(CNN) - With the dust having finally settled after the prolonged Democratic presidential primary, a new CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll shows Sens. John McCain and Barack Obama locked in a statistical dead heat in the race for the White House.
With just over four months remaining until voters weigh in at the polls, the new survey out Tuesday indicates Obama holds a narrow 5-point advantage among registered voters nationwide over the Arizona senator, 50 percent to 45 percent. That represents little change from a similar poll one month ago, when the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee held a 46-43 percent edge over McCain.
CNN Polling Director Keating Holland notes Tuesday's survey confirms what a string of national polls released this month have shown: Obama holds a slight advantage over McCain, though not a big enough one to constitute a statistical lead.
"Every standard telephone poll taken in June has shown Obama ahead of McCain, with nearly all of them showing Obama's margin somewhere between three and six points," Holland said. "In most of them, that margin is not enough to give him a lead in a statistical sense, but it appears that June has been a good month for Obama."
But the new CNN/ORC polls shows the race gets even tighter when the two most prominent third-party presidential candidates are considered. In a four way match-up that includes independent candidate Ralph Nader and Libertarian candidate Bob Barr, Obama's lead over McCain dwindles to 3 percentage points, 46 percent to 43 percent. (Nader registers 6 percent while Barr gets 3 percent.)
But it remains unclear just how much effect Nader and Barr will have on the election, as summertime surveys often overstate the eventual Election Day showing of third-party candidates.
"A useful rule of thumb is that third-party candidates in November get no more than half the support polls show them having in June or July," Holland said.
Meanwhile, one day after the Illinois senator sharply defended his devotion to America during a high-profile speech in the crucial swing state of Missouri, the new survey shows some voters continue to have lingering questions about his patriotism.
One quarter of all registered voters say Obama lacks patriotism, according to the poll. That breaks down to 10 percent of Democrats, 29 percent of Independents, and 40 percent of Republicans who say Obama lacks patriotism.
But it's likely the issue will not have a significant impact this fall.
"Strategically speaking, the question is not how many people consider Obama unpatriotic - it's how many people consider Obama unpatriotic who would have voted for him otherwise," Holland said "Most of the respondents who think Obama is unpatriotic are Republicans. That indicates that Obama may not have lost a lot of votes - so far - on this matter."
McCain, a former Navy pilot and prisoner of war during Vietnam, is viewed as being patriotic by 90 percent of all registered voters.
The poll, conducted June 26-29, surveyed 906 registered voters and carries a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
From CNN Politics
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General Clark is absolutely correct!
Since when are we not allowed to say what we think?
This is still America!
Advantage-Obama!
Obama '08
The media is going to try and make this seem close.
They are not tied nationally right now and everyone knows it.
Rasmussen must do its polling at corporate management meetings or something...
All lies!! Obama is rocking him
OBAMA 08!
And why is this article titled "challenge for McCain"? I think that it presents a challenge for Obama, who should way ahead of his day of Unity.
Go McCain!
.
What happend to the 12 or 15 point lead that Obama had over McCain in last weeks polls??????
The right's incessant negativity must be beginning to pay off
'Tis only amazement that with gasoline selling for $4 a gallon, with 4,000 dead U.S. troops in the desert, with the economy going in the tank, with the conflict in Afghanistan going backwards, with Bin Laden still roaming around free, with the dollar in free fall, with veterans being denied basic care, with U.S. jobs going to India, etc., etc., etc., that anybody would be dumb enough to vote for a Republican for anything.
Wishfull thinking CNN. We know you want it to be close but look at the state polls. It will be Obama in a blowout....
This is getting old. By one inch or one mile a win is a win.
Obama 08 & 12
And Polls at this time are worth how much? As time goes on people will turn against Obama's pop culture appeal as they look at his policies, I hope.
Nader needs to go....This undercover republican knows he can't win.....
Considering that Bush has a terrible approval rating below 30%, and that the democrats are trying to paint McCain as a 3rd Bush term, its amazing that Obama has such a slim lead. If Bush's approval rating gains 3-5 points in the next few months, this race is even.
Obama consistently leads by three to six points, yet it's a dead heat statistically?
Okay then-
But that lead would be even greater if the media would do their jobs and report on BOTH candidates-
Obama can barely breathe without some pundit saying he's elitist or arrogant-
McCain says something idiotic daily, yet it's barely a blip as far as the media is concerned-
Anyway; polls schmolls
Obama will win the White House and by more than a slim margin.
Bill & Hill 08!!!
If I didn't serve in the military and got shot down in a figher plane, and/or was a prisoner of war, does that mean I am not as patriotic as he/she who did???? Is it possible to be a patriot if I missed voting in a presidential election? What if I am holding one hand over my heart but the other hand is holding my husband's during the national anthem??? I only own one home but pay my taxes on time. Am I less a patriot than the very wealthy couple who owns 7 homes but "forgets" to pay taxes for 4 years on one of them???
Senator Obama's lead will likely increase as McCain's baggage (including his military record!) gets exposed. McCain is neither a moderate nor a maverick, but has cultivated that image to climb the political ladder.
That is bad for Obama. If a liberal site like CNN has him in a close race with McCain.
I think that the headline should have been directed toward Obama's challenge. With the guy getting the vast majority of media attention, the fact that the press is unwilling to report anything that may hurt his campaign, ask any hard questions of him, and the fact that many of these polls usually take place in heavily Dem areas doesn't bode well for Barrack.
When they poll me, I tell them I'm voting Obama. I'm really voting McCain. Whether there are others doing this, I don't know. But I sure do get a chuckle out of it! Vote. Sen. John McCain=Experience
As people see Obama is a house of cards, they look for credibility instead of excuses. Playing the victim card to get sympathy get real old real fast.
Stick to the subject and answer the questions without a teleprompter, Obama!Race and political party has nothing to do with getting the job done.
If we can put a man on the moon: We can drill for oil without damaging the ecosystem.
The more speeches Obama gives the more his numbers drop.
Put Hillary Clinton on the ticket and watch Obama's numbers go Up, Up, and Away!!!
Obama/Clinton 08
CNN, I believe you poll is somewhat misleading, according to Real Clear Politics the average is Obama = 47.2 McCain =41.2, a difference of six points.
The Gallup Tracking Poll as of 6/30/08 is Obama = 47 McCain = 42
The Rasmussen Tracking Poll as of 6/30/08 is Obama = 49 McCain = 44
The other polls Democracy Corps, Time LA Times/Bloomberg and Franklin & Marshall have Obama up by between 4 to 12 points, however these polls have not been updated and ended between 6/23 and 6/25.
You claim you are fair, if that be the case then report all the polls not just one that fits your news cycle for the day. I have not heard you report that Nevada is a tie or there is 0.3% difference between Obama and McCain in Florida. Give all the facts or none at all.
You do a 3K national poll not a 900...
The pollster are going to be really shocked and surpise when they see how out dated they polling techiques are. They never poll the younger crowds ..the one's that voted in the millions doing the primary.
Because they still use the land line style surveying. Hell I am 44 and I don't use a land line phone anymore.
It's good he has the lead, but the only poll that means anything is the GE.
Obama '08!
I really can't even tell where Obama stands on the issues anymore. He's flip-flopping all over the place like a fish out of water.
I think the one thing that will sink Obama in the end is his refusal to support offshore drilling. It's just common sense to couple offshore drilling with conservation, nuclear power, electric cars, etc. And guess what, close to 80% of Americans agree.
However, next week, Obama will probably be in favor of offshore drilling.
McCain 08, but I would still vote Hillary if she ran independent
On a totally non-political note, both of the pictures chosen for this article make me giggle
LMAO! wow 5 points. Maybe all the recent weeks flip flops have not helped him that much?
Given Bush's popularity and the current anti-Republican sentiment, Obama should be 20 points ahead. He's not because of all the Democratic candidates, the least qualified was picked by the DNC.
man, those 2 photos are terrible. Obama looks drunk and McCain looks evil.
Just an observation.
zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
Is it just me or is the race so far between Obama and McCain a real snore? Wake me when it's over.
Hillary, come back!!!!
America is starting to wake up.
Obama is starting to lose ground.
By November, McCain will be up by 15 points.
No way we can afford to have Obama as President.
Bravo, General Clark. Stick to your guns. Someone needs to address McCain's "experience".
Unfortunately, according to the latest polls, McCain will win the electoral college while Obama will win the popular vote.
Time to get rid of that college if you ask me!
Why do you guys keep using the same stupid pics of these candidates?
I agree with Al from NY
If gas prices start to drop by election day and/or the situation in Iraq continues to improve, then Obama is history.
Go McCain 08
McCain made Propaganda tapes for the enemy.
He crashed two planes during service.
He has stated he didn't like this country for 31 years.
If that's true patriotism then cursing god's name will make you the pope!
Bottom line, CNN and MSM want to make it "look" like a close election, however all the prognosticator sites out there show Obama with a 120 – 180 EV vote lead with Obama looking to take over another 40 – 80+ EVs between now and Nov.
If this was a "blow out", CNN and MSM would have no story.
If you think your vote doesn't matter, think again.
Remember Florida and Ohio.
OBAMA 08
Sean / You call CNN a liberal site....Are your you don't work for Fox rather then listen to them.
McCain is on the wrong side of every interest of Americans. Iraq, Economy, Women's Health, Social Security, Fuel.
It must be a tight race when both Bush and McCain took credit for Webb's GI Bill that they were both opposed to a couple of weeks ago.
Scumbags
Obama is GW on the opposite sides of the political spectrum,
with his campaign similarly running on hot air, slogans and
promises.
Thus it is entirely possible that the American voters will be fooled
yet once again for the third time comes November.
YES, WE SCAM!
How can anyone consider voting for Obama. He has no experience, no credentials. He wont even say the pledge allegiange. What is he hiding.
Hey CNN, take a lesson from Howard Dean and the corrupt DNC. Popular votes DON'T MATTER. Its the eletoral votes that count. Even the Obamabots know this and they hardly think for themselves at all.
I hope the Clintons haven't done enough damage to Obama and the Democratic Party. But I am afraid she has done very much damage. Hope Obama wins!
Watch this change drastically after the first televised debate. Then the world will see McCain for what he really is: JUST ANOTHER TIRED OLD MAN WHO SENDS YOUNG MEN OFF TO DIE!!!
It is the change question Americans have a problem with. Americans do not want to change America's foundation or its identity.
America was founded on Judeo-Christan morals/values/principles and Obama's Universalism or "Christianity just one of many ways" might please hard core Liberals, Progressives and Multiculturists but not Mainstream Americans and Evangelicals.
Listen closely to the obfuscating candidate Obama!
This former Democrat, Educator and Evangelical will not vote for Obama!
McCain 08!
A more accurate poll is Rasmussen Tracking with 3,000 people, bigger than Gallup. Obama leads by 5 point in the latest poll..
POLLING:
YOu guys are polling regular phones and not people on CELL PHONES. The younger and savvy crowd that are voting for Obama do not use home phone numbers. We're at work!!!!!!!!!!
I don't think it even that close. I think McCain will end up winning big in November. I live in upstate NY and I can't find to many people here that will vote for O'bama. Of course we are the people that are working all day long when these polls are conducted and not sitting at home living off the government like O'bama wants
Sean:
CNN conducted the poll among a random sample of US citizens, not San Fransico residents. So whatever bias you and your paranoia belive CNN has, has nothing to do with the findings.
I don't know what planet you are on, but the "media" doesn't seem to want to report anything but process concerning either of these candidates.
MORE GOOD NEWS FOR JOHN MCCAIN!!!!
Again?!
906 voters is not alot of people. If they surveyed my town of 3,000 I beta it would be more like 80-20 in Obama's favor.
It is the change question Americans have a problem with. Americans do not want to change America's foundation or its identity.
America was founded on Judeo-Christian morals/values/principles and Obama's Universalism or "Christianity just one of many ways" might please hard core Liberals, Progressives and Multiculturists but not Mainstream Americans and Evangelicals.
Listen closely to the obfuscating candidate Obama!
This former Democrat, Educator and Evangelical will not vote for Obama!
McCain 08!
Where do you get those pictures???
