July 11th, 2008
04:30 PM ET
3 years ago

Polls: Obama ahead by eight

Obama is up over McCain in the latest CNN poll of polls.
Obama is up over McCain in the latest CNN poll of polls.

(CNN) - As the dog days of summer set in and Americans take a break from the daily political band-and-forth, a new CNN analysis of several recent national opinion surveys show Barack Obama with a sizeable lead over John McCain.

In the latest CNN Poll of polls, the Illinois senator holds an 8-point lead among registered voters nationwide, 49 percent to 41 percent, with 10 percent still undecided.

The 8-point spread is up 2 points from a CNN poll of polls released one week ago. It is double the margin it was one month ago, days after the prolonged Democratic race ended.

Election Center: Check out CNN's electoral map

“Obama's lead has grown a bit over the course of the past month. It is still relatively slim, but it is certainly solid," CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib said. "The burden is on McCain to find a way to shake things up as we enter the traditional summer doldrums.”

The poll of polls consists of three recent surveys from Gallup, CNN/Opinion Research Corp. and LA Times/Bloomberg. It does not carry a margin of error.

soundoff (261 Responses)
  1. keepitreal50

    Polls, smolls. Just wait til Nov 4th 2008. It will be great. Done with the pain brought by McCain. Give his tush to that dude Bush. Me and my mama will be free of the drama. At that time we'll elect President Obama!!

    July 11, 2008 04:24 pm at 4:24 pm |
  2. Bill

    Obama.... Obamer... Obarter.... Ocarter..... CARTER... Obama is just another Jimmy Carter. The only bright side to an Obama win would be knowing another conservative will soon be coming to correct all his stupidity. ie. Ronald Reagan

    July 11, 2008 04:24 pm at 4:24 pm |
  3. Willow, from Iowa

    I hope the percentage grows and grows. I'd like to see a landslide in November. But first, I can't wait for the debates.

    July 11, 2008 04:25 pm at 4:25 pm |
  4. Joe

    If people want to vote for McCain! we might as well extend Bush's term.

    July 11, 2008 04:25 pm at 4:25 pm |
  5. FRANK

    MCCAIN HAS NO NEED TO WORRY, BECAUSE IF OBAMA DOES NOT CHOOSE HILLARY FOR HIS VP THEN THE POLLS WILL SHIFT, RT NOW HRC SUPORTERS ARE GIVING HIM THE BENIFIT OF THE DOUBT, IF HE DOES NOT CHOOSE HILLARY YOU WILL SEE HIS POLL NUMBERS DROP!!

    HILLARY FOR VP
    OR
    CLINTON DEMOCRATS FOR MCCAIN!!

    R E S P E C T ... HILLARY SHOULD BE VP (ACTUALLY SHE SHOULD BE PRESIDENT SINCE SHE DID HAVE MORE VOTES)

    -A CLINTON DEMOCRAT WHO HAS ALREDY JOINED CITIZENS FOR MCCAIN, I SUGGEST U DO THE SAME !!

    COUNTRY OVER PARTY ... MCCAIN WILL MAKE A BETTER PRESIDENT FOR AMERICA IN THE TROUBLED WORLD, OBAMA HAS NO CLUE!!

    July 11, 2008 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |
  6. Connie

    Finally, people start to see the light!!!!

    To me, it's a no brainer, OBAMA ALL THE WAY TO THE WHITE HOUSE!!!!!

    July 11, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  7. Leah

    As someone who plans to cast their vote for Obama this worries me. Bush has a horrible rating, Congress rates even lower, and McCain has run an absolute horrible campaign and Obama is only up 8% (which is a CNN poll...most other have him ahead by 4%). I don't think this is great news for Obama.

    Makes me worry McCain may pull it out.

    July 11, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  8. Carlos

    The only date that counts is November 2008. Polls only serves for the media to have something to blabber about.

    July 11, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  9. MTK

    Once we see some debates(which Obama keeps refusing to do), McCain will do much better. Obama knows he's not good at debating and will have a tough time actually explaining his debacle on foreign policy and taxes when he's actually debating against someone who knows foreign policy and he has to explain why he wants to raise taxes during a tough economic time. That is, if Obama accepts an invitation for a debate finally...other than MSNBC or some ultra liberal group like that haha

    July 11, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  10. Iowavoter

    Polls are like computers, garbage in and garbage out, it dont matter either way, no whining here just a fact – OBAMA in MCBush out

    July 11, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  11. Terp08

    McCain is not even a compition!! Obama all ways :)

    July 11, 2008 04:28 pm at 4:28 pm |
  12. Eddie

    Let's all get real here. The L.A. Times poll used in the CNN poll of polls was taken over 3 weeks ago and had a 12 point margin of victory for Obama among registered voters not likely voters which most polsters would consider and outlier among all polls taken. Could you be any more biased in what polls we choose for a poll of polls?

