July 4, 2008
Posted: 06:35 AM ET

From

ALT TEXT

Obama holds a small lead over McCain, 4 months before the election, but previous summer polls don't always predict the outcome in November. (AP Photo)

(CNN) — The race for the White House remains tight as American heads into the July 4 weekend, a new CNN poll of polls shows.

In the latest CNN survey of four recent national polls, Barack Obama holds a 6 point lead over John McCain, 48 percent to 42 percent. That represents a slight increase for the Illinois senator over the last week: in a CNN Poll of polls released last Friday, Obama topped the Arizona senator by 5 points.

“As we hit the July 4 holiday weekend, the presidential polls seem to have settled into a stable pattern,” said CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. “Obama’s lead in our polling average has been holding relatively steady around the five percent mark for almost a month. The question now is whether that lead will hold — or possibly even expand — as we turn our attention to the conventions and the campaigns start advertising more.”

The presumptive presidential nominee has clearly increased his lead from one month ago: in a CNN poll of polls conducted June 2, when Hillary Clinton was still in the race, Obama led McCain by only one point, 46 percent to 45 percent.

But how predictive are presidential polls four months before the election? Not very.

Consider where the presidential race stood in 2004 heading into the July 4 weekend: then, John Kerry held a 4 point lead over Bush in a CNN poll of polls, 49 percent to 45 percent, a lead that evaporated by November. And in 2000, Bush was up 6 points over Gore at this point in the summer — and the outcome that year, of course, was one of the narrowest electoral victories in the nation's history.

Related: Election Center

Filed under: Barack Obama • John McCain


adam   July 3rd, 2008 10:55 pm ET

we now mcbush is ging to loss. we don't trust him. he is a waronger.

go obama 08-12!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Willy   July 3rd, 2008 10:53 pm ET

Still wet behind the EARS!

Teri   July 3rd, 2008 10:52 pm ET

Obama doesn't want to debate McCain. He would have to think on his feet- and he prefers to stick to the script. Even then, he has to do a "press conference do-over" like today on the war.

Mauri   July 3rd, 2008 10:51 pm ET

Obama is sure to win, most say. But it won't happen unless he quits the notorious "flip-flopping" he's been doing lately. I am not in favor of calling the instances flip-flops when a candidate changes his mind when there are legitimate reasons. This is true of the offshore drilling on McCain's part. It's right that he's now in favor of it, opposed to his stand against it in the past. We need that extra oil in our own coffers, be it next year or within the next 10.

With Obama coming out today and saying in essence that he'll be taking a new look at the Iraq and meet with the Generals, and then announce his plan of withdrawals. Well, that's a true flip-flop, and he'd better watch it in the future. We all listened to so many debates during the primary, and we heard how each of the candidates would handle the situation in Iraq to the point of almost being sick. How well we recall that Hillary always said she would handle the withdrawals responsibly — that being the keyword. But Senator Obama was always emphatic about beginning to withdraw on the first day of his presidency. This will be one of the things he's going to have to talk about in the future.

Raymond Duke   July 3rd, 2008 10:50 pm ET

Some of you people must be drinking Obama's kool-aid . It must have some of that jonestown kool-aid. When you think the democrats are going to take Alaska, North AROLINA, NEVEADA , IDAHO , MONTANA,. You people better get back in the real world and hope like heck that you can win them swing states that he called uneducated racist because they voted for Hillary Clinton. You better hope after his remarks and with Ed Schultz and Bob Beckel his surrgoates on t.v. calling white people "WHITEY' and "CRACKERS'.

ObamaSupporterNoMore   July 3rd, 2008 10:49 pm ET

I got to say, my man Obama is sounding more and more like a politician everyday. I was an Independent for Obama, but I am getting to the point where I dread to see him talk because he sounds more and more lik Bill Clinton with his manipulative ways of using words.

Col Kilgore   July 3rd, 2008 10:47 pm ET

If America lets MC Stupid steal this election ? You deserve everything your gonna get. This election is actually a national IQ test.This one ,unlike others, has consequences though. If Mc Flip Flop wins ? Everybody fails.

New Yorker   July 3rd, 2008 10:46 pm ET

franks problem - Doesn't know the difference between a good president and a bad one. Policies of former democratic presidents' appeasement policies are partly what got us into the mess with terrorists, but the major issue with the terrorists is the liberal promotion of immoral behavior that so many decadent democrats promote. It flies in the face of Islam.

Brian   July 3rd, 2008 10:46 pm ET

Wow, Obama just said he wouldn't pull out of Iraq, this guy is the king of the flip floppers!

RJ, CA   July 3rd, 2008 10:45 pm ET

Loved the bumper sticker I saw yesterday:

ANNOY THE LIBERALS (i.e., Obama)
Work — Succeed — Be Happy!

Independent   July 3rd, 2008 10:44 pm ET

I hope the liberals think McCain cannot win……I just hope the liberals do.

Rich   July 3rd, 2008 10:42 pm ET

McCain has sold out so bad it is almost funny if it wasn't so sad. He comes off as a petty little old man. And to think I use to like him.

Slider   July 3rd, 2008 10:42 pm ET

Last I looked at the word "change"; it didn't look anything like "progress"

The two are not synonymous.

Democrats would do well to remember: Carter talked about "change". So did Clinton. Our country changed for worse after these two bozos got done with their foreign policy gaffes. With Carter, we got the creation of the greatest terrorist supporting state that ever existed. With Clinton, we got 3,000 dead on 9/11 as he stupidly tried to have the world "like us", all the while bombing Iraq on several occasions, and having our soldiers dragged through the streets of Somalia, while getting us embroiled in Kosovo, Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Pee on your "change", Democrats.

Fillibuddy   July 3rd, 2008 10:41 pm ET

YES-bama!

Martha Roots Woods   July 3rd, 2008 10:40 pm ET

Indiana Democrats love Barack Obama!

Will from Gaithersburg, MD   July 3rd, 2008 10:38 pm ET

Obama 08! We will bring change to this country!

Texans for Obama   July 3rd, 2008 10:36 pm ET

Don't worry with the economy in shambles, and people losing jobs everyday, John McCain will not win. Obama will win in a landslide.
I don't want these young peoples future in their hands period.

sharon   July 3rd, 2008 10:34 pm ET

did not read this article. Just went to comments. CNN ENOUGH with the daily polls. Don't you care about your readers.? They tell you this again and again….again…..again

Raymond Duke   July 3rd, 2008 10:32 pm ET

Of course cnn is going to have him up in the polls. But put that aside John McCain will win in november. The more that Obama opens his mouth and changes on everything the lower his rating will go. Obama and his wife dug their on political graves with the statements they made and the friends they kept. Throw in the shananigans of the democrat leadership and you got a big no- Obama in november. I can't stand McCain but he is the best of the two evils. The only one that was qualified to be president got the shaft from the democrat leadership and the media.

DAN   July 3rd, 2008 10:31 pm ET

The latest polls are the ones that matter, poll of polls what a joke!

RJ, CA   July 3rd, 2008 10:30 pm ET

Obama is a forty-something academician who has no idea of real life.

Michael   July 3rd, 2008 10:29 pm ET

Slowpoke July 3rd, 2008 6:32 pm ET

What's up with giving a speech on a runway/
—————————————————–
I think he had to make a quick landing to defend CHANGING his position on getting troops out of Iraq — or maybe to defend his patriotism. Whatever. It is refreshing to see just him, a lecturn and a plane. Usually we have to see him with his cast of thousands.