Please. Like every poll, this should be taken with a large grain of salt. Last week he was up by double digits, now it's a "statistical dead heat" even though he's up by five. Next week, it'll be some other story with numbers.
In my experience, most people don't waver back and forth like palm fronds in the wind. They make up their mind and then they stick to it, barring anything earth shattering. No such event having occurred, I can only conclude that CNN needs to fill up some space with a "news" story. Even if they have to make one up.
Overall popular vote-let alone polling--doesn't matter, so I'm not sure why CNN.com continues publicizing these. The only thing that matters is electoral votes.
Can we just call "questioning his patriotism" what it really is? It is a euphemism for religious bigotry and racial prejudice.
Obama looks like he is about to stutter in that pic! LOL!! Go McCain!!
There's still some settling down to do, once the conventions are over the gap between Obama and McCain will widen. Then Obama will win in November.
The patriotism problem is because the damage Clintons has done in part. What is the matter about his patriotism? Come on, this is supposed to be the enlightened age. Patriotism and religion are too old for that.
Excuse me Sean but when has any difficult questions been asked of the media's darling McCain??? I haven't heard any difficult questions. They seem to protect him at every turn and they won't report on any of his flip flops. That's the reason why it's a tight race!
What's the point of asking and reporting on polls that include only the two corporate-controlled party candidates? It is guaranteed there will be more than 2 and up to 5 candidates on every state's ballot.
VotePact
** Nader/Gonzalez 2008 **
Yeah, but CNN also has ratings to protect. It is the media's best interest to keep things tight and interesting.
Personally, I don't know one person who can say with a straight face that they are voting for McCain – and I live in Ohio!
The reason its close is that as much as people hate Bush and the Repubs, Congress and the Dems are hated just as much. Plus it makes for more news if it stays close. One will pull ahead and then the media will bring them back. This will happen all summer.
I'm voting for Obama, but I don't understand why the CNN homepage indicates "big challenge" for McCain and then, when you click on the link, it shows they are statistically tied. Huh?
The headline reads McCain in trouble from all that has been on the news I thought Obama's lead was much greater, and am suprised to see it so close. With back stabbers like the Clinton's standing behind Obama maybe he is the one who is really in trouble.
CNN is NOT all that liberal! Obama will win the election. Whether he wins by 1 point or 10, a win is a win.
Just last week you stated adding Bob Barr and Nader WIDENED the gaps, now you're saying the exact opposite. Newsweek has Obama up by 12, Bloomburg has him up by 15 and ahead in all swing states.
Stop with the hourly polling, CNN.
Obama 08'
If he chooses Hillary as VP, his numbers will double...remember 18 million chose her.
Again....That shows Obama needs Clinton as a VP. As soon as he announces that Hillary will be his VP, his numbers will jump way up.
Doh – they must have agreed with me- they just changed the description on the homepage!
If Obama leads by 10 they say why not 15, if he leads by 15 they say why not 20...Actually state to state polls are more accurate showing Obama leading most states by at least 10 points or greater.
The AOl Straw Poll – REAL people voting REALTIME: June 27-July 4, with 147,184 total votes cast, McCain 62%, Obama 38%.
Repubs...don't get your hopes up. This race won't even be close!
CNN is a loser !!
The Republican attack machine is going to pull out all the stops to paint Obama however they want. I"m so glad he opted out of public financing. Just as we speak, the Nra is ready to roll out 40 million dollars in attacks. I believe that Americans realize the gravity of this decision and will vote for the candidate with the best judgement – Pres. Barack Obama
45% supporting McBush??? I guess Einstein was right when he said "only two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity..."
"If a liberal site like CNN has him in a close race with McCain."
please. CNN has been anti-obama from day one. they are the equivalent of these "hillary or mccain" loudmouths.
I figure the more people learn about what Obama stands for the more they'll turn away and vote for the other guy.
I cannot help but think of Aespo's fable of the Tortoise and the Hare.
How can this be? How can anyone in their right mind vote for McCain?
This is interesting. The democrats voted with their heart and not the brain to have Obama over Hillary. If Hillary is the VP Obama will be president, if not we could have McCain as president.
This is getting boring, CNN has so many polls out there than these numbers change EVERY day. People change their mind frequently, most people have stop making this a big part of their day. The American public has a short attention span and won't start paying attention again until Late October. Unless some entertainment tonight type of crap happens.
Obama will not win the election without Hillary. He needs to add Hillary Clinton to his ticket.
CNN constantly reported about Rev Wright as opposed to Hillary's Bosnia gaf, they did everything to keep the idea going that the primary was tight even when there was no way in hell that Hillary was going to win it, and they accentuated the controversy of a divided democratic party. CNN did it for no selfish reason other than its ratings, and none of that helped Obama one bit. So where do you come from by saying that CNN doesn't report anything that may hurt his campaign?
We keep hearing about Obama's skeletons, but how about McCain's? Since everyone calls him a "hero", nobody dares bring up the fact that he cheated on his wife, then dumped her for a richer one. If that's not playing favoritism for McCain, I don't know what is
Why does the CNN poll always show a tighter race than other polls do ?
This is awful news for MSNBC's candidate – Barack Obama.
LOL McCain in a landslide in November.
If Obama leads by 5 and the margin of error is 3.5, they why isn't it a statistically significant lead?
lol @ Sean
"the press is unwilling to report anything that may hurt his campaign"
The press has glossed over any and every McCain gaffe for the past 6 months. What news are you watching?
If you'll notice, Gen. Clark's statements have gotten 3 days worth of play now...and he's not even part of Obama's campaign nor did he say anythign that controversial.
Black's fear-mongering about "attacks" helping McCain died in the press after 2 days.
You tell me whats fair.
Obama 08'
Well, it's about time some of you Obamanots wake up and smell the coffee. He "ain't" what he's claiming to be – a messiah. He IS nothing more than an arrogant, egotistical, self-righteous, self-proclaiming savior of "change".
He is just the back-handed kind of person that let's someone else do his dirty work and then he claims he "knows nothing about it" and lets others take the fall. He is SLIM in its worst form.
Just sit back and wait – he and his wife are hanging themselves each and every time they open their mouths and come out with this little innocent "Did I do that"??? mentality. I'm quite frankly glad there is time between now and election date so that more and more of you Obamanots can wake up and get the wool off your eyes and see what he's up to – and it's NO GOOD. He has the gall to have his people slam McCain on his POW record yet has he served a day??? No, I didn't think so. ANd 143 days in the US Senate has not made for a President to save the world. You all follow him like you don't have a clue how to get out of a shower of dog pooh. I'd hate to be that pathetic – have a mind of your own and stop following him so closely or you might wind up in a dark stinky place you won't want to be.
The only reason it is this narrow (and why there are people out there who think Obama isn't "patriotic") is–pure and simple–racism. I don't see any other explanation for the mean-spirited and just simply erroneous comments made about Obama in these ticker comments; the writers of these nasty comments obviously DO NOT WANT to acknowledge anything positive about Obama and insist on the most twisted, negative take on everything.
Also, I am just sick to death of those with the fetishistic view that the only real "patriotism" comes from military service. Yes, we must honor our service men, service women and vets. Many give the ultimate sacrifice. But the military is NOT the ONLY road to true patriotism or public service. And it certainly is NOT a requirement for public office, including the presidency.
Polls Schmolls! Grandpa McSame will have plenty of napping time after November 4th...Maybe he and Shotgun Dick can go puma hunting...
HAHA
And BO's numbers are always inflated...like his head
With Wesley Clark out there swift-boating McCain and tarnishing Obama's image, McCain should be able to close the gap and pull into the lead in no time.
Sean you are an idiot.
This year should have been an easy victory for the Democrats given the downturns in the economy, gasoline prices, etc. etc. Had the Democrats chosen a good solidly vetted candidate with substantial experience then the Democrats could have looked forward to an easy victory. Since they chose an inferior candidate with a questionable back ground and very little experience, it will be another year for a Republican victory!
Sean, are you on crack or LSD...
"With the guy getting the vast majority of media attention, the fact that the press is unwilling to report anything that may hurt his campaign, ask any hard questions of him, ".....
THE PRESS IS UNWILLING TO REPPRT ANYTHING THT MAY HURT HIS CAMPAIGN?????????????? (see wright, ayers, bitter, flag-pins)
oh.. i get it... YOU are one of those LIARS who TELL and SPREAD falsehood as if it were truth.
MAYBE OBAMA SHOULD BE LIKE 'YOUR' GUY AND HOST MEDIA BAR-B-QUES! MAYBE THEN WE WOULD HEAR ABOUT THE LOBBYISTS ON HIS CAMPAIGN – PHIL GRAMM, OF ENRON FAME – PHIL GRAMM OF THE MORTGAGE-MELTDOWN FAME...
the media in the tank for Obama... puh-lease!! give me a small break!
Wow, this is really bad for Obama. The wise old pundits predicted he would have a big bounce and double digit lead as soon as Hillary dropped out. Wonder what happened? 90% of Americans think McCain is patriotic – no wonder Team Obama is trying to mutilate the senator's service to his country. I'm predicting the Hope and Change theory is going to go out the window and we are going to see some down right dirty politicking going on.
He needs every one of Hillary's supporters. He should have her on the ticket. It's not only the right thing to do, its the smart thing to do.
I think Obama can gain a couple more points by sending his surrogates such as Wesley Clark to attack John's military services. Oh wait, he's already doing that. I think we can all learn from Obama's political tactics: send surrogates to do the dirty work and say that you do not approve.
Hey Sean
They give Obama all the attention because McShame is all negative. We're all sick to death of that !!!!!
Just watch if it is this close people who are not sure about Obama will vote for McCain at the last second! This is a great poll for McCain!
lets be clear...Jon McCain IS A TYPICAL REPUBLICAN...
the maverick McCain has long been gone. he is controlled and supported by special interest groups. and why is he not far ahead of Obama, he had far more time to get his "message" out there?
watch now as traditional republican supporters like the NRA set out vicious attacks on Barack...
people still question Obamas patriotism...forgetting or ignoring completely the comments McCain made about not loving America until he was a POW.
yes the Maverick McCain who earned the respect of our nation was buried by the 95% with Bush McCain we see now who has flipped on every major issue, the McCain we see now who does not pay his taxes while Americans loose their homes, the McCain now who picks the 4th of July, our independence day to campaign in South America...bad judgment...
today we have a John McCain who endorses and supports an illegal war which cost 1.38 bill dollars a day, with over 4000 U.S.solders dead in Iraq...and all this while Bush sets his eyes on Iran?
i read so many of these post...they make me laugh some make me cry some though make me understand why America, this great nation is in such trouble...you Americans who voted for Bush 4 years ago, i thank you...no, really. because your voting for Bush made it possible for the U.S. to see we need good candidates...as funny as it may seem, its because of your Bush vote that Hillary and Barack did soooo well.
Obama 08
So who's really the media darling? The candidate who got slammmed with wall to wall coverage of an ex-pastor's tirades? Or the candidate that continues to get away with more gaffs and outright misstatements than any candidate in recent histoy? McCain has nothing new to offer. He long ago threw out his principles to embrace Bush and the far right, to the point where it's hard to determine where the Bush administration ends and the McCain administration begins. How's that for "straight talk?"
In the end, high gas prices, the tanking economy and tragic missteps in the "War on Terror" will turn out the vote for Obama, the first genuine breath of fresh air to emerge on the national scene in generations. The choice is simple. More the same old divisive, ineptitude vs. a chance for something better. Most Americans will opt for hope over the same old weary platitudes.
The headline could equally have read: "Obama's lead growing" or "Obama's lead increases by two percentage points in June", or even "Obama's lead grows by 40% in June".
Why is it that everyone who tries to insult Barack on here, can't even spell his name right. Show some respect to your next Commander in Chief. Obama will win by a landslide, especially with the gas price crisis which will irritate and anger many more Americans up until November. That and the whole quagmire issue of Iraq...DUH!
