July 11th, 2008
04:30 PM ET
3 years ago

Polls: Obama ahead by eight

Obama is up over McCain in the latest CNN poll of polls.
Obama is up over McCain in the latest CNN poll of polls.

(CNN) - As the dog days of summer set in and Americans take a break from the daily political band-and-forth, a new CNN analysis of several recent national opinion surveys show Barack Obama with a sizeable lead over John McCain.

In the latest CNN Poll of polls, the Illinois senator holds an 8-point lead among registered voters nationwide, 49 percent to 41 percent, with 10 percent still undecided.

The 8-point spread is up 2 points from a CNN poll of polls released one week ago. It is double the margin it was one month ago, days after the prolonged Democratic race ended.

Election Center: Check out CNN's electoral map

“Obama's lead has grown a bit over the course of the past month. It is still relatively slim, but it is certainly solid," CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib said. "The burden is on McCain to find a way to shake things up as we enter the traditional summer doldrums.”

The poll of polls consists of three recent surveys from Gallup, CNN/Opinion Research Corp. and LA Times/Bloomberg. It does not carry a margin of error.

soundoff (261 Responses)
  1. J Houston, TX

    Do these people not get it? We are 5 months from the election still. This race will be neck and neck. Personally, I don't care about any of it unless it includes term limits on senators and reps.

    July 11, 2008 04:16 pm at 4:16 pm |
  2. Huh?

    No margin of error? Since when does any credible poll have no margin of error? Doesn't matter if it's the BBC, FOX, CNN or Joe's Coffee Shop, every poll has some margin of error..
    I'd like to see the poll figures rather than have some news organizaition digest and spin it for me, thank you.

    July 11, 2008 04:17 pm at 4:17 pm |
  3. db

    Try to contain your glee, CNN.

    July 11, 2008 04:18 pm at 4:18 pm |
  4. JRB

    I'm voting for John McCain. As a small-business owner, John McCain's tax plan will benefit my family and my local community.

    Obama's idea of change is higher taxes, which will result in fewer jobs being created..

    July 11, 2008 04:18 pm at 4:18 pm |
  5. Debby

    Well Kerry was 14 points ahead of Bush till almost the end then the bombshell swiftboat add destroyed him. I wouldn't count McCain out of winning the election just yet.

    July 11, 2008 04:18 pm at 4:18 pm |
  6. Henry

    Gallup say Obama ahead by 6. Doesn't look good for Obama

    July 11, 2008 04:18 pm at 4:18 pm |
  7. Woman4Obama

    From his last response to womens birth control, are we even surprised?!

    July 11, 2008 04:19 pm at 4:19 pm |
  8. michelle

    FROM A HISPANIC , A WOMAN AND PUMA.....
    ONLY 8 points?

    Shouldn't Mr. Swagger be ahead by a whole lot more? Guess you're not doing your usual swiftboating elitist media/politicians/liberals.

    I voted for Hillary because she was the MOST QUALIFIED and hooray because she was a woman. BO had no business running for prez. for lack of experience. All he has is packaging, swagger and smooth-talk. (the Iraw speech at the anti-war rally doesn't count).

    Hillary for VP..somebody's gotta show him how to run the country. And by the way, you never heard Jesse Jackson bad-mouthing Bill Clinton. Bill could connect with the AA's...perhaps because he grew up with them and yes, "could really feel their pain." Can BO relate to the AA's that way??? He seems pretty elitist to me...seems that he attempts to connect with the AA community only when it's politically expedient .

    VIVA HILLARY....Hillary for VP or no vote to BO

    July 11, 2008 04:19 pm at 4:19 pm |
  9. discerner

    I can't understand why CNN keeps posting selective polls. By any decent stretch of intelleligence, Obama, the great Orator (for me he is a biggest con man this country has ever raised!!) is still leading 4-5 % points. Doesn't he should be leading 20 points at least. Obama supporters are in denial. Come november, the ERs will be filled up with these nut cases.

    July 11, 2008 04:19 pm at 4:19 pm |
  10. JD

    You know, I'm a pretty staunch republican, and I know several others that would have polled in support of McCain that haven't participated in any of these polls they're talking about. So I wouldn't put all your Obama eggs in one basket when election time rolls around. Smooth talkers don't always mean what they say, folks. The time for realism and not idealism is upon us.

    "Watch out for false prophets. They come to you in sheep's clothing, but inwardly they are ferocious wolves."