Peachy Keen   July 3rd, 2008 10:27 pm ET

So who do you want for your President…..a man who bets thousands of dollars each roll of the dice on the Vegas craps tables and whose wife spends 750 thousand a month on her credit cards, or a man with some common sense who plays $3 a hand poker.

Easy choice.

Obama 08

Lynn E   July 3rd, 2008 10:25 pm ET

I do think that Mc Cain is acceptable for the Republicans but Obama for the Democrats? The Democratic party should think very hard before just handing the party over to him at the convention. I'm a life long Democrat not voting for him and many others are becoming dissatisfied with him. The man came out from nowhere, couldn't bother with working at his job in the senate and then decided to run for President. He doesn't even know what he doesn't know because he's too inexperienced and ignorant. He pretty much was put up for the senate by Chicago pols and it is the same with the presidency. Rather than being a human, he is more like David Axelrod's Frankenstein. God knows who's writing the speeches, if his earpiece falls out, he can't even string sentences together. I don't approve of Mc Cain's policies, but I do know he is a human who takes work seriously and tries hard. He has a temper (Obama is known to have one too.) but is pretty independent of thought when it comes right down to it. Even the fact that the Republicans decided to let him in on the Columbia hostage crisis says something. He'll earn respect with Latino voters visiting their homelands and supporting free trade. We need these countries and the connection people here have with them are important.

N.K.   July 3rd, 2008 10:24 pm ET

Polls, polls, polls!! I have never been polled, and nobody I ask ever has been either. Has anyone out there ever actually been polled?? It reminds me for the great medfly scare in the early 80's. Supposedly, there were millions of them posing a dire threat to the California crops. Yet, nobody had ever seen one!

Silence DoNoGood   July 3rd, 2008 10:23 pm ET

I think it's time to wake up and smell the coffee. Our country (including the media) is controlled by the rich and the powerful. They didn't want Hillary because she is for the people. oddly enough they don't want McCain either because he is also for the people. Please think for yourself America. Obama is already bought and paid for. Only the rich and powerful could have put him where he is today with no experience and surrounded by shady characters. People that refuse to vote for him are being silenced. McCain is the only choice because staying home, writing Hillary's name in or voting for a third party candidate won't keep Obama out of the Whitehouse. Obama can't keep his stories straight and has embraced half of W's policies already.

saga4obama   July 3rd, 2008 10:22 pm ET

Hispanic For McCain July 3rd, 2008 7:08 pm ET

All you Liberal Dem face the Facts OBAMA is NOT TRUSTED to the AMERICAN people. The American people especially the Hispanic people don't trust OBAMA. all of these polls about Obama winning the Latinos vote are not true. I have news for all of you Liberals Morons John McCain will win the Latinos Vote this election and he will win in OH, FLA, MI, PA, that is two Blue States turning RED!!!!. Maybe NJ, CT, and MA. He will win BIG TIME!!!!.

HISPANIC PEOPLE AND ALL MY LATINOS FRIENDS VOTE FOR MCCAIN. JOHN MCCAIN PARA LOS HISPANOS Y LATINOS!!!!

ok amigo…i know you came to the US to enjoy the American dream…and to many that Dream is white…it seems to me that you might have some miss givings about a scary Black man. ask McCain about his role in the tragedy in 1967, giving up military information as a POW ask McCain about Keating 5 and his ties to the "mob" ask McCain why wont he release his Military records.
Amigo…please keep in mind too that you are able to have a voice in this country because of the BLOOD SWEAT AND TEARS of the black people of this country…my brown brother, get a grip

Fella from Chicago   July 3rd, 2008 10:21 pm ET

To Dick in Sioux Falls–So you're an 82 year old white man for Obama who writes with the eloquence of a 32 year old white man. I'm so relieved now. I was hestitate whether I wanted to "waste" my vote on a 71 year old white man, but you've put those fears to rest. John McCain, thanks to Dick in Siouz Falls you're going to get my vote in November.

Vig   July 3rd, 2008 10:20 pm ET

Obama is only "up" because the media keeps feeding the public this notion. As is becoming more clear, Obama is not ready nor suited to be President. He should just own up to that fact. What Obama has is a high need for status and he has the ego to absorb it. He wears it well. Under this facade is a flip-flopping, inexperienced individual who could serve his country best by returning to the Senate and doing his time. Bring back Hillary. Restore her hijacked nomination.

New Yorker   July 3rd, 2008 10:19 pm ET

"Change we can believe in"? What would that be ? Islam instead of Judeo-Christian?

gobo   July 3rd, 2008 10:18 pm ET

You keep on tealling people that the race is to close. You say Obama's lead is within the margin of error. You say it is to early that Obama's lead does not perdict anything. Well, dream as you wish to make the race sound close and so you can generate hype. But the fact that Obama consitently leads every poll whether within the margin of error or not is not a good not to McCain.

Mike Dallas   July 3rd, 2008 10:18 pm ET

Folks, polls are statistical analysis to provide a TREND. The poll is not to select a winner in November, or anything else, other than to show a TREND in the nation's choice of candidate's preference from one timeframe to another. In these cases, there is a rising TREND that Americans favor Obama over McCain by 6%. This TREND is subject to changes from one timeframe to another, either up or down, for either candidate. However, overtime, and that time from now until November, it will show the TREND of the voter's choices both positive and negative.

Does anyone out there see a theme here???

John Hussein Riley   July 3rd, 2008 10:16 pm ET

Haters go home. I don't hate McCain and even don't hate George Bush as bad as he's lied to us and ruined our country and the world for generations to come. This should be about issues and issues only, nothing else.

If you hate Obama maybe you have other issues within yourself that you need to look at.

I want change. I want Obama

Obama/Yo'Mama (obviously a joke)   July 3rd, 2008 10:13 pm ET

Eh, this poll has barely changed. Its been around the 4-8 point gap sense Obama got the nomination. It would really be news if the gap gets to 10 points.

Richard   July 3rd, 2008 10:11 pm ET

I am republican who will be voting for Obama. He is the better candidate with policies Americans want.

Nobama   July 3rd, 2008 10:09 pm ET

Nobama is campaigning on CHANGE=FLIPFLOP

julie   July 3rd, 2008 10:08 pm ET

CNN political researcher Alan Silverlieb shows his liberal bias, like the rest of CNN and the rest of the liberal media. he says that now the question is whether Obama's lead will hold or even expand, not even mentioning the very real possibility that his lead will diminish.

Sally in Cali   July 3rd, 2008 10:07 pm ET

Dr. Boob is a hate monger. People of tired of the rhetoric.

America needs change. Barack Hussein Obama is the hope of our future. There was a time in our history when the name Hussein meant "friend". King Hussein of Jordan was America's friend. How quickly we forget.

Charlotte   July 3rd, 2008 10:06 pm ET

The Democrats lost their best chance to win in November. We can look forwad to McCain and pray he is a whole lot better then Bush. I beleive he will be more central and work with both sides as he has proven he will do. Ex: Finegold, Kennedy…I will write Hillary on my ballot in November and let the chips fall where they may.

HOPE- U - CHANGE   July 3rd, 2008 10:04 pm ET

wisdom…………We do not trust Obama. We are with you Peakarach.
NOOBAMA…………….Trust in GOD.!!!