    July 11, 2008 04:29 pm at 4:29 pm |
  13. Dem

    How biased can CNN be?
    You have posted 1948 blogs on Barack Obama
    1778 on Hillary Clinton
    and only 1068 on John McCain

    No matter how much you shove Obama on everyone it's not going to help. The fluff articles are ridiculous. These stupid polls are laughable.Try writing about his stance on issues. Oh wait you can't because all the speeches he made to get nominated are now crap. He is not for change, he is like anyother politician. Tell the Americans what they want to hear to get elected, then do what I want. This isn't change. this is just more of the same dressed up in a puppet.

    Waiting to see if he will debate McCain before making my mind up on who gets my vote. But as it stands right now, it's not Obama.

    July 11, 2008 04:29 pm at 4:29 pm |
  14. john

    McSame is finished before he starts. He should quit now he HAS NO CHANCE!! OBAMA 08/12

    July 11, 2008 04:29 pm at 4:29 pm |
  15. David Newport, OR

    I'm going to post this over and over til people get it...the election is not about winning the popular vote, it is about winning the Electoral College. That means there are certain battleground states that must be won by the popular vote.

    July 11, 2008 04:30 pm at 4:30 pm |
  16. flavoter

    I have to ask, is McCain really this arrogant that he seems to think he is some how entitled to be president. Like any job you put your resume on the table and go for it. We have seen many times people with so called experience are not up to the job. Because they have too many bad habits from all those years I.E. John McCain…Sure Sen. Obama may have had some so called questionable ties. But McCain A true politician who has lain down with and and played true Washington politics look at all of his record. Not just the parts that make you feel good about wasting your vote. War captive fine president no way he appears mental.

    With his record on women issues how could any woman even consider this man, HOW.
    He could not even recall his voting record on a issue about women when a reporter asked about it this week . Shows what’s important and who’s not.

    July 11, 2008 04:30 pm at 4:30 pm |
  17. FRANK

    WERE IS REV WRITE WHEN WE NEED HIM !!

    OBAMA HAS TO GO!! SOMEONE MUST STOP HIM!! BEFORE HE RUINS THIS COUNTRY

    July 11, 2008 04:30 pm at 4:30 pm |
  18. Josh

    its still a long way off to November..
    The polls would probably show a tight race by then
    Not good to be cocky.

    July 11, 2008 04:30 pm at 4:30 pm |
  19. MTK

    Clint- What's scarry is people supporting Obama when it is certainly clear he has no understanding whatsoever of international relations and we're in a dangerous and fragile time in that regard. He has literally no experience, he hasn't been to Iraq in years, but talks about it like he knows something, he wants to raise taxes(on corporations too mind you) when our econ is sagging and we need corps to hire and spend. That is what's scarry. If you want to see our economy plummit, vote for Obama. It's not a democrat or republican thing. It's just awful economics on his part.

    July 11, 2008 04:31 pm at 4:31 pm |
  20. David

    I like the results - but a poll with "no margin of error????" Now that's confidence. Is that what the writer meant to report?

    July 11, 2008 04:31 pm at 4:31 pm |
  21. F. Lynn

    Polls don't give as clear a picture now as later. Independents will have their say as things get closer. The one group that isn't represented is the young college students. They aren't home taking surveys as I have. They are on the go and text / cell rather than have a traditional land based phone at home. This group represents about 5% of the unknow electorite. If they are as excited as the primaries, it could have a huge impact.

    The problem is – it's hard to tell !

    July 11, 2008 04:31 pm at 4:31 pm |
  22. Paul

    Hillary must be Obama's VP is he is serious about winning this election.

    Obama – Clinton 08

    July 11, 2008 04:31 pm at 4:31 pm |
  23. Only One Great Man

    It is amazing that so many support Barack Obama when he clearly represents a third Bush term. Not to mention the fact that he is a warmonger. And senile. Allegedly.

    July 11, 2008 04:32 pm at 4:32 pm |
  24. j.i.m.

    POLL'S are like " Stat's " for Looser's!

    Let's remember a few thing's.............. " Obama " is a Puppet, and the
    so called Democratic Party, is pulling his string's. Without the Tele-
    Prompter's, this guy could'nt articulate his way out of a wet paper bag
    for crying out loud.

    McCain in November....................................................................................

    July 11, 2008 04:32 pm at 4:32 pm |
  25. Sabrina

    Polls don,t mean anything at this time, and polls are what the pollsters ask. Real Clear Politics, has him only ahead by 5, they do a adverage of several polls. If he is such a god that is going to save the world, why is he only up 5? McClinton voter, take one from Obama and give McCain one. McClinton08

    July 11, 2008 04:33 pm at 4:33 pm |
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