June 26th, 2008
02:00 PM ET
6 years ago

Polls: Obama up in 4 battleground states

 CNN's breakdown of the electoral college map.
CNN's breakdown of the electoral college map.

(CNN) - A set of polls released Thursday shows Barack Obama leading John McCain in four critical battleground states - Michigan, Wisconsin, Colorado and Minnesota.

A new Quinnipiac University/Wall Street Journal/Washingtonpost.com survey put Obama up significantly over the Arizona senator in Minnesota - 54-37 percent – and Wisconsin - 52-39 percent. His lead is smaller in Colorado - 49-44 percent - and Michigan - 48-42 percent.

This comes on the heels of another Quinnipiac poll last week that had Obama leading in the key swing states of Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida.

In a briefing on Wednesday, Obama campaign manager David Plouffe explained the campaign's strategy to reach the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency. The campaign is counting on winning the 20 states John Kerry won in 2004, looking to add Iowa, and then setting their sights on several others. Among those: the four states included in Thursday's poll.

Watch: CNN's John King breaks down the electoral map

Plouffe said Michigan is one of the most competitive states, attributing its competitiveness to the fact that Obama didn't campaign or run ads there in the primary. He claimed they are "very strong" in Colorado and "very competitive" in Wisconsin and Minnesota.

The poll surveyed between 1,300 and 1,600 likely voters from June 17-24 with margins of error of plus or minus 2.5 percent for Minnesota and Wisconsin, 2.6 percent for Michigan and 2.7 percent for Colorado.

The latest CNN national poll of polls has Obama up 48-40 over McCain among registered voters nationwide.

soundoff (231 Responses)
  1. he wins by default again

    To the Obama followers who cry racist all the time when people disagree.

    Remember, Obama is half white so white people can't hate him- it would be like hating ourselves.

    We just don't like the kind of person he turned out to be and the dirty politician he proved to be.

    none the less we will vote for him since there is no other choice now.

    June 26, 2008 01:15 pm at 1:15 pm |
  2. INSANE IN THE MCCAIN

    I can not beleive that their are still bitter HRC followers who post daily that Obama treated her unfairly during the primary. Sight one example!!!!!!!! It was HRC who threw everything at him that included vicious lies and half truths. You must have beer goggles on when getting your info.

    June 26, 2008 01:16 pm at 1:16 pm |
  3. that's loyalty for ya

    Thanks to the Hillary democrats who have loyalty to their party even when the nominee sucks big time.

    June 26, 2008 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
  4. Al - Florida

    My prediction:

    Once Obama announces his VP. (wont be Hillary)

    He'll drop 5-10 points, while McCain will gain approx 3-5.

    Will it be enough for McCain, probably not.

    June 26, 2008 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
  5. John in Ohio

    These opinion polls will pale in comparison to the landslide victory Obama will have in November.

    June 26, 2008 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  6. Citizen

    The Gallup poll is not an accurate poll, because the daily tracking numbers are too heavily skewed in favor of certain demographics. McCain polls even with Obama from Monday-Wednesday; but Obama usually polls exceptionally well from Thursday-Sunday. The difference in the numbers appear to reflect that younger voters are more likely at school or work when the contacts are made from Monday-Wednesday, so older voters are the demograpic group doing most of the polling on those days. So the Gallup polling information may not be as accurate as the other polls.

    June 26, 2008 01:19 pm at 1:19 pm |
  7. Dwayne - L, OH

    Why post the one's favorable for McSame? All you have to do is go to Fox News if you want to make yourself feel better. What? Do you think there is some kind of conspiracy? Oh no...John McSame is getting his tail whipped in the polls by Barack Obama. That can't be possible. We have to show that McSame is winning somehow somewhere or people will give up on him (too late). Here's an idea, you post that poll or polls that McSame is supposedly winning in if it makes you feel better. Dude this is for political comments not people who are offended by they're candidate is losing or that their candidate's not winning. Drive on!

    June 26, 2008 01:19 pm at 1:19 pm |
  8. Alex

    You know I accept the Gallup poll for now, but if it continues where every other poll obama stays ahead more than 10 points for weeks and month and Gallup poll has him that close to mccain, I will wonder if the polls have some kind of fraud in them.

    June 26, 2008 01:19 pm at 1:19 pm |
  9. Noah, from the all important swing state of Michigan

    Eight points is "nothing"? Give me a break. Five points is significant! Obama is above 50% in two, and close in Colorado and here. McCain's just not polling very well. Maybe a terrorist attack would help? And for all of us who have benn devastated by the economy, Phil Gramm, McCain's chief economic advisor is responsible for gas prices by dergulating speculators. That might hurt!

    June 26, 2008 01:20 pm at 1:20 pm |
  10. polls again

    What counts is Nov.

    The Hillary democrats are now aboard but not all that willingly.

    If Obama keeps up his arrogant race baiting... look out.

    We are getting fatigued with his boastful bragging and his race card playing.