Obama 08

Jim   July 3rd, 2008 10:03 pm ET

Obama is a Coward. Plain and simple. At least we have 4 months to expose the real Obama to the American people. Open your eyes America.

Boston For OBAMA   July 3rd, 2008 9:59 pm ET

OBAMA will be the next president.
get over it haters. The United States of America needs change now.

OBAMA 08

JonRoss   July 3rd, 2008 9:57 pm ET

Praise Allah for bringing us such a man as Obama !!

Freedom?   July 3rd, 2008 9:57 pm ET

Sad how iconic, Hollywood-ish publicity has put Obama where he is. He has changed his stance when he promised: an end to the war, — gay marriage — taking money from special interests — single payer universal health care — public financing — FISA –and illegal immigration, just to name a few. I'm sure the list will grow as he tries to bring more independents over to his side, typical politician, exactly what is the change he is referring to in his speeches? Please America pay attention to this CONMAN and PLEEESE look at his non-non partisan record……
These polls seem to flip flop as much as he does it seems we cannot believe the polls or Obama.

Eph from NYC   July 3rd, 2008 9:57 pm ET

You think this is close? I don't, change is a tidal wave

Matthew   July 3rd, 2008 9:54 pm ET

What strikes me as odd is those conservatives who come out every time a new poll shows Obama ahead, and say something like, "this isn't true because I won't favor him…." Or something to that effect, like they alone reflect the view of the country…..DUH. On a related note, this is why I believe Obama will win, not by too much, but will win. Mccain Has a problem with his base, conservatives. He is only doing well with independants who usually swing republican anyway. Bob Barr is far more conservative and is relevant enough to take that base from Mccain. Obama on the other hand is very popular with the majority of his party and is gaining in popularity. Nadar ruined the election for dems in 2000; and got far less votes in '04. He's a negative figure for dems now and won't take much from Obama. If you figure all that in, it favors Obama in November, we'll see how it goes.

Reality Check   July 3rd, 2008 9:52 pm ET

Who in thier right mind would ever vote again for the Republicans. They have sold out the United States to the Chinese, lied (and continue to lie) about the Iraq war, put us in debt forever, and continue to blame everyone else for our problems - most of which Republicans are responsible for. This party needs to be extinguished forever!!

G-Dub   July 3rd, 2008 9:52 pm ET

A vote for McSame is a vote for Blackwater

Crush Rush   July 3rd, 2008 9:51 pm ET

Dittoheads are mentally handicapped,be kind to them but their leader is a cigar chomping slob.

Brad   July 3rd, 2008 9:50 pm ET

Go Obama! I'm helping Dunwoody, GA organize a parade tomorrow, I'll be trying to woo some fellow patriots! We need you! I can not trust McCain, he's quick to temper in a volatile world, he's self-proclaimed computer illiterate and unwilling to adapt to changing times in this changing world, and he's clearly out-of-touch with my generation (which is fed-up having to clean up the messes left by his, the supposed "greatest generation," if you ask me, if greatest equals racist, fascist, irrational and uneducated, you can have your icky title, and we will continue to be the generation of change.) Go away, McSame, your cave-troll politics cannot hold a candle to what's to come. We shall fix your shattered policies, we will remain wise to counter your illiteracy, we are America. Can we prevail? Yes we can!

California Voter   July 3rd, 2008 9:49 pm ET

I just don't get the story here. The race is close and that's all that can be said and yet everyday there is another poll. Why?

Think again   July 3rd, 2008 9:48 pm ET

All of you dems who want to vote McCain…..

How can he manage the country's economy?

1) He didn't pay taxes for four years on one of his 7 houses.

2) His wife puts $750,000 on the amer ex card….who is elitist?

3) His campaign pretty much went BROKE before the other repubs just stopped running…..

Talk about waking up and looking through all the Rovian crap…

And another thing:

All those of you who draw attention to Barack's middle name like it is a horrible thing……Hussein is not traditionally a terrorist name….
Do you know McCain;s middle name?……hmmmmm

SYDNEY

ouch:)

Roy B Carthen   July 3rd, 2008 9:44 pm ET

Obama books he wrote shows his love for black people and his lack of love for whites, for instance, he stated he left his feelings for his mother in favor of black people.
Obama wife thesis from college shows her dedication for black people and her lack of caring for white people.
I cannot believe that the American people can not see the truth behind Obama.. He stated in his book titled Audacity of Hope: "I will stand with the muslims should the political winds shift in an ugly directon"
Wake up America. Let us not give our country to a man with only 143 actual days of experience in the congress…roy b carthen

Kenneth M.   July 3rd, 2008 9:44 pm ET

I am so sick of theses people being so negitive about Obama. Look, we have seen what the Redubyacans can do. They had controle for the past 8 years and have stunk the country up. Now they want to blame it on the Dems because we have had the congress for 2 years. Well, it take more then 2 years to fix anything when everything is broken. And the History I mean Hillary fans are just a sad sack of political suckers moving to the right to spite themselves! Get a grip, Go Obama or stay at home.

brewme   July 3rd, 2008 9:42 pm ET

I think things look fine for McCain. The "bump" Obama was supposed to get did not materialize. The American people are fearful of the inexperienced and noncommittal Democratic candidate. The guy is like a weather vane, go where the polls blow you. This is going to be too easy. If Obama did not deliver such a good speech he would not have won the nomination.

Keep changing your position Obama. The people don't trust a liar.

Marty, FL   July 3rd, 2008 9:41 pm ET

Go Obama! We are working hard for you in Florida! Si se puede!

Obama Express   July 3rd, 2008 9:37 pm ET

eople get ready, there's a train a' comin'!

You don't need no ticket, you just get on board!!!

white 49 yr old woman for Obama   July 3rd, 2008 9:36 pm ET

Obama will take the general elections by a land slide. He will be the first African American president of the US and leader of the free world. He will make history, not only as the first African American but also as the leader who brought diplomacy and peace, as well as the leader who helped America regain its status in the wrold as the leader with a sound economy , good healthcare and an education with the highest standards this country has eve seen. We will make it this time with th ehelp of a leader that cares about the American people.

Kenneth M.   July 3rd, 2008 9:36 pm ET

10 to 1 JonRoss is over weight. He is very concerned that Obama might mess with his food (ie what to eat and how much). People want change, and Obama is different. You must admit that.

Old Sarge   July 3rd, 2008 9:35 pm ET

Dear Sir/Madam,
Just watching Campbell Brown on her show. I am astonished at what I am hearing about Sen. Obama, with reference to his patriotism. Let me clearly define, who I am first and foremost. I am a African-American born and raised in B'ham, Ala.
I served in two(2) wars or conflicts. Whatever, you want to called them, Korea and Viet-Nam. Many other African-American fought and died in those conflicts. Also, they are being killed in Iraq and the Afgahan conflict. But, in this day and age. Blacks still have to prove that we are patriotic to the United States. What has happened to the Constitution of this country. When new anchors contuine to subject Sen Obama to a different standard. I thought that we were fighting in these wars to eliminate this type of hypocrisy. I never heard anyone ask if Pres. Bill Clinton was a "true blue patriot" or Pres. F. Roosevelt the same.
Please, approach your news editors with these same questions. I do want to contuine to watch CNN News.

jane in CA   July 3rd, 2008 9:34 pm ET

America needs to show to the world that Americans love Peace. We select a President who supports to strengthen infrastructure so people live in peace and prosperity, to build up hi-tech military defense, to provide accurate international intelligence, to start alternative energy programs and not to keep drilling oil and building more nuclear power plants that are human errors and disasters prone, and to lead in resolving the global warming.