Vote Obama- or be willing to send our kids to die for corporate greed
If you're an Obama hater, then go to sleep. If you are an Obama lover then open your mouth and speak. Look at McCain, them man is not closely educated like Obama and he thinks being an Ex-Soldier makes him a presidential material?, come on, this is ludacris. America is full of surprise. I'm shocked that individual hate causes blindness to reality. Get a life and realize that McCain ain't going to do nothing to your economic crises but make it worse. George Bush's third term. I agree with General Clark
McCain = McSame. Think of the cost of war and the cost of unrestricted free trade to Americans. McCain's policies will keep the US in a costly war (soldier lives and budget-busting) and will continue to allow big businesses to work unethically and with no oversight (remember Enron, mortgage crisis). If you want to keep your eyes wide shut and not have any retirement, medical care, et cetera for you or your kids, then by all means vote for McCain in November. Hopefully, the voting half of the American populace will wake up and vote for Mr. Obama.
as more and more people start to realize that there is no substance with Mr. Obama and the pretty words are just and nothing more the nation will swing even more toward Mr. McCain
Even outspending HRC by 3 to 1 he only barely squeaked out the nomination! There is a signifigant skeptical buzz about Obama that the media just can't squelch.
Umm, CNN, could you please fire the intern who wrote this story. Obama is leading McCain by 5 points in your poll. The margin of error is 3.5 points.
Just so you know, that does NOT mean a "statisitcal dead heat." It actually means that Obama is beating McCain in your poll.
Please enroll your staff in a remedial stats course.
It's also amazing to me that 90% of people polled thought John McCain was patriotic when he did not support the GI bill for our soldiers! When are people going to realize that patriotism isn't just about wearing a flag pin, saying the pledge of allegience, but it's about how we treat other people in this country. When we turn our backs on the poor to put more money in the pockets of lobbyists, to me that's not patriotism. When McCain supports tax cuts to the wealthiest americans while the rest of us have to scrap to pay for gas is not patriotism.
People must not have been paying attention to the national polls a few months ago that showed Clinton beating McCain by larger percentages than Obama had against McCain. Nothing has really changed since then, except of course, that Obama ended up the Dem candidate....which was GREAT NEWS for the Republicans!
It's obvious that if the Dems lose the General Election this November, they have no one to blame but themselves.
The moment you have to defend your patritotism, it's game over. There should be no doubts, and blaming the Right for these smears is childish. You knew that this would be an issue. Why did you choose such an unelectable candidate? Dems never learn: stop playing with fire, and stop making excuses. Give us an electable candidate, and then and only then will you get the White House back.
Obama will win the White House and by more than a Huge margin.
Linda your right this will be a landslide. When u begin to talk south of the border for free trade..this is a bad idea
Of course it's gonna be close, geez!
50 percent of the country is nothing but a bunch of "Archie Bunkers" !
It's gonna take the independents to put Obama over....but he'll do it.
Obama/Powell '08
Cnn are you trying to give McCain hope that he has a snowball's chance in you know where of winning. What section of the country are these 906 registered voters from. It only July and I am already sick of hearing McCain's voice.
This isn't good news for Obama since we have all seen him front and center in the long Democratic primary day in and out. The Dems. will blow it and they have Dean, Pelosi, and Reid to blame for pushing the golden boy down our throats.
Obama flip-flops too much. He doesn't take a stand, he flows with each crowd.
Drop out, Obama. Noone with any sense wants you to the President of the US.
News stations plaster what the candidates think of.., say, Gas prices.
WELL.., Obama is SO far out of touch, as he has people do every-thing for him. He can raise millions of dollars, for his campaign spending, but does he put those millions anyplace else that NEEDS the dough? ! NO! One-half the money these boneheads raise SHOULD go to causes that NEED support.., not to commercials, travel, hotels and such.
EVERY individual running for president is very much out of touch with what the lower and middle income people struggle with everyday! I
really don't know how the public supports any of these clowns.
I wish the people would wake up...,
This won't last long. We are still in the early stages. Mccain, is old and will be nodding in his rocker, reliving the past, by the time election day comes.
McCain is losing in every single poll, by small and large amounts alike.
Good for him for remaining 5 points behind.. *cough*
Sorry CNN, I ain't buying it! You are going to try to keep this thing close just like you did with the pro Hillary reporting during the Democratic primary, even after it was all over for her. Even Fix news owner Rupert Murdoch has stated that it will be Obama by a landslide and the people I know and talk to in trying to get a read on the November election believe the same.
What sensible human being would want more of what we have had for the last 8 years?
McCain would make an awful president, but if Obama has a few more weeks like this week, he will lose his base and the enthusiasm which has propelled him to where he is. The FISA vote was bad enough, but when he said today that he would expand the Bush "faith based" programs to allow tax dollars to be siphoned off by religious groups, who will be allowed to discriminate by religion on hires, he lost me. If he thinks he can win an election by expanding Bush's terrible ideas, I think he's dead wrong.
Did you expect any difference right now. The more people know about Obama and that crew the more he slips in the polls. Just think this poll is probably done without the full impact of the republican voters. This is telling you how bad Obama has divided the democrat party along with the Butt kisssin democrat leadership and you the media that helped select this guy because he sure wasn't put in by the regular democrat voters. When you screw over the regular voters choice be prepared to pay the consquencies. The same thing is happening to the situation room with Jack cafferty and that bunch. Don't be biased and slant your news to favor someone. I quite watching that show and most other cnn broadcast due to that bais and I watched you people for years thinking at least here I will get the truth without bais. Boy was I wrong.
I just don't understand why the RACE is so close.
McCain = higher gas and gimmicks + 100 years more in Iraq + further US isolation from the rest of the World + less than adequate health care + the rich get richer + no economic solution + and a potential president with one foot in the grave.
Notice that I placed an emphasis on the word ‘race’. Go figure…
This is pretty poor journalism. Not that anyone else cares, probably. Why say the change in the poll numbers was "little"? Just state the numbers, and let people draw their own conclusions.
Just the facts, please spare us your opinion.
Popular vote and electorate votes are separate issues, and this is a tough call for America. Black, young, liberal, inexperienced Obama bringing hope versus a mainstay white, old, republican, continuation of the current presidency bringing promises of comforting status-quo.
As many people don't like both options as do, for whatever their reasons may be and whether or not you agree with why they don't or do.
This is not going to be a landslide victory with the popular vote, and you'll have to pay a lot of attention to where the electorate victories are appearing.
Currently Obama has a solid lead there. Besides, lots of things can happen in four months, for both sides.
If Obama chooses a boring VP, he will lose in Novemeber.
An Obama -Clinton team at least starts with 36,000,000 votes!
The slim lead for Obama means there are still a lot of idiots out there who think warring policies are good for the world and america and that because john mccain was tortured and imprisoned he would make a better president. That's not a credential that ways that heavily in who can be a better president. Although most presidents are pretty much tortured thru there entire presidency, so I may need to reconsider.
McCain is going to beat Obama like a drum.
America doesn't need or want a tax and spend big government liberal like Obama.
Nobody said it would be easy. Yes We Can but it will take some seriously hard work. Its not easy changing the world.
Obama is a breathe of fresh air for America and his "can-do" spirit will and sensible approach to our issues will pull America out of these tough times.
McCain is old and represents the very ideas that have brought us to where we are today; a nation in dismay and in debt.
I am proudly voting for Obama in November!
MCCAIN WILL WIN. O.B. ISN'T CAPABLE OR QUALIFIED ENOUGH. HIS MONEY WONT PAY FOR HIS ELECTION LIKE IT DID HIS NOMINATION. THE DNC WONT BEABLE TO SWIFTBOAT MCCAIN LIKE THEY DID HRC. REALITY WILL SHOW IN NOV. AMERICA WILL FINALLY HAVE TO DEAL WITH REALITY. O.B. AND HIS FOLLOWERS HAVE BEEN LIVING IN A FANTASY WORLD TO LONG. THE PIED PIPPER WILL FINALLY BLOW HIS LAST NOTE. AMERICA GETS WHAT THEY ASK FOR.
It will be the end of America as we know it if McZero wins the presidency. The terrorist will definetly come here and wreck havoc on us because we will have all our soldiers over in the middle east fighting for Mr.McWar......America do you really think hes a good choice?
Obama 08!!!!!!!!
Don't forget about us Hillary supporters. I don't forget. I guess I'm just bitter.
Its funny how you do not report the previous Newsweek and LA Times polls that show Obama with 15 and 12 pt leads, corporate media wants this to be a close race and will do whatever it takes to make it appear so.
I am the middle of the middle for america. When I observe Obama not cover his heart during the pledge of aligence, I have an issue with his patriotism. He doesn't get my vote. JR, Florida
Suck it up Republicans...your ENTIRE PARTY is about to crash and burn in November!!!
it will go up dont worry obama will win.
I THINK OBAMA WILL WIN THE WHITE HOUSE BECAUSE MCCAIN IS MENTALLTY IN NORTH VIETNAM AT THE HANOI HILTON.
I'm not worried. No one's even paying attention yet. Let's wait for the Conventions and debates.
The beginning of the slide. Obama's the weakest candidate we could have nominated. But that's alright, McCain will probably be more willing to bargain with Congress than Obama would (since he's already showing his propensity to make then jump through his hoops), and we'll get another shot in four years...
Not good for Obama, especially when you take into account the difference between registered voters and likely voters. That's always an advantage to republicans.
Its simple – if the color of their skin was the same, Obama's lead would have been much more – at least 5-10 points more
4 years of McCain is another 4 years of Bush! Have we not learned anything these last 8 years?!? Come America we need to correct what is wrong NOW! No McCain.
Linda, I seriously doubt that the citizens of this nation would shackle themselves to socialism "by more than a slim margin". Obama is running a Santa Claus campaign; promising everything to everyone. Sure he is inspiring but it is a show, a sham, a fraud. You've been duped by an opportunist into believing that government is the solution to your problems; that one man can unite a nation. Freedom comes with responsiblity, civic duty, and charity. I hope the people vote to limit the size and scope of government and reestablish our liberty. The best is out but IMHO John McCain is much better than Obama.
I really hope Obama wins this thing. But I've learned not to listen to the polls anymore. Kerry was supposed to win in 2004 and look what happened.
mccain is a fraud to me
McCain = Bush = Lies Lies Lies = USA hated and moked by the world!!
McCain = Bush = Lies Lies Lies = USA hated and moked by the world!!
McCain = Bush = Lies Lies Lies = USA hated and moked by the world!!
Go Obama! PLease save the US from embarrasment!!
I don't understand how a week ago a five point lead was a five point lead. Now a five point lead is a statistical dead heat. Where statistics being ignored last time around?
OK, let's get this straight. What people really mean when they say "patriotism" is nationalism. Obama has plenty of the former and little of the latter, and that's a good thing.
Obama......pick Hillary for veep, and you two can win!
Obama/Hillary 08
I'm confused. The poll has a 3.5 point margin of error and Obama has a 5 point lead. How is that a statistical tie?
Thank You CNN.. You want the race to be close so people will stay tuned in. But we know Obama is way ahead regardless of how you manipulate the polls. Young people will come out in droves for Obama. They hate the way this country is going. Too late McBush the 3rd gets NO young votes. We know that if you report Obama ahead 10 to 15 points that poeple will get discouraged so you suppress that News. Too bad. You Sound like Joe Scarborough. Obama is winning and winnng big. Colorado. New Mexico, Florida, Penn and Ohio. Report real News.
Gosh, guess those Clinton voters didn't fall in line like you thought they would, eh? You would think that with the Repbulican bran so flawed right now, Obama would have a much bigger lead. But he barely has a lead and there are still 4 months to go. Wonder what will come out about him next? Wonder how that will impact his poll numbers?
That is hilarious! CNN come on! 5 point lead is a statistical dead heat? Not to mention other polls that show Obama up by double digits. Keep working CNN and alll other Media Giants of the good old US of A. Keep trying to defeat Obama.
A vote for McBush is a vote for 4 more years of the same!
I'm not an Obama supporter, but I sure won't vote for McBush!
This is all ridiculous anyway, anyone with half a brain knows that when it comes down to it, Republicans will vote Republican, Democrats will vote Democrat, and Independents will vote for whoever is more charismatic. Why you ask, because most of America is full of ignorant voters who don't know about the issues, listens to a liberal media, and only sees the candidate a few times and doesn't truly know their positions or how they intend to execute their plans.
