:18 pm at 8:18 pm |
  24. deborah jean palfrey, DC

    Insane McCain looks like a rotting corpse in every picture.

    June 19, 2008 08:21 pm at 8:21 pm |
  25. Emma, San Jose, CA

    So many of you who probably know Obama well knock him downwithout reason, such as he is an empty suit or a stuffed suit. I guess you like the way the Republicans are running the government.

    Sante, your comment does not make any sense.

    June 19, 2008 08:23 pm at 8:23 pm |
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