Yes We Can. We can change with President Obama.

Get real people   July 3rd, 2008 9:34 pm ET

Yet again I read that many of you seem to be misguided with your "8 years of Republican rule" statements. Correct me if I am wrong but didn't the Dems take over both sides of Congress with the "Change" statement 2 years ago? Seems to me we haven't seen this "change" yet.

Moreover if you think about it the foreclosure crisis, economy crisis and gas price increase have all happened while Congress has been controlled by the Dems! Obama is just using the "change" statement the same way the Dems say the Republicans us the "terror" statement. They will say whatever they think you want to hear to get elected, period.

And the last thing I have to say is stop saying this war in Iraq is an "oil" war. If it was you'd think we wouldn't have these gas price issues!

H. Thompson   July 3rd, 2008 9:33 pm ET

The commentary from Dick in Sioux Falls is very well said. Read it, it's the best comment in the whole thread.

Mike H   July 3rd, 2008 9:33 pm ET

It's Obama's to lose. There will be nastyness from the rabid wing of the Republican party, and sabotage in the media from the Israeli party.

DR   July 3rd, 2008 9:33 pm ET

The only change we get from this guy now is when he changes his mind to suit his message on a particular day.

If this guy gets elected, the only change you are going to get is what's left in your pockets when he is finished taxing everyone up the whazoo — because that is all you are going to have left when all is said and done.

Wake up people — this guy is not the answer!

capitalist   July 3rd, 2008 9:27 pm ET

funny that obama can't get a bigger lead even after the unity thing with clinton…he's in real trouble..he's running out of catch phrases and will have to debate actual policy soon…will the citizens finally see that he's nothing more than a good speaker? will they see that his views simply don't mesh with 95% of this country? will they see that he won't shy away from his socialist views even when shown that they simply fail when put to use? i'm not convinced our citizens are smart enough to decipher what he is putting out there…

anyone but obama in 08

Jen, CA   July 3rd, 2008 9:26 pm ET

Wrong, DM, Arlington - our service members do NOW — and have ALWAYS — given their lives for the country they love and respect — and protect — for YOU, Dude!.

But, of course, DM, Arlington, you wouldn't understand that. Your head is in the clouds, you would p– in your pants if you were ever faced with truly defending your country. You prefer to "blog" your opinions from some "safe haven" or some Starbuck's coffee shop — or, most likely, from your employer website on company time. Basically, you are a COWWARD. I suggest you move somewhere else, and see how you like it there!

Joe Reg   July 3rd, 2008 9:22 pm ET

It is a clear pattern and the American people are not going to change their mind about the way the current republican administration manage the economy, jobs lost, housing lost, deficits and so on.

The time has come for a change in a new direction. The time has come for the Democrats to fix the economy and bring back the jobs that have been lost.

Obama 08 & 12.

PCS / North Carolina   July 3rd, 2008 9:20 pm ET

Griff wrote July 3rd, 2008 6:47 pm ET

"Jump on that plane Mr Obama… Flee while you can!"

Why ? You Neocon's / NRA / FOX news == NWO KKK wants to shoot him down ? If It happens, you will witness the next revolution !!

dennis from chicago   July 3rd, 2008 9:20 pm ET

they report polls like this thinking you are like sheep follow the mob do not think for your self vote with the poll because that makes you a winner… follow your own mind and do some real reading about each candidate……. if you do that you will see beyond the glitz of fancy analogies. hopes, and unprovened promises…. vote your mind not your anger or emotions

Santiago   July 3rd, 2008 9:19 pm ET

I am still an angry democrat and still planning to vote for McCain. It is evident that neither party elected the best candidate. I still believe McCain will surprise many when he win the presidency; he deserve it. Obama is not ready yet.

With all the problems in McCain campaign an he still close to Obama… watch out he is going to win…just wait until he put his campaign in order. Those other democrats deserve to loose for not paying attention to the reality of the moment; a moment that deserves a different kind of president.

jimmy velman   July 3rd, 2008 9:19 pm ET

SENATOR JOHN McCAIN AND GENERAL COLIN POWELL

VS

SENATOR BARACK OBAMA AND GENERAL WESLEY CLARK

Peter E   July 3rd, 2008 9:18 pm ET

A quick note to CNN, and mostly to your editors:
I don't expect you to publish my comments because I know you won't. But I do at least want you to read them instead of filtering them through key phrases like 'Obama 08′ or 'vote Obama' or 'gobama.'

I am tired of your pro-Obama bias, filtering the news, only publishing polls that have Obama up, rewording news that make good news about McCain seem sinister, (example: McCain's knowledge of the Columbian 'raid' instead of calling what it was, a rescue operation) and bullying the public into not thinking for themselves but just parrot your selections.
You've published irrelevant stories about the personal life or campaign tactics of the candidates while suppressing stories about issues that affect our lives, where the candidates stand on those issues, and what their record is on those issues.
You don't report. You don't analyze. (analysis is based on facts and data, not made-up stuff) You inflame, speculate, and filter with a bias.

It's not as if I disagree with Obama on all the issues, but now, thanks to the double-standards of CNN's reporting, I refuse to vote for him even if he saw the light and agreed with me on more issues.

InspireThis   July 3rd, 2008 9:17 pm ET

Obama does not lie, he just changes his mind….A LOT.

Marc in DC   July 3rd, 2008 9:17 pm ET

I'm voting for Nader, a man who has demonstrated he can start and lead a "movement" unlike a certain Hawaii-raised, Harvard-educated elitist.

Obama 08: Female, 60, white   July 3rd, 2008 9:17 pm ET

It's all about the electoral math and Obama and his campaign understand that….

Mike   July 3rd, 2008 9:16 pm ET

The stupidity of some of the comments (from both sides) on this board is frightening. It's no wonder we have an enormous deficit, as the majority of people simply vote for who sounds good or connects with them without actually thinking about or understanding the longer term ramifications.

So because McCain is a Republican, that means he's just like Bush to many of you? One individual says we need change in Washington, but she was a Hillary supporter. Huh? Oh, and Obama is going to do a better job to turn around the economy than McCain, that's laughable. Let's raise taxes accross the board and see what type of economic stimulus that provides. On the other side, we have a few people making no so thinly veiled comparisons of Obama to Hitler. What a joke.

If people could just tone down the rhetoric and talk about facts instead of fantasy, we'd all be better off. This will not be blowout by either side. Whoever wins, we better start to actually work together to address the long term problems this country faces rather than always voting along party lines and trying to appease voters..

Jo   July 3rd, 2008 9:16 pm ET

Get thru your heads …. McCain is not BUSH !! Obama is a big flip flop PHONY !!

Brando   July 3rd, 2008 9:15 pm ET

It doesn't matter. Barack ain't gettin' 270 come Nov. It's all 'bout the Electoral College, stupid. Someday you'll learn (Hopefully, by the morning on Nov 5th).

Get real people   July 3rd, 2008 9:14 pm ET

So many of you say Obama is going to win by a landslide. How many of you people read past a 2nd grade level? I believe the most recent "poll" shows a 6 percent lead for Obama at 48%. I hardly call that a landslide and based on the last 2 elections and these recent polls I'd have to say this great country couldn't be more divided.