Sean, I can't believe you think that CNN is a liberal site. There is no liberal television network, just extreme right wing (Fox, CNN's Beck) and right of center (MSNBC, except for Olbermann, and CNN).
And CNN, why don't you report this as a 5% Obama lead within the +- 3.5% margin of error, instead of a tie? It is certainly a more accurate description. Moreover, since every other poll has Obama up by that amount or more, it is patently obvious that he is leading outside the margin of error, since the combined sample sizes of all of these polls would make the margin of error for their combined results less than +- 1%.
No intelligent analyst of polling results thinks that this race is currently a dead heat.
much ado about nothing. Let november come and the sun will rise and we will change the world. John McCain? who cares.
Let the winner wins and common sense prevail
Obama 08
ps btw CNN stop with the polls. it doesn't make sense anyway
If there were a REAL Republican running, he/she would be ahead in the polls.
Realistic-
You are 100% correct. The only people that should vote Republican are millionaires. The rest are fools.
Let me put it this way: those of us that are BITTER about the current state of our nation, that are clinging to our CELL PHONES and COMPUTERS are not going to be reached by landline phones.
OBAMA '08
Based on polling Obama is much stronger. The Obama camp has 3 months to register and turn out thier core supporters. Three months of feel good stories about his I pod and bike rides. Sure Obama is getting beat up a bit by McCain and the NRA, but all he has to do is keep his head above water. His ground game and public relations skills are amazing and they will win it for him if he doesn't screw it up.
Uh-oh, beginning to worry you who litter this site with adolescent screams like "OBAMA88" or "GOOBAMA"? Becoming frightened that early lead of Obama will become as ephemeral as lead McGovern, Carter, Mondale, Dukakis, and Kerry? You should be.
Obama holds a slight advantage over McCain, though not a big enough one to constitute a statistical lead............A lead is lead ........NEXT!
Oh CNN, you are taken even less serious than Obama. You are so over the top foir this nothing, empty suit it's becoming a joke! NoObama08/NoBama's Ever!
Your article claims that Obama has a lead, but it is not large enough to be considered a statistical lead. However, Obama leads by 5 points (50-45) with a margin of error of 3.5 points. How is this not a statistically significant lead?
Glad to see Nader will continue his role of making the White House safe for Republican Presidents. Not since Abe Lincoln has the party had such a solid foundation. Well played, sir. Well played, indeed.
The media wants to be in a dead heat so people can stay toned in, typical corp media B.S.
And McCain is going to beat the pants off him come the GE. See how obama is changing and changing and changing his opinions. Now he is going "Christian". After he and the democrats complained that bush was giving taxpayer money to the church, which was against the constitution. But this piece of crap doesn't care. Because he doesn't plan on doing anything he has promised. He has already lied to the people who supported him. And he will continue to do so with every breath he takes. Look at how he came out with all his crap, blamed Hillary because he said his SUPPORTERS said it not him. Now he is doing the same with McCain. I guess it worked so well he is keeping it up. But McCain won't take it sitting down. He doesn't have to put up with the MSM flaming and slurring him like they did Hillary when she said she didn't do it....obama is a slug and the sooner the public finds out about him the lower he will sink back into the swamp slugs emerge from.
You stupid liberals can hiss and spit all you want because when all is said and done you will be licking your wounds like in the last two elections. Nobody wants Nobama....get it. Especially real Americans.
The only authentic leader for this nation is Hillary Clinton!!!
Obama will not win.
Eric
July 1st, 2008 4:18 pm ET
The media is going to try and make this seem close.
----------------------
you're so right .. they need ratings & viewers .. people are not really interest in the MSM .. as they were in the primary .. so CNN wants to bring back this atmosphere .. for ratings & viewers ...
so sad ...
General Clark can "clarify" his words all he wants, and yes this is America, and thank God for freedom of speech. However, General Clark said what he said about John McCain's military service and it was cheap and uncalled for. John McCain is a great American and that speaks louder to Americans than "political make-overs." You can put a suit on a duck, but it's still a duck.
PUMA! How you like us now?
The McCain SCAM... No one can criticize him... No one can ask any questions about his faith... we don't KNOW what he believes, and people vote for him.... this is scary!!!
This is not news– the fact of the matter is that Obama has been leading McCain by 5+ points ever since he clinched the nomination. This race is not as close as Bush-Kerry, and it's already clear that Obama will ultimately prevail by 6-50 electoral votes. Obama doesn't need FL and OH to win. The influx of out-of-staters from the coasts to NM and CO will seal the deal for Obama.
OBAMA for PRESIDENT!!!
This is America. Wes Clark can say whatever the hell he wants.
For what it's worth I agree with the guy completely. McCain's experience crashing airplanes is not relevant presidential experience. It's kinda neat that he now wants to crash our COUNTRY, but Dubya has already taken care of that.
Americans can not be that stupid to elect any GOP into the White House after the last 8 years!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
By the way, is Cindy McCain, the wealthy trophy wife going to release her tax statements; especially after chiding others to do it?!?!?!
5% lead in a 3.5% MOE is a statistically significan lead. RCP has him up 6%
Rasmussen 5%, Gallup 5%, LA Times 12%
WOW McCain is down in all poll. All polls.
Today is exactly 2 months since McCain hels a lead in any national polls (USA Today McCain up 1% 2 months ago)
and since then a total of 31 polls have shown Obama Up from 1% through 15% with a mean of 7%.
5% is right there in the sweet spot. However, CNN needs a horse race for rating so there it is.
CNN poll of polls is actually inaccurate. I'm not voting for Obama, but Obama has 5-7 pt lead in most major polls.
Don't pay attention to the national head to head polls.
Take a look at the individual state polls.
Obama is whooping McCain big time in the states that count! The electoral maps at ElectionProjection.com and Electoral-Vote.com and Real Clear Politics are updated more often then the map at CNN.
What happened to the 15 points lead of Obama last week? Not reported in CNN.
This poll demonstrates what a WEAK candidate Obama is in a general election. Obama NEEDS Hillary Clinton to help him WIN the presidency.
But me thinks Obam is too arrogant to admit that he needs a Clinton on the ticket to insure that the Dems take back the whitehouse in 2009.
Dear Lemme Get This Straight,
You must live in a parallel universe if you think the media treats McCain with the same deference it gives to Obama. NBC, CBS, ABC, and especially the sub-literate MSNBC literally grovel in front of the facile image of Obama. I think Olbermann and Matthews have already proposed.
Have you all learned nothing? We do not elect a president based on a nationwide poll. What matters is winning state-by-state. Show me some data that has Obama winning Florida, Pennsylvania, and Ohio, and then I will buy it.
People questioning his patriotism are just looking for a reason to not vote for him. How many times does he have to say that he loves his country before people will believe him? How many years does he have to serve his country or work for people in this country before people believe him? I believe it's just an excuse for what they really feel. As Holland said, most of these people are Republican and wouldn't vote for him anyway.
50 over 45 is only statistical dead heat because of a lousy margin of error. In short "If we do a crappy job, we can't tell the difference."
CNN is making it look close to drive up ratings. Disgusting.
No one wants grandpa at the helm. Especiallyin his flip flops.
By what method do you have Nader getting 6 per cent of the vote.
Any person with any sense at all knows he"s going to get practically
nothing this year.
Why am I not surprised?
This poll demonstrates what a WEAK candidate Obama is in a general election. Obama NEEDS Hillary Clinton to help him WIN the presidency.
But me thinks Obam is too arrogant to admit that he needs a Clinton on the ticket to insure that the Dems take back the whitehouse in 2009.
Still trying to make the News I see?... McCain by a street....
Can someone please explain to me why people think Obama is unpatriotic? I just don't get it....
I'm a democrat who is very disapointed in the democratic party. Come this fall I will be voting for the person who I feel is better qualified to lead this country and it is NOT OBAMA. Democrats for McCain will decided who will win this election. GO MCCAIN 08. Clinton 12.
Uhh. You guys need to hire an editor. The headline says "statistical dead heat." The article says Obama is up by 5 in a poll that has a 3.5 percent margin of error. That is, by definition, not a statistical dead heat. Did your headline writer read the article?
Obama will pull ahead , while mccain changes his mind like he change's wive's, and diaper's.
"America is starting to wake up.
Obama is starting to lose ground.
By November, McCain will be up by 15 points.
No way we can afford to have Obama as President."
With gas prices and the price of corn going up, nothing is affordable
obama is going down in Nov. and I cant wait
Nobama '08
This is a CNN poll. Newsweek has Obama up by 15 and California poll has him up by 12.
We need a new direction and Obama will give us a new direction.
Please look at McCains voting record....last year he voted 95% with this administration and this year 100%. He only voted about 6 to 8 times. He did not vote for the New GI Bill. He was not influential in that bill. In fact go to the congressional record and you can see all his votes. Let us not be swayed by the bias in news coverage. See Newsweek for July 7-14th....Did not pay property tax for condo in San Diego...(4 years of not paying). If that was Senator Obama or Senator Clinton the major news media would be all over it and hanging them by thier toes...
Funny how a so-called liberal site calls a 5point lead a statistical dead heat. Even if the MoE is +-5%, the 95% confidence interval is that it is less than that and the implication is the lead could just as likely be 10% for Obama as it is a dead heat.
Understandibly those not educated in statistics will simply read the headline and take it at face value because of the word 'statistical'. Take home message is journalists are questionable mathematics writers.
That anybody would be dumb and stupid enough to vote for Obama Mr. Ho great Obama??????? You magesty!!
When the time to vote gets here! You will be happy to vote John McCain,Be realistic!! HE IS THE ONE !!! McC!!AIN 2008!
All lies? Seriously?
Gallup has the same exact numbers, with other polling agencies in the same area. Sorry to rain on the parade of the Obamites, but this election is going to be closer than you thought.
As for the Newsweek and Bloomberg polls, they were flawed to begin with. The sampling of the latter even gave Dems a 17-point ID advantage. In 2006, the advantage was only 2 points. Following Watergate and the epic defeat of Ford, it was only 15 points.
Only in CNN's crazy math world is a 5 point lead with a 3.5% margin of error a "statistical tie".
I guess the poll they had to use simply didn't fit their narrative. Why not try REPORTING the news for a change??
Put Hillary's picture there, that's the true American Image!
WAY TOO EARLY................ both need to go through the nomination process and several debates. People are currently concentrating on paying bills and eating................voting is too far away to be bothered.
Don't worry democrats, as soon as Obama start dropping more points he'll add H. Clinton to the ticket as VP.
Have you guys not learn? this guy will say or do anything to win this election. The more he opens his mouth the more damage he does to his self.
McCain '08
Back to the issues ....
So today it was revealled that most people killed by handguns are not from criminals intruding into people's homes but rather by their own hands because of suicides.
In fact, when "accidents" and suicides are combined, there hasn't been a time in more than 20 years when they where the number one cause of death by hand guns.
Senators, what say you now?
Aw crap. I'm really, really tired of tied presidential elections. I mean it. How can this even be possible with the horrible track record displayed by the last Republican to win the presidential election? HOW DOES THIS KEEP HAPPENING? Where is the outrage at the GOP? There's such a long list of offenses against the interests of the American people, you could fill up an encyclopedia of the current administrations and the GOP congresses miss deeds.
The keys of victory seemed to be all but delivered to whichever democrat won the primary, and in true fashion, the DNC has somehow found a way to OR was the other way around? Has the GOP stuck to their formula of disinformation and found the right candidate for the task?
I think I'm going to buy a cabin on the beach of some tropical asian paradise. This has got to stop soon.
Read Realistics comment down below. That about sums it up. He's 100% correct!
IT IS DISTORBING THAT ANY NORMAL HUMAN BEING WILL EVEN CONSIDER VOTING FOR THE REPUBLICAN
GOD BLESS AMERICA
GOD BLESS OBAMA.
Why is it that we have a new poll every day enough already wait till fall
I am an Obama Supporter. I am also a Wesley Clark supporter.
But in this exchange between Gen. Clark and the McCain Camp, I am appalled at how Gen. Clark is being portrayed. It is these Soundbites, that offer almost nothing to the conversation that I abhor.
