July 11th, 2008
04:30 PM ET
3 years ago

Polls: Obama ahead by eight

Obama is up over McCain in the latest CNN poll of polls.
Obama is up over McCain in the latest CNN poll of polls.

(CNN) - As the dog days of summer set in and Americans take a break from the daily political band-and-forth, a new CNN analysis of several recent national opinion surveys show Barack Obama with a sizeable lead over John McCain.

In the latest CNN Poll of polls, the Illinois senator holds an 8-point lead among registered voters nationwide, 49 percent to 41 percent, with 10 percent still undecided.

The 8-point spread is up 2 points from a CNN poll of polls released one week ago. It is double the margin it was one month ago, days after the prolonged Democratic race ended.

Election Center: Check out CNN's electoral map

“Obama's lead has grown a bit over the course of the past month. It is still relatively slim, but it is certainly solid," CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib said. "The burden is on McCain to find a way to shake things up as we enter the traditional summer doldrums.”

The poll of polls consists of three recent surveys from Gallup, CNN/Opinion Research Corp. and LA Times/Bloomberg. It does not carry a margin of error.

soundoff (261 Responses)
  1. Roofin Reality, Houston, Tx.

    I'm interested in Colorado, New Mexico, Missouri, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and Virginia.

    Right now, Senator Obama is looking good in those states.

    By the way, Montana is really close and Mississippi and North Carolina are within 4 or 5 points. It could be a landslide for Senator Obama.

    But, I'm very pleased with this most recent poll.

    NC Man, that's just wrong, but I hope you feel good about yourself. And we'll pray for you just the same.

    July 11, 2008 03:57 pm at 3:57 pm |
  2. Janet Rigel

    There is a God!

    July 11, 2008 03:57 pm at 3:57 pm |
  3. Jorgi

    No taxation without representation.

    This is what Obama will do to this whole country. And you blind followers will be changing your "happy" tune.

    July 11, 2008 03:57 pm at 3:57 pm |
  4. CB

    I'd like to see Obama's speech at Invesco. I bet he could sell out the Pepsi Center as well as Coor's Field with a simulcast on big screens. Parking might be a nightmare. There's no way McCain could even think about filling up a 75,000 seat stadium.

    July 11, 2008 03:58 pm at 3:58 pm |
  5. mitchell hussein martin

    How many times will CNN show a "Bad news for McCain poll". There has been at least 5 of them in the past 20 days.

    July 11, 2008 04:00 pm at 4:00 pm |
  6. Jozee

    Hey CNN,
    I'm shocked and amazed that you would put forth a ticker so complimentary of Obama. Usually you step all over yourselves to be sympathetic to John McCain's poltical gaffes and dwell on them for a news cycle at the most. If the shoe were on the Obama foot, days and days would be devoted to keeping the story alive.

    Last night your panelist, David Gergen, could barely get his comment out regarding the misguided statements made by Phil Gramm's before he talked about Michelle Obama's "$600 earring" statement. Your bias is so obvious that your slogan, "the most trusted name in news" is sounding more and more hollow.

    Just a modicum of fairness to Sen. Obama would be so refreshing.

    July 11, 2008 04:00 pm at 4:00 pm |
  7. The King

    CNN polls do not coount!

    July 11, 2008 04:01 pm at 4:01 pm |
  8. chris

    You Republicans live in a dream world if you think you have any prayer of winning in November. The economy is in shambles and the party in power is always bounced when that is the case.

    July 11, 2008 04:02 pm at 4:02 pm |
  9. Tony

    Only 8? McCain has been horrible so far...and it's only 8? Danger signs are around for Obama. This will not be the primaries where people were voting for Obama because they hated the Clintons so much. As Hillary learned and Kerry learned...it's terrible to be ahead at this point in the campaign.

    July 11, 2008 04:02 pm at 4:02 pm |
  10. Marshall

    I'd love to do a content search to see just how much more publicity CNN has handed to Obama than to McCain. When they do deign to mention that there is a candidate besides for Obama in this election, it's usually in the context of "Bad news." CNN, please report the issues more responsibly and let us make up our own minds as to who is the candidate best equipped to serve as our next president.

    July 11, 2008 04:03 pm at 4:03 pm |
  11. doggreensector

    Obama 10 point lead is a joke. This guy should be 40-50 percent ahead of MCcain in that it is a horrible year for Republicans. However when the fall comes most people will see what a nightmare Obama really is. This is a guy who can't even decide to whether he should stop smoking or not and now he has sold out his base with the war. Just another liberal with nothing new and most people will see him for what he is soon enough. On the otherhand McCain is not much better with the exception he won't completly ruin what is good about America, Obama will. I would rather vote for Daffy Duck.

