June 19th, 2008
05:40 PM ET
6 years ago

Schneider: Men could be the deciding factor

(CNN) - After the long, bruising primary battle with Hillary Clinton, a lot of Democrats were concerned Barack Obama would have a problem getting support from women, but the big surprise is that it could be men who become the deciding factor this election cycle.

According to the latest CNN Opinion Research Corporation Poll Obama is running nearly even with John McCain among men. McCain has a slight edge with 49 percent to Obama’s 47 percent. Meanwhile, Obama leads McCain by 9 points among women 52 percent to 43 percent.

WATCH Why men could be the deciding factor

The support from men has become crucial for Republicans in past elections.

According to exit polls from the 2000 election, 53 percent of men helped George W. Bush get elected in 2000, with only 42 percent of men supporting Al Gore. In 2004 George Bush was re-elected with 55 percent support from men to John Kerry’s 44 percent. Most women voted for Gore and Kerry.

In fact, in the last nine presidential elections going back to 1972, men have voted for the Democrat only twice: for Jimmy Carter in 1976, when the economy was bad and a Republican was in the White House. And for Bill Clinton in 1992, when the economy was bad and a Republican was in the White House.

In the 2008 presidential cycle, the economy is bad and a Republican is in the White House, giving Obama a foothold with male voters.

Forty-four percent of men ranked the economy as their number one concern and among the nearly half of men who say their top concern is the economy, Obama has a 7 point lead, 52 percent to McCain’s 45 percent.

That's the thing about the gender gap. It's usually taken to mean women vote Democratic. But it also means men vote Republican — at least, it used to.

Full story

soundoff (166 Responses)
  1. Ellie in Aurora, CO

    Ummm... so you guys who won't vote for Obama because of "lack of experience". Huh! I guess you wouldn't have voted for Kennedy or Lincoln either. Two of our greatest presidents! That figures...

    June 19, 2008 08:25 pm at 8:25 pm |
  2. Maggie Muggins From Selwyn

    Polls are best used to motivate rafts especially this time of the year. I'm 63 years old and never yet been asked to participate in a poll of any kind and don't know of any other person who has.

    The simple fact of the matter is there aren't enough idiots in America to elect McCain and you don't need a poll to realize that fact.

    McCain's campaign has to throw mud and dirt to cover up their policies as their platform goes against everthing the average citizen wants and people are hurting too much to be fooled for a third straight time.

    June 19, 2008 08:25 pm at 8:25 pm |
  3. Emma, San Jose, CA

    So many of you who probably do not know Obama will knock him down without reason. He is not an empty suit or stuffed suit. I guess you like the way the Republican bosses are running the country.

    Sante, your post does not make any sense. And you don't know how to spell and use the word kilometer.

    June 19, 2008 08:27 pm at 8:27 pm |
  4. Linda Smith

    Very interesting article/post.
    Love reading your posts.

    I hope men are smart and will prove they know how to decide who loves their country.

    One avoided the draft and one was a POW.

    Linda
    letspartnerforresults.com
    attentiontodetailgifts.com

    June 19, 2008 08:31 pm at 8:31 pm |
  5. Enlightened Voter

    I loved the British newspaper THE STAR who posted on it's front page after the last election of gwb 'HOW CAN 54 MILLION PEOPLE BE SO DUMB"

    June 19, 2008 08:31 pm at 8:31 pm |
  6. kelly WI

    Obama broke his word again today. He had signed a promise re: campaign funds. Now he has flipped on that.
    Also is now saying he will not "end" the war and bring home the troops as soon as he had said he would.
    Bush gave him advice on that kinda talk and he is now backing off.
    I guess old Wright was right. He is just like any other politician.
    Just does and says what he thinks the people want to hear. Not truths. He thinks if we tell truths about him its bashing.
    He's a dim wit panderer and his lemmings swallow it.
    To all you Obama supporters I hope your children have a wonderful vacation in Sunny Pakistan when Obama sends the troops there to catch Bin Laden. Or will he send the NYPD since he thinks its a police matter. Catch him and let some liberal judge let him go for lack of evidence.
    As it was written in an article in Real Clear Politics today, Obama makes promises but what are the plans to do it.?
    Dems are so upset that the war is going good. They so did want us to fail.
    Thank heavens for Bush. I am not into wearing Burkas.
    McCain 08

    June 19, 2008 08:31 pm at 8:31 pm |
  7. Redneck for Obama

    This long haired, truck drivin', gun totin' country boy is voting for Obama.

    June 19, 2008 08:34 pm at 8:34 pm |
  8. Concerned Independent

    I just listened to the town hall meeting of John McCain at St. Paul MN.

    McCain is clueless. He could not even explain his plan for health care to a hurt and concerned mother, a mother concern for her son. He had no comfort for her.

    McCain is out of touch and cannot match Obama on explaining plans for this country. A vote for McCain is a vote to send America to hell.

    June 19, 2008 08:35 pm at 8:35 pm |
  9. MLG

    McCain/Huckabee 08!!!!

    June 19, 2008 08:37 pm at 8:37 pm |
  10. John Smith

    America NEEDS to get over this military mentality! There are tons and tons of people who have and continue to serve this nation:

    1. What about teachers who shape the minds and hearts of our youths for the future?

    2. What about parents who toil each day to keep some of us alive?

    3. What about the factory worker who is there on a daily basis to build things for the nation?

    4. What about judges, lawyers and any law-enforcement agency involved in keeping our laws and communities safe?

    5. What about farmer, without whom we will all die of starvation?

    Have all these people not served this nation equally as the military?
    Members of my family have lots of military members, but this nation is forgetting ours who have equally continued to serve this nation!