Of course we shouldn't worry much about the terrorism threat in this country, this country is going to go down the toilet from the inside out. Many of the imigrants that came to this country wanted to fit in with the crowd, now everyone has to be independent or in their little "click". One little thing ruffles their feathers and they scream injustice or inequality or their civil rights have been violated. I got news for you all….get over it. No more african american, latino american, chinese american, korean american, etc. How about just plain old American!?! I bet most people that call themselve _______ american (fill in the blank) don't hold duel citizenships which pretty much means you are an american as mom and apple pie.

S. Boatman Warrensburg Mo.   July 3rd, 2008 9:13 pm ET

Mccain Is Going Down Hard In November And This Article Proves It!

Hispanic for Obama   July 3rd, 2008 9:13 pm ET

HIspanic for McCain,

Being a Hispanic myself, I know that what you are saying on how Hispanics will vote is so true!! They will vote for Mc Cain, the polls are not true reflecting that Obama has the Latino vote, he doesn't and will not have it.

Nevertheless, I am a Democrat, I am a Hillary supporter, and I will be voting for Obama in this election. Why??? Because I am sick and tire of paying the high prices at the pump, I want this senseless war to end, I want more jobs created, affordable healthcare etc….. etc.

Look where we are after 8 years of a Republican Clown in the White House. Mc Cain is more of the same.!!! With McCain there will be no change!!!!!!

HISPANIC PEOPLE OPEN YOUR EYES AND VOTE OBAMA!!! OBAMA PARA TODOS LOS LATINOS!!!

Jim Samples   July 3rd, 2008 9:12 pm ET

-
Anyone who votes to make a statement just represents a statment for stupidity. Do you really think anyone will ever know (or care), besides you, that you voted for micky mouse or bob barr? I meant, just how stupid can some people really get?
-

SUE, Michigan   July 3rd, 2008 9:07 pm ET

I simply do not believe that anyone with half a brain can consider voting for more of the same with McCain. If we aren't in Iran in the next 4 months, we certainly would be come January 21. That should anger and terrify all of us! We are not to be the world's policemen. We are not to be invading countries in the quest for oil money. My God, this country was founded to get away from that sort of imperialism. Bush is a war criminal, and should be in jail. I'm not so sure McCain doesn't belong there as well. And Congress needs to be thrown out, every last one, for permitting this war to continue by caving to Bush AGAIN with funding! Does no one hear us??? I want my country back! IMPEACH!

Peter E   July 3rd, 2008 9:05 pm ET

Obama '08!

Now, will my comment make it past the liberal media filter?
CNN has a history of publishing polls only when it favors their agenda, which is to make things slightly 'interesting' while making their guy look good. They want to tell you not to think for yourself but isntead listen to what they conclude. And they're trying to intimidate you into thinking that if you disagree with the polls they publish then there's something wrong with you.
Just a little while ago they published a poll by the LA Times (yeah… consider the source) showing Obama up by double digits nationally, while at the very same time not showing the poll from Gallup that had them dead even…
The same Gallup that they highly publicized when it showed Obama above Hillary by double digits while denying to report how Gallup (the SAME poll!) showed Hillary leading McCain by larger numbers than Obama was leading McCain.

Dan, TX   July 3rd, 2008 9:05 pm ET

Do you want someone who says no matter what happens, no matter what unforeseeable thing happens we'll get out in 16 months. Of course not. Do you want someone who will get us out of Iraq and has a plan to do so if things go reasonably as expected. YES.

2Nurselady   July 3rd, 2008 9:05 pm ET

I am still disgusted with the injustice I saw against the Clintons during the primaries. They seem to want to move past it, but I am a person who stands up against injustice until I feel justice is done. And, I do not feel justice has been done as yet. I think the DNC and the RBC and the leaders of the Party DESERVE a LOSS in November. But, I do not want to see that happen. I would like so much to be able to be rooting for my Party and working for the Democratic candidate - because I truly like Barack Obama, but I do not feel free in my own conscience to do that right now. Barack Obama will make my decision for me. It will depend on who he selects for his VP runningmate. I will have to stand up for what is right, even if it hurts. I am so afraid that he is going to do something so very egregious to women in this country after all we have suffered in this election thus far. I am afraid he will choose a less qualified, less deserving woman or man than Hillary Clinton for the VP slot. That would be so egregious and so intolerable to me that there are not even words. I also do not think many Democrats will be appeased by a placement of Hillary Clinton into ANY position that is not equal to her.

Jim Samples   July 3rd, 2008 9:04 pm ET

-
Wow, I sure am glad you guys balanced your reporting of the "Poll shows troubling trend for McCain" with "Soccer dad Obama gets swatted by wife." More proof that you guys at CNN really are "equal" in your reporting methods!
-

No McCain!   July 3rd, 2008 9:03 pm ET

Too bad… these polls don't mean anything.

Obama '08!

Ula Nejad- Sacramento Ca   July 3rd, 2008 9:03 pm ET

Support Hillary. Go to Hillary's website and donate $1. Target $18. Nevers say die.

Mike   July 3rd, 2008 9:03 pm ET

Being a dem I will vote for McCain as will alot of dems. Obama does not have a clue how to run this country. He talks alot but does not anything. The media has helped Obama get where he is now. The fact is this country needs experience and McCain has it. Obama has none. This country is in bad times and we cannot afford to train Obama how to fix it. McCain is the only answer. Hopefully we will get a dem in 2012 that has some experience I can vote for.

Farrell, Houston, Tx   July 3rd, 2008 9:02 pm ET

REPUBLICANS PUT MCCAIN UP AS THEIR CANDIDATE AS A SHAM TO PROTECT ANY FUTURE NOMINEE FROM LOSING. THEY KNOW A REPUBLICAN CAN'T WIN BEHIND GEORGE W. BUSH AND THEY KNOW MCCAIN WON'T WIN AND WON'T RUN AGAIN. THEY'RE PROBABLY LAUGHING AT THEMSELVES.

christine   July 3rd, 2008 9:02 pm ET

i dont think obama changed anything refine really means remove unwanted substance or improve something, my point is if they is progress in iraq why cant obama say he is going to refine his iraq policy that could mean he wants to pull out, because they is progress, so pulling out is the best way to win this war, rather than having to stay 100 years

David   July 3rd, 2008 9:00 pm ET

its useless for all you mccain people trying to convert obama supporters

we have our minds made…and that who we are voting for

as for the article

those polls always mirror and predict the november results…except when they dont

OBAMA 08′

Peter E   July 3rd, 2008 8:59 pm ET

Yes. And polls predicted slam-dunk for Hillary in the primaries. At this point I wouldn't pay much confidence to these polls.
Polls are for people who don't want to decide for themselves and would rather have the media tell them what to think.

Jason of Indianapolis   July 3rd, 2008 8:58 pm ET

I think that it so funny that (THATS REALITY) would try to make a comparison to Hitler, Yes some people did follow him, but only because they were weak minded idiots. No one is falling for that now, thats why the republicans will lose the election. STOP LIVING IN A BUBBLE!!!!!!

Daniel   July 3rd, 2008 8:57 pm ET

Obama is a flipflopper. He is dishonest and he has no policy.

The Lady   July 3rd, 2008 8:56 pm ET

If the polls showed McCain with 48 and Obama 42 this would be a different story. The headlines would read "McCain has a big lead over Obama".

Susan   July 3rd, 2008 8:53 pm ET

He can jump way a head if he picks Hillary for veep.

