July 2nd, 2008
12:15 PM ET
10 years ago

Poll shows Connecticut is Obama country

CNN's Electoral map breakdown.

CNN's Electoral map breakdown.

(CNN) - John McCain has the backing of Connecticut's Democratic-turned-Independent Sen. Joe Lieberman, but a new poll out Wednesday shows the state is decidedly Obama country.

According to a new poll from Quinnipiac University, Barack Obama is leading McCain in the state by more than 20 points, 56 percent to 35 percent. Much of that lead stems from the Illinois senator's 16 point advantage among independent voters in the state. He also pulls in 16 percent of Republicans there.

Connecticut has long tilted Democratic in presidential elections, and recent Republican White House hopefuls have often spent few resources there. It voted for John Kerry in 2004 by a margin of 10 points, and for Al Gore in 2000 by a 16 point margin. CNN considers the state's seven electoral votes safely in Obama's column.

The poll also provides further evidence that Lieberman, who bucked his former party late last year by endorsing McCain, holds little sway with voters in his home state when it comes to the presidential election. Even if McCain chose Lieberman as his No. 2, a prospect that most political observers agree is highly unlikely, only 14 percent of Connecticut voters said they would be more likely to vote for the Republican ticket.

Lieberman also appears to be hurting his own approval rating in Connecticut as he increasingly becomes one of McCain's most visible surrogates on the campaign trail.

Watch: Lieberman touts McCain

In a Quinnipiac poll released earlier this week, the Connecticut senator's job approval rating stood at 45 percent, the first time his it has dipped below the 50 percent line in that survey. Sixty-two percent of Connecticut Democrats now hold a negative view of their party’s Democratic vice presidential candidate.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (243 Responses)

    Well what is expected. Joe Liberman is a total sell out. Maybe he wants another chance at the VP – McCain/Liberman what a hoot!

    July 2, 2008 01:43 pm at 1:43 pm |
  2. Nick - Arlington, VA

    Chuck July 2nd, 2008 12:52 pm ET

    A far left liberal university polls and the far left candidate is the winner?


    -My God you PUMAs are like a plague of idiocy....Quinnipiac is a very distinguished polling authority...think before you type the usual verbal diarrhea

    July 2, 2008 01:43 pm at 1:43 pm |
  3. Bridgette-PA



    July 2, 2008 01:44 pm at 1:44 pm |
  4. Mark

    This, of course, is no surprise. What is surprising is that Lieberman was re-elected.

    July 2, 2008 01:44 pm at 1:44 pm |
  5. Republican for Obama

    McCain has a serious problem if Obama is leading with Independents, and even gaining 16% of republicans.

    Granted this state has a long track record of voting democratic, which we can account the independent lead to. But the 16% of republicans moving to Obama is a HUGE alarm that should be going off for the McCain camp.

    I will also concede that this state has first hand knowledge of how horrid a person Leiberman is, and as such has a complete distain for any of his proven poor judgement, up to and including his presidential support. I can't say they are wrong either, just listen to Leiberman, and choose the opposite, you will always be right.

    July 2, 2008 01:44 pm at 1:44 pm |
  6. Stephanie

    Take the AOL Straw poll for president – redone every week, and currently over 200,000 votes. Better than 1300 or 1900 or however many these other polls sample. And it's AOL – not a liberal university, not a conservative university – a truer cross section.

    "Generation X" – be afraid – be very afraid.

    July 2, 2008 01:45 pm at 1:45 pm |
  7. eric

    Quinnipiac also happens to be one of the most widely respected surveyers by both sides. Only those who have no experience with statistics and/or surveys criticize polls from established and proven firms.

    Poor Uneducated Miserable Adults...
    Get a grip.

    July 2, 2008 01:45 pm at 1:45 pm |
  8. Patty, Big Bear, CA

    Lieberman is the ultimate flip-flopper.....McCain and he are perfect for each other....Any credibility Lieberman ever had is long gone

    July 2, 2008 01:46 pm at 1:46 pm |
  9. Peter of Oregon

    Oregon is Obama Country too. Let it be known. Most of us don't care much for the John Keating 5 McCain style politics here in these parts.

    July 2, 2008 01:46 pm at 1:46 pm |
  10. Michael Templer

    why is this news

    New Hampshire is the only state in New England that McCain has a shot

    and i don't think he will.

    as far as polls go, I don't trust CNN or Gallop because

    they don't have the correct turn out figures

    so the numbers are going to be high

    look at the turn out when both primaries were

    competitive often the winner of the democratic primary had more votes
    then the whole republican votes combined.

    they are going to be high

    if this was Florida, Ohio, or Iowa or any state in the south outside of Virginia this would be news

    sucks to be the editor of the political ticker now huh

    July 2, 2008 01:47 pm at 1:47 pm |
  11. Jim Shimmer

    CT is my state!
    We DISLIKE Liberman – he is a fool

    But the biggest fool is McSame...