And I strongly applaud Gen. Clark for this most recent clarification of his statements. This is what intelligent, informed, and civil discourse looks like. I am hopeful that we can raise the public commentary to this level of information. Our Democracy is predicated on an informed
electorate. Let's accord our fellow countrymen the respect of a high minded discourse so that they can make a reasonable judgment at these most critical times on our Nation, our Great Nation.
get out of the race you old man.
WHERE IS MY POST?
HILLARY IS THE BEST FOR OUR COUNTRY! WEAK UP AMERICA!!!!
"That is hilarious! CNN come on! 5 point lead is a statistical dead heat? Not to mention other polls that show Obama up by double digits."
Try watching War Room sometime. You'll actually see the reports coming in in the morning, with Clinton even dropping 7% nationally in one night. 5% is a dead-heat.
As for the two polls, they are considered outliers. Gallup, Rasmussen, CNN, ARG, Survey USA, and others all show much smaller margins. You'll see in my previous comment that the LA Times poll gave Dems a 17% ID advantage, when the devastation of Watergate only gave them 15% and they only had 2% in 2006.
These people who you polled dont question Sen Obamas patriotism
or his religion they know he is christian and they know his life story
but they just want to hide behind that because he is mixed race.
Please people let it go. With all that has happened during this election
why would Sen Obama be running if he didnt care about his country or should I say our country. And you have to have more than mustard seed faith to keep running for this office after what he has been through. Think about it. Without christain faith he would not have made
it this far.
Keep the faith Sen Obama
The Republicans are getting desperate with Obama holding a consistent lead.
Next thing you know, they'll be running down the street screaming "his middle name is Hussein!"
MARGE:
NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
As as we get closer to Nov, you'll see the gap widening even more in favor of McCain. The more voters learn about Obama, the better off the country will be. I'm not a big fan of McCain, however I do not trust Obama and I think the country will be worse off with him in office. He is changing his position on almost ever issue that he ran on, which tells me that during the primaries he said whatever it took to get the nomination regardless of costs. In my opinion he can not be trusted to use good judgement in either economic nor international matters. The DNC has shown us former democrats once again, that they do not know how to win elections-for shame. The party had a real good shot at the White House with Clinton, but the DNC was once again stupid. Bye-Bye party, independent am I and proud of it. I'll vote for McCain, and wait for Hillary in 2012.
The only "poll" that counts is the one on Nov. 4.
An unpopular war. The economy in the crapper. Gas prices (under a Republican adminitration) going towards $5 a gallon. The most unpopular president in office in the last 50 years. And still the consumate "change" politician, BHO, barely leading. And McCain should be worried? I don' think so!!!!!
Let's see what the polls are on November 4, 2008. That's the only "poll" that matters.
Sen. McCain lacks good judgement which is why he is flip flopping a lot. He will eventually regret visiting Columbia due to NAFTA and try to spinn it to his own advantage. He said that he wanted to run a "civilized campaign/race" , guess what he got "swift boat" guys involved only to change his mind later, talk about Flip Flopper! I can go on and on! Sen McCain says that "you cannot trust the words of Obama" He should look himself in the mirror and he can see who is consistently changing his stands on issues and what he has told the voters! We do not need a continuation of Bush's administration!
Sen. McCain is like an elephant that calls a horse a fat animal!
Someone once said"patriotism is the last refuge of a scondrel.
How dare the republican scoundrels claim Obama is not patriotic!?!?
That is the last straw. I do not like hate letters, but this is too much. Do you think these remarks come from McCain's camp without his knowledge? If so, then he has no more control of his campaign than Hillary had over hers!!!!!!!!!
I think McCain basks in the damage his campaign surregates spew out, so he can claim innocently he does not approve of this type of campaigning. I do believe he is a wily politician trying to have it both ways. First cast doubt about your opponent, and then gracefully deny he had anything to do with it! GO OBAMA
Those disaffected Hillary voters are looking better and better. Why, they're even nicer than they were, and Hillary is pretty nice, too.
"Why, we Obama fans have ALWAYS liked and respected the Clintons, haven't we, Barack."
"Yes, dear, we've always admired the Hillary and her 18 MILLION votes."
Marge, put down the pipe.
EDW you make me laugh. Generation Y may have cell phones and no home phones, but you certainly are not at "work" or maybe that is what you call where you spend 10-4 surfing the Internet. Gen Y does not know anything about work ethic or experience....which is why you are willing to vote Obama....who has neither as well. Obama like Gen Y just expects everything handed to him. McCain worked to get where he is. As a former solider, I would sooner go overseas and fight for McCain – someone who has seen war will not idly send troops into combat (our current president and VP prove this point – neither served). Obama will be a mixture of JFK and Carter; he will have JFK's inexperience and Carter's naivity. We will be better off if Obama simply called Israel and Apartied state and went to build homes in NOLA and spare us a disasterous 4 years. I would have voted for Mrs. Bill Clinton, the 90s were some very good years...but alas, I now will vote firmly for McCain.
You know, it's funny how many Americans question Obama's patriotism. A good number of them fly their flags three days out of the year – July 4th, Memorial Day, and Veteran's Day – unless they forgot to take them down and put them away. Yet, our young men and women are fighting and dying every single day of the year. At least Obama was moved to the point of recognizing that any person who puts his/her life on the line in defense of this country has earned at least the opportunity for a college education from the American people – which is mor than I can say for John McCain. As a veteran, that is very disappointing. John McCain thinks you should spend your lifetime being shot at, retire when you're too old/tired to go to school, and then use educational benefits – if you survive the bullets and IEDs. I think our kids deserve better than that from a man who claims to be a military leader and hero. I'm ashamed of him for opposing Webb's GI Bill. And, because of that, I fear that he would continue to erode veterans benefits if elected president. I just can't vote for him under those circumstances.
VETS for OBAMA/WEBB – 08
So much crap is going to come out on both these candidates between now and November. Don't decide yet who to vote for so keep it civil for now. Sit back as though you're at a tennis match and prepare to swing your neck from side to side as each changes positions weekly, if not daily, as they both try to feel the pulse of the American public at that particulat moment.
As a statistician, I get annoyed at the constant mistatement of poll results.
BECAUSE the difference between Obama and McCain is within the margin of error, ONE CANNOT say that "Obama holds a slight advantage over McCain." By definition, there is no evidence of any advantage.
On the flipside, one CANNOT call this a statistical dead heat unless a statistical power analysis indicates that the lack of a difference is not likely due to the sample size.
The only thing these results allow you to say is that one cannot conclude with confidence that Obama (or McCain) has a lead. This is not the same as saying that they are tied.
right now even though it looks like obama may have a lead i feel like its anybodies race it aint over yet. McCain 08!!!
JR, that wasn't the Pledge of allegiance that he didn't cover his heart for, it was the national anthem for which covering your heart isn't a prerequisite unless you happen to be a member of the military. It isn't even remotely tradition for civilians's to do so unless they happen to be running for office or playing baseball apparently.
If Black can make the comment he did and people think its true why can't Gen Clark say something that is true. You are not qualified just because you were in a war. Does being in a hospital mean I'm qualified to be a doctor. Did John McCain stay in a holiday inn express before he decided to run?
John Mccain's judgment:
Keating 5
Against GI bill
Against Women's equal pay
For, then against immigration reform
Gas Tax Holiday (not endorsed by one economist)
Voted for Iraq war
For 100 yr presence in Iraq
45 new nuclear plants with no means of getting rid of their waste
Cold War foreign policy
Drilling off our coasts....
I keep reading all of these polls and wondering: who are they calling? Because they've never called our house......
Are they speaking to heads of household or whomever answers the phone? Students? Cell phones?
They haven't called any of my friends or my family.
And we're all voting OBAMA!
AND REMEBER........
A lot of DEMS never show up on GE, so McCain will win for sure......
FOUR MORE YEARS.......FOUR MORE YEARS.......
Yeah, thats what we have to be satisfied with.
Good luck all.
Barack “I’ll take any position that gets me elected” Obama does it again with his latest faith based government program speech. Why is every vilified Bush program suddenly all right if run by democrats? His even goes further allowing religious based discrimination. Is this why all we get are puff pieces from his supporters in the media? I guess you really can fool some of the people all of the time, and all of the people some of the time, I guess this election will prove if you can fool all of the people all of the time. Or at lease long enough to get elected!
The question again....why isn't Barry Obama blowing McCain out of the water? Republicans are more unpopular than they've been since the Great Depression and yet Obama has a statistically insignifcant lead despite FREE news coverage for the extra two months it took him to put away the Hildabeast.
At this same point in 2000? Bush led Gore in good economic times by SIXTEEN points. A similar turnabout means McCain would win by 11.
It's something to think about.
5% lead on average in ALL POLLS. It's the trend. I love how the title shows it as if it's tied yet EVERY poll shows a 5% Obama lead. When you break it down by electoral states needed to win Obama's in a very good position. It's all part of the media trying to make this closer than it really is. I know I live in Portland but I have literally not seen ONE McCain sign or bumper sticker. There is literally ZERO enthusiasm for him and I'm hearing this around the country. As far as the poll showing voters questioning Obama's "Patriotism." Hey... some people will never educate themselves. They choose to live in their closed minded world. It's disgusting. It's also disgusting how the media has helped to portray for these people the fact that Obama could be "Elitist." Isn't that HILLARIOUS while McCain OWNS SEVEN HOUSES!
Amazing how McCain is going to Win win Win .. He cannot win in any poll and the base won't even give him the money to compete with Obama. Talk about Flip Flop and Double talk. The News always says that the are Dems are not coming togther but Mccain was done with his Primary many months ago and the Base still won't come to him or donate. That is the real story the Media doesn't ask about. Maybe they are too much Republican themselves to tell the truth. The truth is there is a real surge behind Obama and the Rally's are only the tipping point. After the European trip and the first debate he will be even stronger and the voters will be ready to go out in full force. Too bad Repubs you scared us Dems into listening to real issues which you don't have. Just scare scare scare.. and he is his and that. Not what you can do to help this country get back right. Every Repub knows this even if they have millions with there tax breaks. Just a question though. You got those big tax breaks to keep jobs here to boost the economy. Just tell me why are they still leaving. American workers and money just No good anymore. ... Obama 08 , 12 The only Choice..
Nobody's talking about it right now, but Kucinich is dead on with the rational behind a BUSH impeachment. Clinton had 1 article of impeachment on him when he boinked that tart. Bush has 35 articles of impeachment against him, including lying to get us in war, violation against the constitution, condoning torture, etc.
Wake up middle America! Vote Democrat to get rid of the old Washington corruption.
Hey voter'svoice – it's 'wake' up America, not weak up. And it's what you need to do, your princess is not in this one anymore, let it go. It will be alright.
ADULTS FOR AMERICA!!!
Obama is nothing more than a paid actor.
we are all sheep if hollywood thinks he is kewl then we should all vote for hollywood obama. How pathetic ! Most rich people in hollywood barely have a high school diploma but yet we listen to them. HOW STUPID ARE WE !! Obama is inexperienced and cannot run a country. He has made many promises but has not said how he would get it done. Anyone can say oh i will do this and that but tell US how you will get it done. I don't think Obama is ready to head a country. I don't think he has any experience with the military side of things and we will lose our power and countries will laugh at us with how weak obama is going to make us as a super power. Not to mention the fact that our economy went in the crapper when the democrats took over congress not the republicans. Look at the last 4 years and its not all bush's fault the democrats have ruined this economy.
There's a long way to go before November. CNN has to do something to keep us riveted. This race is not even in the back stretch. You wait until after the conventions, you haven't seen nothing yet. The "Swift Boat" operators got us Dems the first time because Kerry was to weak kneed to respond rapidly and dirty. Obama is a good man as long as you don't cross him, then he's deadly, he's proven that. Just let Mccains operators start some s–t, Obama is going to step back and call his operators in action. MoveOn and that crowd is going to blow McCain's -ss out of the water. Obama was saying in his speech to MoveOn, not now, it's too soon, don't blow your cover, you'll have time to open both barrels, I'm not John Kerry. This poll is pure crap.