Teddy California   July 3rd, 2008 8:51 pm ET

I am surprised the lead was not bigger. The stock market has gone down in four straight weeks and it has gone to Bear market officially. Unemployment is going up. More jobs are cut. Gas price keeps going up. Under these conditions, you expect voters to support a Republican?

Bill   July 3rd, 2008 8:50 pm ET

I think John McCain is going to pull ahead of Barack Osama….

Chris in NY   July 3rd, 2008 8:50 pm ET

I'm always surprised at how mean spirited people are over McCain's age. If such comments were made about Obama's race then there would be an uproar. it just shows that age discrimination is alive and well in this country and apparently much more tolerated and acceptable. Quite sad.

wisdom   July 3rd, 2008 8:48 pm ET

We do not trust Obama. We are with you Peakarach.

NOOBAMA

OBAMA/Richardson   July 3rd, 2008 8:47 pm ET

Yeah, lets START THE DEBATES and see OBAMA whip McCain!! Obama is much brighter, smarter, and change we can believe in!

frank   July 3rd, 2008 8:45 pm ET

John McCains problem -

GEORGE BUSH THE WORST PRESIDENT EVERRRR!!!!!!!!!

raheen   July 3rd, 2008 8:45 pm ET

Go Obama08

DM, Arlington TX for Barack Obama 08   July 3rd, 2008 8:44 pm ET

Too many of our service member gave their lives base on a lie.. We need real leadership to bring our men and women home…..

Obama is and will do the right thing I trust him and he haven't lie yet…

Alison, FL   July 3rd, 2008 8:42 pm ET

Georgia…said:July 3rd, 2008 6:24 pm ET

Make a statement. Vote for Ralph.
————————————————————

We can't afford your STATEMENT!!!

Vote Obama '08

Joe in Indy   July 3rd, 2008 8:40 pm ET

In 2000, Bush did not have an electoral victory. He had a judicial victory. Also, while things will certainly change before the election, a six point lead is by no means "tight." If he wins by 6 points, it will be considered a mandate.

Richard   July 3rd, 2008 8:40 pm ET

The difference this year is that Democrats are more energized than ever. And things in the country are much worse now than in '04. Had we had just a little better candidate in '04, we wouldn't be in this mess right now. In Barack Obama we indeed have a much better candidate and this time the fickle youth vote will be there. That was proven in the primaries.

OBAMA-'08

Jorge   July 3rd, 2008 8:37 pm ET

A question for Obama supporters….Today Obama said he'd "refine" his promise of getting the troops out immediately. When he made that promise in the primaries was he telling a lie or just demonstrating his lack of experience/understanding in national security matters? I'm not sure which is worse.

Dr. Bob   July 3rd, 2008 8:37 pm ET

Like I said before once B. Hussein Obama selects someone else other than Clinton as his VP the polls will be reversed. McCain will be up then. Mark my words.

Dick in Sioux Falls   July 3rd, 2008 8:34 pm ET

I'm an 82 year old white man, and I truly believe Barack Obama can be one of our greatest presidents. You would think that simply being a former POW somehow constitutes insuring that such a person would be a great Commander-in-Chief.
We need a strong non-military man as our chosen Civilian leader of our military establishment, as our Constitution calls for. Eisenhower's warning about the power of the Military-Industrial complex is more relevant today than it was 50 years ago, when he warned us of the insidious nature of a strong Military combined with a powerful Military Industry constantly seeking to lead us from one military adventure to another; to maximize business growth in that arena, as well as an ever-growing military cadre.
The world's citizens are excited about the prospect of a possible Obama victory in this country. His appeal across the spectrum of nations, from Europe to Africa to Asia is astounding. The World Press is much more sophisticated than our own. Obama's election, if it comes about, will be greeted with excitement and celebration in every capitol of the world.
However, they are not too sure we will show the wisdom to overcome racial and political games to elect him. Remember the headlines in 2004, in world-wide newspapers: "How can 59 Million People Be So Stupid!?" Even if America did not know its blunder, the other people in the world knew!
Certainly at times I said a small part of this, but never in this context! It is ridiculous to throw out these comments because your computer finds some common ground with former comments. I protest!

WoMaN4McCain   July 3rd, 2008 8:33 pm ET

To Chris…..you Queen Senator Clinton is history. Quit whining like a little baby and get on the McCain train. You know you wanna.

WoMaN4McCain   July 3rd, 2008 8:32 pm ET

Hispanic For McCain…..i'm for McCain too but dude you need to get a grip.

annette   July 3rd, 2008 8:31 pm ET

You know people, aparently mc.shame can't do anything wrong (that is in the eyes of CNN) can you people just it before you, the upror if Mr. Obama had gone to some other country over the 4th of july weekend. But nobody is even mentioning, that he has the audacity to not be in the country, but on purpose went to a latin country.
Guys this man is frigging unbelevable and so is CNN for not rasing a big stink about it like they would have if Mr. Obama had done this stupid thing.
get real people

Michael   July 3rd, 2008 8:30 pm ET

Sauce for the Goose, as they say. These polls are nothing more than something to argue over. They are a snap shot in time and mean about as much as the paper they are written on. Let the race play out, we will see who wins come November.

Nava-Canada   July 3rd, 2008 8:29 pm ET

American people did not like Geroge Bush to run the govt.but they never objected to any other republicans running the govt. Mr.McCain
is distancing himselves away from Mr.Bush and this is to remind the voters that he is against his policies. Senator Obama is changing his stance from what he said in the democratic primories to please the
democrat voters to something else to please the international communities. He will be soon found out playing games with the people of America and it may be difficult for him to defeat Mr.McCain
in November unless he does not change his policies and plans now & then and stict to what he said earlier in the primories.

Neutral   July 3rd, 2008 8:28 pm ET

This is troubling for Obama. He should have been ahead by double digits considering the state of our economy and Bush's low approval ratings. Looks Like Obama is going to lose.

Jim Central Florida   July 3rd, 2008 8:27 pm ET

I am very disapointed in hearing Sen Obama comments tonight on the war. My wife & I have have been rooting for him since day one. Unfortunatly his comments on the war is starting to make both of us really wonder if he is just another pol. Also he should not blame this on the other side as he spoke the words not them. Now he has to prove he deserves our votes to bad ! The nation is in a mess and we need honest leadership not BS !

chere   July 3rd, 2008 8:24 pm ET

NOBAMA! Anyone but a lying flip flopping Marxist!

cecimor   July 3rd, 2008 8:24 pm ET

The Obomination campaign is a campaign of lies and flip-flops and of course, BO, definately is a man of change, he is always changing his mind. How can anyone believe anything he says. I wish the people will wake up to him. Obama, will do or say anything to win the White House, it won't be long before he rolls his wife gently, and slowly under the bus. As you can see they are making her go through a complete makeover, how can she stand it, pretty soon she will be a shadow of herself. I don't think she will put up with it for very long. Obama, will not win the Hispanic vote or Christian vote because of his stance on the social issues. He is for partial birth abortion, and gay marriage, Abortion is the scorge of our time, especially when those being aborted are mostly Africans and African Americans, He is for genocide of his own people. I feel that modern day abortion is worst than slavery. I pray that God will have mercy on the USA. Thank God for McCain, he is at least more honest and cares in his heart I believe for the safety and good of the American people. GO MCCAIN….

tom, boston   July 3rd, 2008 8:22 pm ET

the neo-cons, the corpo-cons, and the zionist AIPAC are breathing heavily down his neck against his original stance regarding Iraq.

they know Obama's gonna be the next POTUS, and they are pulling every trick out of the Karl Rove book on Obama.