    Matthew 7:15

    July 11, 2008 04:20 pm at 4:20 pm |
  11. S.B. Stein E.B. NJ

    It does make me wonder how close of a race this will be. How close is it in all of the states? If there are lots of close races in states, that could be bad for Obama if he doesn't win them.

    July 11, 2008 04:20 pm at 4:20 pm |
  12. jimmie

    This is stupid ,,,,we have not even got into the General Elections yet and CNN is already calling it OBOMA's WIN.... Get a real life..
    The general public will change thier minds before we get to the polls.
    I wish the media would stop trying to predict the out come and trying to sway the general opinion of the public.

    July 11, 2008 04:20 pm at 4:20 pm |
  13. Brad

    Again with this double standard??? If the comments of McCain's "advisor". Phil Gramm, are attributable to John McCain. THEN, it is only logical that the comments of Obama "advisor", Rev. Wright, are attributable to Barack Obama.

    The Obama camp cannot have it both ways and frankly, neither can the McCain camp.

    July 11, 2008 04:21 pm at 4:21 pm |
  14. Vicki

    I have never feared for the future of this country more than I do this election year. If Obama gets elected, the America we all know & love will dissappear!! We will become a socalist country and it will be all downhill from there.

    I don't WANT higher taxes
    I don't WANT universal health care
    I don't WANT to bow down & kiss the terrorists butts!

    NO OBAMA

    I'm not thrilled with McCain either but he's the least of 2 bad choices.

    July 11, 2008 04:21 pm at 4:21 pm |
  15. Chuck

    How do you justify using the terms "sizable lead" and "still a slim lead" in the same report? Is the spread between Obama and McCain sizable or slim?

    Or are you trying to say the lead may be slim but because it is double from what it was a month ago it is sizable?

    July 11, 2008 04:21 pm at 4:21 pm |
  16. D

    McCain's story for the past 30 years, including in his autobiography as that he gave the names of the 1967 Green Bay Packers to his POW captors. McCain campaigning in Pittsburgh this week in TV interview with KDKA said he gave the names of the 1967 Pittsburgh Steelers to his POW captors. How convenient – "Straight Talk" McCain substitutes the Pittsburgh Steelers into his POW story for the first time while campaigning in Pittsburgh. Liar.

    July 11, 2008 04:21 pm at 4:21 pm |
  17. shannon

    when will people learn...it is about electoral votes...not national votes or polls.

    every week CNN has some bad omen for someone....because of some poll

    July 11, 2008 04:22 pm at 4:22 pm |
  18. KK

    Don't count out the silent conservative majority. Yes they exist they are just not as outspoken or in your face. They will be there in November. Count on it!

    July 11, 2008 04:23 pm at 4:23 pm |
  19. Dukes

    This is a liberal site anyways but if holds true looks like I'm moving to Canada in Nov.

    July 11, 2008 04:23 pm at 4:23 pm |
  20. Foreign observer

    Hope the whiners won´t get bitter.

    July 11, 2008 04:23 pm at 4:23 pm |
  21. PUMA 4 HILL

    Yep, CNN, choose the polls that make it look good for your golden Obama boy.

    Gallup has him up only by 3 and that is the most accurate polling. MO has McCain up by 4 and I am working my tail off to elect McCain (the second most qualified to lead behind Hillary).

    CNN – stop trying to sell your choice to America.

    July 11, 2008 04:23 pm at 4:23 pm |
  22. Debra

    YES WE CAN!!! This shows Americans are looking in a new direction and an actual Leader. Goodbye Good Ole' Boys, Hello to a New Road and Direction!

    July 11, 2008 04:23 pm at 4:23 pm |
  23. Sean from Orlando

    Ask around and find out how many people you know that have actually taken a CNN poll, I have and I have yet to meet one. That means that polls hardly reflect the true voice of the people. A whole lot of Dems I know here plan on voting McCain this year.

    July 11, 2008 04:23 pm at 4:23 pm |
  24. Brian

    Wow! This is a ridiculous example of biased reporting. Rasmussen reports daily tracking numbers, which are averaged over several days for accuracy, show McCain at 42% and Obama at 43%. If anything the numbers are getting closer after Obama lost some support over FISA.

    July 11, 2008 04:24 pm at 4:24 pm |
  25. Not fooled by distractions

    "The burden is on McCain to find a way to shake things up as we enter the traditional summer doldrums.”

    Ah, good luck with that. McCain is about as exciting as watching bread mold.

    Weak candidate, poorly run campaign, it's a loser all the way around.

    July 11, 2008 04:24 pm at 4:24 pm |
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