Omaba/MoveOn '08
McCain is doing amazingly well! Clark should be ashamed of his remarks. They were disgraceful. Newsweek 15 point lead was nothing
but a biased media stunt and not objective reporting. With all that McCain has to deal with in regards to the Republican Party and such low ratings on Bush, McCain is doing a very good job in showing how different he really is from Bush and how steady he is. Obama has "change" written all over him in his flip-flopping positions lately. It does not look very good for him. I think that the hype that was around him is steadily wearing thin and now, when we have to focus on substance, there is not much there.
McCain/Powell '08
SETTLE DOWN FOLKS:) This time during the KERRY run he was up 2% when averaging ALL POLLS. Obama's up 3 to 6%. Big difference on a national level. He's doing just fine:)
I think we are all ready for a change, regardless of where it comes from. The archaic ideas that we call politics are not working anymore. I can't take another 4-8 years of a Bush Administration. I'd like to give Obama a chance, it surely can't get any worse then it is now!
If I am not mistaken, these polls don't include all the cell phone only users. It excludes many younger voters who have ditched land lines.
I'm sure Obama's camp is working diligently on bringing his numbers up. Maybe he should give a speech to the Hamster Club of America, or an inspirational talk to the Biker Babes Over Age 40 and the I Can Change a Tire Faster than You Can Club of America – I think these are the only groups left that he has not pandered to. Never know, just might put him over the top.
We've gone from drama to sitcom.
This poll can't possibly be correct. I guess it just goes to show that democrats will vote for anybody, even a clown like Obama.
Obama is consistant. McCain is a flip-flopper. Oh by the way...McCain is one of the Keating 5 Senators caught receiving large donations from Charles Keating. Obama doesn't have that kind of baggage.
Just do a google search on Keating 5 to find the truth. He received the most $ from Keating than any other Senator that was implicated.
If you question the messiah BO you are a bigot or a racist but if you question McCain, call him names or drag his record through the mud you are a...well I guess you are a Democrat. Go look up the word hypocrisy, it applies to a lot of people on this board!
In the Unity atmosphere Obama and Clinton urged that we should stop the partisan bickering and reach across the aisle. I'll be reaching and stretching across the aisle this fall and give McCain my only vote.
What a sham. CNN stop trying to portray Obama as a winner. This loser will end up the same as Gore and Kerry. No one wants a
inexperienced, first term Senator (3weeks). in the Whitehouse.
The man cannot even define Patriotism. He is what he is and no speech will change that for him. We are all shaped by our parents and surroundings, he is no exception. By the time we are 6 years old our values and beliefs have already been programmed.
McCain in a landslide.
This would mean something if (a) we were in October and (b) we elected a President by popular vote. Meaningful polls would be by state so that the electoral college projection could be shown.
I.m with Mike from Texas
.
What happend to the 12 or 15 point lead that Obama had over McCain in last weeks polls?????? Give me a break....Obama will win big...even if race is an issue.....as a black man...I believe that Americans will vote their "pocketbooks" over race...at least I hope so....
Enough with these ridiculous polls. They don't mean anything.
We all know that CNN is trying to make the race closer than it is for more ratings... Obama is kicking McCains butt. Stop trying to turn a landslide into a horse race
I prefer I war hero over a recovering drug addict
yay – McCain is starting pull in from behind. I am SO grateful people are going to get him elected, the same ones that voted Bush twice!
Give me a break
Obama 08'
Both pictures look terrible! Let's have a real good one there.
HILLARY IS THE ONLY ONE FOR OUR NATION!
You guys report Obama up by 15 points last week and now even.
Seems like you have some pretty phony numbers.
Its hard out there for McSame
I loved Hillary, but not voting for Obama would be stupid.
i think the question someone said was " since when are we not allowed to say what we think" when a black man is running for president thats when cause then you are racist ! ! ! ! ! ! !
As an Evangelical Christian I totally agree with you. This is not the type of person we need at the helm of our Nation. For years the Atheists and Socialists have chipped away at our foundation as a Nation. We cannot allow the Left Wing of the Democratic Party via
their surrogate, Obama to control the country.
5 points aheat is not dead heat. Mccain is behind in the cold alone.
YEEEEES!
There should be a law that requires all voters to have in their possession a voter card that states who they voted for during an election.
That way, in case there is a draft, the government can't touch the families of those who did not vote for the person who decides to go to war, like Bush did and like McCain wants to continue.
If this law existed, McCain's percentage rate would be in the single digits.
Polls numbers change based on the states they are polling in.
Seriously CNN? Will you guys just post any old poll you find just to make it seem like it's a tight race? When you and I both know Obama is up by 20% minimum!
OBAMA 2008!!!
I'm an Obama supporter but make no mistake, this race is going to be close. John McCain is the best republican they could've nominated and he's a much stronger opponent than one might think, even in this terrible political climate for republicans. We have to do all we can to get Senator Obama elected to the White House. We've got to keep the pressure on the republicans and force a debate about the issues instead of McCain's biography.
*********************************************
GOES TO SHOW THERE IS A LOT OF IDIOTS OUT THERE. THATS WHY BUSH W GOT INTO OFFICE. WHAT A SHAME.
MDG: I don't think it's fair to say that Gen Y does not have work ethic. Gen Y works differently than other generations of workers. I see it everyday. I see a lot of Gen Y'ers coming up with new and innovative ways to get work done. Who do you think will take the place of the baby boomers as they retire? Sometimes things have to change. I understand that the Baby Boomer generation is reluctant to change, but think about your kids – their kids. Do you want them paying $10 a gallon for gas? Having to sacrafice food or shelter because they can't afford to fill up their cars? It's already happening now! Something has to give, and it can't be the people, not anymore!
If the truth regarding BHO and all his dirty Chicago politics gets out, there is no way anybody would want that corruption in the Presidency. With Wright, Ayers, and Rezko as friends, his judgement, or lack thereof, is definitely lacking!
Those unitied with Obama. Just wait until after the convention and when Obama chews McCain up and spits him out during the debates. In the end, Obama will blow him away. Go to realpolitics.com to get the more up to date polls.
Obama '08 & '12
GEE Barack, I thought you said you were SURE that all the Hillary voters would just come right over to you. What a sap you are now!!
I predict it is just a slide down the hill from here. You will not get the nomination at the convention in August because by then the DNC will have realized their huge mistake and they will crown Hillary and all will be well with the world and the Dems will take back the white house.
You see, they just can't do it with you around!!
HAHAHAHA
PUMA
The African Idol has failed to reach out to the Hillary Billies. That spells defeat to me and thank God for that.
Hispanos don't be mislead by this wolf in sheeps clothing. Our Children and Grandchildren deserve a better Commander in Chief that this Mulato will provide.
McCain para Presidente. Viva John McCain el Patriota.
If the lead is no 5% versus 3% the last time it was taken, doesn't it seem to be incrementally – GROWING?
Uh Patrick, I dont' think Kerry every was ahead in any poll.
By the way, the only ones that really matter right now are the state polls:
New Hampshire – Obama
Pennsylvania – Obama
Ohio – Obama
Iowa – Obama
New Mexico – Obama
Colorado – Obama
Virginia – McCain by less than one point
Here's a little secret McCain fans, if Obama keeps NH, Penn, Iowa, New Mexico and Colorado, he wins. But, to make it legit, he's working hard for Ohio and will ask Rendell to help solidify Pennsylvania.
It's elrly still, but I like where Obama is. Getting a 6-7% lead, especially in these 7 states would really put his candidacy in great shape. Here's to those who haven't gottne involved yet to get involved.
Donate time, money, etc. to the cause. I'm tired of the last 6 years of total Republican rule, and the last two years with President Bush now getting his veto pen a work out. I gave him and them a chance. They blew it (out all on all of us) and now it's time for a complete change to something new and something better.
Change of course is good.... but if you think the carter adminstration was a joke... then stand by for worse economy if obama is elected.
IF you like big goverment,,,, bigger taxes then vote for obama. History will show you that DEMOCRATS are into big goverment. If you think things are bad now... stick around folks with a democratic congress and a democrat for president.. we are in BIG BIG TROUBLE !!!
We will see a depression forget a recession.
We will be screwed.
The polls would be accurate if we voted by answering the phone and answering a few questions, but we don't. Which candidate's supporters are likely to be motivated to register and show up in greater numbers on Election day to vote?
CNN and every other poll takers need to get a life! What are you accomplishing by conducting daily polls on upcoming november election when Americans are dying in Iraq, a gallon of gasoline is over $4, The white House and its cohorts are predicting a terrorist attack on the U.S. and John Mccain is in agreement because he thinks the best thing for america right now is war and more war.
Is anyone paying attention to China? As i write this, China is positioning itself in all major African countries such as Nigeria and everywhere else while we are stuck with bunch of war mongers who knows nothing about economics. Its time for America to reclaim its position as the world's economic engine.
Obama '08.
WHY, NADER!?!? Someone please explain the situation to this guy....
why does Obama always look like one of Jerry's Kids in a lot of his pictures
Obama is up by 110 percentage points in like a gazillion polls. He's going to win the Electoral by 50,000. He'll carry all 57 states.
OBAMA!
Rhetoric you can believe in!
I think people should only listen to the candidates themselves. Not the supporters who love to trash the candidates and smear thier image with lies and spin and twist everything around they say and question them on the dumbest of issues that have nothing to do with what "smart" voters care about. Its a simple fundamental choice between WAR and PEACE! going to war over and over will never bring peace... think about that!
He's going to lose.
America will not elect a black man to the presidency no matter how fashionable black pop culture is at the moment.
Aside from Clinton, Look at all the other more Qualified Democrats who ran for the presidency.
They weren't as hip and were written off.
America Made a mistake and chose wrong.
I am voting for McCain, never thought I would vote for a Republican until now. I like his ideas, sorry Dems but Obama has too many skeletons that have come out of his closet that do not support my values and judgement calls.
Democrat for McCain...
The republican machine is going to have to pull a good one, right before the election, to get McCain in.
Expect anything folks.
I am voting for McCain, never thought I would vote for a Republican until now. I like his ideas, sorry Dems but Obama has too many skeletons that have come out of his closet that do not support my values and judgement calls.
Democrat in California for McCain…
OBAMA Rocks...I like the Einstein quote..."two things are infinite: the universe, and human stupidity..."
Not polling Hillary supporters for McCain obviously.
Won't change my mind. This independent for Hillary (the most qualified) will now vote for the second most qualified – McCain.
PUMA – let's teach the DNC and the thugs a lesson.
This is all we get with our rock star? A statistical dead heat? All those Republicans voted and gave money to Obama so that the weakest person will be the Democratic nominee and now they are withdrawing their money and telling pollsters who they really support, McCain. African Americans and liberals once again fell for Republican dirty tricks!
Hillary 2012
Obama is not perfect but what possible reason would anyone have for voting for McCain?
He has said he will continue many of the Bush fiancial programs. I guess if your wife is a multi-millioniare, the econmy is OK. He thinks this war, which is technically over basedon our reason for first going in, needs to keep going because its "winable" despite the fact that the enemy isn't just in Iraq, only our men and money are. He now thinks drilling off the coast is an answer to our energy crises, instead of pushing to do away with oil dependency and power our cars and homes with alternatives.
It seems the line from the song "everything old is new again" should be his campaign slogan.
More than half this country is complaining- how is he statistically tied with Obama?
Obama's is more ahead than this poll shows since it only polls voters with a land line and they tend to be older voters. The younger voters who will go overwhemingly for Obama all have cell-phones and are not captured in these polls.
And a 5 point win could turn into an electoral college landslide,
By the way Hill fans, she would only be ahead by a few points as well.
wow, and this is suppose to be the year of the Dems., and this is after the end of the Dem. primary bounce, and this is after the unity NH gathering, and this is after one of his safe non-stuttering-57-states teleprompter speech...let's just get it over with already, Obama is toast....or waffle.
President McCain may we have the inaugural speech before we all go off on vacation?
Obama is trying to pander to the religious right wing with his latest proposal on federal funds for faith-based organizations. Obama knows that there is a reason for the separation of chuch and state – so why is he trying to blur the lines? I thought he supported the LGBT community and their equal rights under the law (according to one of his fundraising speeches)?? There is nothing that Obama won't say or do to try to get elected – what a phony!!