    June 19, 2008 08:38 pm at 8:38 pm |
  11. California Voter

    As a Hillary Clinton supporter, I would have a difficult time voting for someone who spent 20 years as a member of a black liberation church where the pastor preached hatred and racism - . Either Obama lied about never hearing Rev. Wright preach any inflammatory sermons or he supported what he said. Where is the truth? It brings to question his honesty, his judgment and his core values. An angry wife does not make me more inclined to vote for him. Obama is no different than any of the politicians he preaches against! The primary is over, but Obama has never answered these questions about his core values. So far they don't look like mine. The news media has pumped and pimped him to the American public - let's see if they will ask him the difficult questions.

    June 19, 2008 08:39 pm at 8:39 pm |
  12. FactCheck

    > I konw im a democrat and i will be voting for McCain!

    Go ahead and do it but please shut up. I am tired of listening to threats and rest of us have moved on.

    June 19, 2008 08:39 pm at 8:39 pm |
  13. too hold for president

    please somebody change that picture of mccain it looks like someone who been in the coma for the last 100years.

    June 19, 2008 08:40 pm at 8:40 pm |
  14. Facts Like Them Or Not

    George Bush & his policies captured a German citizen and held him in Quatamano for 5 years even though the military exonerated him after the first 2 years. This is a fact and there is a documentary shown world wide on this very incident.

    Now Bush & McCain are bring a person to trial who was 15 years old in Afghanistan when U.S. soldiers raided the house he was in and killed everyone except him but they did shoot him in the back twice and then sent him to Quatamano as a illegal combatant. This person is now facing a military trial for war crimes.

    Does anyone see anything wrong with these types of events?????

    June 19, 2008 08:41 pm at 8:41 pm |
  15. Beth, NY

    Is there a single Obama idiot out there who can tell us why we've had no terrorist attacks in the U.S. in almost 7 years?

    I didn't think so--and that's why you'll have suicide bombers in your neighborhoods and roadside bombs on your streets after Obama appeases Iran, Al Qaeda and the Taliban.

    Better order your armored cars now to drive your kids to school.

    June 19, 2008 08:43 pm at 8:43 pm |
  16. Ken

    We WantPublic Healthcare, but lower taxes, We Want Out of Iraq, but not pay the loans from China, We need to fix SSI so I can retire and have some extra cash, But I don't want to pay for it. If this sounds like you then McCain your man.

    I am 24 years old and do the right thing I don't have kids but I want to take them around the world as American with some respect like my father did, And one of the smartest things he told me is you get what you pay for.

    June 19, 2008 08:44 pm at 8:44 pm |
  17. Cynthia

    All the men in my family and extended family are voting for Obama.

    June 19, 2008 08:45 pm at 8:45 pm |
  18. Bella from Florida

    Wouldn't it be ironic if Obama would win the popular vote and Mccain won the electoral vote so then Mccain is the next president of the U.S. Obama could not claim that he won.Ha HA HA
    Millions of Hillary supporters are still going to write in her name in November.

    June 19, 2008 08:46 pm at 8:46 pm |
  19. Brian

    So yesterday it was independents and today it is men? How about everybody is important and needs to vote?

    June 19, 2008 08:50 pm at 8:50 pm |
  20. Jack from California

    How is it that I can write a comment and hit the submit comment icon and watch my words disappear?

    OK, I'll try again. Guys why would you vote for John McCain when he has been supporting Bush's polices of shipping our jobs to offshore cheap labor? Bush and McCain have been using the Iraq war as a front to grab oil that they can use to get our last dollars.

    Haven't the past eight years been enough?

    June 19, 2008 08:52 pm at 8:52 pm |
  21. Save the party

    Change, where it is? He is one from the same mould saying one thing and doing another; NAFTA, Copmaign financing, Rev Wright, his church – the list is on and on. One wonders why so many idiots still believe in him. Are they blind? The truth is obvious for people who have their eyes and ears open.

    June 19, 2008 08:52 pm at 8:52 pm |
  22. Timberdoodle

    Read the King James version of the bible and it basically indicates a woman is the property of a man as espoused in the shalt not section on coveting.

    The reason women vote for Democrats is because they think they are as good as men and have the right to make their own decisions on everything that affects their bodies and their lives.

    Men who want to keep women as their property and make their decisions for them only have one course of action and that is to elect John McCain. His voting record on women's issues and his policies clearly shows he stands with men on this issue.

    June 19, 2008 08:53 pm at 8:53 pm |
  23. John in Iowa

    You heard it white men, we must step up to stop Hussein from being elected! All blacks will vote for him, regardless of anything, simply because he is black. It's up to us!!!!

    McCain '08!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    June 19, 2008 08:53 pm at 8:53 pm |
  24. linda from South Dakota

    re: BK,, and mccain isnt a liar?? oh my god,, have you listened to tv or done searches online? well if you havent ,, its time you do that,,,,, between bush and his father and mccain,, they are a bunch of liars,,, go ahead and vote for mccain,, then you talk to me in 4 years and i promise you,, ill have the last laugh,,,,,,,,,GO OBAMA!!!!!!!08 its time for change,,,,,,,

    June 19, 2008 08:54 pm at 8:54 pm |
  25. bnoles

    Non-Obama Supporters who don't or won't Support Obama based strictly on his race are LOSERS!!! And as an Afro-Americans we should laugh@their ignorance because just like Barrack will not Appease Terrorist us Afro-Americans don't have to& me personally won't Appease a Racist I will treat them like the kid who isn't AFRAID of the Bully so as my Caucasian Brother Eminen would say will ALL the REAL RACIST PLEASE STAND UP I DARE YOU! I DOUBLE DARE YOU!!! PS ANYONE CAN BE AS TUFF AS THEY WANNA BE THRU A PHONE LINE OR A KEYBOARD

    June 19, 2008 08:54 pm at 8:54 pm |
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