Senator Obama, do whatever it takes to get elected. we understand.

and then we can sweep washington of all the rubbish.

Danel   July 3rd, 2008 8:21 pm ET

McCain is breaking world record by not showing up in the senate when his vote counts the most. 70% of the time he didn't show up and yet get credits for the GI bills that he opposed. DUH!!!

Tommy Hussein in St. Louis   July 3rd, 2008 8:19 pm ET

That's Reality July 3rd, 2008 6:36 pm ET

Hey Liz - Young people supported Hitler, too. People wanted change then, too. They got change; the whole world got change, but evidently you weren't around then, or maybe you think like Ahmadinejad. I know this won't get past the CNN moderators but they did say "Leave Your Comment". How 'bout some comments other than the tired old liberal propaganda.

————————————————————————-

Sorry, but comparing Obama to Hitler, or Obama's supporters to Hitler's, is not a real argument. It is just desperation of the feeble-minded.

Gary Chandler in Canada   July 3rd, 2008 8:17 pm ET

Bush to attend Olympics ceremonies.
More easing of World tensions by Bush. It's clear he is pulling the rug out under McCain's major campaign hope. …on the road to detente with North Korea, talks expected with Iran after European talks work out the nuclear issue, peace in Iraq, cell phones in Cuba.
If he liked McCain, he would be manufacturing some crisis and terror for his buddy.
(((To put things in perspective,,, imagine you had ONLY two choices for president, - Bush? or McCain? who would you choose?…
things that make you go hmmmm…. somebody should do a poll)))

sweetie   July 3rd, 2008 8:16 pm ET

The Democratic Party is trying to act united and brave. They are far from united. Brave is a joke, they won 3 out of 10 elections in 40 years, two by a Clinton. The Democratic Party has endless actions by democrats against them. Millions of democrats do not accept the way Obama was selected and the party is hushing this. Far left West Coast Progressive Liberals truly believe everyone will vote for Obama in November because he is pro-choice and will choose the judges. They are so infactuated by Obama they are failing to be objective. In the meantime thre are democrats who do not like and will not vote for Obama because they saw how he ran his campaign and how he continues to use media manipulation and Bush styalized tactics against free speech. His whole strategy is to demonize Bush, yet his own ideas and stances are so vague. He hopes to get into the White House because he did not sign the bill that Bush used to go to war. He could not vote as he was not yet elected to the senate. Now he is using anger agaist the war and security policies to build his coalition of supporters. He and the DNC blocked the THE PEOPLES voices in Florida and Michigan. 5 States broke the rules yet only 2 states were punished. Democrats will rebel in November by choosing Mc Cain because they do not believe he is another George Bush. They believe that Obama presents much more a likelyhood of a 3rd Bush term as well as a highly probable danger to national security and other strategic national interests.

Jim   July 3rd, 2008 8:14 pm ET

Anyone who thinks Obama will win in Montana or the South is dreaming.

For Obama to win, he needs to win the swing states of Ohio and Pennsylvania. McCain will play very well in Pennsylvania and John Kasich from Ohio as a running mate would take care of both states for him.

Obama should be real concerned about that, because with the 1 1/2 year recession in Michigan under Democrat leadership and gasoline prices up $1.70 a gallon since Pelosi and her pals took over, this could be a rout.

Obama and his new taxes stand for change, because that's all that will be left in your pocket when he's done. (I know this won't get by the CNN moderators).

Josh   July 3rd, 2008 8:12 pm ET

Polls are equal to pointless speculation . Who's with me??

Patriot Woman   July 3rd, 2008 8:12 pm ET

The only time CNN prints a pro-McCain comment is when someone complains about having left comment after comment with "moderator waiting" and it never appears. For everyone this has happened to, believe me, I understand. OBAMA=Thin Resume, No Experience, History of Cocaine Abuse, Terrorist and Criminal Friends, Racist with Racist Pastor and Church. VOTE SMART! Vote Sen. John McCain '08

brian   July 3rd, 2008 8:09 pm ET

Obama-nites should be worried. CNN, CNBC and every other media outlet have absoluted adored everything about Obama. They have trashed McCain and make a big deal about any minor mistake he makes. The economy is bad, gas prices sky high and all you have to show for it is a 5 or six point lead.

Hillary voters don't trust Obama and counting on their vote will cost them. If 10 or 15% of Hillary dems vote for McCain (which is possible), McCain will win easily.

Changes do need to be made but socialism is not the way to prosperity. GO MCCAIN

Ex- Republican for Obama   July 3rd, 2008 8:04 pm ET

McDone is well cooked. Grab a fork and help yourself, already!

LATINOS FOR OBAMA, ASIANS FOR OBAMA, REPUBLICANS FOR OBAMA, YOUNG AND OLD FOR OBAMA, RICH AND POOR FOR OBAMA…

DANGIT, THE WHOLE WORLD FOR OBAMA!!!

McCain=the draft   July 3rd, 2008 8:04 pm ET

Only Obama can shake-up Washington!
It won't happen with Washington entrenched McCain.

amt Fresno, Ca   July 3rd, 2008 7:58 pm ET

Why vote for McSame, it will be a vote for McBush, just more of the same. Nothanks McSame. Obama for Pres 08

Politico   July 3rd, 2008 7:57 pm ET

I'm an Obama girl, but even I admit these polls don't mean much so early. Anything can happen… I'm sure my boy will stay sharp!

joemarsh   July 3rd, 2008 7:56 pm ET

John McCain is too old.

Michael   July 3rd, 2008 7:55 pm ET

Wow! What a big lead! I mean six points, that's a blow out. McCain should just give up and go home. The truth of the matter, CNN, is that McCain says nothing, does nothing, raises little money compared to Obama, yet holds his own. Obama should be nervous. His money and spending did not help him that much in many key battleground states during the primary.

Ian M   July 3rd, 2008 7:54 pm ET

If the Hispanics don't trust Obama why does he have a 40-point lead over McCain 68-28 with Hispanics

Redneck from Kentucky   July 3rd, 2008 7:51 pm ET

The more I learn about John McCain the less I like him and the less I trust him. I honestly worry about his temperament and don't think he is the person who should be leading this countries armed forces. I am positively certain he is the wrong choice to fix our economy.

JillyBean   July 3rd, 2008 7:50 pm ET

And in 2000, Bush was up 6 points over Gore at this point in the summer — and the outcome that year, of course, was one of the narrowest electoral victories in the nation's history.
__________________________________________________

Yeah but that election was rigged don't forget about the Florida debacle

Canadian View   July 3rd, 2008 7:50 pm ET

Why do you allow some of this crap to be poster and repeted timr and time again
Let everyone post a comment and hold back on some of those repeaters

Susan, CA   July 3rd, 2008 7:50 pm ET

Hey Peter,

You hit the nail right on the head. Talk about inexperience…Bush never even traveled outside of this Country before being elected President, yet he was elected.

randy   July 3rd, 2008 7:48 pm ET

YES WE CAN!

Chief   July 3rd, 2008 7:46 pm ET

Most of these posts show that you Obama supporters are as naive as your candidate. If you believe Obama is ahead in Montana by 5 points, you will believe anything. Hope you're not too broken hearted in November when your rookie doesn't win.