Why isn't Obama's lead greater? If people are looking for a government that is different from the past 8 years, why aren't the polls showing it. Is it because of Senator Obama's race. Society says he is black because that's what history stated back in the slave days–one drop of blood and then you are black. He is a multiracial American. Why can't people see him as the candidate for change. He has two or more nations in him so he will work best for all people. Let's come together and put a stop to this Republican dominated country.
A statistical dead heat where McCain is ACTUALLY losing.
Polls, the snap shot in time that means very little especially this far away from election day. I am betting on the American people to not be fooled by the republican's propaganda this time and vote for their best interest and the interest of future generations. John McCain is not that best interest.
I supported John McCain for years, but he made a huge shift in 2004 after watching Bush/Cheney scare up votes. He aligned himself to the republican party and Bush policies. Any one who has followed him knows this. I am banking, willing to bet that John McCain will not be the next President. I have faith in the American people that they will vote for Senator Obama, a real candidate offering solutions for the future.
One poll showing a 5% lead with 900 polled isn't significant. A string of polls showing about that lead is significant, and that's what we've got. McCain is behind.
Is there a way you can stop using that photo of Obama, CNN?
Worst. Photo. Ever.
Tim from Indy said:
America doesn't need or want a tax and spend big government liberal like Obama.
DUDE... DID YOU REALLY JUST PULL OUT THE OLDEST, MOST TIRED DOGMA OF THE REPUBLICAN PARTY AFTER "THIS" PRESIDENCY????
YOUR PARTY HAS SPENT THE COUNTRY INTO THE POOR HOUSE!
BILL CLINTON LEFT WITH THE FIRST SURPLUS IN 40 YEARS!
Please address what I have just said... or you will be written off as a parrot of the party line.
You can lead a moron to the truth, but you can't make him listen. Sen. Obama is overflowing with patriotism, and Sen. McCain's being a POW in the last big war only makes him a victim, not a qualified Presidential nominee.
Truthdetector2: As a nation, we have had more than one corrupt president. Why are you so hard on Senator Obama. I know that you won't admit it, but I know that you can't fanthom the idea of a country led by a black man. Get over your prejudice. As African Americans we have had to deal with the slime that you all voted for and I bet you never said a word. If being honest about your feelings would kill you, I know you would explode.
Hey Patriot Woman:
I'm glad you get all giggly because you tell the pollsters that you're voting for Obama but really want McCain. I bet you feel that you're really skewing the numbers. Because I'm pretty sure that the pollsters' complicated formulas don't take such things into account. And I'm almost certain that there aren't Obama voters who are saying that they're going to vote McCain just so they can do what you think you're doing.
Your ploy is insignificant.
The undecided and independents will go with McCain in November. It just works that way. And by the way, keep religion out of government. That way true religion will rise up and show itself to all.
True religion is: Love the Lord your God with all your heart and with all your strength and with all your might, and your neighbor as yourself.
Less government and more true religion.
There are paid bloggers on here from the right...
close now,a rout by november.so much for the hope & change & hope candidate.obama's toast.
Great News-can't wait until we get closer to Nov.-the shine is FINALLY coming off Obama and all the bots are now afraid!!!
Oh just stop with this Rezko and Ayers bull crap. Once the convention comes around and Obama pretty much shows why McCain is nothing but a GOP puppet . This election is over. I love how last week "polls didn't matter" when Obama was said to have a 15 point lead but now its "Oh well polls matter"..Republicans are clowns
obama will win.if not, mccain will start wwlll.
YEA I HAVE A COMMENT.
MCSLEAZO LOOKS LIKE A BLEACHED VAMPIRE.
You people should read your history about the forefathers of this country and how far this country as gotten away from what they wrote and said, You would be shocked !!!! Read and listen to what both Obama and Mccain have said and there actions in the past and now, then compare them to what forefathers said. Where headed down a slippery slope of socialism with Obama and the same old same with Mccain.
Be careful what you ask for, you might not get what you bargained from both of these candidates.
How about this for a CHANGE, read the constitution for once!!!
I told you obama going down.The only difference betwen obama and osama is B>S>.
separation of church and state, barack. everyone already knows that the federal money that goes to these faith-based prgrams ends up getting used for their anti-gay and pro-life initiatives.
technically, their not supposed to get involved woth politics, but these religious organizations do. leave it up to secular programs that won't discriminate against the people who wish to volunteer for them and the people who come to them for help.
How is it a statistical dead heat? the margin of error is 3.5. Obama has a 5% lead. Why are you using that stupid headline?
The U.S. is full of idiots and morons. We still have posters supporting Hillary almost a month after she conceeded, 15 % who think Obama is a Muslim the same time they complain of his 20 years in a church, others who think he is the second coming of Christ, and still others who tout the "experience" of someone who cannot explain correctly the religous demographics of Iraq, who sings diddys concerning bombing of another country, and admits the economy is not his strong suit. Geez!
Maybe people are starting to figure Fast Eddy out! We could have had a decent nominee, but no, we went with a man with no experience who will do or say anything to get elected. Democrats should be way ahead, but this guy just doesn't have what it takes.
Funny how the blogs have quieted down. The haters have seen the light and acting like they have some sense. Obama is a dead duck, Go McCain.
Hakeem, McCain tried to have a debate, Obama after asking has refused. Get the facts
Price of oil, Doubled under the Dems in congress who said they would fix oil...they fixed it alright. Double the price and Obama said it should be high, just was too fast........the guy knows nothing about economy, foreign policy....just affirmative action rights for more and more people
To Jay -
Here's your proof...
Obama is winning in the polls in Pennsylvania and Ohio right now!
You might want to look at the state poll averages at RealClearPolitics.com
GO news.aol.com and se real poll Obama 31% McCain 61%.
Democrats are gonna be stunned!
McCain will pull ahead as more and more truth is revealed about
Obama.
The real Obama. Not the "hope and change" guy.
Did you know that Obama stole that slogan from Bush?
Bush was the change and unity guy. LOLOL
Obama = Bush 3
Obama and Bush are what happens when you pick a guy
due to charm and cheesy slogans.
If Obama wins by 5 points its going to be big, it will lead to an extra 70 electoral votes. Look at Bush vs Gore and Kerry they were less than 2 points.
God, I hope not. I've had enough of the leaders we have in the white house. It has been time for a change for years. Look at the state we are in, unemployment, are rights being taken from us. We need a young, fresh person, Obama you need to win, get the world back on track.
Let's wait until McCain has the chance to speak next to Obama, he'll be in a fix. The conventions will be completely different and the public will see what a farce the Rep. have in a platform and a candidate. Polls mean nothing today... how does it capture the non-homeowner youth with cell phones and working their way through college?
Mccain is just flat out terrible, Obama isn't the greatest, but at least I'm smart enough to know he's the lesser of two evils. Unfortunately that's the way we have been forced to vote for decades now: for the lesser of two evils.
John McCain is going to Central America to talk about how wonderful NAFTA has been ........FOR THEM. How many times does this fool have to poke the American people in the eye before they figure out that it hurts!? What's he doing?? I wonder how many jobs and visas he's going to promise them???
Patriot Woman July 1st, 2008 4:26 pm ET
When they poll me, I tell them I'm voting Obama. I'm really voting McCain. Whether there are others doing this, I don't know. But I sure do get a chuckle out of it! Vote. Sen. John McCain=Experience
-------------------------------
Figured it was just a matter of time before people on these blogs started lieing and saying they are telling pollsters that they are voting for Obama but that they are really voting for McLame...get real idiot!!
the only experience mcain has is too continue giving rich people tax breaks,extend the war in iraq and keeping minumu wage low
vote for obama 2008
McCain 08, Hillary 12. I will not vote for the candidtae chosen by the media & teenagers.
Yes folks,we have to keep selling AD time and news papers.Its really more like Obama by 9 points.
This has been a decisive week for many who have loyally supported Barack Obama during the primary season. During this week another Barrack Obama has shown his face. This Obama supports ultra conservative judges on the U.S. Supreme Court. This Obama has become wishy-washy on FISA and far less concerned about our Fourth Amendment rights. This Obama turns on General Wesley Clark who was correct in his statements to appease the McCain campaign. And now this new Obama is making nice with the Religious Right (Senator, you can change the name from Right to Left but...) and supporting religious based initiatives a la G.W. Bush ignoring the fact that many of these groups will discriminate in their hiring practices against those who don't subscribe to their belief system.
The new Obama apparently feels he doesn't need the Liberal wing of his party any more. But he is still depending on us to go to the polls in November and give him our vote as the better, at least on some issues, of two unsatisfactory candidates. Well we may have been tricked into doing just that but as the difference between Obama and McCain decrease so may our likelihood of bothering to vote at all...and then watch the polls.
Polls,polls and more polls. With these polls being taken every few minutes, how is anyone able to place any reliability in them? Besides, who is being polled besides the polls?
Go McCain, a true American hero!!!
I don't get it. I am baffled as to why this race is so close statistically. McCain has abandoned his brand "independent thinker" or "maverick" which made him so appealling. Now he is doing just whatever the RNC says. That being said, why in the world are people voting for a man who will essentially KEEP the same aweful policies of the Bush Administration.
America needs to WAKE UP. Let's turn a new page in American History – VOTE OBAMA!
Well, the polls have been wrong in the past. With Bush's approval rating at 29%, I doubt that this race is a "dead heat" doubt it.
Why would anyone vote for McCain?
MORE WAR, POSSIBLY .... BOMB.... BOMB... BOMB IRAN!
MORE NATIONAL DEBT BECAUSE OF MORE WAR, $10 TRILLION ISN'T ENOUGH?
MORE TROOPS IN HARM'S WAY DYING FOR OIL......
LET'S END THIS MADNESS!
These polls are worthless and don't include:
College Students or young adults with Cell Phones
A lot of African Americans nor Hispanic Americans that share a household phone
and use traditional methods of obtaining data in an Internet world
McCain vs. Obama: The Hero or the Zero
I'll take McCain's military experience over Obama's "community organizer" (Hah!) experience any day. Community organizer, backbench Illinois state senator, and rookie US senator where he started running for president 150 days into the job.
Who do you guys poll? I've never been called, and neither has anyone else I know. And wasn't Obama up by 15 points last week according to you. Please stop with this polling nonsense b/c it's obviously not accurate.
Obama/Clinton '08
Rasmussen Report dated 2008-06-27
By a 58% to 8% margin, voters believe that John McCain agrees with the Court ruling. Voters are evenly divided on Barack Obama’s view—43% believe the Democrat’s presumptive nominee disagreed with the ruling while 41% think he agreed.
OBAMA SAID HE AGREED
Seems there are a lot of NOT SO SMART people out there.
I prefer an intelligent human being who can make intelligent judgement rather than one who needs anger management counseling, economic education, and some skin removed from his neck.
I guess it should not shock me how ignorant most Americans are when it comes to the issue of what being patriotic is. Wearing a pin, saying the pledge, flying a flag or singing the national anthem on a daily basis makes one no more patriotic than teaching a monkey how to salute. Outward symbolism is very easy for people to display since all thats required is for one to see another showing some sign supposedly related to what patriotism is. It is a lazy man's way of justifying himself to others without actually having to back up his opinions and what he stands for. The fact that some Americans still question Obama on this issue is a sad example of how stupid people really are. As for these self-righteous McCain and former disgruntled Hillary supporters, keep on in your dream world. The more you chuck out your filth each days shows how full of rage, anger and disillusionment you are. And watch out for calling Obama crooked or dirty; McCain has his own skeletons and has flipped more times than a circus acrobat. Check out his past statements regarding positions he holds now; ts not evolution of positions, its outright lying. As a current Arizona resident, believe me I know and have had a lot of exposure to John McCain and for the rest of you out htere in the country, not as many of us have a kind opinion of him as you are led to believe.
Obama is in trouble. The teeny-weeny lead he has is coming from big states like California. But it is not about the popular vote...it is about the Electoral College and that is where is has some big problems. In all those battlegrounds with "clinging" voters.
It doesn't matter...Barack ain't gettin' 270 come Nov. It's all 'bout the Electoral College, stupid. You'll learn someday. (Hopefully Nov 5th, 2008).
How many points ahead would Hillary be, dha!
Obama would need to have a solid 15 point lead at this point in time in order to pull out a win in November, because as we get closer to November, Obama's lead will continue to shrink. This is terrible news for Obama. Obviously, the more people get to know Obama, the less they like him.