    July 2, 2008 01:47 pm at 1:47 pm |
  12. dres

    Noooo a rich educated state for Obama? Cant be! and your telling me and uneducated poor state like Miss. is going to be decidely for McCain? Yup! Conservatives get what they deserve for voting republican. You get a poor economy and lack of jobs. We Liberals get what we deserve a great President like BARACK!

    July 2, 2008 01:47 pm at 1:47 pm |
  13. Obama08!


    July 2, 2008 01:48 pm at 1:48 pm |
  14. Salaam, Lawrence KS

    That simply means that war mongering Lieberman is no longer relevant in his own state. He knows that, come November, he'll lose his committee chairmanship in the Senate, and will be excluded from the Democratic caucus, as the Democrats gain a stronger control of the Senate.

    July 2, 2008 01:48 pm at 1:48 pm |
  15. Andy

    Just a few notes here. Hillary Clinton won West Virginia by 30+ points. I think we can be fairly certain that this state isn't "Leaning McCain." It is McCain. In addition, if you look at states where Hillary won the majority of the vote by large margins, they are going to be more prone to vote for McCain then Obama. Since Hillary was closer to the middle then Obama, I doubt that they would vere left.

    Then again, since I started voting in 1980, the media always had the Democrat candidate so far ahead at this point in time. Remember Kerry in 2004? He was leading Bush by 30 points. And Al Gore in 2000? Also up by over 20 points.

    July 2, 2008 01:49 pm at 1:49 pm |
  16. PUMA NO$$$

    PUMA, when McCain discontinue your social security/ disability check, you are going to be in real TROUBLE!!! VOTE OBAMA 08.

    July 2, 2008 01:50 pm at 1:50 pm |
  17. Jim

    Yea, we've heard your "Obama polls" before.

    McCain 2008 Hillary 2012

    July 2, 2008 01:50 pm at 1:50 pm |
  18. Robert NYC & Miami

    I don't like Obama, but I am glad the people of Connecticut are seeing Leiberman for what he is and have not cared that he endorsed McCain.

    Leiberman's devotion is Israel. He should pack-up and leave America, that is the reason he wants to start a war with Iran.

    July 2, 2008 01:50 pm at 1:50 pm |
  19. Nancy

    I get a kick out of the people who dismiss the polls when they disagree with the outcome. Invariably people who don't know anyting about polling, I am especialy amused when they say - "that can't be true, none of MY friends like Obama (or fill in the blank).

    July 2, 2008 01:51 pm at 1:51 pm |
  20. brook_trout

    Newsflash for Chuck: ALL universities lean left, because education = liberal thinking, while uneducated = conservative fear of change.

    July 2, 2008 01:51 pm at 1:51 pm |
  21. David in KC

    "Far Left University?" Does Chuck even know what far left is? This country has no Left, let alone a "Far" left. It's called Centrist. The US is so Far Right the center looks Left to them. A small amount of reading will explain the political spectrum to those that have no understanding of it.

    July 2, 2008 01:51 pm at 1:51 pm |
  22. Cathy in MD

    Lieberman, the Democratic-turned-Independent senator from where? Connecticut? He might as well be from Pluto, hatched from a pod left here by some alien ship – on purpose. He didn’t have much sway with them, either.

    July 2, 2008 01:51 pm at 1:51 pm |
  23. Walt

    Now all Connecticut has to do is to dump Lieberman that disloyal, irrelevant political opportunist who will go whichever way he thinks will benefit him most. Unfortunately, Connecticut, New England and the U.S. will be stuck with him for a few more years. Perhaps both sides of the aisle will find a nice place for him alone in a back closet of the Senate chambers.

    July 2, 2008 01:52 pm at 1:52 pm |
  24. Glad to be an Independent

    You have every right ti be a PUMA but you have very little influence. There are more than just that one poll in Connecticut that show Obama has a huge lead in Connecticut. I like Obama's strategy as far as going after states that have traditionally voted Republican. Why should he give up any states? Go after them all. If Obama asks for the vote in some of the red states, maybe he can win some of them. YES HE CAN!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    July 2, 2008 01:53 pm at 1:53 pm |
  25. judy, Wisconsin

    Great–now if we could just get the good people of Connecticut to dump the vile Lie-berman next time......

    July 2, 2008 01:55 pm at 1:55 pm |
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