    July 11, 2008 04:03 pm at 4:03 pm |
  12. Jeronimo!

    This is a landslide in the making; Obama up 15 pts. by months end.

    July 11, 2008 04:04 pm at 4:04 pm |
  13. observer in NY

    when are we going to get over this fascination with national polls? Didn't we learn in 2000 that the national vote does not pick the winner? The Electoral College picks the winner. We are having 51 simultaneous state (and DC) elections, and in order to see what is really going on, you have to look at each state and its electoral votes, not the national poll!!

    July 11, 2008 04:04 pm at 4:04 pm |
  14. billylee8

    First debates can't come soon enough.

    July 11, 2008 04:04 pm at 4:04 pm |
  15. Big D

    The relatively thin margin for Obama has a lot to do with how the two are covered in the media. Every gaffe or awkward statement by Obama or a surrogate is endlessly covered, but not the same for McCain. Even when there's no mistep by Obama, it's reported as if it is (as when he was consistent on his position on Iraq, but the media decided he wasn't and covered it that way). But McCain's calling Social Security a disgrace is barely covered, and even the 'Whiner' statement by his economic adviser, is not covered to anywhere near that extent. And on and on. When the media really covers each campaign equally, I expect to see a huge uptick in the polls for Obama.

    July 11, 2008 04:05 pm at 4:05 pm |
  16. vanz

    Past experience tells me national polls are not meaningful. I'd love it if Obama won, but don't we need state-by-state polls and the resultant electoral college implications before we can start to party?

    July 11, 2008 04:05 pm at 4:05 pm |
  17. kelly thompson, staten island, ny

    i cant believe its only a 10 point lead; anyone even considering voting mccain for president (bush's third term) has to be out of their minds

    July 11, 2008 04:06 pm at 4:06 pm |
  18. Joe Reg

    Again, I say this, it is a pattern and America is fed up with the way the Bush repubs are running the country. It is high time for a change from the current administration to a new direction. The thing is Mcain is following the same economic package of the current administration that are failing American family on a daily basis. We have high costs of oil, food, lost of jobs, housing, wars, economic slow down, deficits and so on. Enough is enough and the American people are not going to change their mind aobut those things.

    No more Repubs this year.

    Go Obama go!

    Obama 08 & 12.

    July 11, 2008 04:06 pm at 4:06 pm |
  19. JIM...TX

    While these early polls don't really mean much...they do show a consistancy in Obama's campaign strategy an that he is slowly pulling away from McCain...

    July 11, 2008 04:06 pm at 4:06 pm |
  20. Former g.o.p.

    I'm not whining, but after Senator Graham's put down of Americans, Obama should be up by 20 points or more.

    July 11, 2008 04:07 pm at 4:07 pm |
  21. Marshall

    Another observation based on past elections–

    Poll numbers generally tend to tighten as the election draws near, not the opposite. Plenty of candidates who have enjoyed seemingly robust pre-convention leads have lost November elections.

    July 11, 2008 04:07 pm at 4:07 pm |
  22. Brian

    Well, first of all I laugh at the CNN poll of polls, because anyone who watched the primaries seriously knows they were wrong more than they were right. But secondly, I hope Obama takes this lead to heart and stops changing his position and his mind about key issues like the intelligence bill he voted for today that he said previously he would oppose, his changed stance on withdrawing troops from Iraq, his decision to forego public financing which he also said he would not do, etc. For those who had never heard of Obama before December, but joined the bandwagon this spring, and are just *now* learning what Obama is really like, I have just two words: typical politican. And a third, because of all his denunciations of typical politicians: hypocrite.

    July 11, 2008 04:08 pm at 4:08 pm |
  23. wycliffe, NJ

    I changed my vote, when McCain refused to take a stand on Viagra and Birth Controls

    July 11, 2008 04:08 pm at 4:08 pm |
  24. me

    LIke the CNN poll is not baised!

    Remember Dukakis was ahead by something like 19 points at this time and he never won.

    Polls mean nothing until after labor day

    July 11, 2008 04:09 pm at 4:09 pm |
  25. Will in Richmond, VA

    Landslide of Reagan/Mondale proportions probably. We will see a double digit lead by September.

    Look, the differences between the way the campaigns are run, the energy of teh two men themselves as well, are like night and day. There is NO excitement about McCain. He couldn't even beat GWB.

    July 11, 2008 04:09 pm at 4:09 pm |
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