    June 26, 2008 01:20 pm at 1:20 pm |
  11. Hispanic For McCain

    whaaa! whaaa! whaaa!

    seriously, let's move on and get McCAIN nominated!!!

    Remember for the Michigan people the Dem did not wanted your vote counted OBAMA Did not want your vote counted remember that!!!!!!!!

    Michigan for McCain!!!!!!!!!

    Hispanic for McCain!!!!!!

    June 26, 2008 01:20 pm at 1:20 pm |
  12. Joe Utha

    love this!!!!!!! obama 08!!!!! Mcshame stop your gimmich plans for America everythime he speaks its empty. obama 08!!!!!!!!

    June 26, 2008 01:21 pm at 1:21 pm |
  13. Phil in KC

    Minnesota and Wisconsin don't surprise me an awful lot. They've always been progressive states. Michigan is interesting, as was Florida, because of the delegate brouhaha. Colorado is really significant, though, since it is a western mountain state, which has always been safe territory for the Republicans. If Obama can pick it up, that will help to cement his strategy.

    June 26, 2008 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |
  14. No McCain!

    Great! These people in Michigan are very smart!

    Obama '08

    June 26, 2008 01:23 pm at 1:23 pm |
  15. J, CA

    Since when MI and MN became battlegrounds for Democrats?

    June 26, 2008 01:24 pm at 1:24 pm |
  16. surprised?

    People say Obama can't lose...
    everyone will vote for the big D.
    Nation is in a bad way.
    Nobody likes Bush and this DISadvantages ANY republican.
    Nobody likes Bush and this ADvantages ANY democrat.
    People say a democrat will win by a landslide.
    People say Obama is a shoe in....

    YET all this campaigning is needed... and all these polls... and all this excitement...

    WHY? wasn't it already a done deal from the start? No one wants a republican. Even Obama is better than that. Big deal.

    June 26, 2008 01:24 pm at 1:24 pm |
  17. William, from Cali!

    Why don't the DemocRats, just start "governing the Country", now; don't have an Election in Nov.; don't wait til 1/20/2009 to take office..... start governing now, and save the rest of us the "side show" pandering. Thank you! That would be real Leadership and a change..........................

    June 26, 2008 01:24 pm at 1:24 pm |
  18. INSANE IN THE MCCAIN

    HRC followers always claim that Obama supporters are so mean and derogatory. Look in the mirror and look on this post. Just as many if not more bitter sore loser HRC zombies spewing hatred and lies. In fact I think they were following their fem-leader instructions of falsely attacking Obama and utilizing dirty politics.

    June 26, 2008 01:24 pm at 1:24 pm |
  19. tomas

    It's funny how if McCain is up in a daily or weekly poll all his supporters come on here and rave about it.But if Obama is up-well it must be fake.lol.McCain supporters are so.....arrogant!They think everyone will think like them and no one else is allowed to have an opinion.And they seem to just hate Obama.I'm not a McCain supporter but I don't hate the man.But we all know why some on here hate Obama.It's obvious.It was said Obama could do well for one day in these states and look-that's been proven wrong.This shows he can whether the polls change or not.

    June 26, 2008 01:26 pm at 1:26 pm |
  20. independent

    texas will go for obama,too!yayyyy!!!

    June 26, 2008 01:26 pm at 1:26 pm |
  21. Mike

    Haaaaahahahaa!!!!

    Who needs you (thinly disguised Operation Chaosers) PUMA PAC?

    You can't stop this freight train from rolling right into the Oval Office!

    Obama '08!

    June 26, 2008 01:27 pm at 1:27 pm |
  22. Barack Uda

    Surely common sense will triumph this time!!

    June 26, 2008 01:28 pm at 1:28 pm |
  23. More media hype to make it happen

    Why so much money on campaigning if a democratic victory is inevitable due to Americans being tired of 8 years of Republican rule.

    Why does Obama have to work so hard for the shoe in vote?

    I thought republicans don't stand a chance this year? And least of all an old weak candidate like McCain.

    Why isn't Obama WAY out ahead by now?

    I thought everyone wanted the D- change and that Obama had such cross over appeal.

    Why does he need Bill's endorsement even? Or Hillary's for that matter? Or the HRC supporters even? I thought the movement was unstoppable.

    Was it all media hype after all?

    June 26, 2008 01:28 pm at 1:28 pm |
  24. sarah

    Oh,if the poll is favorable to Obama it doesn't matter.It must have been done by aliens or something.Or magic...it just can't be true....
    Sometimes Obama is up in polls,sometimes McCain,I bet if McCain is up they matter to you and they're acurate.Like it or not,many in American support Obama.People act like they're skin is gonna fall off if Obama is seen favorably for 2 seconds but don't give a hoot about the mess Bush has put us in.

    June 26, 2008 01:29 pm at 1:29 pm |
  25. Florida voter

    This is great! I just hope the polls keep going up and hold true on election night. I know that the negative advertising against Obama is going to get much worse. Just hope Obama is ready.

    Vote Obama 08

    June 26, 2008 01:29 pm at 1:29 pm |
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