Not Reality Not Liz   July 3rd, 2008 7:44 pm ET

That's Reality-How about some comments other than the same old
tired right wing propanganda-attack the messenger because you can't attack the message

Peter   July 3rd, 2008 7:44 pm ET

Obama is a Marxist who will tell you what to eat?

Obama=Osama?

Where do you guys come up with this? How about some facts….like McCain says we could be in Iraq 100 years, McCain is ready to surrender the environment and drill off the coast, McCain is ready to nominate conservative Supreme Court justices (think Alioto, Scalia, and Thomas).

This is real and it will take our country away from us.

Lynn   July 3rd, 2008 7:44 pm ET

WOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! What a picture? The plane, secret service, the podium. Presidential. Has he already been crowned? The podium looks cheap to me.

rexx   July 3rd, 2008 7:44 pm ET

It is pretty obvious some of you lefty idiots are on drugs. McCain is not going to lose in North Carolina. It won't even be close. Polls mean nothing until Labor day. Watch as Obama's numbers drop like a pair of panties at a hooker's convention.

gary   July 3rd, 2008 7:41 pm ET

OBAMA IS A BIG MISTAKE.

Herman in LA   July 3rd, 2008 7:38 pm ET

If Obama where all white McCain would not only even be close and Obama would win by a land slide…

Anita from Arizona   July 3rd, 2008 7:36 pm ET

Who in here is STILL talking about HILLARY? And giving a speech on a runway is fine. It's better than holding a conference in a foreign country. I read that act by McCain loud and clear. Other countries first but I'll fit some states on my campaign trail later on. So close to Independence Day too.

Paul   July 3rd, 2008 7:36 pm ET

Much can, and probably will, happen before November. Who is ahead right now matters very little in the whole picture. I am waiting to see who the running mates will be. That could change things.

Gene   July 3rd, 2008 7:36 pm ET

To Nightingale Sings:

RE This statement: "BTW, this guy, Obama, has to the idiot of all times.. What does he think will happen, if we unilaterally pull out of Iraq in haste. He has no sense."

This shows exactly what I'm talking about when I say Obama haters just like to plug their ears and close their eyes and throw out random comments with no backing.

First off.. Obama isn't just gonna pick the military up and go in haste. He's talking about a slow, steady withdrawel over a period of a year and a half. If you call that haste.. I can only imagine how slow moving your life is. Second, he's even said that he plans on re-evaluating the situation once he goes and visits there… though he still aspires to stick to his original plan unless you sees evidence which would cause him to extend that.

This statement alone has got all the Obama haters out there screaming that he's flip flopping… even though what he's saying is a statement of total common sense.

So please… when making comments… stop being so black and white. Every situation has an element of gray in it… and if Iraq can NEVER keep the terrorists out of it's country.. then you're saying we can NEVER leave? Common.. let them take some accountability.

jane   July 3rd, 2008 7:36 pm ET

Flip Floper Obama, he is not going to make it in November, sorry, too immature.

Ian M   July 3rd, 2008 7:35 pm ET

I think this one will stay tight and then break big time for a landslide a'la '80. I'm predicting an Obama landslide but a McCain landslide isn't completely out of the question.

ben   July 3rd, 2008 7:35 pm ET

SUGGESTION; How about just one (1) official pole per month from now until election time?

rexx   July 3rd, 2008 7:34 pm ET

Funny how all the Lefties turn into cry babies when elections roll around. Anytime they lose the other side must have cheated. But when they win …. well you know it is all in the plan with Hoffa. lol. These polls mean nothing right now talk to me after labor day.Welcome to President McCain.

Irene   July 3rd, 2008 7:33 pm ET

I'm a Democrat voting for McCain.

I am not alone.

Independent   July 3rd, 2008 7:33 pm ET

McCain's campaign is dying and cannot be saved. It is obvious. Republicans join Obama and help make history. McCain is out of touch. He is too old for today's world. He doen't even know how to work a computer he said. Plus McCain's wife has had a stroke. They are not able to run the country. Obama is intelligent and has great judgement for the job.

RJ, CA   July 3rd, 2008 7:31 pm ET

Loved the bumper sticker I saw yesterday:

ANNOY THE LIBERALS
Work — Succeed — Be Happy!

Gene   July 3rd, 2008 7:29 pm ET

I hope the whole country turns blue this year. Those of you voting for Nader, Ron Paul, and Bob Barr… I solute you! Because even though your vote is pretty much wasted.. those voters are generally taking away from the republicans. Those of you writing in Hillary.. I frown upon you.. you are choosing to slap Hillary in the face.

I just don't understand why people are even wasting their time voting for candidates who either aren't even running, or stand a 0% chance. I know it may be out of principle… but really.. do you really want your vote completely wasted?

Wayne   July 3rd, 2008 7:29 pm ET

Anyone voting for McSame is mentaly ill. What changes would that old man bring to america? none

McSame has no clue himself what he stands for accept his quest for war.

McCain: My friends, I know Americans are hurting, high gas prices, homes lost, jobs lost, high food prices, lives lost. I know all about these things my friends.
Reporter: How do you suggest fixing it if you are president?

McCain: Uhhhhh well, gotta go, I'm late for a meeting with the Sunis or Shiites, I can't remember which one is on our side.

Oh well my friends, lets bomb them all!

As usual, Democrats to the rescue!!!   July 3rd, 2008 7:26 pm ET

Repuglicans/conservatives are a complete joke right now. They had 7 years of absolute control, and right on cue they screwed it all up. Ruined our reputation. Built a bigger government and spent more of taxpayer money than ever before.

Let the repugs spread their hate and fear, while us DEMS fix the mess they have left behind.

Happy Fourth of July! God Bless us and our country! Vote Dem!

Patrick   July 3rd, 2008 7:26 pm ET

Add Clinton to the ticket and watch a 20 point lead.

Until then PUMA!!

Tom, Obama supporter   July 3rd, 2008 7:24 pm ET

It will be extremely close, But I think we need a Democrat with big change, not little change with McCain.

Go Obama!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

white people for obama   July 3rd, 2008 7:23 pm ET

Can the media please stop saying that Obama has shifted his plan for the Iraq War. He hasn't changed anything. He is not a flip-flopper.

Please read Audacity of Hope and Dreams of My Father, you can see that everything he said 10yrs ago is the same thing Barack is saying now. He doesn't flip-flop.

And the biggest flip-flopper is McCain, why isn't he getting scrutinized for his numerous errors and flip-flopping. Is CNN Pro-GOP!

pls post, thanks!

Gary of El Centro, Ca   July 3rd, 2008 7:22 pm ET

Kerry led at this point in 2004 based on his long experience in the senate and his war hero status. It wasn't until the swift boat attacks that he started dropping in the polls. McCain has long experience in the senate and has war hero status. Since his war hero status has not really been attacked yet, McCain should be ahead in the polls. The fact that he is not reflects what a weak candidate he really is. Obama and his "change" movement will carry the day in November.

A VOTE for MCCAIN is a VOTE for PAIN   July 3rd, 2008 7:22 pm ET

Polls don't really amount to much, especially when the media keeps things as close as they can to create meer excitement. I bet the real number is more like 78 to 19…give or take +/-3 percentage margin of error. McCain should use his campaign bus to help his twin brother Bush with his upcoming swift ejection out of our State House.

Val from MA   July 3rd, 2008 7:20 pm ET

McCain will win in November in the landslide.

Obama = politics as usual. Everything that he talked about before (throughout the primaries) no longer s