Obama ROCKS !
He'll soon leave McBush in the dust.
Obama/Webb '08
I will start taking the polls seriously by late September and October
These are the same pollsters who 18 months ago projected Hillary Clinton would be the Democrat Presidential Candidate and boy were they wrong!
I'm so sick of this patriotism crap every presidential election cycle. Both men are Americans and they love America. No one can doubt their commitment to this country and what it stands for. This CNN poll would of been actually relevant if it asked the following: Which candidate do you trust to repair the economy?
Who cares about a national poll? Anybody with half a brain knows the popular vote doesn't decide the election, electoral votes do. Anybody that knows history knows this to be the case (see 2000 election)
You know Hillary can still win this!!! What, a whole 2 weeks for the "change" candidate to move to the center on a whole list of issues. I never doubted it for a minute. This guy isn't any different than any other politician. But, now we get a Democratic nominee with no experience to top it off. Way to go super delegates.
Was for Hillary, now for McCain! Go McCain!
P.U.M.A.
Jesse what are our options as U.S. citezens? Take a look around you there bud. Gas, dead soldiers, dollar bill losing its value america is currently slipping off into the abyss......AND THE WINNER IS????? America can ill afford another Republican in the white house, there is no need to be upset, it can only get better from here
)
I'm voting for McCain ... the candidate with experience, judgement, character and patriotism.
Boy, there sure are a lot of stupid people on here.
Anyone who is citing the Real Clear Politics average needs to know they included those wacky Newsweek and LA Times polls that have now been proven to be overly loaded with democrats which resulted in faulty polling. So of course Obama's averages are up there with those unrealistic 12 and 15 point bumps averaged in.
Obama polls the highest nationally with Clinton on the ticket. It will be historical and unbeatable.
Obama/Clinton 08
NONPARTISAN view: Reagan rebuit what J. Carter destroyed, and as for G. W. Bush, while his Iraq War could remain questionable, he has been unlucky in terms of economy as the high gas price problem arises during his term. The high gas price is NOT his fault. It is the global phenomena based on "supplies-demands" caused mainly by China's and India's strong economic expansions. In Europian countries gas prices are MUCH MUCH higher than what we pay for here. What I disrespect of the Democratic Party candidate's campaign is HE makes voters believe that the high gas price caused by Bush and as if the gas price drops immediately after his inauguration. Some people tend to believe his words blindly and emotionally based on the current situation they face. While such reaction is understandable, emotional reaction will never lead you to the truce. I just want a honest person (regardless of Party) becomes our president, not the person who sells EMPTY PROMISES.
bayou joe - if that's the case – mccain said in his own words – he did not love his country til he was a prisoner – so by age 5 he did not love his country – i guess he still doesn't – according to you –
you can do or say anything,at the end victory will be on obama side.
obama08-16
Why is the MSM still driving this narraitve of his patriotism???? Lets call a spade a sapde here. it's the media that is questioning it.
My boy McCain will prevail with help from the PUMA tards. Go PUMA tards.
Jesse from San Antone,
All you need to do is vote for him and then have faith that the rest of us will do our jobs and vote for him as well.
Dave, next time you post, why don't you share four or five 'values" you share that McCain has an Obama doesn't.
Hopefully you'll start with marriage, something McCain didn't hold onto by his own accord. That's a nice value if there ever was one, especially if you look at the 10 commandments (#7 or 8 is where you should start reading).
WOW, every other poll has Obama ahead. I doubt your poll's validity.
Ah, senselessly questioning Obama's patriotism...the GOP has nothing on him!
It is truly appalling your shameless pandering to McCain, an absolute abdication of these supposed conerstones of your profession – fairness, balance and truth. On each of the, you have failed miserably. Every headline, analysis and reporting is so skewed that it seems to go beyond a mere professional incompetence. It is looking like a well orchestrated campaign to ensure that by whatever means necessary that Obama's campaign is derailed. You continuously apply a higher standard to him while the old man can make the most ridiculous claim without as much as a comment. A good example is McCain extolling the virtues of the GI Bill that he firmly oppossed, yet you have deliberately failed to highlight the downright lies and hypocrisy. I am certain if Obama shows such reckless abandonment of the truth, ( especially as his mantra is straight talking) he would have been ripped apart as a liar. And the way you and the other friendly journalists pander to McCain at Press conferences is reminiscent of the press in zimbabwe. Are you all that insecure that him being friendly and a stand-up guy is enough for you all to forsake any semblance of professional integrity or is there a more sinister motive?
Brian,
I'm really tired of people like you saying that Obama is the Messiah. I am a Christian and this is very offensive. Obviously you know nothing of the Christian faith or you would know that we already have a Messiah. His name is Jesus.
You are free to take all the shots you want but to refer to Obama as the Messiah is beyond low.
You, and people like you, should be ashamed.
Obama is about as patriotic as a Madison Avenue advertising salesman. He could tattoo an American flag on his forehead and I wouldn't believe him!
Michelle,
So did you vote for Gore and Kerry or are you a Bush apologist who now wants to spin the reason and use it to vote for McCain? (The candidate who has basically said he will continue the failed policies of this administration.)
The pressure is on McCain camp. Gen. Clark comments have now become the media frenzy...
In this year with all the dissatisfaction in the current president and administration, shouldn't there be a landslide lead? It isn't because the democratic presumptive is such an unknown quantity. How can the voter make an informed decision on the issues when Sen. Obama's record is so lacking in history? We have only inference and empty words to go on. We have a great obligation to democracy and our nation to pick the best candidate for the job; Hillary is by far the better choice, but since the DNC foisted the lesser on us, the polls are now showing what the rest of America is musing. And, as more time goes by and Sen. Obama shows his weakness in experience the more musing will occur.
Patriotism, separation of church and state, economic uncertainty, 20 years member of a hate mongering – ridiculing church, immoral election practices, numerous "disappointing" relationships, a senatorial voting record of present, flip – flops.... These are facts that linger. The polls reflect the weakness in the candidate.
Nobama!
There are way too many idiots posting comments here.
Want to WIN, Bring HER in.
GO OBAMA GO 5% NOW 10% LATER, 15% AND FINALLY 270 FOR THE PRESIDENCY!
neat how the zealots dedicated to the hot air vendor say this is a sham and obama is way ahead. then they say that no one with a brain votes for mccain. then they say it does not matter cause their golden boy will win anyway. wrong....................mccain will wipe the floor with this 2-bit wannabe.
Now I know why he is flip-floping more recently.. Hillary, please, come back...
I believe that people do not have a right to question your patriotism. This is one of the main reasons we are in the stupid war with IRAQ. The American people didn't do their duty and demand that the government be accountable to them. Instead American's stayed in their homes acting afraid and 4,000 plus Americans have lost their lives for what? 20,000 more Americans have lost their limbs and/or sustained grotesque injuries to their bodies; why? They lost their lives and their limbs in a misguided crusade of bringing liberty and freedom to another people in another land while the people of the USA hunkered down in their homes afraid to say this is wrong. Why? Because they didn't want their patriotism questioned... and they were afraid.
HAHAHAHA for all you LIBERAL Morons the polls last week that OBAMA is up 65 to 29 among the Hispanic is NOT True!!!!! Hispanic will vote for John McCain!!!!! Just ask the Hillary Hispanic Connection they already said they will NOT support OBAMA. They are going with McCain. In Reality because the Media, the Pundit that control the news does not want you to know the TRUTH!!! The Raza people will support John McCain, the Puertorican Nation, the Mexican Natuion, The Colombian Nation and all of the Hispanic Nation will support McCain and not OBAMA!!!!! Obama is the loser here!!!!
This is all we get with our rock star? A statistical dead heat? All those Republicans voted and gave money to Obama so that the weakest person will be the Democratic nominee and now they are withdrawing their money and telling pollsters who they really support, McCain. African Americans and liberals once again fell for Republican dirty tricks!
Hillary 2012
If McCain led the poll by 5 points, would CNN report the result as a statistical tie? They never have in the past.
There is 3.5 point margin of error in this small poll.
still waiting ...tick tick tick tick
America doesn't need or want a tax and spend big government liberal like Obama.
DUDE… DID YOU REALLY JUST PULL OUT THE OLDEST, MOST TIRED DOGMA OF THE REPUBLICAN PARTY AFTER "THIS" PRESIDENCY????
YOUR PARTY HAS SPENT THE COUNTRY INTO THE POOR HOUSE!
BILL CLINTON LEFT WITH THE FIRST SURPLUS IN 40 YEARS!
Please address what I have just said… or you will be written off as a parrot of the party line.
How long has McCain been campaigning for the General Election?
I think it is now about four months.
How long has Barack been campaigning for the General Election?
Roughly three weeks?
CNN, don't you think the positions should be reversed? Let's just wait and see what the POLLS say closer to November.
hog wash...
Now that is spin. One candidate consistently polls 5% better than the other and we are in a statistical dead heat.
Prof Steve, I am not a statistician, but I stayed at one of them express hotels last night. I understand margin of error in polls. However, when multiple polls show the exact same result, and are on the highest edge of that margin of error, the odds of that statistical margin of error actually coming into play go down, don't they? When you combine the results of those various polls, increasing the sample size, the margin of error also reduces, doesn't it?
Obama/Biden 08!
The popular vote is not the best indicator for projecting a winner. It's the electoral college. And in that instance Obama is not only winning states that Kerry won in 2004(252),but he's ahead in the western states like NM & CO, as well as red states like Virginia, Ohio and Indiana in the east.
mccain will loose and obama will take over we need obama people pay attention to gas prices and economy. mccain has no plans for us do the right thing vote for obama. obama 08!!!!!!!
Yeah, well I guess it is time for Obama to select Clinton as his running mate if he expects to win this election. Otherwise, several Clinton supports, myself included, will vote for McCain.
Obama/Clinton '08
If Obama does turn out not to be all he says he is, is there a chance Hillary can be slipped in at the last second? Does the fact that she just 'suspended' her campaign mean we still might be able to get this right?
USA : 0
Rest of the world : 193
YOu get the govt you deserve, frat boys.
McCain will lose the a bunch of Hillary's supporters are still whining about her loss some more of them will come around especially when they find out he knows nothing about our economy or how to fix it. He is too old to be president. Just because he was a war hero does not mean he is entitled to being president. I have yet to see where he is different from president Bush. If Obama would take Hillary as his vp he would win by a landslide. If Obama loses because of Hillary's supporters it will ruin the Clintons and they could hang up ever getting any support from an Obama supporter. We need a dem for president not some senile old man.
I am not saying John Mccaine is unpatriotic. Senator Mccaine flew combat missions against communism in Viet Nam. Served five years as a P.O.W. God Bless him. How could he support an administration that sold out the U.S.A. to communisChina. This I would call UNPATRIOTIC...
The same pollsters must be polling in Zimbabwe
Mugabe, Tsvangirai in stastical dead heat.
hey retards at CNN – when one candidate (Obama) leads the other (McCain ) BEYOND the margin or error, it is no longer a "statistical dead heat"... stop carrying McSame's water
I WROTE MY COMMENTS ABOUT AMERICAN CORPORATIONS HIRING, RECRUITING, OUTSOURCING AMERICAN JOBS TO FOREIGNERS INSTEAD OF TRAINING AMERICANS FOR THESE
HUNDREDS OF TECHNOLOGY AND SCIENCE JOBS, WHITE COLLAR VACANCIES AMERICAN CORPORATIONS NOW HAVE.
I CANT UNDERSTABD WHY CNN ALWAYS PUTS MY COMMENTS
WITH THE HEADING" YOUR COMMENTS ARE AWAITING MODERATION" ?
I know that others have said this, but it needs to be repeated- this is not a statistical dead heat. Obama's lead is outside the margin of error, which means that the difference is statistically significant.
not that anyone reads past the first few comments, but if the margin of error is 3.5 points, how would a 5-point lead be considered a "dead heat"?
"1% or 10% a win is a win"...
It is only if they additionally carry the electorial college. Bush won by 3% 4 years ago, but a 100k shift in Ohio could have elected Kerry. If the race is within a couple percentage points it could go either way.